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Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
561.83 USD +6.75 (1.216%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT

Cavco Industries presents a compelling case for a medium-to-long-term hold, driven by exceptional multi-year performance and solid fundamentals, despite a complete absence of dividend income. Over the last nine years, the stock has delivered a staggering +354% cumulative return, with eight out of nine years showing positive growth. This trajectory is anchored by robust operational metrics: an 8.2% revenue growth rate, 21.1% earnings expansion, and a healthy 17.6% return on equity. While the trailing P/E of 23.7x is not cheap, the forward P/E of 19.3x implies the market expects continued acceleration, which aligns with the company's ability to navigate the residential construction sector better than peers. The recent price action shows resilience, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a constructive trend. The lack of a dividend is a notable omission for income-focused investors, but given the capital appreciation potential, it does not detract from the investment thesis for growth-oriented capital. The primary risk lies in the cyclical nature of the housing market, but the company's fortress-like balance sheet and consistent execution provide a significant buffer against downturns.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.073483
MSTL0.078999
AutoETS0.081388
AutoARIMA0.081388
MSTL_1260.081464
MSTL_840.097686
MSTL_84_1260.101540

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 4.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.220
Excess Kurtosis -0.95
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.879
Revenue per Share 285.806
Market Cap 4,330,322,432
Trailing P/E 23.42
Forward P/E 19.11
Beta 1.28
Profit Margins 8.49%
Website https://www.cavcohomes.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is mixed and fragmented. Near-term expirations show heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (720/730), suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally. However, September expiration data reveals a massive concentration of put open interest at deep out-of-the-money strikes (280/410) alongside a significant spike in implied volatility for those far-away strikes, indicating a hedge against a severe crash or a 'long gamma' setup where dealers face risk at specific levels. The lack of consistent volume in these strikes suggests these positions are held by sophisticated hedgers rather than retail momentum traders.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3131472
Address1 3,636 North Central Avenue
Address2 Suite 1200
All Time High 713.01
All Time Low 8.63
Ask 561.36
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 92,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 131,140
Average Volume 131,140
Average Volume10Days 92,900
Beta 1.28
Bid 553.12
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 142.554
City Phoenix
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 561.83
Current Ratio 2.459
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 570.955
Day Low 556.615
Debt To Equity 3.879
Display Name Cavco Industries
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,469,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,469,200
Earnings Growth 0.211
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.169
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,393,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Ebitda 251,612,000
Ebitda Margins 0.1121
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.322
Enterprise To Revenue 1.83
Enterprise Value 4,106,924,800
Eps Current Year 23.95182
Eps Forward 29.39991
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 23.99
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 545.648
Fifty Day Average Change 16.182007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.029656494
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 31.314718
Fifty Two Week High 713.01
Fifty Two Week High Change -151.18
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21203068
Fifty Two Week Low 397.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change 164.45001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.41383564
Fifty Two Week Range 397.38 - 713.01
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,057,066,200,000
Float Shares 7,568,796
Forward Eps 29.39991
Forward P E 19.109922
Free Cashflow 138,809,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 7,700
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.22261
Gross Profits 499,649,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01609
Held Percent Institutions 1.0505201
Implied Shares Outstanding 7,707,531
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,656,000
Last Split Date 1,107,216,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments: Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. It also produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. In addition, the company provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Further, it offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured housing industry. The company distributes its products through a network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Long Name Cavco Industries, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,330,322,432
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_258733
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,656,000
Net Income To Common 190,551,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,192,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,277,371,403
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 564.0
Operating Cashflow 267,491,008
Operating Margins 0.08631
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 45.77
Phone 602 256 6263
Previous Close 555.08
Price Eps Current Year 23.456673
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.9411733
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9292995
Profit Margins 0.0849
Quick Ratio 1.134
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 6.75
Regular Market Change Percent 1.216041
Regular Market Day High 570.955
Regular Market Day Low 556.615
Regular Market Day Range 556.615 - 570.955
Regular Market Open 564.0
Regular Market Previous Close 555.08
Regular Market Price 561.83
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,201
Regular Market Volume 144,052
Return On Assets 0.0986
Return On Equity 0.1758
Revenue Growth 0.082
Revenue Per Share 285.806
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 7,707,531
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0581
Shares Short 447,832
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 457,377
Short Name Cavco Industries, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0712
Short Ratio 3.5
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol CVCO
Target High Price 700.0
Target Low Price 575.0
Target Mean Price 625.0
Target Median Price 600.0
Total Cash 252,954,000
Total Cash Per Share 32.92
Total Debt 42,789,000
Total Revenue 2,244,505,088
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 23.99
Trailing P E 23.419342
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 556.38885
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.441162
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0097794235
Type Disp Equity
Volume 144,052
Website https://www.cavcohomes.com
Zip 85,012