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CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO)

Real Estate | REIT - Diversified | Winter Park, United States | NYSE
21.57 USD +0.13 (0.606%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.60 +0.03 (0.139%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:10 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fractured by a critical mismatch between the headline yield and the company's ability to sustain it. The 6.9% dividend yield is a trap; the payout ratio of 110% indicates the company is distributing more cash than it earns, burning through reserves to maintain the check. This is confirmed by the weak return on equity of just 8.5%, suggesting capital is not generating efficient returns. While the stock has recovered significantly over the last decade and recent earnings beats offer some temporary relief, the fundamental engine is struggling to grow revenue meaningfully against debt obligations. The options market reflects this anxiety, with traders buying protection rather than betting on a rally. Until the payout ratio drops below 100% and free cash flow covers the dividend comfortably, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core income investment.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.024406
AutoARIMA0.026194
AutoETS0.026196
MSTL0.030983

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 66%
H-stat 0.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.189
Excess Kurtosis 0.33
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 99.351
Revenue per Share 4.869
Market Cap 808,561,280
Trailing P/E 15.52
Forward P/E 34.79
Beta 0.64
Profit Margins 32.63%
Website https://www.ctoreit.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume relative to calls, particularly in the November expiration where out-of-the-money puts dominate open interest. While ATM call interest exists, the skew suggests a fear of downside volatility rather than a bullish breakout, despite the recent price recovery.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.82% 8.28% 8.43% 8.14%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-11 0.380000 1.824292
2026-03-12 0.380000 2.012712
2025-12-11 0.380000 2.151755
2025-09-11 0.380000 2.291918
2025-06-12 0.380000 2.057390
2025-03-13 0.380000 2.104098
2024-12-12 0.380000 1.887730
2024-09-12 0.380000 2.009519
2024-06-13 0.380000 2.180149
2024-03-13 0.380000 2.280912
2023-12-13 0.380000 2.217036
2023-09-13 0.380000 2.280912
2023-06-07 0.380000 2.210587
2023-03-08 0.380000 2.230047
2022-12-09 0.380000 2.013778
2022-09-09 0.380000 1.868240
2022-06-08 0.373333 1.764334
2022-03-09 0.360000 1.702396
2021-12-08 0.333333 1.809298
2021-09-08 0.333333 1.827484
2021-06-18 0.333333 1.923815
2021-03-19 0.333333 1.917544
2020-11-18 0.394333 2.832174
2020-11-13 0.271444 1.963093
2020-08-14 0.108578 0.904162
2020-05-08 0.067861 0.586579
2020-02-21 0.067861 0.393453
2019-11-08 0.035288 0.194438
2019-08-09 0.029859 0.177649
2019-05-09 0.027144 0.168916
2019-02-07 0.027144 0.166359
2018-11-08 0.021716 0.131431
2018-08-09 0.019001 0.110201
2018-05-09 0.016287 0.097074
2018-02-08 0.016287 0.092310
2017-11-09 0.013572 0.088856
2017-08-08 0.013572 0.089556
2017-05-08 0.010858 0.073168
2017-02-08 0.010858 0.075289
2016-11-08 0.010858 0.078173
2016-08-08 0.010858 0.082019
2016-05-06 0.010858 0.082323
2015-11-06 0.010858 0.076777
2015-05-06 0.010858 0.073558
2014-11-05 0.010858 0.076338
2014-05-07 0.008143 0.076625
2013-11-06 0.008143 0.081056
2013-05-08 0.008143 0.081674
2012-11-07 0.005429 0.062658
2012-05-08 0.005429 0.068518
2011-11-08 0.005429 0.072439
2011-05-11 0.002714 0.033631
2011-02-08 0.002714 0.033239
2010-11-09 0.002714 0.035008
2010-08-11 0.002714 0.036331
2010-05-12 0.002714 0.029090
2010-02-08 0.002714 0.033162
2009-11-09 0.013572 0.144548
2009-08-04 0.013572 0.132871
2009-05-06 0.027144 0.302110
2009-02-05 0.027144 0.324144
2008-11-04 0.027144 0.270705
2008-08-05 0.027144 0.252458
2008-05-06 0.027144 0.183517
2008-02-06 0.027144 0.196847
2007-11-07 0.027144 0.154725
2007-08-07 0.027144 0.144611
2007-05-08 0.024430 0.119554
2007-02-07 0.024430 0.119506
2006-11-08 0.024430 0.136986
2006-08-07 0.024430 0.149056
2006-05-10 0.021716 0.129662
2006-02-07 0.021716 0.123938
2005-11-08 0.021716 0.137224
2005-08-08 0.021716 0.102226
2005-05-10 0.019001 0.103244
2005-02-07 0.019001 0.149572
2004-11-08 0.019001 0.183968
2004-08-06 0.019001 0.185823
2004-05-10 0.016287 0.170458
2004-02-05 0.016287 0.194999
2003-11-06 0.016287 0.198024
2003-08-01 0.016287 0.242136
2003-05-02 0.013572 0.199997
2003-01-31 0.013572 0.253675
2002-11-01 0.013572 0.279325
2002-08-02 0.013572 0.296555
2002-05-03 0.013572 0.235845
2002-02-01 0.013572 0.250623
2001-11-02 0.013572 0.263848
2001-08-03 0.013572 0.228307
2001-05-03 0.013572 0.348427
2001-02-02 0.013572 0.344822
2000-11-09 0.013572 0.412365
2000-08-10 0.013572 0.416660
2000-05-04 0.013572 0.399994
2000-02-03 0.013572 0.425526
1999-02-05 0.095005 2.434771
1998-08-07 0.095005 2.187490
1998-02-05 0.095005 1.958033
1997-08-08 0.095005 1.958033
1997-02-05 0.081433 1.818177
1996-08-08 0.081433 1.739126
1996-02-12 0.067861 1.438848
1995-07-28 0.067861 1.886792
1995-02-02 0.054289 1.702133
1994-07-29 0.054289 1.600005
1994-02-01 0.040717 1.016959
1993-07-27 0.040717 1.071439
1993-02-02 0.040717 1.188130
1992-05-26 0.023073 0.653853
1992-01-02 0.031216 0.989245
1991-05-28 0.023073 0.650725
1991-01-02 0.031216 0.978721
1990-01-02 0.031216 0.585986
1989-05-25 0.023073 0.386368
1988-12-12 0.031216 0.666665
1988-05-25 0.023073 0.409643
1987-12-29 0.027144 0.588226
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.52
dividendYield 7.09
exDividendDate 2026-09-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.52
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.07089552
lastDividendValue 0.38
lastDividendDate 2026-06-11
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.2680776
Address1 369 N. New York Avenue
Address2 Suite 201
All Time High 24.497828
All Time Low 1.391151
Ask 21.69
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 378,670
Average Daily Volume3 Month 368,280
Average Volume 368,280
Average Volume10Days 378,670
Beta 0.639
Bid 21.58
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 2
Book Value 17.692
City Winter Park
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.57
Current Ratio 2.981
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 21.7399
Day Low 21.435
Debt To Equity 99.351
Display Name CTO Realty Growth
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Rate 1.52
Dividend Yield 7.09
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,330,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,330,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 99,119,000
Ebitda Margins 0.61526
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.663
Enterprise To Revenue 9.021
Enterprise Value 1,453,358,208
Eps Forward 0.62
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.39
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,998,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.7252
Fifty Day Average Change -0.15520096
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0071438216
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 26.807762
Fifty Two Week High 22.71
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.1399994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.050198127
Fifty Two Week Low 15.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.43132052
Fifty Two Week Range 15.07 - 22.71
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 7.97
Float Shares 35,966,918
Forward Eps 0.62
Forward P E 34.79032
Free Cashflow 36,497,376
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 42
Fullday Change 0.129999
Fullday Change Percent 0.606339
Fullday Price 21.6
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.74563
Gross Profits 120,121,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.040510003
Held Percent Institutions 0.68105006
Implied Shares Outstanding 37,485,454
Industry REIT - Diversified
Industry Disp REIT - Diversified
Industry Key reit-diversified
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.38
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,656,633,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality, retail-based properties located primarily in higher growth markets in the United States. CTO also externally manages and owns a meaningful interest in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., a publicly traded net lease REIT. CTO Realty Growth, Inc. was incorporated in 1902 and is based in Winter Park, United States.
Long Name CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 808,561,280
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_263465
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 45,054,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 803,688,133
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 21.54
Operating Cashflow 71,725,000
Operating Margins 0.25425
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 1.1014
Phone 386 274 2202
Post Market Change 0.030000687
Post Market Change Percent 0.13908525
Post Market Price 21.6
Post Market Time 1,787,960,739
Previous Close 21.44
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2191951
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.0190024
Profit Margins 0.32629
Quick Ratio 1.25
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.129999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.606339
Regular Market Day High 21.7399
Regular Market Day Low 21.435
Regular Market Day Range 21.435 - 21.7399
Regular Market Open 21.54
Regular Market Previous Close 21.44
Regular Market Price 21.57
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 283,304
Return On Assets 0.01841
Return On Equity 0.08497
Revenue Growth 0.165
Revenue Per Share 4.869
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 37,485,454
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0466
Shares Short 1,746,153
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 971,445
Short Name CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.048299998
Short Ratio 5.25
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol CTO
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 24.0
Target Mean Price 24.6
Target Median Price 25.0
Total Cash 14,127,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.377
Total Debt 658,876,992
Total Revenue 161,100,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.52
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.07089552
Trailing Eps 1.39
Trailing P E 15.517985
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.67365
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.896349
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09639029
Type Disp Equity
Volume 283,304
Website https://www.ctoreit.com
Zip 32,789