Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO)Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
21.38 USD
-0.06
(-0.280%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 21.34 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:55 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3 a.m. EDT
The Invesco DB Oil Fund is currently trapped in a defensive posture where the market is pricing in a continuation of the commodity downturn rather than a recovery. Despite the asset being up significantly over the last decade, the last three years of annual declines have crushed the long-term outlook, dragging the fundamental rating down to a weak '1'. The price action shows a recent bounce off the lows, but the options market tells a different story: traders are buying heavy insurance against further drops, suggesting they believe the oil price rally is fragile or temporary. The dividend yield of 2% is nominal for an energy fund, likely reflecting the erosion of the underlying asset value rather than robust cash flow. With the statistical forecast showing no directional edge and the options flow screaming 'sell', the short-term outlook remains neutral-to-bearish. Investors should view this as a speculative play on volatile oil prices rather than a stable income or growth vehicle. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.080269 |
| AutoETS | 0.085290 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.085529 |
| MSTL | 0.091890 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 2.96 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.289 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.11 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 4.24 |
| Forward P/E | 2138.00 |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive put volume and open interest relative to calls across all expirations. The 'put/call' ratio is heavily skewed toward selling insurance against a drop. While there is some speculative buying of deep out-of-the-money calls (likely hedging against a geopolitical spike like the mentioned Hormuz crisis), the overwhelming capital flow is into strikes below the current price, creating a significant resistance wall for any upward move.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.48% | 3.48% | 4.25% | 2.69% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | 0.428 | 3.479675 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.670 | 4.841040 |
| 2023-12-18 | 0.639 | 4.443672 |
| 2022-12-19 | 0.100 | 0.693001 |
| 2019-12-23 | 0.174 | 1.638418 |
| 2018-12-24 | 0.134 | 1.650246 |
| 2008-12-15 | 0.120 | 0.583090 |
| 2007-12-17 | 1.280 | 3.890577 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 55.65 |
| All Time Low | 5.11 |
| Ask | 22.0 |
| Ask Size | 500 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 293,120 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 483,366 |
| Average Volume | 483,366 |
| Average Volume10Days | 293,120 |
| Beta3 Year | 1.86 |
| Bid | 21.42 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Book Value | 12.192 |
| Category | Commodities Focused |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 21.44 |
| Day Low | 21.18 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0 |
| Eps Forward | 0.01 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.04 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 19.9892 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.3907986 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0695775 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 53.691757 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 23.98 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.6000004 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.1084237 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.89 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 9.489999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7981496 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.89 - 23.98 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,168,007,400,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | 0.1423827 |
| Forward P E | 2,138.0 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fullday Change | -0.0600014 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.279857 |
| Fullday Price | 21.34 |
| Fund Family | Invesco |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,167,955,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The single index Commodity consists of Light, Sweet Crude Oil (WTI). The fund invests in futures contracts in an attempt to track its corresponding index. |
| Long Name | Invesco DB Oil Fund |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_30853700 |
| Nav Price | 21.15 |
| Net Assets | 257,096,848.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.75 |
| Open | 21.45 |
| Phone | (800) 983-0903 |
| Post Market Change | -0.03999901 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.1870861 |
| Post Market Price | 21.34 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,342 |
| Previous Close | 21.44 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.7536088 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0600014 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.279857 |
| Regular Market Day High | 21.44 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 21.18 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 21.18 - 21.44 |
| Regular Market Open | 21.45 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 21.44 |
| Regular Market Price | 21.38 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 171,510 |
| Shares Outstanding | 28,600,000 |
| Short Name | Invesco DB Oil Fund |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | DBO |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.1425271 |
| Total Assets | 257,096,848 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.428 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.019962687 |
| Trailing P E | 4.2420635 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -3.8996 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -3.8996 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 17.6395 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 3.7404995 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.21205246 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 171,510 |
| Yield | 0.02 |
| Ytd Return | 75.88187 |