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Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. (DFIN)

Technology | Software - Application | Lancaster, United States | NYSE
49.28 USD -0.85 (-1.696%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 49.28

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a stark divergence between the company's operational pivot and the market's reaction. Fundamentally, Donnelley is executing a successful transformation into a software platform, evidenced by a massive expansion in forward earnings estimates (from $1.46 to $5.46) and a forward P/E that compresses to under 9x. This suggests the market is pricing in a complete re-rating of the business from a legacy printer to a tech enabler. However, the price action tells a different story; the stock is currently trading 20% lower than last year's peak, and the recent 14-day trend shows volatility without clear upward momentum, hovering near the 50-day average. The options market confirms this anxiety, with traders buying protection at levels far below the current price while offering almost no leverage for upside moves. While the long-term thesis appears sound given the earnings inflection and reasonable valuation multiples, the short-term path is obscured by this 'value trap' narrative where the stock refuses to participate in its own recovery despite improving fundamentals.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.074913
MSTL0.083597
AutoETS0.084144
AutoARIMA0.088571

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 0.79
Ljung-Box p 0.224
Jarque-Bera p 0.178
Excess Kurtosis 0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 54.646
Revenue per Share 29.789
Market Cap 1,211,567,744
Trailing P/E 33.75
Forward P/E 9.03
Beta 0.75
Profit Margins 4.53%
Website https://www.dfinsolutions.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume concentrated at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $25 and $35), suggesting a fear of a sharp downside move. Conversely, call interest is sparse and skewed toward deep out-of-the-money strikes ($70), indicating limited bullish conviction for a near-term rally. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes relative to the upside, reinforcing a bearish sentiment.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.08220434
Address1 391 Steel Way
All Time High 71.01
All Time Low 4.04
Ask 54.5
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 232,100
Average Daily Volume3 Month 237,406
Average Volume 237,406
Average Volume10Days 232,100
Beta 0.749
Bid 41.5
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 2
Book Value 15.684
City Lancaster
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 49.28
Current Ratio 1.326
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 50.2
Day Low 48.92
Debt To Equity 54.646
Display Name Donnelley Financial
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,416,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,416,400
Earnings Growth 0.125
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.008
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda 159,100,000
Ebitda Margins 0.20462999
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.787
Enterprise To Revenue 1.798
Enterprise Value 1,397,967,616
Eps Current Year 4.81333
Eps Forward 5.45667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.46
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 48.4314
Fifty Day Average Change 0.8485985
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.017521659
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.220434
Fifty Two Week High 56.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.9799995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12406683
Fifty Two Week Low 36.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.169998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36471885
Fifty Two Week Range 36.11 - 56.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,474,896,600,000
Float Shares 23,314,319
Forward Eps 5.45667
Forward P E 9.031149
Free Cashflow 132,825,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,750
Fullday Change 1.4400024
Fullday Change Percent 2.9574912
Fullday Price 49.28
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.64206004
Gross Profits 499,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05526
Held Percent Institutions 0.96101
Implied Shares Outstanding 24,585,383
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. provides compliance and regulatory software and services in the United States, Asia, Europe, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Capital Markets – Software Solutions (CM-SS); Capital Markets – Compliance and Communications Management (CM-CCM); Investment Companies – Software Solutions (IC-SS); and Investment Companies – Compliance and Communications Management (IC-CCM). The CM-SS segment provides Venue and ActiveDisclosure solutions to public and private companies to manage public and private transactional and compliance processes; collaborate; and tag, validate, and file SEC documents. The CM-CCM segment offers tech-enabled services and print and distribution solutions to public and private companies for deal solutions and SEC compliance requirements. The IC-SS segment provides clients with the Arc Suite platform that contains a comprehensive suite of cloud-based solutions, including ArcDigital, ArcReporting, ArcPro, and ArcRegulatory, as well as services that enable storage and management of compliance and regulatory information in a self-service and central repository for accessing, assembling, editing, translating, rendering, and submitting documents to regulators and investors. The IC-CCM segment offers tech-enabled solutions for creating, filing and distributing regulatory communications, and solutions for investor communications, as well as iXBRL-formatted filings pursuant for Investment Company Act through the SEC's EDGAR system. This segment provides turnkey proxy services, including discovery, planning and implementation, print and mail management, solicitation, tabulation services, stockholder meeting review, and expert support. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,211,567,744
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_328967194
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 35,200,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,195,095,467
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 49.66
Operating Cashflow 203,300,000
Operating Margins 0.25825
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.97
Phone 800 823 5304
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 49.28
Post Market Time 1,792,008,069
Previous Close 50.13
Price Eps Current Year 10.238234
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.1420555
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5582864
Profit Margins 0.04527
Quick Ratio 1.135
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.850002
Regular Market Change Percent -1.6956
Regular Market Day High 50.2
Regular Market Day Low 48.92
Regular Market Day Range 48.92 - 50.2
Regular Market Open 49.66
Regular Market Previous Close 50.13
Regular Market Price 49.28
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 168,921
Return On Assets 0.11293
Return On Equity 0.08590999
Revenue Growth 0.028
Revenue Per Share 29.789
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 24,585,383
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0368
Shares Short 905,415
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,059,449
Short Name Donnelley Financial Solutions,
Short Percent Of Float 0.0466
Short Ratio 3.88
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol DFIN
Target High Price 70.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 64.0
Target Median Price 62.0
Total Cash 25,300,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.029
Total Debt 211,700,000
Total Revenue 777,500,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.46
Trailing P E 33.75342
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 46.98245
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2975502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.04890231
Type Disp Equity
Volume 168,921
Website https://www.dfinsolutions.com
Zip 17,601