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ConocoPhillips (COP)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Houston, United States | NYSE
112.85 USD +3.81 (3.494%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 113.69 +0.84 (0.744%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains robust despite recent earnings misses. Over the past nine years, the business has delivered a 125 percent cumulative gain, driven by sustained operational efficiency and cash generation. While the most recent annual return was negative, this represents a single-year dip rather than a structural decline, and the forward valuation looks attractive relative to the historical trajectory. The dividend is secure, funded by a healthy payout ratio that leaves ample room for growth without risking capital. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by negative earnings growth and the stock trading below its fifty-day moving average, which creates immediate technical resistance. Options activity confirms this tension, with traders placing protective hedges near current prices while betting on a recovery toward higher targets. For investors willing to ride out the cyclical headwinds, the fundamentals support a strong buy, but timing the entry requires patience for the technicals to align.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.090719
AutoETS0.090720
MSTL0.091859
AutoTheta0.097998

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 8.81
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.308
Excess Kurtosis -0.92
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 36.143
Revenue per Share 47.897
Market Cap 137,484,484,608
Trailing P/E 19.13
Forward P/E 12.55
Beta 0.12
Profit Margins 12.33%
Website https://www.conocophillips.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a rebound to the 115-120 strike range, evidenced by heavy call open interest walls there. Conversely, put open interest clusters heavily between 104 and 108, creating a defined support zone. Implied volatility is elevated at deep strikes, indicating hedging against significant downside moves, while standard ATM volatility remains moderate.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.73% 3.26% 3.04% 3.55%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-11 0.840000 0.726958
2026-02-18 0.840000 0.760043
2025-11-17 0.840000 0.946799
2025-08-18 0.780000 0.829787
2025-05-19 0.780000 0.862736
2025-02-14 0.780000 0.810305
2024-11-08 0.780000 0.698987
2024-08-12 0.780000 0.708898
2024-05-10 0.780000 0.639816
2024-02-15 0.780000 0.702703
2023-11-13 0.580000 0.502774
2023-09-27 0.600000 0.487448
2023-08-15 0.510000 0.441520
2023-06-26 0.600000 0.592242
2023-05-15 0.510000 0.508525
2023-03-28 0.600000 0.612683
2023-02-13 0.510000 0.454100
2022-12-23 0.700000 0.598035
2022-11-14 0.510000 0.383372
2022-09-28 1.400000 1.359223
2022-08-15 0.460000 0.456485
2022-06-27 0.700000 0.758972
2022-05-16 0.460000 0.436019
2022-03-30 0.300000 0.296736
2022-02-11 0.460000 0.491873
2021-12-31 0.200000 0.277085
2021-10-27 0.460000 0.618030
2021-07-23 0.430000 0.777015
2021-05-13 0.430000 0.792773
2021-02-11 0.430000 0.925926
2020-10-16 0.430000 1.273319
2020-07-17 0.420000 1.051051
2020-05-08 0.420000 0.974930
2020-02-13 0.420000 0.714043
2019-10-16 0.420000 0.769090
2019-07-19 0.305000 0.505553
2019-05-10 0.305000 0.492571
2019-02-08 0.305000 0.460308
2018-10-12 0.305000 0.413111
2018-07-20 0.285000 0.407085
2018-05-11 0.285000 0.410426
2018-02-09 0.285000 0.547866
2017-10-13 0.265000 0.536437
2017-07-20 0.265000 0.613000
2017-05-11 0.265000 0.558836
2017-02-10 0.265000 0.528520
2016-10-13 0.250000 0.593120
2016-07-21 0.250000 0.609162
2016-05-18 0.250000 0.576834
2016-02-11 0.250000 0.784191
2015-10-15 0.740000 1.339852
2015-07-23 0.740000 1.369356
2015-05-20 0.730000 1.126891
2015-02-12 0.730000 1.072898
2014-10-09 0.730000 1.021836
2014-07-17 0.730000 0.862069
2014-05-21 0.690000 0.878645
2014-02-13 0.690000 1.066296
2013-10-10 0.690000 0.970737
2013-07-18 0.690000 1.056662
2013-05-22 0.660000 1.051960
2013-02-14 0.660000 1.139503
2012-10-11 0.660000 1.165460
2012-07-19 0.660000 1.170836
2012-05-17 0.660000 1.289314
2012-02-16 0.503129 0.906843
2011-10-13 0.503129 0.984487
2011-07-21 0.503129 0.870598
2011-05-19 0.503129 0.907841
2011-02-17 0.503129 0.873941
2010-10-27 0.419274 0.915446
2010-07-29 0.419274 1.008064
2010-05-20 0.419274 1.079913
2010-02-18 0.381158 1.023122
2009-10-28 0.381158 1.010304
2009-07-29 0.358289 1.096594
2009-05-21 0.358289 1.052397
2009-02-19 0.358289 1.124672
2008-10-29 0.358289 0.937189
2008-07-29 0.358289 0.585524
2008-05-22 0.358289 0.510870
2008-02-21 0.358289 0.588899
2007-10-29 0.312550 0.484462
2007-07-27 0.312550 0.513785
2007-05-17 0.312550 0.559727
2007-02-15 0.312550 0.619710
2006-10-27 0.274434 0.588332
2006-07-27 0.274434 0.529334
2006-05-18 0.274434 0.576554
2006-02-16 0.274434 0.601002
2005-10-27 0.236318 0.509031
2005-07-27 0.236318 0.497912
2005-05-12 0.236318 0.618022
2005-02-11 0.190579 0.504846
2004-10-27 0.190579 0.588789
2004-07-28 0.163898 0.560918
2004-05-13 0.163898 0.597637
2004-02-18 0.163898 0.630683
2003-10-29 0.163898 0.754783
2003-07-29 0.152463 0.769970
2003-04-28 0.152463 0.790044
2003-02-18 0.152463 0.811851
2002-10-31 0.152463 0.824741
2002-08-07 0.137217 0.736648
2002-04-26 0.137217 0.601705
2002-02-19 0.137217 0.638638
2001-10-29 0.137217 0.625000
2001-07-26 0.137217 0.639773
2001-04-26 0.129594 0.566856
2001-02-16 0.129594 0.607469
2000-10-26 0.129594 0.555103
2000-07-27 0.129594 0.690356
2000-04-27 0.129594 0.694765
2000-02-16 0.129594 0.860761
1999-10-28 0.129594 0.724369
1999-07-29 0.129594 0.669128
1999-04-29 0.129594 0.663416
1999-02-10 0.129594 0.848675
1998-10-29 0.129594 0.803546
1998-07-30 0.129594 0.746229
1998-04-29 0.129594 0.700130
1998-01-29 0.129594 0.781610
1997-10-30 0.129594 0.710184
1997-07-30 0.129594 0.727274
1997-04-30 0.129594 0.863493
1997-01-30 0.121971 0.719103
1996-10-30 0.121971 0.778118
1996-07-31 0.121971 0.810129
1996-05-01 0.116253 0.757762
1996-01-31 0.116253 0.931295
1995-11-01 0.116253 0.945734
1995-08-02 0.116253 0.887271
1995-05-01 0.116253 0.862189
1995-01-30 0.106724 0.881887
1994-10-31 0.106724 0.759320
1994-08-01 0.106724 0.858235
1994-05-02 0.106724 0.903223
1994-01-31 0.106724 0.949150
1993-11-01 0.106724 0.854959
1993-08-02 0.106724 0.921808
1993-05-03 0.106724 0.957262
1993-02-01 0.106724 1.022828
1992-11-02 0.106724 1.131310
1992-08-03 0.106724 1.009006
1992-05-04 0.106724 1.125625
1992-02-03 0.106724 1.204297
1991-11-04 0.106724 1.066663
1991-08-05 0.106724 1.061608
1991-04-29 0.106724 1.004481
1991-02-04 0.106724 1.092680
1990-10-29 0.106724 1.092680
1990-07-30 0.095290 0.884960
1990-04-30 0.095290 1.005030
1990-01-25 0.095290 1.063835
1989-10-25 0.095290 1.086962
1989-07-25 0.126926 1.471827
1989-05-01 0.083855 0.931219
1989-01-25 0.083855 1.017343
1988-10-25 0.068608 0.867464
1988-07-25 0.068608 1.090901
1988-04-28 0.057174 0.857147
1988-01-25 0.057174 1.111116
1987-10-26 0.057174 1.290328
1987-07-27 0.057174 0.923081
1987-05-04 0.057174 1.016954
1987-01-26 0.057174 1.188124
1986-10-27 0.057174 1.500007
1986-07-28 0.057174 1.764714
1986-05-01 0.057174 1.558449
1986-01-27 0.095290 2.380963
1985-10-28 0.095290 1.923085
1985-07-05 0.095290 2.127669
1985-04-29 0.095290 1.916942
1985-01-28 0.076232 1.269847
1984-10-29 0.076232 1.518994
1984-07-30 0.076232 1.758250
1984-04-30 0.076232 1.437132
1984-01-30 0.069879 1.410256
1983-10-31 0.069879 1.617647
1983-08-01 0.069879 1.623616
1983-05-02 0.069879 1.588447
1983-01-31 0.069879 1.698841
1982-10-29 0.069879 1.759999
1982-08-02 0.069879 2.125603
1982-05-03 0.069879 1.788618
1982-02-01 0.069879 1.452145
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.36
dividendYield 3.08
exDividendDate 2026-05-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.24
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.029713867
lastDividendValue 0.84
lastDividendDate 2026-05-11
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.15790594
Address1 925 North Eldridge Parkway
All Time High 138.49
All Time Low 2.98574
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 7,493,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 7,851,560
Average Volume 7,851,560
Average Volume10Days 7,493,250
Beta 0.122
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 52.977
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.85
Current Ratio 1.289
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 113.2188
Day Low 110.97
Debt To Equity 36.143
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 3.36
Dividend Yield 3.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth -0.202
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.234
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 23,346,999,296
Ebitda Margins 0.39319
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.615
Enterprise To Revenue 2.601
Enterprise Value 154,448,478,208
Eps Current Year 9.36417
Eps Forward 8.99118
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.9
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 115.0444
Fifty Day Average Change -2.1944046
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.019074414
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 15.790594
Fifty Two Week High 135.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -23.019997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16942663
Fifty Two Week Low 85.57
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.279999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3188033
Fifty Two Week Range 85.57 - 135.87
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 378,657,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.47
Float Shares 1,215,808,687
Forward Eps 8.99118
Forward P E 12.551188
Free Cashflow 5,289,124,864
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,700
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.45591
Gross Profits 27,071,000,576
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00123
Held Percent Institutions 0.87337995
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,218,294,007
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Ir Website http://www.conocophillips.com/investor-relations/Pages/default.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,457,600
Last Dividend Value 0.84
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,335,830,400
Last Split Factor 1,311,791:1000000
Long Business Summary ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects. It serves in the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Long Name ConocoPhillips
Market us_market
Market Cap 137,484,484,608
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_296527
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 7,297,999,872
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 132,842,778,523
Number Of Analyst Opinions 25
Open 110.97
Operating Cashflow 17,976,000,512
Operating Margins 0.22051
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.5492
Peg Ratio 0.92
Phone 281 293 1000
Post Market Change 0.84000397
Post Market Change Percent 0.7443544
Post Market Price 113.69
Post Market Time 1,783,987,161
Previous Close 109.04
Price Eps Current Year 12.051254
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1301696
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.315411
Profit Margins 0.12331
Quick Ratio 1.066
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.73077
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.81
Regular Market Change Percent 3.49413
Regular Market Day High 113.2188
Regular Market Day Low 110.97
Regular Market Day Range 110.97 - 113.2188
Regular Market Open 110.97
Regular Market Previous Close 109.04
Regular Market Price 112.85
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 5,938,596
Return On Assets 0.05865
Return On Equity 0.112840004
Revenue Growth -0.053
Revenue Per Share 47.897
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 1,218,294,007
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.015700001
Shares Short 19,181,879
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 22,268,790
Short Name ConocoPhillips
Short Percent Of Float 0.015800001
Short Ratio 2.37
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol COP
Target High Price 183.0
Target Low Price 115.0
Target Mean Price 140.8
Target Median Price 142.0
Total Cash 6,362,999,808
Total Cash Per Share 5.223
Total Debt 23,327,000,576
Total Revenue 59,377,999,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.24
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.029713867
Trailing Eps 5.9
Trailing P E 19.127117
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.9246
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 106.0697
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.7802963
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.06392302
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,938,596
Website https://www.conocophillips.com
Zip 77,079-2703