Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
532.52 USD
-7.42
(-1.374%) ⇩
(April 21, 2026, 1:39 p.m.
EDT)
Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 1:40 a.m. EDT
CVCO presents a 'value trap' with deteriorating multisets (recent earnings miss, 19% earnings growth decline) and significant technical weakness (trading 30% below year-to-date levels and below key moving averages), despite a name-brand moat in affordable housing. The short-term outlook remains muted, trading near the put writing zone for April, while speculators are placing early bets on a substantial recovery only in the June expirations, pricing in a potential massive reversal that current fundamentals do not yet support. Until revenue and earnings growth stabilize, the 'Hold' from analysts is the most prudent stance. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.176300 |
| AutoETS | 0.187313 |
| AutoTheta | 0.187687 |
| MSTL | 0.197301 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 53% |
| H-stat | 3.00 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.170 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.29 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 3.816 |
| Revenue per Share | 278.098 |
| Market Cap | 4,156,338,944 |
| Trailing P/E | 23.15 |
| Forward P/E | 21.30 |
| Beta | 1.33 |
| Profit Margins | 8.37% |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 1:40 a.m. EDT: Options market sentiment is bifurcated by expiration. Short-term expiration (April 17) shows distinct put writing protection at strikes 500 and 520 (OTM positioning: 17 and 7 contracts respectively) against relatively low open interest in calls (5 OTM, 2 ITM), indicating a slight defensive bias against downside weakness within the next two weeks. However, the June 18 expiration reveals a strong bullish stretch: significant open interest concentration (20 calls) at the 700 strike (11.3% above ITM position level) and even more elevated volume (20 contracts) at the 700 strike specifically. This long-dated call positioning suggests a bullish thesis for a multi-month horizon, despite the immediate short-term technical weakness.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.12372792 |
| Address1 | 3,636 North Central Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 1200 |
| All Time High | 713.01 |
| All Time Low | 8.63 |
| Ask | 534.48 |
| Ask Size | 4 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 136,310 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 191,136 |
| Average Volume | 191,136 |
| Average Volume10Days | 136,310 |
| Beta | 1.332 |
| Bid | 532.4 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 139.883 |
| City | Phoenix |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 532.52 |
| Current Ratio | 2.485 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 548.97 |
| Day Low | 530.68 |
| Debt To Equity | 3.816 |
| Display Name | Cavco Industries |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,769,796,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,769,796,000 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.191 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.22 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,769,720,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,779,393,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,779,393,600 |
| Ebitda | 251,744,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.11429 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.85 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.811 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,990,235,392 |
| Eps Current Year | 23.86 |
| Eps Forward | 25.0 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 23.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 526.9502 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 5.569824 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.010569925 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 12.372791 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 713.01 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -180.48999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2531381 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 393.53 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 138.99002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.35318786 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 393.53 - 713.01 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,057,066,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 7,671,599 |
| Forward Eps | 25.0 |
| Forward P E | 21.3008 |
| Free Cashflow | 111,742,496 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 7,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.22257 |
| Gross Profits | 490,256,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01365 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.03942 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 7,805,038 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,743,206,400 |
| Last Split Date | 1,107,216,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. It also produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. In addition, the company provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Further, it offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured homes. The company distributes its products through a network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 4,156,338,944 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_258733 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,766,793,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 184,420,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,774,742,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,190,562,350 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 543.01 |
| Operating Cashflow | 238,764,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.098900005 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 45.77 |
| Phone | 602 256 6263 |
| Previous Close | 539.94 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 22.318525 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.806896 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.8868983 |
| Profit Margins | 0.08372 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.176 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -7.419983 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.3742236 |
| Regular Market Day High | 548.97 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 530.68 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 530.68 - 548.97 |
| Regular Market Open | 543.01 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 539.94 |
| Regular Market Price | 532.52 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,793,142 |
| Regular Market Volume | 74,454 |
| Return On Assets | 0.10065 |
| Return On Equity | 0.17184 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.113 |
| Revenue Per Share | 278.098 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.34445214 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 7,761,163 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0475 |
| Shares Short | 368,523 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 358,216 |
| Short Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0659 |
| Short Ratio | 2.43 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | CVCO |
| Target High Price | 600.0 |
| Target Low Price | 575.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 587.5 |
| Target Median Price | 587.5 |
| Total Cash | 241,892,992 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 31.167 |
| Total Debt | 41,566,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,202,736,128 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 23.0 |
| Trailing P E | 23.153044 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 539.3284 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -6.8084106 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.012623868 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 74,454 |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
| Zip | 85,012 |