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Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Austin, United States | NYSE
26.84 USD -0.83 (-3.000%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 26.18 -0.66 (-0.663%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT

The narrative surrounding Destiny Tech100 is dangerously detached from the reality of its financials. While headlines hype a 'SpaceX proxy' and 'mooning,' the stock is trading at a fraction of its 52-week high, dragged down by a massive $1 billion share sale that dilutes existing holders and creates a ceiling on price appreciation. The company reports zero dividends and has no track record of payout, making it a pure speculative vehicle with no income floor. Fundamentally, the picture is murky. The trailing P/E of 7.8x looks attractive on paper, but without clarity on whether earnings are sustainable amidst the dilution and the 'tech' nature of the business, this valuation is suspect. The price action confirms the skepticism: the stock has been grinding lower recently, struggling to break above the 50-day moving average, which sits significantly above the current price. This indicates that even the short-term trend is bearish despite the hype. Options activity reinforces this caution. The market is writing puts, not buying them, suggesting traders are betting on a continued slide or a volatile bounce rather than a breakout. The heavy concentration of put open interest at the $25 level acts as a magnet, likely keeping the price suppressed until that support breaks. Until the dilution risk is resolved and the 'tech' thesis is proven with hard revenue growth, this remains a high-risk speculation where the hype cycle is outpacing the actual business performance.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_52_115 ✓0.181896
MSTL_1150.228108
MSTL_520.239609
MSTL0.260591
AutoETS0.264312
AutoARIMA0.264738
AutoTheta0.266699

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_52_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 0.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.089
Excess Kurtosis -0.59
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Market Cap 817,698,432
Trailing P/E 7.58

As of July 11, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional move. Put writers dominate the near-term (July/August) landscape, creating a heavy 'pin' around the $25 strike, while call writers are concentrated at distant strikes ($50-$75). This structure suggests the market expects a range-bound chop or a sharp spike followed by a retest of lows, rather than a steady grind higher. The massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts indicates a hedge against a crash, while the lack of significant call volume near the money implies skepticism about immediate upside momentum.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.27546477
Address1 1,401 Lavaca Street
Address2 #144
All Time High 105.0
All Time Low 7.75
Ask 26.5
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,097,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,362,054
Average Volume 4,362,054
Average Volume10Days 1,097,310
Bid 26.1
Bid Size 1,300
City Austin
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 26.84
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 27.39
Day Low 25.777
Display Name Destiny Tech100
Earnings Timestamp End 1,757,332,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,756,983,540
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.54
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 39.1882
Fifty Day Average Change -12.348202
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.31509998
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.546478
Fifty Two Week High 72.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -46.030003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.63167286
Fifty Two Week Low 19.711
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.1289997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3616762
Fifty Two Week Range 19.711 - 72.87
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,711,459,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03237
Held Percent Institutions 0.10876001
Implied Shares Outstanding 30,465,664
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Long Name Destiny Tech100 Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 817,698,432
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_703825013
Non Diluted Market Cap 842,984,922
Open 26.99
Operating Margins 0.0
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 639 9966
Post Market Change -0.6630001
Post Market Change Percent -2.470194
Post Market Price 26.177
Post Market Time 1,783,987,147
Previous Close 27.67
Price Hint 2
Profit Margins 0.0
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.83
Regular Market Change Percent -2.99964
Regular Market Day High 27.39
Regular Market Day Low 25.777
Regular Market Day Range 25.777 - 27.39
Regular Market Open 26.99
Regular Market Previous Close 27.67
Regular Market Price 26.84
Regular Market Time 1,783,973,035
Regular Market Volume 844,615
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 30,465,664
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0402
Shares Short 1,224,430
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,982,751
Short Name Destiny Tech100 Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0402
Short Ratio 0.24
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol DXYZ
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.54
Trailing P E 7.581921
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 30.6499
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.8099003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12430384
Type Disp Equity
Volume 844,615
Zip 78,701