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Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares (EDV)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
61.75 USD +0.03 (0.049%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal five-year streak of negative annual returns, with the asset down nearly 56% from its peak. This multi-year decline signals a structural deterioration in the underlying bond market dynamics or the specific duration strategy, making it a poor hold for capital preservation despite the high yield. The short-term picture is equally bleak; price action is lagging significantly behind moving averages, and the statistical forecast offers no directional edge. However, the 4.91% dividend provides a floor, offering a modest cushion against further erosion. Options flow confirms the pessimism, with traders aggressively buying protection at strikes far above current prices, indicating a belief that the asset could fall sharply rather than recover quickly.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.015337
AutoETS0.016124
AutoARIMA0.016124
AutoTheta0.016245

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 0.87
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.943
Excess Kurtosis 0.25

As of July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 70-80) and significant volume spikes in deep OTM puts compared to calls. While there is some call activity at strikes 72-85, the overwhelming capital deployment is in put writing and buying, suggesting a fear of a sharp correction or continued decline rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.37% 4.97% 4.54% 3.81%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.867 1.366215
2026-04-01 0.764 1.191702
2025-12-18 0.811 1.231213
2025-10-01 0.798 1.176644
2025-07-01 0.808 1.210124
2025-04-01 0.794 1.114699
2024-12-24 0.838 1.230002
2024-10-01 0.770 0.966487
2024-07-01 0.776 1.097130
2024-04-01 0.769 1.043561
2023-12-22 0.737 0.914960
2023-10-02 0.737 1.088626
2023-07-03 0.726 0.845957
2023-04-03 0.674 0.747892
2022-12-23 0.691 0.806395
2022-10-03 0.682 0.779785
2022-07-01 0.706 0.701162
2022-04-01 0.635 0.521432
2021-12-23 0.684 0.486141
2021-10-01 0.706 0.517330
2021-07-01 0.700 0.518519
2021-04-01 0.646 0.507981
2020-12-23 6.105 4.037164
2020-10-01 0.704 0.425918
2020-07-01 0.798 0.483285
2020-04-01 0.838 0.495243
2019-12-23 2.110 1.608722
2019-09-26 0.833 0.593685
2019-06-21 0.793 0.632074
2019-03-21 0.820 0.716282
2018-12-13 0.825 0.755771
2018-09-24 0.840 0.778138
2018-06-18 0.838 0.744757
2018-03-16 0.792 0.708281
2017-12-26 1.159 0.978059
2017-09-27 0.822 0.702024
2017-06-28 0.850 0.713686
2017-03-22 0.702 0.631295
2016-12-14 3.435 3.240260
2016-09-20 0.869 0.655899
2016-06-21 0.822 0.626763
2016-03-21 0.696 0.562243
2015-12-17 2.273 1.955605
2015-09-21 0.878 0.770784
2015-06-22 0.905 0.832567
2015-03-23 0.749 0.571712
2014-09-22 0.853 0.796303
2014-06-23 0.878 0.862306
2014-03-24 0.769 0.779287
2013-12-20 2.232 2.440678
2013-09-23 0.586 0.621817
2013-06-24 0.877 0.887203
2013-03-22 0.772 0.703481
2012-12-20 6.134 5.310363
2012-09-24 0.932 0.760196
2012-06-25 0.873 0.671538
2012-03-26 0.804 0.738360
2011-12-21 3.619 3.057879
2011-09-23 0.934 0.762138
2011-06-24 0.889 1.035286
2011-03-25 0.800 1.011634
2010-12-22 1.268 1.573591
2010-09-24 0.898 0.940610
2010-06-24 0.898 0.993363
2010-03-25 0.804 1.065889
2009-12-22 12.281 15.480902
2009-09-24 0.877 0.858289
2009-06-24 1.144 1.192288
2009-03-25 0.943 0.846423
2008-12-22 1.425 0.956697
2008-09-24 0.885 0.916623
2008-06-24 0.820 0.882385
2008-03-25 0.684 0.691188
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 4.91

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 189.78
All Time Low 60.49
Ask 61.66
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 792,410
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,023,850
Average Volume 1,023,850
Average Volume10Days 792,410
Beta3 Year 3.44
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 62.2
Day Low 61.73
Dividend Yield 4.91
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 63.5666
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8166008
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.028577913
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.4652362
Fifty Two Week High 71.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.559998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13406251
Fifty Two Week Low 60.49
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2599983
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.02082986
Fifty Two Week Range 60.49 - 71.31
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,201,617,000,000
Five Year Average Return -0.1161305
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Vanguard
Fund Inception Date 1,196,208,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The advisor employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond Index. This index includes zero-coupon U.S. Treasury securities (Treasury STRIPS), which are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, with maturities ranging from 20 to 30 years. The fund invests by sampling the index. At least 80% of it's assets will be invested in U.S. Treasury securities held in the index.
Long Name Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_39505632
Nav Price 61.47
Net Assets 4,162,188,800.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.05
Open 61.84
Pre Market Change -0.15000153
Pre Market Change Percent -0.24291745
Pre Market Price 61.6
Pre Market Time 1,784,108,271
Previous Close 61.72
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0299988
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0486046
Regular Market Day High 62.2
Regular Market Day Low 61.73
Regular Market Day Range 61.73 - 62.2
Regular Market Open 61.84
Regular Market Previous Close 61.72
Regular Market Price 61.75
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,200
Regular Market Volume 1,138,394
Short Name Vanguard Extended Duration Trea
Source Interval 15
Symbol EDV
Three Year Average Return -0.0570968
Total Assets 4,162,188,800
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 1.33765
Trailing Three Month Returns 1.33765
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.98205
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.232048
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06413939
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,138,394
Yield 0.049099997
Ytd Return 0.93211