Circle Internet Group (CRCL)Financial Services | Capital Markets | New York, United States | NYSE
61.15 USD
-1.83
(-2.913%) ⇩
(July 14, 2026, 9:59 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:22 a.m. EDT
The narrative here is one of a distressed asset finding a temporary floor, but the underlying business fundamentals remain deeply flawed. While the company recently secured regulatory approval to launch a US trust bank—a major milestone that likely drove the recent price surge—the financial reality is stark: the company is burning cash, reporting negative earnings, and showing a massive decline in quarterly earnings growth. The valuation metrics tell a cautionary tale; trading at a forward P/E of roughly 35x while generating negative free cash flow and negative ROE suggests the market is pricing in a complete turnaround that has not yet materialized. The short-term outlook is fragile. The options data reveals a crowded trade where traders are betting on a bounce off the lows, but the statistical forecast models show very low confidence in any specific direction, leaning slightly negative. This disconnect between the hype of the regulatory win and the bleeding fundamentals creates a precarious setup. Investors should view the recent rally with skepticism; without a demonstrated path to profitability or a massive reduction in the burn rate, the stock remains a high-risk speculative vehicle rather than a sound investment. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.184460 |
| AutoETS | 0.185086 |
| AutoTheta | 0.186133 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.186136 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 36% |
| H-stat | 1.06 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.245 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.14 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.431 |
| Revenue per Share | 13.947 |
| Market Cap | 16,344,825,856 |
| Forward P/E | 32.37 |
| Profit Margins | -2.76% |
| Website | https://www.circle.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a short-term bounce, evidenced by massive call volume spikes at strikes 67, 68, 69, and 70 for the July 10 expiration, creating a dense 'OI wall' just above current prices. This suggests a bet on immediate recovery following the recent drop. However, this bullish sentiment is tempered by significant put buying at nearby strikes (63-66) and deep out-of-the-money puts, indicating a 'long gamma' environment where volatility will spike on either side of the current price. The overall flow is a defensive gamble for a quick rebound rather than a directional trend.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.6774689 |
| Address1 | One World Trade Center |
| All Time High | 298.99 |
| All Time Low | 49.9 |
| Ask | 60.41 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.1 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 17,865,830 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 14,994,727 |
| Average Volume | 14,994,727 |
| Average Volume10Days | 17,865,830 |
| Bid | 60.54 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 13.839 |
| City | New York |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 61.15 |
| Current Ratio | 1.033 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 62.59 |
| Day Low | 59.29 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.431 |
| Display Name | Circle Internet |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,500,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,500,800 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.809 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.147 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,502,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,451,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,451,400 |
| Ebitda | -133,386,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.0466 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -106.152 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.947 |
| Enterprise Value | 14,159,214,592 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.32333 |
| Eps Forward | 1.88885 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.23 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 92.017 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -30.866997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.33544886 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -67.74689 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 262.97 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -201.82 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.767464 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 49.9 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 11.25 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22545089 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 49.9 - 262.97 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,749,130,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 191,154,967 |
| Forward Eps | 1.88885 |
| Forward P E | 32.3742 |
| Free Cashflow | -141,372,752 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,100 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.081070006 |
| Gross Profits | 232,032,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.02553 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.63806 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 267,290,681 |
| Industry | Capital Markets |
| Industry Disp | Capital Markets |
| Industry Key | capital-markets |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Circle Internet Group, Inc. operates as a platform, network, and market infrastructure for stablecoin and blockchain applications. The company provides various platform including Arc Blockchain and Developer Infrastructure, an open, layer-1 blockchain network purpose-built to bring real world economic activity onchain; Circle Digital Assets and Services, which includes circle digital assets, USDC, EURC, and USYC, as well as circle mint and xreserve, related liquidity, custody, and trust infrastructure; and Circle Applications, which includes circle payments network and stablefx, applications that use circle digital assets to deliver real-world utility on the arc network and across the broader multichain ecosystem. Its stablecoins network comprises circle stablecoins, tokenized funds, liquidity, payments network, and developer services, as well as integration services. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in New York, New York. |
| Long Name | Circle Internet Group |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 16,344,825,856 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1934984433 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -14,255,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 15,660,289,890 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 22 |
| Open | 61.655 |
| Operating Cashflow | 506,612,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.06483 |
| Overall Risk | 9 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 4.34 |
| Phone | 332 334 0660 |
| Previous Close | 62.985 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 46.209183 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.418672 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 5.710577 |
| Profit Margins | -0.02762 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.024 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.12 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.8349991 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.9133906 |
| Regular Market Day High | 62.59 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 59.29 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 59.29 - 62.59 |
| Regular Market Open | 61.655 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 62.985 |
| Regular Market Price | 61.15 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,037,597 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,623,256 |
| Return On Assets | -0.00126 |
| Return On Equity | -0.029760001 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.2 |
| Revenue Per Share | 13.947 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 229,857,799 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.088 |
| Shares Short | 21,874,075 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 15,348,729 |
| Short Name | Circle Internet Group, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0971 |
| Short Ratio | 1.59 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | CRCL |
| Target High Price | 243.0 |
| Target Low Price | 55.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 124.93864 |
| Target Median Price | 124.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,517,264,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 6.104 |
| Total Debt | 14,762,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,862,202,112 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.23 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 94.92565 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -33.77565 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.35581163 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,623,255 |
| Website | https://www.circle.com |
| Zip | 10,007 |