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Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Jacksonville, United States | NYSE
14.76 USD +0.39 (2.714%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4:01 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.76

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Dream Finders Homes is severely compromised by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals, legal overhang, and a complete lack of shareholder returns. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, while earnings have contracted sharply. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying massive debt relative to equity, and the stock trades at a discount to book value, reflecting the market's skepticism about its ability to recover. This skepticism is amplified by a hostile bid scenario and an active investigation into the officers and directors, creating significant uncertainty that depresses the long-term outlook. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows the stock struggling to find support below its 200-day moving average. While options traders are placing heavy bets on a potential collapse, the underlying business metrics suggest a distressed asset rather than a turnaround candidate.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.083724
AutoETS0.102650
AutoARIMA0.102950
MSTL0.117729

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 6.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.234
Excess Kurtosis 0.49
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 112.734
Revenue per Share 44.841
Market Cap 1,336,298,368
Trailing P/E 10.18
Forward P/E 12.46
Beta 1.90
Profit Margins 3.55%
Website https://www.dreamfindershomes.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 10.00 and 12.50) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of further downside or a 'catapult' strategy to profit from a crash. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in the money and at the money, indicating some buyers are willing to enter at current levels despite the bearish backdrop, though volume is significantly lower than put volume.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.46151042
Address1 14,701 Philips Highway
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 44.38
All Time Low 8.17
Ask 15.53
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 454,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 642,312
Average Volume 642,312
Average Volume10Days 454,180
Beta 1.9
Bid 14.0
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 9
Book Value 15.749
City Jacksonville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.76
Current Ratio 7.59
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 14.915
Day Low 14.58
Debt To Equity 112.734
Display Name Dream Finders Homes
Earnings Growth -0.52
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.51
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,277,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,277,000
Ebitda 203,222,000
Ebitda Margins 0.04916
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.415
Enterprise To Revenue 0.758
Enterprise Value 3,132,666,368
Eps Current Year 1.13
Eps Forward 1.185
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.45
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.285
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5249996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.034347374
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -46.151043
Fifty Two Week High 31.495
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.735
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5313542
Fifty Two Week Low 12.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.5600004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20983611
Fifty Two Week Range 12.2 - 31.495
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,611,239,400,000
Float Shares 27,162,729
Forward Eps 1.185
Forward P E 12.455697
Free Cashflow -217,692,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,911
Fullday Change 0.39
Fullday Change Percent 2.71399
Fullday Price 14.76
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.1998
Gross Profits 825,932,032
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.1894
Held Percent Institutions 0.96756
Implied Shares Outstanding 90,535,118
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-01-21
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Dream Finders Homes, Inc., through its subsidiary, Dream Finders Homes LLC, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. It operates through four segments: Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Financial Services. The company designs, builds, constructs, and sells single-family homes, such as entry-level, first and second time move-up, and active adult and custom homes. It markets its homes under various brands, including Dream Finders Homes, DF Luxury, Reverie Active Adult Lifestyle by Dream Finders Homes, Craft Homes and Coventry Homes. The company also provides insurance agency services, including closing, escrow, and title insurance, as well as mortgage banking solutions. It sells its homes through its sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Long Name Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,336,298,368
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_549296186
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 133,191,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,300,989,645
Open 14.58
Operating Cashflow -138,446,000
Operating Margins 0.02409
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 904 644 7670
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 14.76
Post Market Time 1,787,961,312
Previous Close 14.37
Price Eps Current Year 13.061947
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9372024
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.3232666
Profit Margins 0.03549
Quick Ratio 0.534
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.39
Regular Market Change Percent 2.71399
Regular Market Day High 14.915
Regular Market Day Low 14.58
Regular Market Day Range 14.58 - 14.915
Regular Market Open 14.58
Regular Market Previous Close 14.37
Regular Market Price 14.76
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,300
Regular Market Volume 302,238
Return On Assets 0.03033
Return On Equity 0.09423
Revenue Growth -0.076
Revenue Per Share 44.841
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 32,808,965
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0708
Shares Short 6,424,569
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,088,857
Short Name Dream Finders Homes, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.4398
Short Ratio 9.42
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol DFH
Total Cash 203,494,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.243
Total Debt 1,817,112,960
Total Revenue 4,133,734,912
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.45
Trailing P E 10.17931
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.41665
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.6566505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.100912824
Type Disp Equity
Volume 302,238
Website https://www.dreamfindershomes.com
Zip 32,256