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Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS)

Industrials | Rental & Leasing Services | Kansas City, United States | NYSE
7.61 USD +0.35 (4.821%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.60 -0.01 (-0.013%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 6:20 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:36 p.m. EDT

CTOS is a distressed value trap with deteriorating fundamentals (negative margins, rising debt) rallying on noise rather than recovery. The technical bounce is misleading given the -26.5% earnings growth and persistent losses; holding offers no safety margin, and there are no share buybacks or dividends to offset the capital risk. Avoid until profitability and debt structure stabilize.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.066524
AutoTheta0.069859
AutoARIMA0.070318
AutoETS0.070318

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.71
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.589
Excess Kurtosis -0.42
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 298.787
Revenue per Share 8.565
Market Cap 1,724,623,232
Forward P/E 36.24
Beta 1.12
Profit Margins -1.60%
Website https://www.customtruck.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:36 p.m. EDT: Options flow indicates negligible speculative interest. Owned call volume is concentrated slightly in-the-money (7.5 strike) with low implied volatility (0.63), showing minimal short-term upside positioning. Put volume is sparse but skewed toward December expirations at the 5.0 strike, with slightly elevated IV (1.28), suggesting a low-level hedge against earnings-related volatility rather than a bearish dump. The discrepancy between the 30-day forecast (which predicts a -3.7% move) and the current price action shows mixed sentiment; speculators are not aggressively betting on the downside despite the forecast, nor are they rallying on the recent price lift.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0239363
Address1 7,701 Independence Avenue
All Time High 11.36
All Time Low 1.38
Ask 7.62
Ask Size 2,000
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 749,530
Average Daily Volume3 Month 840,260
Average Volume 840,260
Average Volume10Days 749,530
Beta 1.12
Bid 7.1
Bid Size 2,900
Board Risk 10
Book Value 3.57
City Kansas City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.61
Current Ratio 1.327
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 7.675
Day Low 7.4
Debt To Equity 298.787
Display Name Custom Truck One Source
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,381,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,381,200
Earnings Growth -0.265
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.243
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,320,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,320,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,320,000
Ebitda 189,827,008
Ebitda Margins 0.09765001
Enterprise To Ebitda 21.787
Enterprise To Revenue 2.128
Enterprise Value 4,135,847,168
Eps Current Year 0.08
Eps Forward 0.21
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.812
Fifty Day Average Change 0.79800034
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11714627
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 102.39363
Fifty Two Week High 7.75
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.13999987
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.018064499
Fifty Two Week Low 3.505
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.105
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.171184
Fifty Two Week Range 3.505 - 7.75
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,507,555,800,000
Float Shares 59,183,360
Forward Eps 0.21
Forward P E 36.2381
Free Cashflow 158,113,872
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.21188
Gross Profits 411,892,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04847
Held Percent Institutions 0.96584
Implied Shares Outstanding 226,625,924
Industry Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Disp Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Key rental-leasing-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, forestry, waste management, and other infrastructure-related industries in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: Specialty Equipment Rentals (SER); and Specialty Truck Equipment and Manufacturing (STEM). The company owns new and used specialty equipment, including truck-mounted aerial lifts, cranes, service trucks, dump trucks, trailers, digger derricks, and other machinery and equipment. It offers new equipment for sale to be used for end-markets, which can be modified to meet customers specific needs. In addition, the company provides truck and equipment maintenance and repair services; and rents and sells specialized tools, including stringing blocks, insulated hot stick, and rigging equipment, as well as sale of specialized aftermarket parts. The company was formerly known as Nesco Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Custom Truck One Source, Inc. in April 2021. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
Long Name Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,724,623,232
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_609585883
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -31,052,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,724,623,281
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 7.39
Operating Cashflow 310,112,000
Operating Margins 0.106800005
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 816 241 4888
Post Market Change -0.012578964
Post Market Change Percent -0.16529518
Post Market Price 7.597421
Post Market Time 1,776,464,401
Previous Close 7.26
Price Eps Current Year 95.125
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1316528
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8871715
Profit Margins -0.01597
Quick Ratio 0.241
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.35
Regular Market Change Percent 4.82094
Regular Market Day High 7.675
Regular Market Day Low 7.4
Regular Market Day Range 7.4 - 7.675
Regular Market Open 7.39
Regular Market Previous Close 7.26
Regular Market Price 7.61
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,003
Regular Market Volume 544,023
Return On Assets 0.02549
Return On Equity -0.03718
Revenue Growth 0.014
Revenue Per Share 8.565
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 226,625,924
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0087
Shares Short 1,961,641
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,758,769
Short Name Custom Truck One Source, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0328
Short Ratio 2.26
Source Interval 15
State MO
Symbol CTOS
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 7.66667
Target Median Price 8.0
Total Cash 6,273,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.028
Total Debt 2,417,497,088
Total Revenue 1,943,956,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.14
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.20965
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.4003501
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22551192
Type Disp Equity
Volume 544,023
Website https://www.customtruck.com
Zip 64,125