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DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Boca Raton, United States | NasdaqCM
3.77 USD -0.39 (-9.375%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 3.73 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:33 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:39 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is entirely speculative, resting on a binary outcome regarding the company's Solana treasury strategy. While the recent price action shows a staggering +2393% annual gain, the underlying fundamentals are catastrophic: the company is burning cash at an accelerating rate (-$98M free cash flow), holds negative equity (-$0.39 book value), and trades on negative earnings with a forward P/E of -7.6x. The massive upside bias in options pricing suggests traders are ignoring these insolvency risks in favor of a 'moonshot' narrative, but the lack of analyst coverage and the deteriorating balance sheet make this a high-risk gamble rather than a sound investment. With no dividend to cushion the blow and a history of extreme volatility, the long-term outlook remains neutral due to the fundamental fragility, despite the short-term euphoria.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.398913
AutoETS0.421502
AutoARIMA0.421507
AutoTheta0.461741

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 24%
H-stat 125.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.093
Excess Kurtosis -1.57
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Revenue per Share 0.584
Market Cap 122,980,376
Forward P/E -6.39
Beta -3.53
Previous Name Janover Inc.
Website https://defidevcorp.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, positioning heavy call volume and open interest at strikes significantly above the current price ($7.50, $10.00, even $25.00 for longer tenors). This aggressive upside skew contrasts sharply with the negligible put activity, indicating a market bet on a massive re-rating driven by the Solana treasury strategy rather than a fear of downside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.73837614
Address1 6,401 Congress Avenue
Address2 Suite 250
All Time High 53.88
All Time Low 0.481143
Ask 4.96
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,950,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,742,821
Average Volume 1,742,821
Average Volume10Days 1,950,920
Beta -3.53
Bid 3.0
Bid Size 2
Book Value -0.394
City Boca Raton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.77
Current Ratio 1.209
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 4.22
Day Low 3.742
Display Name DeFi Development
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,622,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,622,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -127,248,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.816
Enterprise To Revenue 15.316
Enterprise Value 231,140,672
Eps Forward -0.59
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -10.19
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.7079
Fifty Day Average Change -0.93790007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.19921835
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -73.837616
Fifty Two Week High 15.14
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.370001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7509908
Fifty Two Week Low 2.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.3299999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5450819
Fifty Two Week Range 2.44 - 15.14
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,690,291,800,000
Float Shares 23,231,914
Forward Eps -0.59
Forward P E -6.3898306
Free Cashflow -98,384,312
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 16
Fullday Change -0.42999983
Fullday Change Percent -10.336535
Fullday Price 3.77
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.97753996
Gross Profits 14,752,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20259
Held Percent Institutions 0.14107999
Implied Shares Outstanding 32,620,790
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,747,785,600
Last Split Factor 7:1
Long Business Summary DeFi Development Corp. focuses on building its treasury around Solana (SOL). SOL is a blockchain infrastructure platform. The company operates through two segments: Digital Asset Treasury and Real Estate Platform. The Digital Asset Treasury segment executes and manages its treasury policy for the purpose of purchasing, holding, and compounding its digital asset holdings through staking and operating its owned validators. The Real Estate Platform segment offers a technology platform that connects commercial mortgage and small business borrowers looking for debt to refinance, build, or buy commercial property, including apartment buildings and commercial property lenders. The company was formerly known as Janover Inc. and changed its name to DeFi Development Corp. in April 2025. The company. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
Long Name DeFi Development Corp.
Market us_market
Market Cap 122,980,376
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_669333252
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-18
Net Income To Common -199,119,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 187,732,646
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 4.17
Operating Cashflow -30,018,000
Operating Margins -6.89197
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 561 559 4111
Post Market Change -0.03999996
Post Market Change Percent -1.0610069
Post Market Price 3.73
Post Market Time 1,792,193,636
Prev Name Janover Inc.
Previous Close 4.16
Price Hint 4
Price To Book -9.568528
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.149253
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 0.066
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.39
Regular Market Change Percent -9.375
Regular Market Day High 4.22
Regular Market Day Low 3.742
Regular Market Day Range 3.742 - 4.22
Regular Market Open 4.17
Regular Market Previous Close 4.16
Regular Market Price 3.77
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,801
Regular Market Volume 1,943,987
Return On Assets -0.51837003
Return On Equity -5.8929305
Revenue Growth 0.669
Revenue Per Share 0.584
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 32,620,790
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.143
Shares Short 4,665,646
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,857,782
Short Name DeFi Development Corp.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1925
Short Ratio 1.85
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol DFDV
Target High Price 10.4
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 8.7
Target Median Price 8.7
Total Cash 6,285,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.203
Total Debt 120,564,000
Total Revenue 15,091,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -10.19
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.2347
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.46470022
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10973627
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,943,987
Website https://defidevcorp.com
Zip 33,487