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Criteo S.A. (CRTO)

Communication Services | Advertising Agencies | Paris, France | NasdaqGS
19.48 USD +0.09 (0.464%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.29 -1.19 (-1.192%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 6:47 p.m. EDT

Criteo is a classic 'value trap' masquerading as a 'deep value' opportunity; the market is right to punish the stock for 33% quarterly earnings drops and negative revenue growth in the short term, but the valuation metrics (P/S 0.5x, Forward P/E 4.2) imply a significant mean reversion if the business can stabilize. While the near-term chart and options flow point to continued volatility with a heavy hedging bias, the long-term data suggests the current price is priced for bankruptcy rather than stagnation, creating a high-conviction entry point for patient capital willing to absorb the next quarter's headwinds.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.082827
MSTL0.083945
AutoARIMA0.093117
AutoETS0.093120

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.779
Excess Kurtosis -0.37
Attribute Value
Sector Communication Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 12.627
Revenue per Share 36.742
Market Cap 996,438,336
Trailing P/E 7.38
Forward P/E 4.22
Beta 0.36
Profit Margins 7.43%
Website https://www.criteo.com

As of April 18, 2026, 6:47 p.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying a split sentiment with significant bearish positioning near-term and bullish conviction long-term. The 2026-05-15 puts show intense new activity at the 17.5 strike (Vol 33 vs OI 8), indicating a defensive hedge or a short-term bearish bet against the current price of ~19.48. Conversely, long-dated 2027-01-15 calls are heavily weighted at the 20.0 strike (1.4k OI) and 22.5 strike (675 OI), suggesting a long-term bullish thesis targeting a breakout above current levels. The elevated Implied Volatility (ATM ~61% in near-term) reflects uncertainty, likely driven by the recent earnings miss, while the high OI concentration at the $17.5 put strike and $20.0 call strike establishes a tight range expectation for the next 45 days.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.34189188
Address1 32 Rue Blanche
All Time High 60.95
All Time Low 5.89
Ask 19.54
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 220,520
Average Daily Volume3 Month 462,561
Average Volume 462,561
Average Volume10Days 220,520
Beta 0.363
Bid 19.49
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 22.467
City Paris
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country France
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 19.48
Current Ratio 1.269
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 19.905
Day Low 19.18
Debt To Equity 12.627
Display Name Criteo
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,814,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,814,800
Earnings Growth -0.267
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.33
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,816,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,243,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,243,400
Ebitda 322,689,984
Ebitda Margins 0.16591999
Enterprise To Ebitda 2.455
Enterprise To Revenue 0.407
Enterprise Value 792,216,000
Eps Current Year 4.2704
Eps Forward 4.61265
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.64
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.2078
Fifty Day Average Change 1.2721996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.069871135
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -34.18919
Fifty Two Week High 35.103
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.623001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4450617
Fifty Two Week Low 16.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20619196
Fifty Two Week Range 16.15 - 35.103
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,383,139,800,000
Float Shares 43,641,159
Forward Eps 4.61265
Forward P E 4.223169
Free Cashflow 182,209,632
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,649
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.53955
Gross Profits 1,049,379,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03034
Held Percent Institutions 0.92946
Implied Shares Outstanding 51,151,867
Industry Advertising Agencies
Industry Disp Advertising Agencies
Industry Key advertising-agencies
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Retail Media and Performance Media. The Retail Media segment connects brands to shoppers at the digital point of sale through personalized ads that appear on retailer websites and across the open internet. The Performance Media segment encompasses commerce activation, monetization, and services that enable advertisers to reach and convert consumers across channels. It also offers Commerce Max, a suite of retail media demand-side tools that allow brands, agencies, and retailers to plan and buy media across retailer and open internet inventory with closed-loop, product-level measurement, and return-on-ad-spend optimization; Commerce Growth, a solution for continuous customer acquisition and retention for performance marketers and agencies; and GO, an AI-driven solution that automates campaign creation and optimization. In addition, the company provides Commerce Yield, which offers monetization solutions that help retailers and marketplaces maximize the value of their digital assets through inventory and data management, packaging, and in-depth insights; Commerce Grid, a commerce-focused supply side platform for media owner data and inventory monetization; and Criteo Shopper Graph, which derives clients' proprietary commerce data, such as transaction activity on their digital properties. It serves retail, travel and marketplaces, and other commerce companies. Criteo S.A. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Long Name Criteo S.A.
Market us_market
Market Cap 996,438,336
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_111853347
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 144,602,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 971,254,995
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 19.45
Operating Cashflow 311,236,992
Operating Margins 0.12958
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.89
Phone 33 1 75 85 09 39
Post Market Change -1.1924
Post Market Change Percent -6.12115
Post Market Price 18.2876
Post Market Time 1,776,459,076
Previous Close 19.39
Price Eps Current Year 4.5616336
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.86704946
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5123337
Profit Margins 0.07435
Quick Ratio 1.213
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.464158
Regular Market Day High 19.905
Regular Market Day Low 19.18
Regular Market Day Range 19.18 - 19.905
Regular Market Open 19.45
Regular Market Previous Close 19.39
Regular Market Price 19.48
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 225,899
Return On Assets 0.05827
Return On Equity 0.1318
Revenue Growth -0.022
Revenue Per Share 36.742
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Communication Services
Sector Disp Communication Services
Sector Key communication-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 49,859,086
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0214
Shares Short 1,065,370
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 860,783
Short Name Criteo S.A.
Short Percent Of Float 0.028099999
Short Ratio 1.96
Source Interval 15
Symbol CRTO
Target High Price 43.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 29.86364
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 365,280,000
Total Cash Per Share 7.326
Total Debt 149,722,000
Total Revenue 1,944,900,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.64
Trailing P E 7.3787875
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 20.84655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.3665504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06555284
Type Disp Equity
Volume 225,899
Website https://www.criteo.com
Zip 75,009