Dauch Corporation (DCH)Consumer Cyclical | Auto Parts | Detroit, United States | NYSE
6.12 USD
+0.32
(5.517%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 5.83 -0.29 (-0.290%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 6:36 p.m. EDT
Dauch Corporation presents a classic 'value trap' scenario masked by extreme valuation metrics; despite a forward P/E of 6.5 and a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.24, the company is hemorrhaging cash with negative free cash flow of over $1.2B and a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 664%. The short-term rating is muted (2) not because of fundamental strength, but because the options market is betting on a violent, volatile mean-reversion driven by short squeezers, not organic growth. Long-term investors should exercise extreme caution: the analyst consensus targets a 50% upside, yet the balance sheet structure (total debt ~$4.25B vs $709M cash) makes the 'solid buy' rating appear dangerously optimistic until profitability is restored. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.234215 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.234666 |
| MSTL | 0.241595 |
| AutoTheta | 0.301594 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 12.08 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.078 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.90 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2008-12-03 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2008-12-03 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 664.391 |
| Revenue per Share | 49.296 |
| Market Cap | 1,448,890,880 |
| Forward P/E | 6.53 |
| Beta | 1.64 |
| Profit Margins | -0.34% |
| Previous Name | American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. |
| Website | https://www.dauch.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 6:36 p.m. EDT: Options flow reveals a distinct divergence between short-term speculation and long-term hedging. Near-term (May 2026) calls show aggressive momentum building at the $7.50 strike (Vol 156 > OI 80) with elevated IV of 0.76, signaling traders expect a breakout above current levels. However, the July 2026 put structure is defensive; while OTM puts dominate volume, there is massive Open Interest (2.0k+) built at the $4.00 strike (approx. -35%), indicating a hard floor expectation for bears. The skew in July IV (Puts 0.67 vs Calls 0.61) combined with high short interest (13% of float) suggests speculators are positioning for high volatility and a potential squeeze, rather than a linear crash.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-12-04 | 0.02 | 0.851064 |
| 2008-09-03 | 0.02 | 0.367167 |
| 2008-06-04 | 0.15 | 0.926016 |
| 2008-03-05 | 0.15 | 0.724586 |
| 2007-12-05 | 0.15 | 0.789397 |
| 2007-09-05 | 0.15 | 0.685338 |
| 2007-06-05 | 0.15 | 0.540277 |
| 2007-03-05 | 0.15 | 0.666947 |
| 2006-12-05 | 0.15 | 0.860631 |
| 2006-09-05 | 0.15 | 0.957699 |
| 2006-06-05 | 0.15 | 0.948767 |
| 2006-03-03 | 0.15 | 1.047696 |
| 2005-12-05 | 0.15 | 0.870805 |
| 2005-09-02 | 0.15 | 0.691455 |
| 2005-06-03 | 0.15 | 0.831335 |
| 2005-03-03 | 0.15 | 0.665157 |
| 2004-12-03 | 0.15 | 0.560658 |
| 2004-09-02 | 0.15 | 0.483918 |
| 2004-06-03 | 0.15 | 0.482610 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.8378378 |
| Address1 | One Dauch Drive |
| All Time High | 42.1 |
| All Time Low | 0.26 |
| Ask | 6.2 |
| Ask Size | 13,800 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,823,920 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 7,182,767 |
| Average Volume | 7,182,767 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,823,920 |
| Beta | 1.638 |
| Bid | 5.83 |
| Bid Size | 3,900 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 5.392 |
| City | Detroit |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.12 |
| Current Ratio | 2.946 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 6.28 |
| Day Low | 6.0 |
| Debt To Equity | 664.391 |
| Display Name | Dauch |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,770,994,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,770,994,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,770,989,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,777,638,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,777,638,600 |
| Ebitda | 687,299,968 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.11775 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 7.256 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.854 |
| Enterprise Value | 4,987,328,000 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.50312 |
| Eps Forward | 0.937 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.17 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,228,348,800 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.336 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.21600008 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.03409092 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 83.78378 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.13 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3383784 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.2 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.9199998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.91249996 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.2 - 9.25 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 917,620,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 5.48 |
| Float Shares | 231,855,191 |
| Forward Eps | 0.937 |
| Forward P E | 6.5314837 |
| Free Cashflow | -1,237,512,448 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 18,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.120699994 |
| Gross Profits | 704,499,968 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0241 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.79189 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 236,746,881 |
| Industry | Auto Parts |
| Industry Disp | Auto Parts |
| Industry Key | auto-parts |
| Ir Website | http://investor.aam.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=63076&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,228,348,800 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.02 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Dauch Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles. It operates through two segments, Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The Metal Forming segment provides range of products, such as engine, transmission, driveline, and safety-critical components for traditional internal combustion engine and electric vehicle architectures, including light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway vehicles, as well as products for industrial markets. It operates in North America, Asia, Europe, and South America. Dauch Corporation was formerly known as American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Dauch Corporation in January 2026. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan. |
| Long Name | Dauch Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,448,890,880 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_24704 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Name Change Date | 2,026-04-19 |
| Net Income To Common | -19,700,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,448,890,911 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 6.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 411,600,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01481 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.43 |
| Phone | 313 758 2000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.28999996 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -4.7385616 |
| Post Market Price | 5.83 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,123 |
| Prev Name | American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. |
| Previous Close | 5.8 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 12.164096 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1350148 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.24823801 |
| Profit Margins | -0.00338 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.175 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.09091 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.32 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 5.51724 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.28 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.0 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.0 - 6.28 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.8 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.12 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,003 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,740,075 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02428 |
| Return On Equity | -0.03276 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.002 |
| Revenue Per Share | 49.296 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 236,746,881 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1286 |
| Shares Short | 30,455,814 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 25,589,566 |
| Short Name | Dauch Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1313 |
| Short Ratio | 5.78 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MI |
| Symbol | DCH |
| Target High Price | 17.0 |
| Target Low Price | 6.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.155 |
| Target Median Price | 8.5 |
| Total Cash | 709,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.004 |
| Total Debt | 4,252,100,096 |
| Total Revenue | 5,836,700,160 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.17 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.1597 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.03970003 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.0064451243 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,740,075 |
| Website | https://www.dauch.com |
| Zip | 48,211-1198 |