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Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL)

Basic Materials | Gold | Miami, United States | NasdaqGS
15.24 USD -0.78 (-4.869%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.24

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT

The immediate catalyst is a massive technical breakout; the stock has surged nearly 180% over the last four months, trading well above its 50-day moving average with strong recent volume. This momentum suggests a high-conviction short-term entry for traders looking to ride the wave of exploration optimism and index inclusion. However, this rally is built entirely on speculation rather than financial reality. The company is burning cash, reporting negative free cash flow, and has no earnings or dividend to support the valuation. While the balance sheet shows low debt relative to assets, the lack of profitability makes this a dangerous hold for anyone beyond the immediate term. The statistical forecast models are currently flashing a weak bearish signal, which creates a tension between the visible price strength and the underlying lack of statistical predictability. Ultimately, this is a classic 'story stock' where the narrative of discovery is driving the price, but the fundamentals remain deeply distressed.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.124137
AutoARIMA0.184729
MSTL0.189481
AutoETS0.190927

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.265
Excess Kurtosis 0.18
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.611
Market Cap 1,413,398,784
Forward P/E -33.49
Beta 1.00
Website https://www.collectivemining.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11240876
Address1 201 South Biscayne Boulevard
Address2 Suite 2210
All Time High 21.97
All Time Low 0.0
Ask 19.17
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 90,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 68,834
Average Volume 68,834
Average Volume10Days 90,730
Beta 0.996
Bid 11.6
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 1.252
City Miami
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.24
Current Ratio 3.986
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 16.025
Day Low 14.9704
Debt To Equity 2.611
Display Name Collective Mining
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,427,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,427,200
Ebitda -57,340,736
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -23.067
Enterprise Value 1,322,702,080
Eps Current Year -0.75
Eps Forward -0.455
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.5147
Fifty Day Average Change 1.7252998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.12766097
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.240875
Fifty Two Week High 21.97
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.7299995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3063268
Fifty Two Week Low 9.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.4699993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5598771
Fifty Two Week Range 9.77 - 21.97
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,626,269,400,000
Float Shares 50,118,159
Forward Eps -0.455
Forward P E -33.494503
Free Cashflow -47,066,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 154
Fullday Change -0.780001
Fullday Change Percent -4.86892
Fullday Price 15.24
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.0
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.43269002
Held Percent Institutions 0.40194
Implied Shares Outstanding 92,742,707
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Ipo Expected Date 2,026-08-11
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Collective Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties located in Colombia. The company explores gold, silver, copper, and tungsten deposits. It holds 100% interest in its flagship project The Guayabales project consisting of exploration titles, exploration applications, and mining concession option agreements and a number of surface rights option agreements. The Guayabales Project is located in the Middle Cauca belt in the Department of Caldas, Colombia. The company is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Long Name Collective Mining Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,413,398,784
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_701917031
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -56,863,032
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,477,722,724
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 15.99
Operating Cashflow -47,277,268
Operating Margins 0.0
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 15.24
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 16.02
Price Eps Current Year -20.32
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 12.172524
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 3.907
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.780001
Regular Market Change Percent -4.86892
Regular Market Day High 16.025
Regular Market Day Low 14.9704
Regular Market Day Range 14.9704 - 16.025
Regular Market Open 15.99
Regular Market Previous Close 16.02
Regular Market Price 15.24
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 118,839
Return On Assets -0.28168
Return On Equity -0.6081
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 92,742,707
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.018
Shares Short 1,730,209
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,734,315
Short Name Collective Mining Ltd.
Short Ratio 27.98
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol CNL
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 25.0
Target Mean Price 25.0
Target Median Price 25.0
Total Cash 93,726,808
Total Cash Per Share 1.011
Total Debt 3,030,030
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.59
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.2606
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.020600319
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0013499022
Type Disp Equity
Volume 118,839
Website https://www.collectivemining.com
Zip 33,131