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Conduent Incorporated (CNDT)

Technology | Information Technology Services | Florham Park, United States | NasdaqGS
1.39 USD -0.18 (-11.465%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 1.41 +0.02 (1.439%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 6:39 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:20 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between the company's deteriorating reality and the market's desperate hope for a turnaround. Fundamentally, the business is in freefall: revenue is contracting at nearly 12%, profitability has vanished with negative operating margins, and the stock has lost over 84% of its value over the last eight years. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity and return on equity deeply negative. While the analyst consensus screams 'Strong Buy' with a $5 target, this appears to be a speculative bid based on potential divestitures rather than a recovery in core operations. The short-term outlook remains neutral-to-slightly-bearish despite the hype. The statistical forecasting models show zero predictive power, and the price action is merely churning around its 50-day average without a clear breakout. The massive options positioning at $3.00 is a classic retail 'lottery ticket' strategy that often results in a 'pin risk' crash if the stock fails to gap up immediately. Without a confirmed catalyst beyond the transit sale, the probability of a sustained move to $5 is low given the structural damage to the revenue base. Investors should view this as a high-risk speculative play on a binary event, not a fundamental recovery story.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.047038
AutoARIMA0.047038
MSTL0.047774
AutoTheta0.092879

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 0.40
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.108
Excess Kurtosis 1.06
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 127.395
Revenue per Share 18.931
Market Cap 216,173,904
Forward P/E 139.00
Beta 1.46
Profit Margins -7.76%
Website https://www.conduent.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest concentration at $3.00 strikes across multiple expirations, which represents a massive gap above the current price. This 'long gamma' setup suggests a bet on a sharp rally or a gap-up event. Conversely, put volume is negligible and concentrated only at the money or slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a lack of hedging demand and a one-sided bullish sentiment among retail traders.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4417671
Address1 100 Campus Drive
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 23.39
All Time Low 1.15
Ask 1.61
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 873,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,012,385
Average Volume 1,012,385
Average Volume10Days 873,910
Beta 1.455
Bid 1.19
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 3.382
City Florham Park
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 1.39
Current Ratio 1.552
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 1.58
Day Low 1.39
Debt To Equity 127.395
Display Name Conduent
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,366,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,366,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,365,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,968,200
Ebitda 76,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.02586
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.91
Enterprise To Revenue 0.334
Enterprise Value 981,173,888
Eps Current Year -0.37
Eps Forward 0.01
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.16
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.6172
Fifty Day Average Change -0.22720003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.14048976
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -44.17671
Fifty Two Week High 2.66
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2700001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.47744364
Fifty Two Week Low 1.15
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.24000001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20869567
Fifty Two Week Range 1.15 - 2.66
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,481,639,400,000
Float Shares 141,792,979
Forward Eps 0.01
Forward P E 139.0
Free Cashflow 96,000,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 46,000
Fullday Change -0.16000009
Fullday Change Percent -10.191088
Fullday Price 1.39
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.18611999
Gross Profits 547,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.100839995
Held Percent Institutions 0.75413
Implied Shares Outstanding 155,520,800
Industry Information Technology Services
Industry Disp Information Technology Services
Industry Key information-technology-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Conduent Incorporated provides digital business solutions and services for the commercial, government, and transportation spectrum in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Commercial, Government, and Transportation. The Commercial segment offers business process services and customized solutions, customer experience management, business process as a service, integrated digital solutions, healthcare claims and administration, and human capital solutions. Its Government segment provides government-centric business process services to the United States federal, state, local, and foreign governments for public assistance, healthcare program and administration, transaction processing, case management, and payment services; and digital payments, child support payments, government healthcare, and eligibility and enrollment solutions. The Transportation segment offers systems, support, and revenue-generating solutions that include road usage charging and management solutions; transit solutions; computer-aided dispatch/automatic vehicle location technology to help clients manage their fleet operations; and tolling, transit, and digital payment solutions that streamline operations. This segment also provides electronic tolling, urban congestion management, and mileage-based user solutions. Conduent Incorporated was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey.
Long Name Conduent Incorporated
Market us_market
Market Cap 216,173,904
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_323756013
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -173,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 248,833,280
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 1.58
Operating Cashflow -1,000,000
Operating Margins -0.03955
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 844-663-2638
Post Market Change 0.01999998
Post Market Change Percent 1.4388475
Post Market Price 1.41
Post Market Time 1,792,190,374
Previous Close 1.57
Price Eps Current Year -3.7567568
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.41099942
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.073553555
Profit Margins -0.07758
Quick Ratio 0.84
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -11.465
Regular Market Day High 1.58
Regular Market Day Low 1.39
Regular Market Day Range 1.39 - 1.58
Regular Market Open 1.58
Regular Market Previous Close 1.57
Regular Market Price 1.39
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,801
Regular Market Volume 1,214,630
Return On Assets -0.012410001
Return On Equity -0.20542
Revenue Growth -0.119
Revenue Per Share 18.931
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 155,520,800
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0277
Shares Short 4,305,926
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,537,743
Short Name Conduent Incorporated
Short Percent Of Float 0.0323
Short Ratio 3.83
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol CNDT
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 5.0
Target Median Price 5.0
Total Cash 228,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.466
Total Debt 851,000,000
Total Revenue 2,939,000,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.16
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.564675
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.17467499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.111636594
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,214,630
Website https://www.conduent.com
Zip 7,932