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D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Arlington, United States | NYSE
148.85 USD -2.73 (-1.801%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT

D.R. Horton presents a classic cyclical dilemma: a company with a nearly decade-long track record of massive capital appreciation is currently navigating a period of fundamental contraction. While the nine-year price trajectory remains overwhelmingly positive with a 304% cumulative gain, the latest annual return was negative, and earnings growth has stalled at -13.2%, signaling that the housing tailwinds have cooled. Valuation remains reasonable at a forward P/E of 12.6x, yet the negative growth metrics prevent a top-tier long-term recommendation. The dividend is a standout feature, offering a reliable payout backed by a conservative 16% payout ratio and consistent five-year growth, though the absolute yield is modest. Short-term technicals show the stock hovering near its 200-day moving average with heavy options interest clustering between $150 and $155, suggesting a range-bound battle ahead rather than an immediate breakout. Investors should view this as a hold-with-caution play, waiting for clearer signs of earnings recovery before committing to a long-term accumulation strategy.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.043871
MSTL0.048011
AutoARIMA0.049538
AutoETS0.049648
MSTL_1260.050182
MSTL_84_1260.059625
MSTL_840.063373

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 1.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.632
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-06
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-06
Debt to Equity Ratio 27.453
Revenue per Share 113.026
Market Cap 42,210,828,288
Trailing P/E 13.99
Forward P/E 12.40
Beta 1.36
Profit Margins 9.51%
Website https://www.drhorton.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a tight range between $150 and $165, evidenced by significant open interest walls at the $150 put strike and the $155 call strike. Implied volatility is moderate, with ATM IV hovering around 45-50%. Unusual flow indicates aggressive call buying at the $155 strike alongside defensive put volume at the same level, creating a straddle-like sentiment where traders anticipate a bounce off the $150 floor but are capped by the $155 resistance.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.31% 1.17% 1.02% 1.03%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-07 0.450000 0.308283
2026-02-05 0.450000 0.284576
2025-11-13 0.450000 0.313808
2025-08-07 0.400000 0.259926
2025-05-02 0.400000 0.314194
2025-02-07 0.400000 0.310078
2024-11-12 0.400000 0.247173
2024-08-01 0.300000 0.167551
2024-05-01 0.300000 0.210556
2024-02-05 0.300000 0.206569
2023-11-20 0.300000 0.233645
2023-08-04 0.250000 0.198870
2023-05-02 0.250000 0.230245
2023-02-06 0.250000 0.254634
2022-12-01 0.250000 0.288351
2022-08-03 0.225000 0.303153
2022-05-06 0.225000 0.321337
2022-02-16 0.225000 0.263775
2021-12-03 0.225000 0.219427
2021-08-09 0.200000 0.212292
2021-05-07 0.200000 0.192548
2021-02-16 0.200000 0.253293
2020-12-03 0.200000 0.276472
2020-08-11 0.175000 0.253476
2020-05-08 0.175000 0.352894
2020-02-07 0.175000 0.288303
2019-11-26 0.175000 0.315942
2019-08-09 0.150000 0.317595
2019-05-10 0.150000 0.344669
2019-02-08 0.150000 0.397667
2018-11-23 0.150000 0.418877
2018-08-07 0.125000 0.282231
2018-05-10 0.125000 0.284933
2018-02-22 0.125000 0.282422
2017-11-30 0.125000 0.245098
2017-08-07 0.100000 0.274650
2017-05-03 0.100000 0.308833
2017-02-01 0.100000 0.336927
2016-11-23 0.100000 0.347102
2016-08-04 0.080000 0.249454
2016-05-11 0.080000 0.274725
2016-02-03 0.080000 0.310921
2015-11-25 0.080000 0.244349
2015-08-05 0.063000 0.219436
2015-05-13 0.063000 0.249209
2015-02-04 0.063000 0.243149
2014-11-26 0.063000 0.248423
2014-08-06 0.063000 0.312500
2014-05-13 0.038000 0.164716
2014-02-05 0.038000 0.167475
2012-12-13 0.150000 0.794492
2012-11-29 0.037000 0.188679
2012-08-09 0.038000 0.205516
2012-05-04 0.038000 0.228916
2012-02-08 0.038000 0.262250
2011-11-30 0.038000 0.319060
2011-08-10 0.038000 0.413943
2011-05-10 0.038000 0.320135
2011-02-08 0.038000 0.306947
2010-11-22 0.038000 0.365034
2010-08-12 0.038000 0.372184
2010-05-12 0.038000 0.270655
2010-02-11 0.038000 0.289634
2009-12-02 0.038000 0.378486
2009-08-17 0.038000 0.319596
2009-05-15 0.038000 0.422692
2009-02-11 0.038000 0.447585
2008-12-04 0.038000 0.485933
2008-08-14 0.075000 0.646552
2008-05-15 0.075000 0.474984
2008-02-08 0.150000 1.058574
2007-11-01 0.150000 1.246883
2007-08-15 0.150000 0.956023
2007-05-02 0.150000 0.659631
2007-01-24 0.150000 0.521739
2006-10-19 0.150000 0.638842
2006-08-17 0.150000 0.688073
2006-05-03 0.100000 0.342231
2006-01-25 0.100000 0.268817
2005-10-18 0.090000 0.296638
2005-08-03 0.090000 0.220696
2005-05-04 0.090000 0.290792
2005-01-26 0.067500 0.227560
2004-10-22 0.060000 0.289750
2004-08-04 0.060000 0.280014
2004-05-05 0.060000 0.275292
2004-01-28 0.060000 0.288288
2003-10-16 0.035000 0.185874
2003-08-06 0.035000 0.250447
2003-05-09 0.035000 0.284091
2003-01-30 0.035000 0.371156
2002-10-31 0.030000 0.311365
2002-08-07 0.030000 0.297030
2002-05-10 0.030000 0.238379
2002-02-01 0.020000 0.163845
2001-10-11 0.016667 0.204503
2001-08-06 0.016667 0.199049
2001-05-04 0.016667 0.222227
2001-02-01 0.015015 0.210084
2000-10-18 0.012012 0.249027
2000-08-14 0.011020 0.213330
2000-05-11 0.011020 0.289588
2000-02-03 0.011020 0.328199
1999-10-19 0.008265 0.272722
1999-08-09 0.008265 0.197527
1999-05-04 0.008265 0.158938
1999-02-02 0.008265 0.153843
1998-10-14 0.006061 0.181440
1998-07-30 0.006061 0.097505
1998-04-27 0.006061 0.118917
1998-01-20 0.006061 0.108640
1997-10-31 0.005510 0.133331
1997-08-06 0.005510 0.146116
1997-04-28 0.005510 0.202528
1997-01-29 0.005510 0.183905
1993-08-25 0.118279 5.084760
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.8
dividendYield 1.21
exDividendDate 2026-05-07
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.7
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0112152
lastDividendValue 0.45
lastDividendDate 2026-05-07
dividendDate 2026-05-14

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11373985
Address1 1,341 Horton Circle
All Time High 199.85
All Time Low 1.051366
Ask 156.15
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,125,870
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,354,395
Average Volume 2,354,395
Average Volume10Days 2,125,870
Beta 1.361
Bid 142.0
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 6
Book Value 82.915
City Arlington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 148.85
Current Ratio 6.37
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 153.41
Day Low 147.97
Debt To Equity 27.453
Display Name D.R. Horton
Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Dividend Rate 1.8
Dividend Yield 1.21
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,637,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,637,000
Earnings Growth -0.132
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.201
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,637,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,637,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,637,000
Ebitda 4,268,600,064
Ebitda Margins 0.128
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.13
Enterprise To Revenue 1.425
Enterprise Value 47,509,524,480
Eps Current Year 10.58805
Eps Forward 12.00048
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 10.64
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,112,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 150.0334
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1833954
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.007887546
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.373985
Fifty Two Week High 184.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -35.699997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19344349
Fifty Two Week Low 129.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.740005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.15289292
Fifty Two Week Range 129.11 - 184.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 707,751,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.96
Float Shares 250,675,871
Forward Eps 12.00048
Forward P E 12.403671
Free Cashflow 2,875,425,024
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 14,341
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.21597
Gross Profits 7,202,100,224
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.116059996
Held Percent Institutions 0.88824
Implied Shares Outstanding 283,579,613
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.drhorton.com/Company-Information/Investors.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,112,000
Last Dividend Value 0.45
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,111,017,600
Last Split Factor 4:3
Long Business Summary D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company also constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes. In addition, it provides mortgage financing and title agency services; and engages in the residential lot development business. Further, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; conducts insurance-related operations; and owns water rights and other water-related assets, as well as non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Long Name D.R. Horton, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 42,210,828,288
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_107405
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 3,172,600,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 42,984,997,738
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 151.85
Operating Cashflow 3,651,899,904
Operating Margins 0.11257
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.1596
Peg Ratio 1.26
Phone 817 390 8200
Pre Market Change -0.80000305
Pre Market Change Percent -0.53745586
Pre Market Price 148.05
Pre Market Time 1,784,025,738
Previous Close 151.58
Price Eps Current Year 14.058302
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.795212
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2657528
Profit Margins 0.09513
Quick Ratio 0.432
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.52632
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.73
Regular Market Change Percent -1.80103
Regular Market Day High 153.41
Regular Market Day Low 147.97
Regular Market Day Range 147.97 - 153.41
Regular Market Open 151.85
Regular Market Previous Close 151.58
Regular Market Price 148.85
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,488,205
Return On Assets 0.07298
Return On Equity 0.13084
Revenue Growth -0.023
Revenue Per Share 113.026
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 283,579,613
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.039100002
Shares Short 11,085,287
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 12,874,193
Short Name D.R. Horton, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0512
Short Ratio 4.99
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol DHI
Target High Price 206.0
Target Low Price 123.0
Target Mean Price 167.92308
Target Median Price 173.0
Total Cash 1,917,900,032
Total Cash Per Share 6.763
Total Debt 6,643,400,192
Total Revenue 33,348,399,104
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.7
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0112152
Trailing Eps 10.64
Trailing P E 13.989662
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.2634
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 151.4769
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.626892
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.017341865
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,488,205
Website https://www.drhorton.com
Zip 76,011