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Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)

Energy | Oil & Gas Integrated | Bogotá, Colombia | NYSE
17.90 USD +0.38 (2.169%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 17.93 +0.03 (0.168%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:01 a.m. EDT

The immediate narrative is driven by operational disruption and capital allocation decisions. The recent cyberattack exposing group data introduces a tangible execution risk that weighs on near-term sentiment, while the announcement of the 2025 earnings distribution proposal signals management's commitment to returning cash despite the headwinds. Fundamentally, the company presents a compelling value case with a trailing P/E of roughly 9.2 and a robust 35.5% revenue growth rate, supported by a healthy 15.9% ROE and a fortress-like balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio under 100%. However, the market has priced in significant skepticism, evidenced by the wide analyst dispersion (targets ranging from $9.00 to $18.00) and the 'underperform' consensus. While the long-term business quality appears solid with strong cash generation, the short-term outlook remains murky due to the cyber incident and the lack of a clear recovery trajectory in the immediate price action. The stock trades at a deep discount to book value, which offers a margin of safety, but the path to unlocking that value is currently obscured by operational noise.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.033684
MSTL0.041846
AutoETS0.047523
AutoARIMA0.047525

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 2.51
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.333
Excess Kurtosis -1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 95.728
Market Cap 36,799,442,944
Trailing P/E 9.73
Forward P/E 9.50
Beta -0.04
Profit Margins 10.23%
Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound scenario with a slight upside bias. Call Open Interest peaks significantly at strikes 18.0 and 19.0, suggesting a floor around current prices and a potential upside target near 19. Put Open Interest is concentrated at 16.0 and 17.0, creating a defined downside cushion. Implied volatility is elevated (0.46–0.78) across expirations, indicating uncertainty regarding the recent cyberattack and earnings distribution news, but the skew remains balanced rather than heavily defensive.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
4.80% 4.80% 12.17% 13.62%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-29 0.661 4.796807
2025-04-28 0.506 5.974026
2025-04-03 0.486 5.089005
2024-06-25 0.800 7.162041
2024-04-04 0.800 6.595218
2023-12-19 0.828 6.905755
2023-09-26 0.828 7.282322
2023-04-25 0.828 8.431772
2022-06-28 0.861 7.500000
2022-04-19 1.491 8.348264
2021-04-20 0.093 0.747588
2020-04-21 0.894 9.933333
2019-12-26 0.535 2.639368
2019-04-23 1.444 7.435633
2018-04-17 0.637 3.020389
2017-04-25 0.161 1.709129
2015-06-17 1.034 7.923372
2014-04-22 2.646 7.159091
2013-04-09 3.206 6.309781
2012-04-19 3.410 5.636364
2011-10-07 0.538 1.334325
2011-07-08 0.540 1.276294
2011-04-07 0.524 1.259918
2010-11-30 0.331 0.823998
2010-08-10 0.305 0.828129
2010-04-12 0.329 1.176681
2009-11-30 0.704 2.837566
2009-08-12 0.635 2.356215
2009-04-13 0.297 1.659218
2008-11-28 0.243 1.383039
2008-10-10 0.262 1.455556
Additional Data
dividendYield 3.71
exDividendDate 2026-04-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.661
lastDividendDate 2026-04-29
dividendDate 2026-05-07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.9619261
Address1 Carrera 13 No. 36 – 24
All Time High 67.92
All Time Low 5.16
Ask 18.01
Ask Size 1,400
Average Analyst Rating 3.6 - Underperform
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,245,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,757,470
Average Volume 1,757,470
Average Volume10Days 1,245,550
Beta -0.043
Bid 17.7
Bid Size 900
Book Value 1,963.047
City Bogotá
Country Colombia
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 17.9
Current Ratio 1.511
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 18.02
Day Low 17.42
Debt To Equity 95.728
Display Name Ecopetrol
Dividend Date 1,778,112,000
Dividend Yield 3.71
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,857,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,857,400
Earnings Growth 2.345
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.348
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,787,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,513,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,513,600
Ebitda 49,268,001,865,728
Ebitda Margins 0.38647
Eps Current Year 2.37137
Eps Forward 1.88478
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.84
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,777,420,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.1152
Fifty Day Average Change 0.7847996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.045853954
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 96.19261
Fifty Two Week High 18.38
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.47999954
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.026115319
Fifty Two Week Low 8.57
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0886815
Fifty Two Week Range 8.57 - 18.38
Financial Currency COP
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,221,744,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.0
Float Shares 473,170,922
Forward Eps 1.88478
Forward P E 9.497129
Free Cashflow 12,150,163,636,224
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change 0.29000092
Fullday Change Percent 1.6831162
Fullday Price 17.9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.371
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000040000003
Held Percent Institutions 0.01446
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,055,834,735
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Key oil-gas-integrated
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,420,800
Last Dividend Value 0.661
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Energy transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The energy Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, the United States, China, Brazil, India, Singapore and other Asian countries, Peru, Chile, Other South America countries, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
Long Name Ecopetrol S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 36,799,442,944
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8142536
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 33,587,334,875
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 17.66
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.3609
Peg Ratio 0.77
Phone 57 310 315 8600
Post Market Change 0.030000687
Post Market Change Percent 0.1676016
Post Market Price 17.93
Post Market Time 1,792,021,600
Previous Close 17.52
Price Eps Current Year 7.548379
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.009118478
Profit Margins 0.102299996
Quick Ratio 1.167
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key underperform
Recommendation Mean 3.63636
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.379999
Regular Market Change Percent 2.16894
Regular Market Day High 18.02
Regular Market Day Low 17.42
Regular Market Day Range 17.42 - 18.02
Regular Market Open 17.66
Regular Market Previous Close 17.52
Regular Market Price 17.9
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 1,833,096
Return On Assets 0.07305
Return On Equity 0.15948
Revenue Growth 0.355
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Shares Outstanding 2,055,834,735
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0034
Shares Short 7,019,643
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,114,561
Short Name Ecopetrol S.A.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0297
Short Ratio 4.21
Source Interval 15
Symbol EC
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 14.48182
Target Median Price 14.5
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.84
Trailing P E 9.72826
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.64575
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.2542496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22219753
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,833,096
Website https://www.ecopetrol.com.co