Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA)Systematic Trend | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
26.58 USD
+0.70
(2.705%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT
The Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF presents a classic defensive trade with a heavy yield but weak momentum. The 5.14% dividend yield is attractive, yet the payout history reveals volatility; while recent checks are stable, the fund slashed distributions significantly in late 2024 and early 2025 before ramping back up, suggesting the yield is not entirely guaranteed and may fluctuate with strategy performance. Fundamentally, the asset is neutral-to-slightly-positive; it has recovered from a 2023 dip to post gains in 2024 and 2025, avoiding the severe 'multi-year decline' penalty that plagues many struggling assets. However, the technical picture is grim, with the price trading well below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend that has recently stalled rather than reversed. Options data confirms this pessimism, as traders have piled into deep out-of-the-money puts for September and December, betting on a continuation of weakness. For investors, this is a hold for income stability rather than a high-conviction growth or momentum play. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.059349 |
| AutoETS | 0.061248 |
| MSTL | 0.061725 |
| AutoTheta | 0.062474 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 56% |
| H-stat | 3.51 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.194 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.99 |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in September and December, suggesting a fear of a significant drop. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, indicating limited speculative appetite for a rally despite some new volume at higher strikes.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49% | 4.68% | 6.09% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 0.130 | 0.494861 |
| 2026-05-26 | 0.150 | 0.502681 |
| 2026-04-27 | 0.150 | 0.487964 |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.150 | 0.510551 |
| 2026-02-24 | 0.150 | 0.502176 |
| 2026-01-27 | 0.100 | 0.352609 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.100 | 0.365364 |
| 2025-11-21 | 0.100 | 0.372856 |
| 2025-10-28 | 0.100 | 0.371747 |
| 2025-09-25 | 0.100 | 0.356761 |
| 2025-08-26 | 0.100 | 0.360101 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.250 | 0.939496 |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.120 | 0.410256 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.738 | 2.653722 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.300 | 1.156515 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.150 | 0.561587 |
| 2024-03-25 | 0.150 | 0.600480 |
| 2023-12-26 | 1.635 | 6.919171 |
| 2023-09-27 | 0.100 | 0.361795 |
| 2023-06-27 | 0.100 | 0.394945 |
| 2022-12-27 | 1.111 | 4.268152 |
| 2022-11-25 | 0.150 | 0.536481 |
| 2022-10-26 | 0.150 | 0.511771 |
| 2022-09-27 | 0.150 | 0.501672 |
| 2022-08-26 | 0.150 | 0.518672 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 32.76 |
| All Time Low | 23.2 |
| Ask | 27.5 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 589,150 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 577,398 |
| Average Volume | 577,398 |
| Average Volume10Days | 589,150 |
| Beta3 Year | -0.17 |
| Bid | 25.5 |
| Bid Size | 1,300 |
| Category | Systematic Trend |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 26.7 |
| Day Low | 26.134 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.14 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 29.0866 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.5065994 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.086177126 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -5.9934616 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.76 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.1799984 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.18864465 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 25.64 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.94000053 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.036661487 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 25.64 - 32.76 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,646,749,800,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | Simplify Asset Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,646,611,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | Under normal market conditions, the fund invests in a portfolio of equity, U.S. Treasury, commodity, and foreign exchange futures contracts (collectively, “Futures Contracts”). Typically, it will not invest directly in commodity futures contracts. The Advisor expects to gain exposure to these investments by investing up to 25% of its assets in a wholly-owned subsidiary of the fund organized under the laws of the Cayman Islands (the “Subsidiary”). |
| Long Name | Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1761374927 |
| Nav Price | 25.8197 |
| Net Assets | 1,492,407,420.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.75 |
| Open | 26.16 |
| Phone | 614-469-3294 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.12000084 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.45147043 |
| Pre Market Price | 26.7 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,027,225 |
| Previous Close | 25.88 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.700001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.70479 |
| Regular Market Day High | 26.7 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 26.134 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 26.134 - 26.7 |
| Regular Market Open | 26.16 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 25.88 |
| Regular Market Price | 26.58 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 452,355 |
| Short Name | Simplify Managed Futures Strate |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | CTA |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.0835782 |
| Total Assets | 1,492,407,424 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -12.61839 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -12.61839 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 28.6023 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.0223007 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.070704125 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 452,355 |
| Yield | 0.0514 |
| Ytd Return | -2.4486 |