Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
519.19 USD
-16.41
(-3.064%) ⇩
(Oct. 16, 2026, 2:16 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case remains exceptionally strong, driven by a nearly 400% cumulative gain over the last nine years and a robust 16.7% return on equity. Despite recent quarterly misses and insider selling, the business fundamentals—characterized by dominant market share and sustained revenue growth—justify a solid buy-and-hold rating. The short-term outlook is mixed; while the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative, the recent price action shows resilience, trading near its 200-day average after a sharp dip. Options flow suggests a bullish bias for the coming quarters, with heavy call buying targeting higher prices, though the deep in-the-money put positioning indicates a fear of a deeper correction. With no dividend to rely on, the total return thesis depends entirely on capital appreciation, which appears well-supported by the company's structural moat. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.034163 |
| MSTL | 0.035627 |
| AutoTheta | 0.040265 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.049266 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 52% |
| H-stat | 1.55 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.325 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.09 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 3.702 |
| Revenue per Share | 294.875 |
| Market Cap | 3,992,260,608 |
| Trailing P/E | 22.58 |
| Forward P/E | 18.02 |
| Beta | 1.27 |
| Profit Margins | 7.89% |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move over the next few months, evidenced by significant open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 620 and 700) relative to puts. However, there is a distinct 'floor' strategy visible in December 2026, where massive open interest sits deep in-the-money at strikes 420 and 440, suggesting a belief that the stock will not fall significantly below these levels despite recent weakness. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term expirations compared to longer-dated strikes, indicating a premium for immediate directional risk.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.034119606 |
| Address1 | 3,636 North Central Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 1200 |
| All Time High | 713.01 |
| All Time Low | 8.63 |
| Ask | 537.15 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 117,320 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 109,626 |
| Average Volume | 109,626 |
| Average Volume10Days | 117,320 |
| Beta | 1.27 |
| Bid | 534.5 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 144.032 |
| City | Phoenix |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 519.19 |
| Current Ratio | 2.229 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 544.845 |
| Day Low | 517.805 |
| Debt To Equity | 3.702 |
| Display Name | Cavco Industries |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,517,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,517,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.154 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.181 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,304,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,304,000 |
| Ebitda | 252,831,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.110039994 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.418 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.697 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,898,081,792 |
| Eps Current Year | 22.5862 |
| Eps Forward | 28.81752 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 22.99 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 561.0848 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -41.894775 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.07466746 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -3.4119606 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 713.01 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -193.82 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2718335 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 443.34 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 75.850006 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.17108767 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 443.34 - 713.01 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,057,066,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 7,574,907 |
| Forward Eps | 28.81752 |
| Forward P E | 18.01647 |
| Free Cashflow | 163,879,120 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 7,700 |
| Fullday Change | -16.409973 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -3.0638487 |
| Fullday Price | 519.19 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.21886 |
| Gross Profits | 502,863,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01629 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.03721 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 7,689,402 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,774,656,000 |
| Last Split Date | 1,107,216,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments: Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. It also produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. In addition, the company provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Further, it offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured housing industry. The company distributes its products through a network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,992,260,608 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_258733 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,518,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 181,180,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,806,192,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,166,425,579 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 4 |
| Open | 537.62 |
| Operating Cashflow | 286,420,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.09846 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 45.77 |
| Phone | 602 256 6263 |
| Previous Close | 535.6 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 22.987045 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.604685 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.7375734 |
| Profit Margins | 0.07886 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.051 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -16.409973 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -3.0638487 |
| Regular Market Day High | 544.845 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 517.805 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 517.805 - 544.845 |
| Regular Market Open | 537.62 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 535.6 |
| Regular Market Price | 519.19 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,174,593 |
| Regular Market Volume | 44,911 |
| Return On Assets | 0.09636 |
| Return On Equity | 0.16658 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.095 |
| Revenue Per Share | 294.875 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16207206 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 7,689,402 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0446 |
| Shares Short | 342,764 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 354,992 |
| Short Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0546 |
| Short Ratio | 3.21 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | CVCO |
| Target High Price | 720.0 |
| Target Low Price | 600.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 665.0 |
| Target Median Price | 670.0 |
| Total Cash | 261,474,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 34.004 |
| Total Debt | 41,112,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,297,606,912 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 22.99 |
| Trailing P E | 22.583298 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 555.35785 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -36.167847 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.0651253 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 44,911 |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
| Zip | 85,012 |