Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
555.08 USD
-12.18
(-2.147%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT
Cavco Industries presents a compelling case for a medium-to-long-term hold, driven by exceptional multi-year performance and solid fundamentals, despite a complete absence of dividend income. Over the last nine years, the stock has delivered a staggering +354% cumulative return, with eight out of nine years showing positive growth. This trajectory is anchored by robust operational metrics: an 8.2% revenue growth rate, 21.1% earnings expansion, and a healthy 17.6% return on equity. While the trailing P/E of 23.7x is not cheap, the forward P/E of 19.3x implies the market expects continued acceleration, which aligns with the company's ability to navigate the residential construction sector better than peers. The recent price action shows resilience, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a constructive trend. The lack of a dividend is a notable omission for income-focused investors, but given the capital appreciation potential, it does not detract from the investment thesis for growth-oriented capital. The primary risk lies in the cyclical nature of the housing market, but the company's fortress-like balance sheet and consistent execution provide a significant buffer against downturns. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.073483 |
| MSTL | 0.078999 |
| AutoETS | 0.081388 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.081388 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.081464 |
| MSTL_84 | 0.097686 |
| MSTL_84_126 | 0.101540 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 4.50 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.220 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.95 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 3.879 |
| Revenue per Share | 285.806 |
| Market Cap | 4,278,296,320 |
| Trailing P/E | 23.13 |
| Forward P/E | 18.88 |
| Beta | 1.28 |
| Profit Margins | 8.49% |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:56 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is mixed and fragmented. Near-term expirations show heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes significantly above the current price (720/730), suggesting a speculative bet on a sharp rally. However, September expiration data reveals a massive concentration of put open interest at deep out-of-the-money strikes (280/410) alongside a significant spike in implied volatility for those far-away strikes, indicating a hedge against a severe crash or a 'long gamma' setup where dealers face risk at specific levels. The lack of consistent volume in these strikes suggests these positions are held by sophisticated hedgers rather than retail momentum traders.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.2823249 |
| Address1 | 3,636 North Central Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 1200 |
| All Time High | 713.01 |
| All Time Low | 8.63 |
| Ask | 555.6 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 88,880 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 130,393 |
| Average Volume | 130,393 |
| Average Volume10Days | 88,880 |
| Beta | 1.28 |
| Bid | 553.12 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 142.554 |
| City | Phoenix |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 555.08 |
| Current Ratio | 2.459 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 571.07 |
| Day Low | 552.62 |
| Debt To Equity | 3.879 |
| Display Name | Cavco Industries |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,469,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,469,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.211 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.169 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,393,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,441,600 |
| Ebitda | 251,612,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.1121 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 16.116 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.807 |
| Enterprise Value | 4,055,058,176 |
| Eps Current Year | 23.95182 |
| Eps Forward | 29.39991 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 24.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 544.5514 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 10.5286255 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.019334493 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 28.23249 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 713.01 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -157.93 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.22149758 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 397.38 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 157.70001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.3968494 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 397.38 - 713.01 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,057,066,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 7,568,796 |
| Forward Eps | 29.39991 |
| Forward P E | 18.880331 |
| Free Cashflow | 138,809,504 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 7,700 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.22261 |
| Gross Profits | 499,649,984 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01609 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.05125 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 7,707,531 |
| Industry | Residential Construction |
| Industry Disp | Residential Construction |
| Industry Key | residential-construction |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,774,656,000 |
| Last Split Date | 1,107,216,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments: Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. It also produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. In addition, the company provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Further, it offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured housing industry. The company distributes its products through a network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 4,278,296,320 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_258733 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,656,000 |
| Net Income To Common | 190,551,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,806,192,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,277,371,403 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 570.485 |
| Operating Cashflow | 267,491,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.08631 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 45.77 |
| Phone | 602 256 6263 |
| Previous Close | 567.26 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 23.174858 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.8938227 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.9061202 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0849 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.134 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -12.18 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.14716 |
| Regular Market Day High | 571.07 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 552.62 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 552.62 - 571.07 |
| Regular Market Open | 570.485 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 567.26 |
| Regular Market Price | 555.08 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 84,065 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0986 |
| Return On Equity | 0.1758 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.082 |
| Revenue Per Share | 285.806 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 7,707,531 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0581 |
| Shares Short | 447,832 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 457,377 |
| Short Name | Cavco Industries, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0712 |
| Short Ratio | 3.5 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | CVCO |
| Target High Price | 700.0 |
| Target Low Price | 575.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 625.0 |
| Target Median Price | 600.0 |
| Total Cash | 252,954,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 32.92 |
| Total Debt | 42,789,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,244,505,088 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 24.0 |
| Trailing P E | 23.128334 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 556.39417 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.314148 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.002361901 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 84,065 |
| Website | https://www.cavcohomes.com |
| Zip | 85,012 |