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Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT)

Technology | Software - Application | Tinton Falls, United States | NasdaqGS
149.11 USD -9.80 (-6.167%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 149.11

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:12 a.m. EDT

The momentum is undeniable, with the stock trading well above its 50-day and 200-day averages following a recent earnings beat that highlighted resilient SaaS revenue growth. Options flow confirms this bullish sentiment, with heavy call positioning capping upside targets near 175 while traders hedge downside risks at lower levels. However, the long-term picture is clouded by a stark valuation disconnect; a trailing price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 100 times contrasts sharply with the forward estimate of roughly 25 times, reflecting the market's skepticism over current earnings contraction despite robust revenue expansion. While the return on equity is exceptional and cash generation remains strong, the earnings miss and stretched valuation prevent this from being a definitive buy-and-hold candidate at these levels. Investors should view this as a high-conviction momentum play with a cautious long-term stance, waiting for earnings to stabilize before committing capital at full price.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.045003
AutoETS0.104264
MSTL0.109988
AutoARIMA0.497099

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.440
Excess Kurtosis -0.33
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 1762.992
Revenue per Share 28.124
Market Cap 6,179,799,040
Trailing P/E 94.97
Forward P/E 24.06
Beta 0.79
Profit Margins 5.62%
Website https://www.commvault.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside continuation with significant call open interest walls at 160, 170, and 175 strikes, alongside notable volume at the 190 level. Conversely, put buyers are establishing defensive positions at lower strikes, particularly around 115 and 125, creating a floor for downside risk. Implied volatility remains elevated for December expiration puts, suggesting heightened uncertainty regarding near-term earnings or guidance.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.075567186
Address1 1 Commvault Way
All Time High 200.68
All Time Low 7.35
Ask 189.24
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 554,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 596,948
Average Volume 596,948
Average Volume10Days 554,660
Beta 0.792
Bid 114.19
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value 1.256
City Tinton Falls
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 149.11
Current Ratio 2.043
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 160.96
Day Low 147.04
Debt To Equity 1,762.992
Display Name Commvault Systems
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth -0.038
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.1
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 122,060,000
Ebitda Margins 0.100389995
Enterprise To Ebitda 50.529
Enterprise To Revenue 5.073
Enterprise Value 6,167,617,024
Eps Current Year 5.45474
Eps Forward 6.19684
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.57
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 732 870 4525
Fifty Day Average 142.9074
Fifty Day Average Change 6.202606
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.043402977
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -7.556719
Fifty Two Week High 177.81
Fifty Two Week High Change -28.699997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16140823
Fifty Two Week Low 71.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 77.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0781882
Fifty Two Week Range 71.75 - 177.81
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,158,931,800,000
Float Shares 40,882,161
Forward Eps 6.19684
Forward P E 24.062265
Free Cashflow 303,740,256
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,300
Fullday Change -9.800003
Fullday Change Percent -6.1670146
Fullday Price 149.11
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.81087
Gross Profits 985,891,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0088599995
Held Percent Institutions 1.1058899
Implied Shares Outstanding 41,444,564
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ir Website http://ir.commvault.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=197582&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Long Business Summary Commvault Systems, Inc. provides cyber resiliency solutions for enterprises to protect, secure, and recover data, applications, and identity system. The company offers Operational Recovery for backup and recovery capabilities in hybrid enterprise workloads, such as backup, restore, recovery validation, and policy-based data movement to cloud storage; Autonomous Recovery, which adds automation, orchestration, and validation intended to reduce recovery times, downtime, and operational complexity; and Cyber Recovery, which adds cyber preparedness, threat detection, and clean recovery features to help organizations respond to ransomware and other cyber incidents. The company also provides Commvault Cleanroom Recovery, an isolated and on-demand recovery environment in the cloud; Commvault HyperScale Grid, an integrated and scale-out data protection solution; Commvault HyperScale Flex, a data protection solution designed to support enterprise-scale environments and large-volume data workloads; and Commvault Threatscan to help identify and isolate malicious or anomalous data within backup environments. In addition, it offers Commvault Cloud Air Gap Protect for isolated cloud storage; Commvault's Compliance, which includes reporting, auditing, and logging; Commvault's Cloud Rewind for data recovery with automated cloud application and infrastructure rebuild capabilities; and Commvault's Clumio Backtrack to revert cloud objects and datasets to a prior point in time. Further, the company provides professional and customer support services comprising real-time support, support engineers, customer success options, technology consulting services, recovery services, education services, and cyber resilience managed services. It operates in the United States, Canada, and Latin America, as well as in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, India, Southeast Asia, and China. Commvault Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
Long Name Commvault Systems, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,179,799,040
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_26789
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 68,300,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,193,061,198
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 159.28
Operating Cashflow 264,668,992
Operating Margins 0.089499995
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 3.17
Phone 732 870 4000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 149.11
Post Market Time 1,792,180,867
Previous Close 158.91
Price Eps Current Year 27.335857
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 118.71815
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.082728
Profit Margins 0.05618
Quick Ratio 1.938
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.84211
Region US
Regular Market Change -9.800003
Regular Market Change Percent -6.1670146
Regular Market Day High 160.96
Regular Market Day Low 147.04
Regular Market Day Range 147.04 - 160.96
Regular Market Open 159.28
Regular Market Previous Close 158.91
Regular Market Price 149.11
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,801
Regular Market Volume 585,850
Return On Assets 0.04565
Return On Equity 0.32773998
Revenue Growth 0.114
Revenue Per Share 28.124
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 41,444,564
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0833
Shares Short 3,453,214
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 3,111,668
Short Name Commvault Systems, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.09770001
Short Ratio 5.93
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol CVLT
Target High Price 200.0
Target Low Price 130.0
Target Mean Price 163.49413
Target Median Price 160.0
Total Cash 929,836,992
Total Cash Per Share 22.436
Total Debt 917,654,976
Total Revenue 1,215,842,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.57
Trailing P E 94.97452
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 116.82635
Two Hundred Day Average Change 32.283653
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.27633882
Type Disp Equity
Volume 585,850
Website https://www.commvault.com
Zip 7,724