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YieldMax CRCL Option Income Strategy ETF (CRCO)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
12.63 USD -0.74 (-5.535%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 2:39 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★★⯪
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the severe disconnect between the headline yield and the actual capital preservation. While the reported yield exceeds 100%, the price history tells a different story: the share price has collapsed from roughly $49 to $13 over the last year. This suggests the distribution is likely driven by NAV erosion or aggressive option selling strategies rather than sustainable corporate earnings. The options market confirms this fear, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts while almost no one is betting on a recovery. The short-term outlook is bearish as the price continues to drift lower, testing the $11.70 floor. For the long term, this is a neutral-to-cautionary hold; the business model appears to be in a death spiral where distributions are consumed by the cost of hedging or liquidation, making it unsuitable for buy-and-hold investors seeking growth or stable income. The high yield is a trap for those ignoring the precipitous price decline.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.070876
AutoETS0.071216
AutoTheta0.108074
AutoARIMA0.190252

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 0.38
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.388
Excess Kurtosis -0.89

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 14, 16, 18) compared to negligible call volume. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for put strikes, indicating a market consensus expecting further price weakness or high uncertainty regarding the asset's survival. Call activity is sparse, with most volume concentrated at the money or slightly out-of-the-money, failing to provide a bullish hedge against the put-heavy skew.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.32% 96.89% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-15 0.177 1.323859
2026-10-08 0.180 1.399689
2026-10-01 0.180 1.362604
2026-09-24 0.228 1.581137
2026-09-17 0.237 1.759465
2026-09-10 0.317 2.177198
2026-09-03 0.265 1.592070
2026-08-27 0.303 1.927726
2026-08-20 0.227 1.556927
2026-08-13 0.221 1.619997
2026-08-06 0.223 1.813008
2026-07-30 0.215 1.721377
2026-07-23 0.234 1.861575
2026-07-16 0.209 1.664013
2026-07-09 0.227 1.688988
2026-07-02 0.179 1.346877
2026-06-25 0.263 1.845614
2026-06-18 0.314 1.897281
2026-06-11 0.324 1.893629
2026-06-04 0.427 2.266454
2026-05-28 0.425 1.890569
2026-05-21 0.413 1.735294
2026-05-14 0.530 2.098844
2026-05-07 0.481 1.986782
2026-04-30 0.367 1.802554
2026-04-23 0.296 1.328844
2026-04-16 0.281 1.175732
2026-04-09 0.357 1.785000
2026-04-02 0.308 1.450094
2026-03-26 0.543 2.347601
2026-03-19 0.713 2.381429
2026-03-12 0.663 2.340275
2026-03-05 0.590 2.173112
2026-02-26 0.206 0.884500
2026-02-19 0.230 1.316543
2026-02-12 0.231 1.375983
2026-02-05 0.228 1.506940
2026-01-29 0.266 1.334002
2026-01-22 0.299 1.406529
2026-01-15 0.342 1.484375
2026-01-08 0.370 1.530823
2026-01-02 0.401 1.605798
2025-12-26 0.494 2.000648
2025-12-18 0.225 0.906746
2025-12-11 0.461 1.706775
2025-12-04 0.608 2.269334
2025-11-28 0.459 1.805097
2025-11-20 0.512 2.273938
2025-11-13 0.650 2.218430
2025-11-06 0.815 2.396495
2025-10-30 1.078 2.635053
2025-10-23 0.891 1.988040
2025-10-16 2.480 5.445403
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 103.32

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 57.31
All Time Low 11.69
Ask 12.7
Ask Size 500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 95,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 98,376
Average Volume 98,376
Average Volume10Days 95,830
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 12.59
Bid Size 500
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 13.3887
Day Low 12.62
Display Name CRCL Option Income Strategy ETF
Dividend Yield 103.32
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.1249
Fifty Day Average Change -1.4948997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10583436
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -70.150925
Fifty Two Week High 48.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -36.34
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.74208695
Fifty Two Week Low 11.69
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.94000053
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.08041066
Fifty Two Week Range 11.69 - 48.97
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,759,239,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.7399998
Fullday Change Percent -5.5347776
Fullday Price 12.63
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,759,104,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will employ its investment strategy as it relates to CRCL regardless of whether there are periods of adverse market, economic, or other conditions and will not take temporary defensive positions during such periods. The fund seeks to generate monthly income, which is not dependent on the price appreciation of the Underlying Security. The fund seeks to participate in a portion of the gains experienced by the Underlying Security. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax CRCL Option Income Strategy ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1954721637
Nav Price 12.4646
Net Assets 50,890,608.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.01
Open 13.1454
Previous Close 13.37
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.7399998
Regular Market Change Percent -5.5347776
Regular Market Day High 13.3887
Regular Market Day Low 12.62
Regular Market Day Range 12.62 - 13.3887
Regular Market Open 13.1454
Regular Market Previous Close 13.37
Regular Market Price 12.63
Regular Market Time 1,792,175,972
Regular Market Volume 63,376
Short Name YieldMax CRCL Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol CRCO
Total Assets 50,890,608
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 25.70371
Trailing Three Month Returns 25.70371
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.915995
Two Hundred Day Average Change -6.2859945
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.33231106
Type Disp ETF
Volume 63,376
Yield 1.0332
Ytd Return 6.21996