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Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Financial Services | Credit Services | McLean, United States | NYSE
198.86 USD +4.51 (2.321%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:35 a.m. EDT

Capital One presents a compelling long-term value proposition with robust fundamentals and an attractive forward valuation, though short-term technicals remain subdued. The company is trading at a forward P/E of roughly 8.3 times earnings, significantly below its trailing multiple, while maintaining double-digit revenue growth and healthy operating margins. The nine-year price trajectory confirms a strong upward trend with no recent structural decline, supporting a solid buy rating for patient investors. However, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, creating a technical headwind that limits immediate upside momentum. Recent earnings beats provide a necessary floor, but the lack of immediate price acceleration suggests the market is still digesting the valuation gap. For income investors, the dividend is safe and sustainable, though the yield is modest. Overall, this is a high-conviction long-term hold waiting for technicals to align with its intrinsic value.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.040991
AutoETS0.041229
MSTL0.045045
AutoTheta0.047469

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 0.30
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.200
Excess Kurtosis -0.77
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Revenue per Share 76.474
Market Cap 122,000,613,376
Trailing P/E 12.77
Forward P/E 8.25
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 21.87%
Website https://www.capitalone.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:35 a.m. EDT: Options activity indicates heavy positioning at the $200 strike across multiple expirations, establishing a central pivot point for near-term speculation. Implied volatility remains compressed in the immediate term, suggesting traders anticipate low volatility ahead. While call volume clusters at $210 and $220, put volume is similarly weighted at $185 and $190, reflecting a balanced, range-bound outlook rather than a strong directional bet.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.36% 1.59% 1.57% 1.76%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.800000 0.361255
2026-05-19 0.800000 0.439488
2026-02-19 0.800000 0.390130
2025-11-17 0.800000 0.397990
2025-08-15 0.600000 0.278513
2025-05-23 0.600000 0.324184
2025-02-18 0.600000 0.295858
2024-11-14 0.600000 0.327869
2024-08-12 0.600000 0.454133
2024-05-10 0.600000 0.420875
2024-02-09 0.600000 0.443885
2023-11-10 0.600000 0.573723
2023-08-04 0.600000 0.529194
2023-05-12 0.600000 0.694927
2023-02-03 0.600000 0.494071
2022-11-10 0.600000 0.529007
2022-08-05 0.600000 0.564281
2022-05-13 0.600000 0.515198
2022-02-11 0.600000 0.384615
2021-11-12 0.600000 0.382653
2021-08-06 1.200000 0.723109
2021-05-14 0.400000 0.252988
2021-02-16 0.400000 0.333890
2020-11-06 0.100000 0.128584
2020-08-07 0.100000 0.152091
2020-05-08 0.400000 0.643087
2020-02-07 0.400000 0.392927
2019-11-08 0.400000 0.411269
2019-08-02 0.400000 0.445186
2019-05-10 0.400000 0.442527
2019-02-08 0.400000 0.513941
2018-11-08 0.400000 0.440238
2018-08-03 0.400000 0.413736
2018-05-11 0.400000 0.431826
2018-02-09 0.400000 0.434688
2017-11-10 0.400000 0.458979
2017-08-03 0.400000 0.472869
2017-05-11 0.400000 0.499002
2017-02-09 0.400000 0.451773
2016-11-09 0.400000 0.524246
2016-08-04 0.400000 0.604230
2016-05-12 0.400000 0.576701
2016-02-11 0.400000 0.665004
2015-11-05 0.400000 0.502828
2015-08-06 0.400000 0.492975
2015-05-07 0.400000 0.487686
2015-02-05 0.300000 0.395883
2014-11-06 0.300000 0.365497
2014-08-07 0.300000 0.384418
2014-05-08 0.300000 0.393856
2014-02-06 0.300000 0.429062
2013-11-06 0.300000 0.432963
2013-08-01 0.300000 0.430416
2013-05-09 0.300000 0.507185
2013-02-07 0.050000 0.087428
2012-11-07 0.050000 0.084147
2012-08-08 0.050000 0.088402
2012-05-16 0.050000 0.099404
2012-02-08 0.050000 0.103348
2011-11-17 0.050000 0.121330
2011-08-10 0.050000 0.121803
2011-05-19 0.050000 0.088952
2011-02-09 0.050000 0.097982
2010-11-09 0.050000 0.129099
2010-08-09 0.050000 0.121153
2010-05-07 0.050000 0.118652
2010-02-10 0.050000 0.140607
2009-11-06 0.050000 0.132732
2009-08-07 0.050000 0.146542
2009-05-07 0.050000 0.189036
2009-02-06 0.375000 2.586207
2008-11-06 0.375000 1.077586
2008-08-07 0.375000 0.892857
2008-05-08 0.375000 0.697545
2008-02-07 0.375000 0.748503
2007-11-07 0.027000 0.053774
2007-08-08 0.027000 0.037715
2007-05-08 0.027000 0.035814
2007-02-08 0.027000 0.032617
2006-11-08 0.027000 0.034839
2006-08-08 0.027000 0.034933
2006-05-08 0.027000 0.031293
2006-02-08 0.027000 0.032351
2005-11-08 0.027000 0.035904
2005-08-08 0.027000 0.032162
2005-05-06 0.027000 0.037731
2005-02-08 0.027000 0.034920
2004-11-09 0.028000 0.036013
2004-08-06 0.028000 0.042456
2004-05-06 0.028000 0.042118
2004-02-06 0.028000 0.039084
2003-11-05 0.028000 0.045692
2003-08-06 0.027000 0.058027
2003-05-06 0.027000 0.057940
2003-02-06 0.027000 0.090543
2002-11-06 0.028000 0.084694
2002-08-06 0.027000 0.101086
2002-05-06 0.027000 0.047038
2002-02-06 0.027000 0.060783
2001-11-05 0.027000 0.060335
2001-08-06 0.027000 0.041570
2001-05-07 0.027000 0.041379
2001-02-06 0.027000 0.043647
2000-11-06 0.027000 0.042188
2000-08-07 0.027000 0.046253
2000-05-08 0.027000 0.064095
2000-02-07 0.027000 0.071170
1999-11-16 0.027000 0.052111
1999-08-10 0.028000 0.068189
1999-05-11 0.026667 0.046512
1999-02-08 0.026667 0.069718
1998-11-10 0.026667 0.080758
1998-08-11 0.026667 0.070138
1998-05-05 0.026667 0.082369
1998-02-05 0.026667 0.124394
1997-10-31 0.026667 0.175345
1997-08-01 0.026667 0.223779
1997-05-02 0.026667 0.212627
1997-01-31 0.026667 0.200003
1996-11-01 0.026667 0.256003
1996-08-01 0.026667 0.273508
1996-04-26 0.026667 0.267786
1996-02-02 0.026667 0.293582
1995-11-03 0.026667 0.303321
1995-08-04 0.026667 0.338629
1995-05-04 0.026667 0.392643
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.61
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.015436068
lastDividendValue 0.8
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.059051752
Address1 1,680 Capital One Drive
All Time High 259.64
All Time Low 4.625
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,773,750
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,601,759
Average Volume 3,601,759
Average Volume10Days 3,773,750
Beta 1.04
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 167.859
City McLean
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 198.86
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 200.22
Day Low 192.995
Display Name Capital One Financial
Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Dividend Yield 1.61
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,526,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,526,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,526,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 2.602
Enterprise Value 125,166,592,000
Eps Current Year 20.56224
Eps Forward 24.09597
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 15.57
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 208.4216
Fifty Day Average Change -9.5616
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.045876242
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -5.905175
Fifty Two Week High 259.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -60.780014
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2340934
Fifty Two Week Low 174.24
Fifty Two Week Low Change 24.619995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14129932
Fifty Two Week Range 174.24 - 259.64
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 784,996,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.59
Float Shares 604,908,318
Forward Eps 24.09597
Forward P E 8.252832
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 78,400
Fullday Change 0.1499939
Fullday Change Percent 0.075426884
Fullday Price 199.01
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 48,109,998,080
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01227
Held Percent Institutions 0.89182
Implied Shares Outstanding 613,500,000
Industry Credit Services
Industry Disp Credit Services
Industry Key credit-services
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=70667&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.8
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 928,281,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts. Its loan products include credit card and personal loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; bank lending; and provides advisory, capital markets, net interchange, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Long Name Capital One Financial Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 122,000,613,376
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_336241
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 9,822,999,552
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 120,304,376,339
Number Of Analyst Opinions 22
Open 195.86
Operating Cashflow 31,452,000,256
Operating Margins 0.33629
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.1927
Peg Ratio 0.17
Phone 703 720 1000
Pre Market Change 0.11999512
Pre Market Change Percent 0.060332403
Pre Market Price 199.01
Pre Market Time 1,792,153,290
Previous Close 194.35
Price Eps Current Year 9.671125
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1846849
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.5358682
Profit Margins 0.21867001
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.625
Region US
Regular Market Change 4.50999
Regular Market Change Percent 2.32055
Regular Market Day High 200.22
Regular Market Day Low 192.995
Regular Market Day Range 192.995 - 200.22
Regular Market Open 195.86
Regular Market Previous Close 194.35
Regular Market Price 198.86
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,402
Regular Market Volume 5,272,368
Return On Assets 0.01523
Return On Equity 0.09031
Revenue Growth 11.11
Revenue Per Share 76.474
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 613,500,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0146
Shares Short 8,951,001
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 10,993,320
Short Name Capital One Financial Corporati
Short Percent Of Float 0.0164
Short Ratio 2.52
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol COF
Target High Price 290.0
Target Low Price 219.0
Target Mean Price 252.27274
Target Median Price 250.0
Total Cash 56,639,000,576
Total Cash Per Share 92.323
Total Debt 48,994,000,896
Total Revenue 48,109,998,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.015436068
Trailing Eps 15.57
Trailing P E 12.771997
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.1803
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 203.515
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.654999
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.022873001
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,272,368
Website https://www.capitalone.com
Zip 22,102