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Carvana Co. (CVNA)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto & Truck Dealerships | Tempe, United States | NYSE
387.53 USD +25.29 (6.982%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4:01 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 387.60 +0.07 (0.018%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:44 p.m. EDT

CVNA is showing a high-beta, momentum-driven bullish bias where sophisticated capital is setting long-term downside floors at 365-400 while speculators are aggressively buying cheap OTM calls targeting rapid rallies, all while ignoring the company's zero dividend yield and deteriorating near-term earnings momentum.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.341178
AutoETS0.346849
AutoTheta0.494204
AutoARIMA0.573259

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 2.25
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.172
Excess Kurtosis -0.68
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 133.119
Revenue per Share 147.652
Market Cap 85,529,124,864
Trailing P/E 45.86
Forward P/E 36.74
Beta 3.61
Profit Margins 6.92%
Website https://www.carvana.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:44 p.m. EDT: Options flow indicates a dominant established long positioning with significant call Open Interest (OI) walls at 400, 500, and 700 strikes across near-to-distant expirations. Unusual volume spikes in calls below the 500 strike suggest active buying to protect recent gains, while OTM call IV remains elevated (up to 50% vs 13% ATM) on muted OI, signaling aggressive speculation on upside continuation. Conversely, deep OTE put flows are concentrated well below the current price (150-300 range) with 99%+ OTM positioning, indicating a long-only speculative bias. ATM IV is extremely low (near zero) for the near term, suggesting complacency regarding immediate volatility.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.9789103
Address1 300 East Rio Salado Parkway
All Time High 486.89
All Time Low 3.55
Ask 388.29
Ask Size 160
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,957,140
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,893,733
Average Volume 3,893,733
Average Volume10Days 2,957,140
Beta 3.614
Bid 387.25
Bid Size 160
Board Risk 10
Book Value 24.193
City Tempe
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,483,142,400
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 387.53
Current Ratio 4.311
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 398.12
Day Low 371.83
Debt To Equity 133.119
Display Name Carvana
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,498,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,498,200
Earnings Growth 9.467
Earnings Quarterly Growth 9.848
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,492,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,492,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,492,800
Ebitda 2,159,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.10624
Enterprise To Ebitda 27.262
Enterprise To Revenue 2.896
Enterprise Value 58,858,557,440
Eps Current Year 7.34984
Eps Forward 10.5491
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.45
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 331.5572
Fifty Day Average Change 55.97281
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.16881797
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 97.89103
Fifty Two Week High 486.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -99.360016
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20407076
Fifty Two Week Low 194.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change 193.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9973714
Fifty Two Week Range 194.02 - 486.89
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,493,386,200,000
Float Shares 139,988,525
Forward Eps 10.5491
Forward P E 36.735836
Free Cashflow 249,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 23,100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.20628001
Gross Profits 4,192,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02131
Held Percent Institutions 1.04824
Implied Shares Outstanding 220,703,240
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Disp Auto & Truck Dealerships
Industry Key auto-truck-dealerships
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
Long Name Carvana Co.
Market us_market
Market Cap 85,529,124,864
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_424080297
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,407,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 55,414,375,300
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 369.215
Operating Cashflow 1,036,000,000
Operating Margins 0.07567
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 602 922 9866
Post Market Change 0.070007324
Post Market Change Percent 0.018065007
Post Market Price 387.6
Post Market Time 1,776,470,393
Previous Close 362.24
Price Eps Current Year 52.72632
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 16.018269
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.208696
Profit Margins 0.06924
Quick Ratio 2.016
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.96
Region US
Regular Market Change 25.29
Regular Market Change Percent 6.98156
Regular Market Day High 398.12
Regular Market Day Low 371.83
Regular Market Day Range 371.83 - 398.12
Regular Market Open 369.215
Regular Market Previous Close 362.24
Regular Market Price 387.53
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,072
Regular Market Volume 4,721,360
Return On Assets 0.1086
Return On Equity 0.67946
Revenue Growth 0.58
Revenue Per Share 147.652
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 142,993,769
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1084
Shares Short 15,493,564
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 13,255,405
Short Name Carvana Co.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1461
Short Ratio 5.32
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol CVNA
Target High Price 519.0
Target Low Price 300.0
Target Mean Price 423.04544
Target Median Price 435.0
Total Cash 2,812,999,936
Total Cash Per Share 19.708
Total Debt 5,594,999,808
Total Revenue 20,322,000,896
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 8.45
Trailing P E 45.861538
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 365.4531
Two Hundred Day Average Change 22.076904
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.06040968
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,721,360
Website https://www.carvana.com
Zip 85,281