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CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
2.41 USD +0.18 (8.072%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT

The investment case for CytomX is currently defined by a stark disconnect between optimistic analyst targets and a deteriorating reality. While analysts project a mean price of $12.25, the company is fundamentally broken: revenue has collapsed by 92% year-over-year, and the business is burning through cash at a rapid pace with no visible path to profitability. The balance sheet, while currently liquid, cannot sustain this burn without dilution or a successful catalyst. The most critical signal is the overwhelming options activity. Traders are flooding the market with put options, creating a heavy hedge against a crash. This speculative positioning aligns with the grim fundamentals: the stock is trading at a premium to sales despite losing nearly all its revenue, and the recent price action shows a steady bleed lower, testing the 52-week lows. The statistical forecast model offers no help, showing zero directional bias due to the noise inherent in such a volatile, distressed biotech name. In short, the market is pricing in a failure scenario. Unless there is an immediate, miraculous clinical breakthrough or a major partnership announcement, the trajectory points toward further downside as the cash pile depletes and the stock gets re-rated to reflect its lack of commercial traction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.168919
AutoARIMA0.168920
MSTL0.169334
AutoTheta0.189818

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 45.22
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.198
Excess Kurtosis -1.29
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.888
Revenue per Share 0.1
Market Cap 525,137,280
Forward P/E -5.13
Beta 2.20
Website https://www.cytomx.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection with massive volume in out-of-the-money puts (over 4,200 contracts) compared to negligible call volume. This 'put wall' suggests a strong consensus expectation of a significant price drop within the next few months, likely driven by fears of further clinical trial failures or cash burn issues, despite the presence of some long-dated call buying.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.24687499
Address1 151 Oyster Point Boulevard
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 35.0
All Time Low 0.4
Ask 2.43
Ask Size 22
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,179,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,342,559
Average Volume 3,342,559
Average Volume10Days 3,179,550
Beta 2.204
Bid 2.42
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 1.386
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.41
Current Ratio 9.361
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.435
Day Low 2.25
Debt To Equity 1.888
Display Name CytomX Therapeutics
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,050,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,050,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Ebitda -86,211,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.326
Enterprise To Revenue 10.958
Enterprise Value 200,561,280
Eps Current Year -0.38876
Eps Forward -0.47023
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.51
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 650 351 0353
Fifty Day Average 3.0622
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6522
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.21298411
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -24.687498
Fifty Two Week High 8.21
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.8
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7064556
Fifty Two Week Low 2.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.21000004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09545456
Fifty Two Week Range 2.2 - 8.21
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,444,311,000,000
Float Shares 179,664,497
Forward Eps -0.47023
Forward P E -5.1251516
Free Cashflow -75,212,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 69
Fullday Change -0.08000016
Fullday Change Percent -3.3195088
Fullday Price 2.33
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 18,303,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00574
Held Percent Institutions 1.0448201
Implied Shares Outstanding 217,899,284
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. operates as an oncology-focused biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing potent biologics designed to treat tumor microenvironment. The company utilizes conditional activation platform technology for oncology biologics research and development comprising the validation of targets for antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), opening therapeutic window for novel T-cell engagers (TCEs) targeting solid tumors, and increasing the therapeutic index for immune modulators, such as cytokines; and PROBODY platform in preclinical research in areas outside of oncology. It also develops CX-904, a T-cell engaging bispecific antibody targeting the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) on tumor cells and the CD3 receptor on T cells; CX-2051, a conditionally activated ADC for optimizing the therapeutic index for EpCAM-expressing epithelial cancers, including colorectal cancer; and CX-801, an interferon alpha-2b PROBODY cytokine. In addition, the company's development pipeline comprises CX-2029, a conditional activated ADC targeting CD71; and BMS-986288, a PROBODY version of non-fucosylated ipilimumab. It has strategic collaborations with Amgen, Astellas, Bristol Myers Squibb, Regeneron, and Moderna; and clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Merck for the evaluation of CX-801 in combination with anti-PD-1 therapy, KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab). The company was founded in 2008 and is based in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 525,137,280
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_60504284
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -82,655,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 606,849,505
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 2.26
Operating Cashflow -82,408,000
Operating Margins -16.7708
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 515 3185
Pre Market Change -0.08000016
Pre Market Change Percent -3.3195088
Pre Market Price 2.33
Pre Market Time 1,792,144,339
Previous Close 2.23
Price Eps Current Year -6.199198
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.7388167
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 28.691322
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 9.264
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.375
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.18
Regular Market Change Percent 8.07175
Regular Market Day High 2.435
Regular Market Day Low 2.25
Regular Market Day Range 2.25 - 2.435
Regular Market Open 2.26
Regular Market Previous Close 2.23
Regular Market Price 2.41
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 2,985,207
Return On Assets -0.19584
Return On Equity -0.37752
Revenue Growth -0.924
Revenue Per Share 0.1
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 217,899,284
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1873
Shares Short 40,813,393
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 33,512,293
Short Name CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2125
Short Ratio 9.26
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol CTMX
Target High Price 16.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 12.25
Target Median Price 12.0
Total Cash 330,280,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.516
Total Debt 5,704,000
Total Revenue 18,303,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.51
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 3.97765
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5676498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.39411458
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,985,207
Website https://www.cytomx.com
Zip 94,080