DeFi Development Corp. (DFDV)Financial Services | Asset Management | Boca Raton, United States | NasdaqCM
2.84 USD
-0.16
(-5.333%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 2.80 -0.04 (-0.038%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 5:56 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT
The investment thesis here is built entirely on a speculative narrative rather than financial reality. While the company boasts a 'strong buy' recommendation and a target price of $7, the underlying fundamentals are catastrophic: negative earnings, massive debt loads exceeding equity by 12x, and a burning cash pile with no free cash flow. The recent 853% surge is a classic bubble formation driven by hype around Solana treasuries, not sustainable business growth. Short-term, the stock is trapped between a technical breakout and a severe lack of liquidity. The options market is screaming for a moonshot, with billions of dollars in implied value tied to deep OTM calls, but the underlying asset is fundamentally broken. This creates a dangerous environment where a single negative catalyst could trigger a collapse. Long-term, there is no case for holding. The balance sheet is a ticking time bomb, and the revenue growth is likely one-time accounting artifacts rather than operational scaling. The market has already priced in a miracle turnaround, leaving little room for error. This is a high-risk speculative vehicle suitable only for capital destined to be lost, not a core investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_106 ✓ | 0.185105 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.187217 |
| AutoETS | 0.188593 |
| MSTL | 0.191399 |
| AutoTheta | 0.201917 |
| MSTL_74 | 0.211964 |
| MSTL_74_106 | 0.346571 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_106
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 29% |
| H-stat | 0.22 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.583 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.37 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 1253.473 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.611 |
| Market Cap | 85,535,696 |
| Forward P/E | -6.17 |
| Beta | -4.06 |
| Previous Name | Janover Inc. |
| Website | https://defidevcorp.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:18 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a massive upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money calls (strikes $30-$40) and significant volume in OTM calls across all expirations. Conversely, put activity is concentrated in the money and at lower strikes, suggesting a hedge against volatility rather than a bearish bet on a crash. The skew indicates a 'lottery ticket' mentality where traders are betting on a continuation of the recent rally rather than a reversal.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.877551 |
| Address1 | 6,401 Congress Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 250 |
| All Time High | 53.88 |
| All Time Low | 0.481143 |
| Ask | 3.57 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 878,930 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 927,924 |
| Average Volume | 927,924 |
| Average Volume10Days | 878,930 |
| Beta | -4.058 |
| Bid | 2.15 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 0.346 |
| City | Boca Raton |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 2.84 |
| Current Ratio | 1.393 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 2.98 |
| Day Low | 2.79 |
| Debt To Equity | 1,253.473 |
| Display Name | DeFi Development |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,760,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,760,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,702,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,564,800 |
| Ebitda | -87,279,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2.371 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 15.036 |
| Enterprise Value | 206,939,696 |
| Eps Forward | -0.46 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -6.72 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 3.6151 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.7751 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.21440624 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -87.755104 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -29.16 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.91125 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.44 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.39999986 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.16393436 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.44 - 32.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,690,291,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 22,069,717 |
| Forward Eps | -0.46 |
| Forward P E | -6.1739125 |
| Free Cashflow | -87,293,792 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 16 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.97493 |
| Gross Profits | 13,418,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.22600001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.15066 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 30,118,205 |
| Industry | Asset Management |
| Industry Disp | Asset Management |
| Industry Key | asset-management |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,747,785,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 7:1 |
| Long Business Summary | DeFi Development Corp. focuses on building its treasury around Solana (SOL). SOL is a blockchain infrastructure platform. The company operates through two segments: Digital Asset Treasury and Real Estate Platform. The Digital Asset Treasury segment executes and manages its treasury policy for the purpose of purchasing, holding, and compounding its digital asset holdings through staking and operating its owned validators. The Real Estate Platform segment offers a technology platform that connects commercial mortgage and small business borrowers looking for debt to refinance, build, or buy commercial property, including apartment buildings and commercial property lenders. The company was formerly known as Janover Inc. and changed its name to DeFi Development Corp. in April 2025. The company. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida. |
| Long Name | DeFi Development Corp. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 85,535,696 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_669333252 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-07-13 |
| Net Income To Common | -156,400,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 85,385,111 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 2.98 |
| Operating Cashflow | -26,999,000 |
| Operating Margins | -20.72823 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 561 559 4111 |
| Post Market Change | -0.038100004 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.3415495 |
| Post Market Price | 2.8019 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,979,813 |
| Prev Name | Janover Inc. |
| Previous Close | 3.0 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 8.208093 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 6.214902 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.069 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.16 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.33334 |
| Regular Market Day High | 2.98 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 2.79 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 2.79 - 2.98 |
| Regular Market Open | 2.98 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.0 |
| Regular Market Price | 2.84 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 759,203 |
| Return On Assets | -0.47439 |
| Return On Equity | -23.984442 |
| Revenue Growth | 8.282 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.611 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Shares Outstanding | 30,118,205 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2068 |
| Shares Short | 6,227,152 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,666,571 |
| Short Name | DeFi Development Corp. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.2865 |
| Short Ratio | 5.63 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | DFDV |
| Target High Price | 7.0 |
| Target Low Price | 4.7 |
| Target Mean Price | 5.85 |
| Target Median Price | 5.85 |
| Total Cash | 6,375,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.212 |
| Total Debt | 127,779,000 |
| Total Revenue | 13,763,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -6.72 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.271425 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.4314249 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.54715234 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 759,203 |
| Website | https://defidevcorp.com |
| Zip | 33,487 |