Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Jacksonville, United States | NYSE
8.44 USD
+1.02
(13.747%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Dream Finders Homes is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals, severe debt distress, and overwhelming bearish sentiment. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative operating and free cash flows, while revenue has contracted by nearly 8%. The balance sheet is precarious, carrying debt significantly higher than equity, and the recent initiation of an investigation by major law firms adds significant legal and reputational risk. The stock has already punished investors with a multi-year decline, dropping nearly 45% from its peak despite a recent earnings bump that failed to arrest the downward trend. Technically and sentiment-wise, the outlook is dire. The stock is trading well below its moving averages, and the options market is screaming 'sell.' There is a massive wall of put open interest at strikes below the current price, suggesting institutional and retail players are betting hard on further collapse rather than recovery. With no dividend to provide income and a high short interest indicating widespread skepticism, there is no margin of safety here. The combination of a shrinking business, a fragile balance sheet, and a hostile regulatory environment makes this a clear avoidance candidate. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.176920 |
| MSTL | 0.186450 |
| AutoETS | 0.192511 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.193147 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 73.66 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.238 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.36 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 112.734 |
| Revenue per Share | 44.841 |
| Market Cap | 764,116,352 |
| Trailing P/E | 5.94 |
| Forward P/E | 10.75 |
| Beta | 1.90 |
| Profit Margins | 3.55% |
| Website | https://www.dreamfindershomes.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 7.5, 10, 12.5) expiring in late 2026 and early 2027. Call activity is negligible and concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a lack of bullish conviction. Implied volatility is elevated for puts relative to calls, confirming a market expectation of continued weakness.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.63869864 |
| Address1 | 14,701 Philips Highway |
| Address2 | Suite 300 |
| All Time High | 44.38 |
| All Time Low | 7.3 |
| Ask | 8.44 |
| Ask Size | 500 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 3.0 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,933,520 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 964,973 |
| Average Volume | 964,973 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,933,520 |
| Beta | 1.904 |
| Bid | 7.98 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 15.749 |
| City | Jacksonville |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 8.44 |
| Current Ratio | 7.59 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 8.62 |
| Day Low | 7.84 |
| Debt To Equity | 112.734 |
| Display Name | Dream Finders Homes |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.52 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.51 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,414,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,277,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,277,000 |
| Ebitda | 203,222,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.04916 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 12.594 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.619 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,559,291,648 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.065 |
| Eps Forward | 0.785 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.42 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 12.463 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -4.0230007 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.3227955 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -63.869865 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 23.8 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.36 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6453782 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 7.3 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.1399994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.15616429 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 7.3 - 23.8 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,611,239,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 26,715,461 |
| Forward Eps | 0.785 |
| Forward P E | 10.751592 |
| Free Cashflow | -217,692,992 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,911 |
| Fullday Change | -0.13999939 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.6587607 |
| Fullday Price | 8.3 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.1998 |
| Gross Profits | 825,932,032 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.20231001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.96682 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 90,535,118 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-01-21 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Dream Finders Homes, Inc., through its subsidiary, Dream Finders Homes LLC, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. It operates through four segments: Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Financial Services. The company designs, builds, constructs, and sells single-family homes, such as entry-level, first and second time move-up, and active adult and custom homes. It markets its homes under various brands, including Dream Finders Homes, DF Luxury, Reverie Active Adult Lifestyle by Dream Finders Homes, Craft Homes and Coventry Homes. The company also provides insurance agency services, including closing, escrow, and title insurance, as well as mortgage banking solutions. It sells its homes through its sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida. |
| Long Name | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 764,116,352 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_549296186 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 133,191,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,052,923,421 |
| Open | 7.82 |
| Operating Cashflow | -138,446,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.02409 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 904 644 7670 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.13999939 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -1.6587607 |
| Pre Market Price | 8.3 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,792,151,100 |
| Previous Close | 7.42 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.924882 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.53590703 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.1848489 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03549 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.534 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 3.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.02 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 13.7466 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.62 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 7.84 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 7.84 - 8.62 |
| Regular Market Open | 7.82 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 7.42 |
| Regular Market Price | 8.44 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,094,402 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,036,784 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03033 |
| Return On Equity | 0.09423 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.076 |
| Revenue Per Share | 44.841 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 32,808,965 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0968 |
| Shares Short | 8,764,259 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,615,057 |
| Short Name | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.6078 |
| Short Ratio | 8.78 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | DFH |
| Total Cash | 203,494,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.243 |
| Total Debt | 1,817,112,960 |
| Total Revenue | 4,133,734,912 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.42 |
| Trailing P E | 5.9436617 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 15.1875 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.7475004 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.44427985 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,036,784 |
| Website | https://www.dreamfindershomes.com |
| Zip | 32,256 |