Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA)Systematic Trend | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
30.15 USD
+0.71
(2.412%)
⇧
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 30.12 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 5:05 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:50 a.m. EDT
The Simplify Managed Futures ETF presents a classic case of a defensive asset caught in a yield trap. While the 5.27% dividend yield is attractive, the underlying business has failed to generate capital appreciation over the last three years, posting a cumulative decline despite a recent recovery in the latest fiscal year. The price action remains range-bound, struggling to break above key moving averages, which dampens any immediate momentum play. Options data confirms this skepticism, with traders aggressively buying protection at lower price levels rather than betting on a breakout. For investors seeking income, the yield is real but comes with the baggage of a stagnant asset class that hasn't proven its ability to drive share prices higher in the current environment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.043774 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.044477 |
| AutoETS | 0.044477 |
| MSTL | 0.045297 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 53% |
| H-stat | 4.62 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.601 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.62 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes below the current price, particularly for the December expiration where massive open interest sits at the 25 strike. This suggests a fear of a significant drop to lower levels. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated at higher strikes (32-37), indicating limited bullish conviction for a near-term rally.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48% | 4.94% | 6.30% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 0.130 | 0.481660 |
| 2026-07-28 | 0.130 | 0.493921 |
| 2026-06-25 | 0.130 | 0.494861 |
| 2026-05-26 | 0.150 | 0.502681 |
| 2026-04-27 | 0.150 | 0.487964 |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.150 | 0.510551 |
| 2026-02-24 | 0.150 | 0.502176 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.100 | 0.352609 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.100 | 0.365364 |
| 2025-11-21 | 0.100 | 0.372856 |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.100 | 0.371747 |
| 2025-09-25 | 0.100 | 0.356761 |
| 2025-08-26 | 0.100 | 0.360101 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.250 | 0.939496 |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.120 | 0.410256 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.738 | 2.653722 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.300 | 1.156515 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.150 | 0.561587 |
| 2024-03-25 | 0.150 | 0.600480 |
| 2023-12-26 | 1.635 | 6.919171 |
| 2023-09-27 | 0.100 | 0.361795 |
| 2023-06-27 | 0.100 | 0.394945 |
| 2022-12-27 | 1.111 | 4.268152 |
| 2022-11-25 | 0.150 | 0.536481 |
| 2022-10-26 | 0.150 | 0.511771 |
| 2022-09-27 | 0.150 | 0.501672 |
| 2022-08-26 | 0.150 | 0.518672 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 32.76 |
| All Time Low | 23.2 |
| Ask | 30.15 |
| Ask Size | 6,200 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 609,650 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 615,348 |
| Average Volume | 615,348 |
| Average Volume10Days | 609,650 |
| Beta3 Year | -0.11 |
| Bid | 30.11 |
| Bid Size | 7,100 |
| Category | Systematic Trend |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 30.255 |
| Day Low | 29.18 |
| Display Name | Managed Futures Strategy ETF |
| Dividend Yield | 5.27 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 28.78444 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.3655605 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.047440927 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 4.7602534 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.76 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.6099987 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.079670295 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 25.39 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.76 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1874754 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 25.39 - 32.76 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,646,749,800,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fullday Change | 0.6800003 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.3097837 |
| Fullday Price | 30.15 |
| Fund Family | Simplify Asset Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,646,611,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | Under normal market conditions, the fund invests in a portfolio of equity, U.S. Treasury, commodity, and foreign exchange futures contracts (collectively, “Futures Contracts”). Typically, it will not invest directly in commodity futures contracts. The Advisor expects to gain exposure to these investments by investing up to 25% of its assets in a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands (the “Subsidiary”). |
| Long Name | Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1761374927 |
| Nav Price | 30.1192 |
| Net Assets | 1,322,655,740.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.75 |
| Open | 29.47 |
| Phone | 614-469-3294 |
| Post Market Change | -0.02999878 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.09949844 |
| Post Market Price | 30.12 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,184,700 |
| Previous Close | 29.44 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.709999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.41168 |
| Regular Market Day High | 30.255 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 29.18 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 29.18 - 30.255 |
| Regular Market Open | 29.47 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 29.44 |
| Regular Market Price | 30.15 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 316,242 |
| Short Name | Simplify Managed Futures Strate |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | CTA |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.110380694 |
| Total Assets | 1,322,655,744 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 12.95267 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 12.95267 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 28.86421 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.2857895 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.044546153 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 316,242 |
| Yield | 0.052699998 |
| Ytd Return | 10.18691 |