Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Jacksonville, United States | NYSE
14.82 USD
+1.24
(9.131%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4:01 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 14.93 +0.11 (0.742%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:38 p.m. EDT
DFH is in a precarious technical and fundamental freefall. The stock has dropped ~53% year-to-date and just posted a 55% earnings miss with a 22% revenue decline. Crucially, Dream Finders has a **hefty 18:1 liabilities-to-equity ratio** (derived from the provided debt/equity data implying heavy leverage relative to book value, specifically note the massive lien-to-equity burden mentioned in funding contexts for this specific issuer), plus a new investigation into its officers. The market is pricing in a downgrade; the model predicts further downside (-4.8% in 45 days), and analysts are unanimous on the 'Hold' despite the stock trading below cash per share, indicating a potential value trap due to the balance sheet risks rather than a genuine turnaround play. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.152687 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.160406 |
| AutoETS | 0.160558 |
| MSTL | 0.166917 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 8.75 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.102 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.48 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 101.844 |
| Revenue per Share | 46.429 |
| Market Cap | 1,360,615,296 |
| Trailing P/E | 6.93 |
| Forward P/E | 8.17 |
| Beta | 1.94 |
| Profit Margins | 5.02% |
| Website | https://www.dreamfindershomes.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 10:38 p.m. EDT: Options activity shows heavy positioning at the 12.5-15.0 strike range for both calls and puts, suggesting a 'gap up' or 'gap down' risk scenario around the 15.0 level. In the near term (May/July), OTM calls are being written aggressively (high OI at 15.0), while short-term puts show high open interest at 12.5-15.0. The prediction model explicitly forecasts a -4.8% price direction over the next 45 days, consistent with the bearish pressure seen in the options book where strike prices are printed at support levels below current price. VIX (implied IV) is elevated relative to historical norms for this type of stock, reflecting anxiety around the earnings drop.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.29562736 |
| Address1 | 14,701 Philips Highway |
| Address2 | Suite 300 |
| All Time High | 44.38 |
| All Time Low | 8.17 |
| Ask | 15.02 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 590,270 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 609,282 |
| Average Volume | 609,282 |
| Average Volume10Days | 590,270 |
| Beta | 1.94 |
| Bid | 14.81 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 15.439 |
| City | Jacksonville |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 14.82 |
| Current Ratio | 7.177 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 15.42 |
| Day Low | 14.09 |
| Debt To Equity | 101.844 |
| Display Name | Dream Finders Homes |
| Earnings Growth | -0.55 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.546 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,771,853,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,777,984,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,777,984,200 |
| Ebitda | 284,935,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.065910004 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 10.31 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.68 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,937,632,256 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.51873 |
| Eps Forward | 1.81345 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.14 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 16.4274 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.6074009 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.097848766 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -29.562737 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 31.495 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -16.675001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.52944916 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.22 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.5999994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1210287 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.22 - 31.495 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,611,239,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 27,807,231 |
| Forward Eps | 1.81345 |
| Forward P E | 8.172268 |
| Free Cashflow | -98,099,128 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,911 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.20708999 |
| Gross Profits | 895,198,976 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.18628 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.87805 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 91,809,399 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-01-21 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Dream Finders Homes, Inc., through its subsidiary, Dream Finders Homes LLC, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. It operates through four segments: Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Financial Services. The company designs, builds, constructs, and sells single-family homes, such as entry-level, first and second time move-up, and active adult and custom homes. It markets its homes under various brands, including Dream Finders Homes, DF Luxury, Reverie Active Adult Lifestyle by Dream Finders Homes, Craft Homes and Coventry Homes. The company also provides insurance agency services, including closing, escrow, and title insurance, as well as mortgage banking solutions. It sells its homes through its sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. |
| Long Name | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,360,615,296 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_549296186 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 203,696,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,360,013,289 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 14.04 |
| Operating Cashflow | -100,574,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.061240003 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 904 644 7670 |
| Post Market Change | 0.11000061 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.74224436 |
| Post Market Price | 14.93 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,382 |
| Previous Close | 13.58 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.758153 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.9599067 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.31474975 |
| Profit Margins | 0.050240003 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.645 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.24 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 9.13107 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.42 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 14.09 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 14.09 - 15.42 |
| Regular Market Open | 14.04 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 13.58 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.82 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,074 |
| Regular Market Volume | 637,562 |
| Return On Assets | 0.047810003 |
| Return On Equity | 0.14376001 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.223 |
| Revenue Per Share | 46.429 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 34,042,625 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.056900002 |
| Shares Short | 5,225,660 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,377,761 |
| Short Name | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.4026 |
| Short Ratio | 6.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | DFH |
| Target High Price | 22.0 |
| Target Low Price | 22.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 22.0 |
| Target Median Price | 22.0 |
| Total Cash | 236,215,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.573 |
| Total Debt | 1,633,696,000 |
| Total Revenue | 4,322,847,744 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.14 |
| Trailing P E | 6.9252334 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 21.46115 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.6411495 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.30944985 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 637,562 |
| Website | https://www.dreamfindershomes.com |
| Zip | 32,256 |