Constellium SE (CSTM)Basic Materials | Aluminum | Paris, France | NYSE
28.81 USD
-0.47
(-1.605%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:59 a.m. EDT
Constellium presents a classic value trap scenario where strong fundamentals clash with a deteriorating price trend. The business is objectively healthy, boasting a massive 45.6% return on equity, robust revenue growth of 24.4%, and a low forward P/E of roughly 10x. However, the market has punished the stock heavily, with the price down 25% year-over-year and just one year of positive returns in the last decade. This multi-year decline suggests the market sees significant risks in the aluminum sector or execution issues that current earnings haven't yet resolved. For the short term, the outlook is murky. The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, and the statistical forecast offers only a weak lean upward, which is insufficient to overcome the technical weakness. The options market reinforces this caution, with traders buying puts at deep discounts to hedge against further drops. Long-term investors might find the valuation attractive given the superior profitability metrics, but the 'sell' signal from the price history is too loud to ignore. The company has failed to generate consistent price appreciation despite strong earnings, indicating a structural issue in investor sentiment or industry dynamics. Until the price trajectory turns positive for several consecutive years, the risk of a value trap outweighs the appeal of the cheap valuation. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_79_105 ✓ | 0.037854 |
| MSTL_105 | 0.048425 |
| MSTL_79 | 0.062649 |
| MSTL | 0.063735 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.070403 |
| AutoETS | 0.071600 |
| AutoTheta | 0.072090 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_105
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 0.59 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.540 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.05 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 174.293 |
| Revenue per Share | 64.763 |
| Market Cap | 3,922,494,208 |
| Trailing P/E | 9.35 |
| Forward P/E | 9.91 |
| Beta | 1.55 |
| Profit Margins | 4.87% |
| Website | https://www.constellium.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $20, $25), suggesting a fear of a deeper correction. While there is some call activity at higher strikes ($35-$40), the imbalance in open interest favors downside protection, indicating the market expects volatility but leans toward a lower floor rather than an immediate breakout.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.0884452 |
| Address1 | 40-44 Rue Washington |
| All Time High | 36.99 |
| All Time Low | 3.38 |
| Ask | 30.3 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 8 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.4 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,179,800 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,150,204 |
| Average Volume | 2,150,204 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,179,800 |
| Beta | 1.554 |
| Bid | 28.0 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 8.219 |
| City | Paris |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | France |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 28.81 |
| Current Ratio | 1.393 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 29.545 |
| Day Low | 28.75 |
| Debt To Equity | 174.293 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 4.469 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 4.378 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,328,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,328,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,328,200 |
| Ebitda | 949,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.10626 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 6.075 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.646 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,765,494,272 |
| Eps Current Year | 3.058 |
| Eps Forward | 2.9068542 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 3.08 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 32.947 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -4.136999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.12556528 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 108.84452 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 36.99 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -8.180002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.22114089 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 13.04 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 15.7699995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.2093558 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 13.04 - 36.99 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,369,315,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 124,186,910 |
| Forward Eps | 2.9068542 |
| Forward P E | 9.911057 |
| Free Cashflow | -23,750,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 11,500 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.15317 |
| Gross Profits | 1,368,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.030030001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.92207 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 136,150,450 |
| Industry | Aluminum |
| Industry Disp | Aluminum |
| Industry Key | aluminum |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Constellium SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of rolled and extruded aluminum products for the aerospace, packaging, automotive, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense end-markets. It operates through three segments: Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products, Aerospace & Transportation, and Automotive Structures & Industry. The Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products segment produces and develops rolled aluminum products, including canstock and closure stock for the beverage and food industry, as well as foil stock for the flexible packaging market. This segment also supplies automotive body sheets, heat exchangers, and battery foil products for the automotive market. The Aerospace & Transportation segment provides aluminum products including plate, sheet, and extrusions to aerospace, space, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense sectors. The Automotive Structures & Industry segment offers structural solutions for the automotive industry including crash management systems, body structures, side impact beams, and battery enclosure components; soft and hard alloy extrusions for automotive, transportation, and general industrial applications; and profiles for rail and general industrial applications. This segment also provides downstream technology and services, which include pre-machining, surface treatment, research and development, and technical support services. It sells its products directly or through distributors in France, Germany, the Czech Republic, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, and the United States, as well as South Korea, Japan and China. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Paris, France. |
| Long Name | Constellium SE |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,922,494,208 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_184128240 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 435,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,986,485,176 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 29.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | 504,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.092650004 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.4 |
| Phone | 33 1 73 01 46 00 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.060001373 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.2082658 |
| Pre Market Price | 28.87 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,017,176 |
| Previous Close | 29.28 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.42119 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.5052927 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.43919986 |
| Profit Margins | 0.04871 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.542 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.4 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.470001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.6052 |
| Regular Market Day High | 29.545 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 28.75 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 28.75 - 29.545 |
| Regular Market Open | 29.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 29.28 |
| Regular Market Price | 28.81 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,083,691 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06969 |
| Return On Equity | 0.45651 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.244 |
| Revenue Per Share | 64.763 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 136,150,450 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0421 |
| Shares Short | 5,735,932 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,262,733 |
| Short Name | Constellium SE |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.042600002 |
| Short Ratio | 2.76 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | CSTM |
| Target High Price | 40.022816 |
| Target Low Price | 33.06183 |
| Target Mean Price | 36.97627 |
| Target Median Price | 36.92448 |
| Total Cash | 143,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.05 |
| Total Debt | 1,972,999,936 |
| Total Revenue | 8,931,000,320 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 3.08 |
| Trailing P E | 9.353896 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 24.0699 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 4.740099 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.19693056 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,083,691 |
| Website | https://www.constellium.com |
| Zip | 75,008 |