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Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT)

Technology | Software - Application | Tinton Falls, United States | NasdaqGS
96.15 USD +0.25 (0.261%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 10:24 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT

CVLT presents a high-conviction asymmetric setup: cheaply priced relative to long-term targets (forward P/E ~20x vs historical >40x) with massive analyst upside potential (161% upside to mean target), while the short-term technicals are bottoming with a recent 10%+ rebound off the 52-week lows. The options market is aggressively pricing in a move to the 180-200+ range before year-end, treating the current 43% drawdown as temporary volatility rather than a fundamental break. This is a classic 'value recovery' trade.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.051107
AutoETS0.065421
MSTL0.084705
AutoTheta0.096876

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 1.84
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.90
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 424.464
Revenue per Share 25.936
Market Cap 4,239,672,832
Trailing P/E 50.08
Forward P/E 19.96
Beta 0.62
Profit Margins 7.58%
Website https://www.commvault.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT: Options flow shows significant bullish contrarian positioning. Call volume is heavily skewed towards OTM strikes (Oct '26 and Dec '26 expirations), with massive OI walls at 175, 200, and 240 strikes indicating a high strike target bias. However, Put walls are concentrated at much lower strikes (below 75), suggesting speculators have priced in a downside risk level below current prices. The Dec '26 data shows unusually high volume at 175 and 185 calls without corresponding OI, signaling active entry, while put volume is sparse relative to the upside thesis.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.35895723
Address1 1 Commvault Way
All Time High 200.68
All Time Low 7.35
Ask 122.32
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,582,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,246,004
Average Volume 1,246,004
Average Volume10Days 1,582,390
Beta 0.623
Bid 69.35
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 4.922
City Tinton Falls
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 96.15
Current Ratio 2.343
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 98.23
Day Low 95.03
Debt To Equity 424.464
Display Name Commvault Systems
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,379,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,379,400
Earnings Growth 0.667
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.613
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,379,400
Ebitda 108,941,000
Ebitda Margins 0.09498
Enterprise To Ebitda 37.734
Enterprise To Revenue 3.584
Enterprise Value 4,110,742,784
Eps Current Year 4.18357
Eps Forward 4.81667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.92
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 732 870 4525
Fifty Day Average 84.6882
Fifty Day Average Change 11.4618
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.13534117
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -35.89572
Fifty Two Week High 200.68
Fifty Two Week High Change -104.52999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.520879
Fifty Two Week Low 71.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 24.400002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3400697
Fifty Two Week Range 71.75 - 200.68
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,158,931,800,000
Float Shares 43,674,921
Forward Eps 4.81667
Forward P E 19.961924
Free Cashflow 247,072,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.81441003
Gross Profits 934,155,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00857
Held Percent Institutions 1.03394
Implied Shares Outstanding 44,094,362
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://ir.commvault.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=197582&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,743,379,200
Long Business Summary Commvault Systems, Inc. provides a cyber resilience platform for protecting and recovering data and cloud-native applications in the Americas and internationally. The company offers Operational Recovery, which provides backup, verifiable recovery, and cost-optimized cloud workload mobility to ensure data availability and granular recovery; autonomous recovery for automated disaster and cyber recovery use cases to deliver backup, replication, and disaster recovery for all workloads on-premises, in the cloud, across various clouds, and in hybrid environments; and Cyber Recovery for threat scanning to hunt for threats within backup data, cyber deception, and threat detection to provide early warning of attacks. It also provides Commvault Cloud's Cleanroom Recovery for organizations to be ready to recover by providing a clean, isolated, and on-demand recovery location in the cloud, as well as the ability to test their incident response plans and recover; and Commvault HyperScale X, an intuitive, easy-to-deploy and scale-out, and integrated data protection solution to support enterprises' transformations, such as legacy scale-up infrastructures, hybrid cloud, container, and virtualized environments. In addition, the company offers Commvault Cloud Air Gap Protect, an integrated air-gapped cloud storage target that enables IT organizations to adopt cloud storage to ease digital transformation, reduce risks, and scale; and Commvault's Compliance, which provides built-in reporting, auditing, and logging to help ensure data is not modified or deleted for legal and compliance purposes. Further, it provides Commvault Cloud Rewind to restore an organization's cloud application and data environment; and Commvault's Clumio Backtrack to revert objects and datasets stored in Amazon Simple Storage Service (Amazon S3), as well as professional and customer support services. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
Long Name Commvault Systems, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,239,672,832
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_26789
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 87,001,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,215,824,481
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 95.57
Operating Cashflow 189,450,000
Operating Margins 0.10087
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 3.17
Phone 732 870 4000
Previous Close 95.9
Price Eps Current Year 22.982765
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 19.534742
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.6961951
Profit Margins 0.07585
Quick Ratio 2.251
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.25
Regular Market Change Percent 0.26068822
Regular Market Day High 98.23
Regular Market Day Low 95.03
Regular Market Day Range 95.03 - 98.23
Regular Market Open 95.57
Regular Market Previous Close 95.9
Regular Market Price 96.15
Regular Market Time 1,776,781,462
Regular Market Volume 79,126
Return On Assets 0.041100003
Return On Equity 0.34485
Revenue Growth 0.195
Revenue Per Share 25.936
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 43,974,387
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0442
Shares Short 1,942,592
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,765,430
Short Name Commvault Systems, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.06
Short Ratio 1.79
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol CVLT
Target High Price 185.0
Target Low Price 100.0
Target Mean Price 136.46153
Target Median Price 135.0
Total Cash 1,026,345,984
Total Cash Per Share 23.34
Total Debt 919,945,024
Total Revenue 1,147,037,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.92
Trailing P E 50.07813
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 135.54575
Two Hundred Day Average Change -39.395744
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2906454
Type Disp Equity
Volume 79,126
Website https://www.commvault.com
Zip 7,724