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Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)

Consumer Defensive | Discount Stores | Chesapeake, United States | NasdaqGS
128.26 USD +1.26 (0.992%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 127.81 -0.45 (-0.450%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:35 a.m. EDT

Dollar Tree presents a compelling turnaround story backed by strong operational fundamentals, yet it carries significant balance sheet risks that limit its appeal for aggressive capital allocation. The company recently reported its best week in four years, accompanied by dual Wall Street upgrades, validating the management's strategy of store footprint adjustments and cost optimization. Financially, the business boasts an impressive 34% return on equity and steady double-digit earnings growth, supported by a forward P/E of roughly 17x which offers some margin of safety compared to historical valuations. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio of 216% creates a fixed-cost burden that weighs on the long-term risk profile, preventing a top-tier buy rating despite the strong profitability. Furthermore, the absence of a dividend means investors rely entirely on capital appreciation, which is currently capped by the stock trading near its 52-week highs. While the momentum is positive relative to moving averages and the earnings beat provides a catalyst, the combination of elevated leverage and lack of income distribution keeps this as a solid mid-tier hold rather than a definitive long-term compounder.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.020425
MSTL0.051868
AutoETS0.071064
AutoARIMA0.071065

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.43
Ljung-Box p 0.029
Jarque-Bera p 0.009
Excess Kurtosis 1.00
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 223.945
Revenue per Share 101.639
Market Cap 24,065,462,272
Trailing P/E 15.55
Forward P/E 16.28
Profit Margins 8.04%
Website https://www.dollartree.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:35 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to moderately bullish outcome. Call volume is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, with notable speculative interest at higher strikes (170+), while put volume remains heavy at the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating significant hedging activity against downside risk. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting tail risk pricing.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.14054787
Address1 500 Volvo Parkway
All Time High 177.19
All Time Low 1.053498
Ask 134.13
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,624,310
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,935,233
Average Volume 2,935,233
Average Volume10Days 2,624,310
Bid 121.27
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 3
Book Value 18.134
City Chesapeake
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 128.26
Current Ratio 1.134
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 129.535
Day Low 123.8
Debt To Equity 223.945
Display Name Dollar Tree
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,749,038,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,749,038,400
Earnings Growth 1.972
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.731
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 2,872,499,968
Ebitda Margins 0.14313
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.68
Enterprise To Revenue 1.529
Enterprise Value 30,678,161,408
Eps Current Year 7.03946
Eps Forward 7.88043
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.25
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 125.3494
Fifty Day Average Change 2.9105911
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.023219824
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 14.054787
Fifty Two Week High 142.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.139999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.099297754
Fifty Two Week Low 84.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 43.549995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5141069
Fifty Two Week Range 84.71 - 142.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 794,586,600,000
Float Shares 187,054,274
Forward Eps 7.88043
Forward P E 16.27576
Free Cashflow 1,270,925,056
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 35,181
Fullday Change 1.25999
Fullday Change Percent 0.992122
Fullday Price 127.81
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.39016998
Gross Profits 7,830,199,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00166
Held Percent Institutions 1.0756
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,630,299
Industry Discount Stores
Industry Disp Discount Stores
Industry Key discount-stores
Ir Website http://www.dollartreeinfo.com/investors/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 1,340,755,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Long Name Dollar Tree, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 24,065,462,272
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_27685
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 1,618,099,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 23,829,047,973
Number Of Analyst Opinions 25
Open 127.4
Operating Cashflow 3,116,999,936
Operating Margins 0.13746999
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.63
Phone 757 321 5000
Post Market Change -0.44999695
Post Market Change Percent -0.35084748
Post Market Price 127.81
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 127.0
Price Eps Current Year 18.220146
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.0729012
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.199154
Profit Margins 0.08035
Quick Ratio 0.32
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.62963
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.25999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.992122
Regular Market Day High 129.535
Regular Market Day Low 123.8
Regular Market Day Range 123.8 - 129.535
Regular Market Open 127.4
Regular Market Previous Close 127.0
Regular Market Price 128.26
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 2,502,109
Return On Assets 0.099429995
Return On Equity 0.46032003
Revenue Growth 0.07
Revenue Per Share 101.639
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 187,630,299
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0404
Shares Short 7,772,719
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 11,202,106
Short Name Dollar Tree, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.050300002
Short Ratio 3.41
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol DLTR
Target High Price 170.0
Target Low Price 98.0
Target Mean Price 131.68
Target Median Price 131.0
Total Cash 1,058,099,968
Total Cash Per Share 5.639
Total Debt 7,670,799,872
Total Revenue 20,068,700,160
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 8.25
Trailing P E 15.546666
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.5633
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 116.3588
Two Hundred Day Average Change 11.901192
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10228012
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,502,109
Website https://www.dollartree.com
Zip 23,320