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Dropbox, Inc. (DBX)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
29.58 USD +0.39 (1.336%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 29.58

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:53 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Dropbox is currently bifurcated between a stagnant business reality and a speculative short-term bounce. Fundamentally, the company is struggling; revenue growth has nearly stalled at less than 1%, and earnings are contracting. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing cash reserves, and the leadership transition adds uncertainty. While the forward P/E looks attractive compared to historical norms, it masks the lack of top-line expansion required to justify a premium valuation. The recent price recovery is likely a technical rebound off the lows rather than a reversal of the secular trend. However, the short-term outlook warrants a cautious lean toward the upside. The stock has been oversold relative to its 50-day moving average, and the options market is telling a story of 'selling the dip.' Traders are buying deep in-the-money calls as insurance against further declines while placing heavy bets on the downside at the 20-27 level. This suggests a floor is being established, making a tactical entry plausible for those willing to wait for confirmation of renewed growth. For the long-term investor, the absence of a clear growth engine and the deteriorating operational metrics suggest holding cash until the business demonstrates a sustainable path to profitability and revenue acceleration.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.128480
AutoTheta0.152256
AutoETS0.152257
AutoARIMA0.152257
MSTL0.159096

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 2.66
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.472
Excess Kurtosis -0.75
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Revenue per Share 9.924
Market Cap 6,901,033,472
Trailing P/E 15.99
Forward P/E 8.69
Beta 0.66
Profit Margins 18.71%
Website https://www.dropbox.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly lower scenario. Call volume is heavily skewed toward deep in-the-money strikes (15-18), suggesting a 'floor' play rather than a breakout bet. Conversely, put volume concentrates significantly at the 20-27 strike range, creating a dense wall of protection just below current prices. This distribution implies traders expect volatility but view the immediate downside risk as the primary catalyst, while the upside potential is capped by the heavy optionality at lower levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.07751942
Address1 1,800 Owens Street
All Time High 43.5
All Time Low 14.55
Ask 31.32
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,407,300
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,881,529
Average Volume 3,881,529
Average Volume10Days 3,407,300
Beta 0.659
Bid 28.01
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value -8.735
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 29.58
Current Ratio 1.232
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 29.84
Day Low 29.34
Display Name Dropbox
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,187,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,187,600
Earnings Growth -0.059
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.238
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,184,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Ebitda 838,899,968
Ebitda Margins 0.33213
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.468
Enterprise To Revenue 3.809
Enterprise Value 9,620,833,280
Eps Current Year 3.06648
Eps Forward 3.40553
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.85
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 26.9464
Fifty Day Average Change 2.6336002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.09773477
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.7519417
Fifty Two Week High 32.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.8200016
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08703708
Fifty Two Week Low 21.695
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.885
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36344782
Fifty Two Week Range 21.695 - 32.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,521,811,800,000
Float Shares 143,981,496
Forward Eps 3.40553
Forward P E 8.685873
Free Cashflow 816,437,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,113
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.79737
Gross Profits 2,014,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07756
Held Percent Institutions 1.2939999
Implied Shares Outstanding 233,300,649
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Dropbox, Inc. provides a content collaboration platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform enables individuals, families, teams, and organizations to collaborate for free through its website or app, or through a paid subscription plan for premium features. Its platform consists of various elements, such as unified home for content, global sharing network, and product experiences and integrations. The company serves customers in the professional services, technology, media, education, industrial, consumer and retail, and financial services industries. The company was formerly known as Evenflow, Inc. and changed its name to Dropbox, Inc. in October 2009. Dropbox, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Dropbox, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,901,033,472
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_49093148
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 472,600,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,810,045,943
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 29.5
Operating Cashflow 1,002,499,968
Operating Margins 0.2745
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 13.9
Phone 415 930 7766
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 29.58
Post Market Time 1,783,985,130
Previous Close 29.19
Price Eps Current Year 9.646239
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -3.3863769
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.732217
Profit Margins 0.18711
Quick Ratio 1.16
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.389999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.33607
Regular Market Day High 29.84
Regular Market Day Low 29.34
Regular Market Day Range 29.34 - 29.84
Regular Market Open 29.5
Regular Market Previous Close 29.19
Regular Market Price 29.58
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,166,169
Return On Assets 0.14205
Revenue Growth 0.008
Revenue Per Share 9.924
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 158,037,382
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.12100001
Shares Short 28,228,379
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 26,419,420
Short Name Dropbox, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.28620002
Short Ratio 6.9
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol DBX
Target High Price 32.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 26.16667
Target Median Price 26.5
Total Cash 1,288,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.524
Total Debt 4,008,600,064
Total Revenue 2,525,799,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.85
Trailing P E 15.989189
Trailing Peg Ratio 13.9
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.973425
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.606575
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09663493
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,166,169
Website https://www.dropbox.com
Zip 94,158