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Day One Biopharmaceuticals Inc (DAWN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Brisbane, United States |
USD

Short-term:★★★★★Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:11 a.m. UTC

The investment thesis has completely shifted from a speculative biotech play to a definitive arbitrage opportunity driven by the announced acquisition by Servier. The stock is trading at exactly the target price of $21.50, reflecting the market's immediate pricing of the $2.5 billion deal, which represents a 68% premium. While the company's fundamentals are deteriorating—evidenced by a 55% drop in revenue last year, negative free cash flow, and a multi-year price trajectory that has lost nearly 68% of its value—the imminent merger provides a clear, high-conviction near-term catalyst. The lack of a dividend is irrelevant given the capital structure change. Investors should view this as a momentum play to capture the remaining upside from the deal closing rather than a traditional equity investment in the company's standalone operations.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.160707
AutoTheta0.187950
AutoETS0.368543
MSTL0.374428

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 0.24
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.681
Excess Kurtosis -0.55
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.633
Revenue per Share 1.533
Market Cap 2,224,784,640
Forward P/E -504.10
Beta -1.75
Profit Margins -67.85%
Website https://dayonebio.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.8783422
Address1 1,800 Sierra Point Parkway
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 28.699
All Time Low 5.44
Ask 27.5
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,339,586
Average Volume 3,997,528
Average Volume10Days 1,339,586
Beta -1.748
Bid 15.47
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 4.284
City Brisbane
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Currency USD
Current Price 21.53
Current Ratio 8.015
Date Short Interest 1,776,211,200
Day High 21.53
Day Low 21.49
Debt To Equity 0.633
Ebitda -124,274,000
Ebitda Margins -0.78564
Enterprise To Ebitda -14.369
Enterprise To Revenue 11.289
Enterprise Value 1,785,679,232
Exchange NMS
Exchange Timezone Name UTC
Fifty Day Average 18.6268
Fifty Two Week High 21.53
Fifty Two Week Low 5.635
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Epoch Utc 1,622,122,200
Float Shares 71,347,715
Forward Eps -0.12125
Forward P E -504.09744
Free Cashflow -61,958,752
Full Time Employees 178
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.8912
Gross Profits 140,972,000
Held Percent Insiders 0.16820998
Held Percent Institutions 0.83489
Implied Shares Outstanding 103,334,169
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Day One Biopharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the identification, development, and commercialization of medicines for childhood and adult diseases with equal intensity in the United States. The company's lead product candidate is tovorafenib, an oral and brain-penetrant type II rapidly accelerated fibrosarcoma kinase inhibitor that is in Phase II clinical trial for pediatric patients with relapsed or refractory low-grade glioma; and Ipsen, a frontline raf-altered pLGG which is in Phase III clinical trial stage. It is also developing DAY301, a PTK7 targeted ADC composed of a novel humanized anti-PTK7 immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody conjugated with a topoisomerase I inhibitor via a highly stable and hydrophilic modified valine-alanine (VA) cleavable linker for the treatment of patients with advanced solid tumors; and Emi-Le, an antibody-drug conjugate that targets B7- H4 conjugated to an auristatin anti-tubulin payload as a component of a proprietary linker-payload platform developed by Mersana Therapeutics that is in Phase 1 clinicla trial for the treatment of breast cancer, ovarian cancer, endometrial cancer, and adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC). Day One Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California. As of April 22, 2026, Day One Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Servier Pharmaceuticals LLC.
Long Name Day One Biopharmaceuticals Inc
Market Cap 2,224,784,640
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_704589075
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -107,322,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,224,784,658
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 21.49
Operating Cashflow -103,757,000
Operating Margins -0.51115
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 484 0899
Previous Close 0.0
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.025677
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.064714
Profit Margins -0.67847
Quick Ratio 7.73
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Regular Market Day High 21.53
Regular Market Day Low 21.49
Regular Market Open 21.49
Regular Market Previous Close 0.0
Regular Market Volume 2,671,205
Return On Assets -0.14642
Return On Equity -0.2274
Revenue Growth 0.839
Revenue Per Share 1.533
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1982081
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 103,334,169
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0637
Shares Short 6,579,076
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,773,360,000
Shares Short Prior Month 8,091,418
Short Name Day One Biopharmaceuticals, Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.0749
Short Ratio 2.79
State CA
Symbol DAWN
Target High Price 21.5
Target Low Price 21.5
Target Mean Price 21.5
Target Median Price 21.5
Time Zone Full Name America/New_York
Time Zone Short Name EDT
Total Cash 441,112,992
Total Cash Per Share 4.27
Total Debt 2,793,000
Total Revenue 158,182,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield NaN
Trailing Eps -1.04
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Two Hundred Day Average 10.955325
Underlying Symbol DAWN
Uuid a17405a3-1622-35cb-92a5-67defd12b1ed
Volume 2,671,205
Website https://dayonebio.com
Zip 94,005