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Dropbox, Inc. (DBX)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
35.70 USD -0.18 (-0.502%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 36.03 +0.33 (0.927%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT

Dropbox presents a classic value trap scenario where the math looks attractive but the business reality is stagnant. While the forward P/E of roughly 10x suggests the market expects a turnaround, the company is currently delivering flat revenue growth and negative earnings growth. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing cash reserves, and the book value is technically negative due to accumulated losses. This structural weakness prevents a 'buy and hold' thesis, as the market has already priced in the lack of innovation and growth. In the short term, the stock is technically oversold relative to its moving averages, offering a potential bounce, but the lack of a clear catalyst makes this a low-conviction trade. The options market confirms this hesitation, with traders buying cheap insurance against a further decline rather than aggressively betting on a rally. Without a proven path to profitability or a massive strategic pivot, the stock remains a neutral hold for investors seeking capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.070380
AutoARIMA0.074773
AutoETS0.075773
AutoTheta0.076017

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 34.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.205
Excess Kurtosis -0.18
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Revenue per Share 10.433
Market Cap 7,762,701,824
Trailing P/E 19.83
Forward P/E 10.88
Beta 0.64
Profit Margins 17.49%
Website https://www.dropbox.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest walls at lower strikes ($25-$30) for October expiration, suggesting a fear of a significant drop. However, there is also notable volume and open interest in out-of-the-money calls ($40 strike), indicating a speculative bet on a rebound. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money puts relative to calls, reflecting asymmetric risk pricing where downside protection is prioritized over upside leverage.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.25983143
Address1 1,800 Owens Street
All Time High 43.5
All Time Low 14.55
Ask 38.14
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 3.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,926,110
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,932,941
Average Volume 3,932,941
Average Volume10Days 2,926,110
Beta 0.64
Bid 34.35
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value -9.96
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.7
Current Ratio 1.074
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 36.366
Day Low 35.63
Display Name Dropbox
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Growth -0.067
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.237
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda 830,099,968
Ebitda Margins 0.32790002
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.799
Enterprise To Revenue 4.197
Enterprise Value 10,624,301,056
Eps Current Year 3.04535
Eps Forward 3.28037
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.8
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.0372
Fifty Day Average Change 4.6628
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.15023261
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 25.983143
Fifty Two Week High 36.366
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.66600037
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.01831382
Fifty Two Week Low 21.695
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.005001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6455405
Fifty Two Week Range 21.695 - 36.366
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,521,811,800,000
Float Shares 128,539,030
Forward Eps 3.28037
Forward P E 10.882919
Free Cashflow 783,075,008
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,113
Fullday Change -0.18
Fullday Change Percent -0.501673
Fullday Price 36.0309
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.79732
Gross Profits 2,018,499,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08071
Held Percent Institutions 1.3121699
Implied Shares Outstanding 217,442,619
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Dropbox, Inc. provides a content collaboration platform in the United States and internationally. The company's platform enables individuals, families, teams, and organizations to collaborate for free through its website or app, or through a paid subscription plan for premium features. Its platform consists of various elements, such as unified home for content, global sharing network, and product experiences and integrations. The company serves customers in the professional services, technology, media, education, industrial, consumer and retail, and financial services industries. The company was formerly known as Evenflow, Inc. and changed its name to Dropbox, Inc. in October 2009. Dropbox, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Dropbox, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,762,701,824
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_49093148
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 442,800,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,804,015,595
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 35.88
Operating Cashflow 980,499,968
Operating Margins 0.26097
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 29.92
Phone 415 930 7766
Post Market Change 0.33089828
Post Market Change Percent 0.9268859
Post Market Price 36.0309
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 35.88
Price Eps Current Year 11.722791
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -3.5843375
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.0663226
Profit Margins 0.17491
Quick Ratio 1.01
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -0.501673
Regular Market Day High 36.366
Regular Market Day Low 35.63
Regular Market Day Range 35.63 - 36.366
Regular Market Open 35.88
Regular Market Previous Close 35.88
Regular Market Price 35.7
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 3,065,186
Return On Assets 0.15036
Revenue Growth 0.009
Revenue Per Share 10.433
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 142,295,014
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.11310001
Shares Short 24,595,557
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 28,644,593
Short Name Dropbox, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2967
Short Ratio 5.62
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol DBX
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 30.66667
Target Median Price 31.5
Total Cash 1,113,799,936
Total Cash Per Share 5.122
Total Debt 3,975,399,936
Total Revenue 2,531,599,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.8
Trailing P E 19.833334
Trailing Peg Ratio 30.8864
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 27.524475
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.175526
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2970275
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,065,186
Website https://www.dropbox.com
Zip 94,158