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Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Financial Services | Credit Services | McLean, United States | NYSE
203.02 USD +1.50 (0.744%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 203.49 +0.47 (0.232%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:33 a.m. EDT

Capital One is in a distinct turnaround phase, evidenced by a 46% surge in revenue and a massive compression in valuation expectations, where the forward P/E of 8.3x contrasts sharply with the trailing P/E of 62x. While the price has rallied 231% over the last nine years, the current return on equity of just 3.3% prevents this from being a top-tier buy-and-hold candidate. Short-term, the stock holds above its 50-day average, yet the statistical forecast leans negative and earnings growth is currently contracting. Options flow confirms this tension, with traders hedging downside risk even as they maintain some upside exposure. For investors, this is a speculative recovery play rather than a stable compounder.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.037376
AutoETS0.037377
AutoTheta0.038289
MSTL0.039491

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 62%
H-stat 2.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.216
Excess Kurtosis -0.99
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-18
Revenue per Share 60.463
Market Cap 125,064,273,920
Trailing P/E 62.66
Forward P/E 8.37
Beta 1.02
Profit Margins 8.88%
Website https://www.capitalone.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying a defensive stance with elevated implied volatility on puts compared to calls, suggesting a fear of downside risk despite the stock trading above its 50-day moving average. Call volume is concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money strikes, indicating some bullish positioning, but the heavy put volume at the money highlights active hedging against potential volatility.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.44% 1.51% 1.63% 1.83%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-19 0.800000 0.439488
2026-02-19 0.800000 0.390130
2025-11-17 0.800000 0.397990
2025-08-15 0.600000 0.278513
2025-05-23 0.600000 0.324184
2025-02-18 0.600000 0.295858
2024-11-14 0.600000 0.327869
2024-08-12 0.600000 0.454133
2024-05-10 0.600000 0.420875
2024-02-09 0.600000 0.443885
2023-11-10 0.600000 0.573723
2023-08-04 0.600000 0.529194
2023-05-12 0.600000 0.694927
2023-02-03 0.600000 0.494071
2022-11-10 0.600000 0.529007
2022-08-05 0.600000 0.564281
2022-05-13 0.600000 0.515198
2022-02-11 0.600000 0.384615
2021-11-12 0.600000 0.382653
2021-08-06 1.200000 0.723109
2021-05-14 0.400000 0.252988
2021-02-16 0.400000 0.333890
2020-11-06 0.100000 0.128584
2020-08-07 0.100000 0.152091
2020-05-08 0.400000 0.643087
2020-02-07 0.400000 0.392927
2019-11-08 0.400000 0.411269
2019-08-02 0.400000 0.445186
2019-05-10 0.400000 0.442527
2019-02-08 0.400000 0.513941
2018-11-08 0.400000 0.440238
2018-08-03 0.400000 0.413736
2018-05-11 0.400000 0.431826
2018-02-09 0.400000 0.434688
2017-11-10 0.400000 0.458979
2017-08-03 0.400000 0.472869
2017-05-11 0.400000 0.499002
2017-02-09 0.400000 0.451773
2016-11-09 0.400000 0.524246
2016-08-04 0.400000 0.604230
2016-05-12 0.400000 0.576701
2016-02-11 0.400000 0.665004
2015-11-05 0.400000 0.502828
2015-08-06 0.400000 0.492975
2015-05-07 0.400000 0.487686
2015-02-05 0.300000 0.395883
2014-11-06 0.300000 0.365497
2014-08-07 0.300000 0.384418
2014-05-08 0.300000 0.393856
2014-02-06 0.300000 0.429062
2013-11-06 0.300000 0.432963
2013-08-01 0.300000 0.430416
2013-05-09 0.300000 0.507185
2013-02-07 0.050000 0.087428
2012-11-07 0.050000 0.084147
2012-08-08 0.050000 0.088402
2012-05-16 0.050000 0.099404
2012-02-08 0.050000 0.103348
2011-11-17 0.050000 0.121330
2011-08-10 0.050000 0.121803
2011-05-19 0.050000 0.088952
2011-02-09 0.050000 0.097982
2010-11-09 0.050000 0.129099
2010-08-09 0.050000 0.121153
2010-05-07 0.050000 0.118652
2010-02-10 0.050000 0.140607
2009-11-06 0.050000 0.132732
2009-08-07 0.050000 0.146542
2009-05-07 0.050000 0.189036
2009-02-06 0.375000 2.586207
2008-11-06 0.375000 1.077586
2008-08-07 0.375000 0.892857
2008-05-08 0.375000 0.697545
2008-02-07 0.375000 0.748503
2007-11-07 0.027000 0.053774
2007-08-08 0.027000 0.037715
2007-05-08 0.027000 0.035814
2007-02-08 0.027000 0.032617
2006-11-08 0.027000 0.034839
2006-08-08 0.027000 0.034933
2006-05-08 0.027000 0.031293
2006-02-08 0.027000 0.032351
2005-11-08 0.027000 0.035904
2005-08-08 0.027000 0.032162
2005-05-06 0.027000 0.037731
2005-02-08 0.027000 0.034920
2004-11-09 0.028000 0.036013
2004-08-06 0.028000 0.042456
2004-05-06 0.028000 0.042118
2004-02-06 0.028000 0.039084
2003-11-05 0.028000 0.045692
2003-08-06 0.027000 0.058027
2003-05-06 0.027000 0.057940
2003-02-06 0.027000 0.090543
2002-11-06 0.028000 0.084694
2002-08-06 0.027000 0.101086
2002-05-06 0.027000 0.047038
2002-02-06 0.027000 0.060783
2001-11-05 0.027000 0.060335
2001-08-06 0.027000 0.041570
2001-05-07 0.027000 0.041379
2001-02-06 0.027000 0.043647
2000-11-06 0.027000 0.042188
2000-08-07 0.027000 0.046253
2000-05-08 0.027000 0.064095
2000-02-07 0.027000 0.071170
1999-11-16 0.027000 0.052111
1999-08-10 0.028000 0.068189
1999-05-11 0.026667 0.046512
1999-02-08 0.026667 0.069718
1998-11-10 0.026667 0.080758
1998-08-11 0.026667 0.070138
1998-05-05 0.026667 0.082369
1998-02-05 0.026667 0.124394
1997-10-31 0.026667 0.175345
1997-08-01 0.026667 0.223779
1997-05-02 0.026667 0.212627
1997-01-31 0.026667 0.200003
1996-11-01 0.026667 0.256003
1996-08-01 0.026667 0.273508
1996-04-26 0.026667 0.267786
1996-02-02 0.026667 0.293582
1995-11-03 0.026667 0.303321
1995-08-04 0.026667 0.338629
1995-05-04 0.026667 0.392643
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.2
dividendYield 1.59
exDividendDate 2026-05-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.8
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.013894402
lastDividendValue 0.8
lastDividendDate 2026-05-19
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.08748418
Address1 1,680 Capital One Drive
All Time High 259.64
All Time Low 4.625
Ask 202.68
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,018,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,669,272
Average Volume 4,669,272
Average Volume10Days 4,018,160
Beta 1.022
Bid 201.28
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value 173.505
City McLean
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 203.02
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 205.28
Day Low 201.78
Display Name Capital One Financial
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 3.2
Dividend Yield 1.59
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,664,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,664,000
Earnings Growth -0.032
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.548
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,664,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,664,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 2.981
Enterprise Value 108,233,883,648
Eps Current Year 19.70931
Eps Forward 24.25906
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.24
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 191.4334
Fifty Day Average Change 11.586609
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.060525537
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -8.748418
Fifty Two Week High 259.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -56.62001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2180712
Fifty Two Week Low 174.24
Fifty Two Week Low Change 28.779999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16517445
Fifty Two Week Range 174.24 - 259.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 784,996,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.65
Float Shares 609,392,654
Forward Eps 24.25906
Forward P E 8.368833
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 77,100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 36,310,999,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.018919999
Held Percent Institutions 0.88038003
Implied Shares Outstanding 616,019,481
Industry Credit Services
Industry Disp Credit Services
Industry Key credit-services
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=70667&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,148,800
Last Dividend Value 0.8
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 928,281,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts. Its loan products include credit card and personal loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; bank lending; and provides advisory, capital markets, net interchange, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Long Name Capital One Financial Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 125,064,273,920
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_336241
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 2,579,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 124,140,245,811
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 203.85
Operating Cashflow 29,073,999,872
Operating Margins 0.28586
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.86120003
Peg Ratio 0.22
Phone 703 720 1000
Post Market Change 0.47000122
Post Market Change Percent 0.23150489
Post Market Price 203.49
Post Market Time 1,783,987,159
Previous Close 201.52
Price Eps Current Year 10.300715
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1701103
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.4442532
Profit Margins 0.08876
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.54167
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.5
Regular Market Change Percent 0.744343
Regular Market Day High 205.28
Regular Market Day Low 201.78
Regular Market Day Range 201.78 - 205.28
Regular Market Open 203.85
Regular Market Previous Close 201.52
Regular Market Price 203.02
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 2,538,314
Return On Assets 0.00487
Return On Equity 0.03259
Revenue Growth 0.463
Revenue Per Share 60.463
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 616,019,481
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0191
Shares Short 11,748,005
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 10,678,479
Short Name Capital One Financial Corporati
Short Percent Of Float 0.0214
Short Ratio 2.3
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol COF
Target High Price 310.0
Target Low Price 214.0
Target Mean Price 257.5909
Target Median Price 255.0
Total Cash 79,386,001,408
Total Cash Per Share 127.57
Total Debt 55,874,998,272
Total Revenue 36,310,999,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.8
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.013894402
Trailing Eps 3.24
Trailing P E 62.660496
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.2167
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 208.0509
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.030899
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.024181098
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,538,314
Website https://www.capitalone.com
Zip 22,102