Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)Consumer Defensive | Discount Stores | Chesapeake, United States | NasdaqGS
124.41 USD
+2.65
(2.176%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 124.41 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:25 a.m. EDT
The most critical signal here is the divergence between the company's operational recovery and its balance sheet fragility. While the stock has rallied significantly from its 2024 lows and earnings growth is robust, the decision to close stores signals a contraction in the physical footprint that threatens long-term revenue visibility. Furthermore, the debt-to-equity ratio of 224% is a substantial liability that limits financial flexibility during economic downturns. On the short end, the price is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, creating technical resistance despite the recent earnings beat. The options market reflects this caution, with heavy put buying at the 110 strike acting as a hedge against further downside while call interest clusters at 125. Investors should view this as a speculative recovery play rather than a stable compounder, given the high leverage and strategic pivots underway. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.051740 |
| AutoETS | 0.051740 |
| MSTL | 0.054609 |
| AutoTheta | 0.080704 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 37% |
| H-stat | 24.17 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.066 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.32 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 223.945 |
| Revenue per Share | 101.639 |
| Market Cap | 23,343,087,616 |
| Trailing P/E | 14.47 |
| Forward P/E | 15.73 |
| Beta | 0.72 |
| Profit Margins | 8.04% |
| Website | https://www.dollartree.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound trade with a slight upside bias. Call buyers have established significant option interest walls at the 125, 130, and 140 strikes, suggesting these are key resistance zones for the near term. Conversely, put buyers are heavily concentrated around the 110 to 125 range, indicating a floor for downside protection. Implied volatility is elevated at deep strikes, reflecting uncertainty around the store closure strategy and earnings sustainability.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.2949059 |
| Address1 | 500 Volvo Parkway |
| All Time High | 177.19 |
| All Time Low | 1.053498 |
| Ask | 131.25 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.5 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,911,590 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,486,835 |
| Average Volume | 2,486,835 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,911,590 |
| Beta | 0.716 |
| Bid | 117.2 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 18.251 |
| City | Chesapeake |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 124.41 |
| Current Ratio | 1.134 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 127.0 |
| Day Low | 122.74 |
| Debt To Equity | 223.945 |
| Display Name | Dollar Tree |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,749,038,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,749,038,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 1.972 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 1.731 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,833,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,833,800 |
| Ebitda | 2,503,800,064 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.12476 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 11.766 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.468 |
| Enterprise Value | 29,458,565,120 |
| Eps Current Year | 7.92793 |
| Eps Forward | 7.90997 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 8.6 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 122.4806 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.9294052 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.015752742 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 29.49059 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 142.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -17.98999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.1263342 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 85.88 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 38.530006 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.44864938 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 85.88 - 142.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 794,586,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 177,458,860 |
| Forward Eps | 7.90997 |
| Forward P E | 15.728252 |
| Free Cashflow | 1,049,587,520 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 150,000 |
| Fullday Change | 2.6500015 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.1764138 |
| Fullday Price | 124.41 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.3718 |
| Gross Profits | 7,461,499,904 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0016 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.07767 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 187,630,299 |
| Industry | Discount Stores |
| Industry Disp | Discount Stores |
| Industry Key | discount-stores |
| Ir Website | http://www.dollartreeinfo.com/investors/ |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Last Split Date | 1,340,755,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia. |
| Long Name | Dollar Tree, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 23,343,087,616 |
| Market State | POST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_27685 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,785,542,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 1,618,099,968 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 21,232,244,634 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 26 |
| Open | 124.51 |
| Operating Cashflow | 3,116,999,936 |
| Operating Margins | 0.062090002 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.24 |
| Phone | 757 321 5000 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 124.41 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,094,433 |
| Previous Close | 121.76 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 15.692621 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 6.816613 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.1631589 |
| Profit Margins | 0.08035 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.51724 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 2.6500015 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.1764138 |
| Regular Market Day High | 127.0 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 122.74 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 122.74 - 127.0 |
| Regular Market Open | 124.51 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 121.76 |
| Regular Market Price | 124.41 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,401 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,736,258 |
| Return On Assets | 0.08262 |
| Return On Equity | 0.46032003 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.07 |
| Revenue Per Share | 101.639 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 187,630,299 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.038599998 |
| Shares Short | 7,240,843 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,407,625 |
| Short Name | Dollar Tree, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.048299998 |
| Short Ratio | 2.54 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | DLTR |
| Target High Price | 170.0 |
| Target Low Price | 98.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 135.38461 |
| Target Median Price | 137.5 |
| Total Cash | 1,058,099,968 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 5.639 |
| Total Debt | 7,670,799,872 |
| Total Revenue | 20,068,700,160 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 8.6 |
| Trailing P E | 14.466279 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 1.4117 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 116.96655 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 7.443451 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.06363743 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,736,258 |
| Website | https://www.dollartree.com |
| Zip | 23,320 |