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Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Calgary, Canada | NYSE
43.05 USD +1.24 (2.966%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 43.20 +0.15 (0.348%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:41 a.m. EDT

Canadian Natural Resources presents a compelling value case for patient capital, though the immediate path forward is murky. Fundamentally, the company is a fortress: it boasts a robust 22.8% return on equity, healthy free cash flow generation, and a manageable debt load relative to its earnings power. The stock trades at a discount to its intrinsic value, priced at roughly 11.5x forward earnings, which reflects the market's anxiety over recent operational headwinds. However, the price action tells a different story than the balance sheet; the stock has suffered a significant multi-year decline, dropping nearly 12% in the trailing year and failing to recover its 2024 highs. This structural underperformance suggests the market is pricing in persistent challenges in the North American energy sector that haven't yet been resolved. While the dividend yield of 4.2% provides a substantial cushion and the payout ratio remains sustainable at roughly 45%, the lack of recent price momentum and the recent dip despite beating earnings forecasts indicate that the 'value' hasn't been fully recognized yet. For investors, this is a classic 'wait and see' setup: the business is excellent, but the timing for a full recovery remains uncertain.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.053455
MSTL0.054972
AutoETS0.055637
AutoARIMA0.056345

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 6.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.067
Excess Kurtosis -0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-22
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-22
Debt to Equity Ratio 44.85
Revenue per Share 18.51
Market Cap 89,789,808,640
Trailing P/E 11.79
Forward P/E 11.88
Beta 0.88
Profit Margins 25.13%
Website https://www.cnrl.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly bullish outcome, with heavy open interest walls at $42.00 and $50.00 strikes. Call volume is skewed toward out-of-the-money targets ($45-$55), while put activity clusters near current prices ($38-$40), suggesting a floor rather than a crash scenario. Implied volatility remains elevated relative to historical norms, indicating uncertainty about the immediate direction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.08% 2.01% 3.84% 4.51%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-23 0.442000 1.077523
2026-03-20 0.455000 0.928193
2025-06-13 0.432000 1.278863
2025-03-21 0.410000 1.351797
2024-12-13 0.390000 1.239276
2024-09-13 0.387000 1.210510
2024-06-17 0.382000 1.133868
2024-03-14 0.390000 1.059351
2023-12-07 0.368000 1.201240
2023-09-14 0.332000 1.026751
2023-06-15 0.338000 1.215827
2023-03-16 0.327000 1.286642
2022-12-15 0.314000 1.154200
2022-09-15 0.285000 1.053604
2022-08-22 0.577500 2.113063
2022-06-16 0.285015 1.045072
2022-03-17 0.289912 0.965428
2021-12-09 0.227228 1.118610
2021-09-16 0.182174 1.075453
2021-06-17 0.187561 1.093347
2021-03-18 0.185602 1.281269
2020-12-08 0.162586 1.353447
2020-09-17 0.158178 1.801447
2020-06-11 0.155240 1.779899
2020-03-19 0.143487 3.785535
2019-12-10 0.138590 0.958675
2019-09-12 0.139079 1.120313
2019-06-13 0.137610 1.053617
2019-03-21 0.138100 0.991213
2018-09-13 0.126347 0.804994
2018-06-14 0.126347 0.804492
2018-03-15 0.126836 0.866508
2017-12-11 0.104799 0.618317
2017-09-14 0.110676 0.685265
2017-06-14 0.101861 0.737066
2017-03-15 0.099902 0.620815
2016-12-07 0.092067 0.565756
2016-09-14 0.085700 0.601579
2016-06-15 0.087659 0.623475
2016-03-16 0.083150 0.623639
2015-12-09 0.081700 0.791570
2015-09-09 0.084117 0.847953
2015-06-10 0.089918 0.615485
2015-03-12 0.087018 0.628056
2014-12-10 0.095236 0.668703
2014-09-10 0.099103 0.501834
2014-06-11 0.099587 0.484593
2014-03-13 0.097653 0.566143
2013-12-11 0.091369 0.580292
2013-09-11 0.058495 0.380143
2013-06-12 0.058979 0.429883
2013-03-14 0.058495 0.371506
2012-12-12 0.050760 0.368678
2012-09-12 0.052211 0.330076
2012-06-13 0.049310 0.386657
2012-03-15 0.051244 0.306715
2011-12-14 0.042542 0.261128
2011-09-14 0.043992 0.262020
2011-06-15 0.044476 0.231740
2011-03-16 0.043992 0.196501
2010-12-15 0.036257 0.177723
2010-09-15 0.035290 0.219150
2010-06-09 0.034324 0.207060
2010-03-10 0.035049 0.197173
2009-12-09 0.024172 0.157384
2009-09-09 0.023688 0.160182
2009-06-10 0.022963 0.162922
2009-03-11 0.019579 0.231231
2008-12-10 0.019337 0.236473
2008-09-10 0.022721 0.127456
2008-06-11 0.023446 0.094137
2008-03-12 0.024655 0.139956
2007-12-12 0.020546 0.124016
2007-09-12 0.019579 0.111371
2007-06-13 0.019337 0.120390
2007-03-14 0.017645 0.141389
2006-12-13 0.015712 0.121727
2006-09-13 0.016195 0.146097
2006-06-14 0.016195 0.141321
2006-03-15 0.015712 0.114299
2005-12-14 0.012569 0.096509
2005-09-14 0.012327 0.109602
2005-06-15 0.011602 0.138125
2005-03-16 0.013657 0.194828
2004-12-15 0.009910 0.199506
2004-09-15 0.008823 0.209478
2004-06-16 0.012086 0.353363
2004-03-10 0.012086 0.366307
2003-12-10 0.009064 0.326785
2003-09-10 0.009064 0.373028
2003-06-11 0.009064 0.356705
2003-03-12 0.009064 0.429783
2002-12-11 0.007554 0.440163
2002-09-11 0.007554 0.386418
2002-06-12 0.007554 0.396468
2002-03-13 0.007554 0.411883
2001-12-12 0.006043 0.410685
2001-09-19 0.003867 0.234062
2001-09-17 0.003867 0.215101
2001-06-13 0.006043 0.307225
2001-03-15 0.006043 0.333339
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.76
dividendYield 4.21
exDividendDate 2026-06-23
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.388
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05711552
lastDividendValue 0.442
lastDividendDate 2026-06-23
dividendDate 2026-07-07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.3151934
Address1 2,100, 855 - 2nd Street S.W.
All Time High 51.34
All Time Low 1.377779
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 2,800
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,320,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 9,514,368
Average Volume 9,514,368
Average Volume10Days 8,320,340
Beta 0.881
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 2,300
Board Risk 9
Book Value 15.105532
City Calgary
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 43.05
Current Ratio 0.984
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 43.325
Day Low 42.3343
Debt To Equity 44.85
Display Name Canadian Natural Resources
Dividend Date 1,783,382,400
Dividend Rate 1.76
Dividend Yield 4.21
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Growth -0.453
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.452
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 14,796,000,256
Ebitda Margins 0.38299
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.177
Enterprise To Revenue 2.749
Enterprise Value 106,192,977,920
Eps Current Year 5.99375
Eps Forward 3.6226516
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.65
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,172,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 403 517 7350
Fifty Day Average 44.6486
Fifty Day Average Change -1.5986023
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.035804085
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 31.51934
Fifty Two Week High 51.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.290001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16147256
Fifty Two Week Low 29.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.46928328
Fifty Two Week Range 29.3 - 51.34
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 965,050,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.19
Float Shares 2,033,411,862
Forward Eps 3.6226516
Forward P E 11.88356
Free Cashflow 5,340,624,896
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 10,750
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.48668
Gross Profits 18,801,999,872
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.021659998
Held Percent Institutions 0.81837
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,085,710,000
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,172,800
Last Dividend Value 0.442
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,718,064,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), mining bitumen, light and medium crude oil and NGLs, thermal bitumen, primary heavy crude oil and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Its midstream assets include two crude oil pipeline systems; and a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose. The company was formerly known as AEX Minerals Corporation and changed its name to Canadian Natural Resources Limited in December 1975. Canadian Natural Resources Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Long Name Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 89,789,808,640
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_527692
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 9,710,000,128
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 86,825,005,987
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 42.65
Operating Cashflow 14,104,000,512
Operating Margins 0.21776
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.45540002
Peg Ratio 3.42
Phone 403 517 6700
Post Market Change 0.15000153
Post Market Change Percent 0.3484356
Post Market Price 43.2
Post Market Time 1,783,987,018
Previous Close 41.81
Price Eps Current Year 7.1824813
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.8499494
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.3241737
Profit Margins 0.25134
Quick Ratio 0.636
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.22727
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.24
Regular Market Change Percent 2.96579
Regular Market Day High 43.325
Regular Market Day Low 42.3343
Regular Market Day Range 42.3343 - 43.325
Regular Market Open 42.65
Regular Market Previous Close 41.81
Regular Market Price 43.05
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 6,261,648
Return On Assets 0.050419997
Return On Equity 0.22825001
Revenue Growth -0.012
Revenue Per Share 18.51
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 2,085,710,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0458
Shares Short 112,605,424
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 51,596,398
Short Name Canadian Natural Resources Limi
Short Ratio 9.78
Source Interval 15
State AB
Symbol CNQ
Target High Price 51.548088
Target Low Price 41.17393
Target Mean Price 46.347565
Target Median Price 46.334118
Total Cash 808,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.388
Total Debt 20,020,000,768
Total Revenue 38,633,000,960
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.388
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05711552
Trailing Eps 3.65
Trailing P E 11.79452
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.40785
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.6421509
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.092421964
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,261,648
Website https://www.cnrl.com
Zip T2P 4J8