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Coincheck Group N.V. (CNCK)

Financial Services | Capital Markets | Amsterdam, Netherlands | NasdaqGM
2.68 USD +0.09 (3.475%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:54 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is neutral-to-slightly-bearish despite a recent price bounce, as the underlying business fundamentals remain severely impaired. While the stock has rallied recently, likely driven by partnership announcements and speculative volume, the company is generating negative free cash flow and operating losses, with a trailing EPS of -$0.08. The balance sheet shows significant leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 16.5x, creating substantial risk in a volatile market. Furthermore, the long-term trajectory is deeply concerning; over the last three years, the investment has lost nearly 40% of its value, and the most recent annual period saw a catastrophic 44% decline in share price. This multi-year destruction of value suggests the market has permanently reassessed the business quality, rendering any current rally a potential trap rather than a reversal. There is no dividend income to offset these risks, making this a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_36 ✓0.079479
AutoETS0.094098
MSTL0.096406
AutoTheta0.099590
MSTL_500.109431
MSTL_36_500.116572
AutoARIMA0.117991

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_36

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 2.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.822
Excess Kurtosis -0.01
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.5
Revenue per Share 3542.053
Market Cap 513,274,240
Beta 0.45
Profit Margins -0.38%
Previous Name Coincheck, Inc.
Website https://www.coincheckgroup.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5534483
Address1 Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 162
All Time High 14.99
All Time Low 1.395
Ask 3.14
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 67,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 988,137
Average Volume 988,137
Average Volume10Days 67,130
Beta 0.45
Bid 1.9
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.82044715
City Amsterdam
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Netherlands
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.68
Current Ratio 1.079
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 2.69
Day Low 2.46
Debt To Equity 16.5
Display Name Coincheck
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,619,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,619,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,589,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda -1,262,000,000
Ebitda Margins -0.00263
Enterprise To Ebitda 4.244
Enterprise To Revenue -0.011
Enterprise Value -5,355,981,312
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.08
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.9898
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6902001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.34686908
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -55.344833
Fifty Two Week High 9.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.63
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.71213746
Fifty Two Week Low 1.395
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2850001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.92114705
Fifty Two Week Range 1.395 - 9.31
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,631,280,600,000
Float Shares 44,625,634
Free Cashflow -381,750,016
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 303
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.02722
Gross Profits 13,070,999,552
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.91611
Held Percent Institutions 0.00703
Implied Shares Outstanding 191,520,241
Industry Capital Markets
Industry Disp Capital Markets
Industry Key capital-markets
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-12-11
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Long Business Summary Coincheck Group N.V. operates as a cryptocurrency exchange services provider in Japan. It operates Coincheck NFT Marketplace platform that enables non-fungible tokens to be purchased. It trades in various cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The company also offers staking rewards, asset management, trade execution and settlement, and custody services. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Coincheck Group N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Monex Group, Inc.
Long Name Coincheck Group N.V.
Market us_market
Market Cap 513,274,240
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_545475297
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -1,832,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 514,018,567
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 2.53
Operating Cashflow -620,000,000
Operating Margins -0.01163
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 31 20 522 2555
Prev Name Coincheck, Inc.
Previous Close 2.59
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 3.2665114
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.001068778
Profit Margins -0.00382
Quick Ratio 0.124
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent 3.47491
Regular Market Day High 2.69
Regular Market Day Low 2.46
Regular Market Day Range 2.46 - 2.69
Regular Market Open 2.53
Regular Market Previous Close 2.59
Regular Market Price 2.68
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 88,144
Return On Assets -0.00774
Return On Equity -0.112749994
Revenue Growth 0.045
Revenue Per Share 3,542.053
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 191,520,241
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.00090000004
Shares Short 168,007
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 564,881
Short Name Coincheck Group N.V.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0064999997
Short Ratio 1.83
Source Interval 15
Symbol CNCK
Target High Price 4.243475
Target Low Price 2.431575
Target Mean Price 3.3375251
Target Median Price 3.3375251
Total Cash 9,457,999,872
Total Cash Per Share 49.312
Total Debt 3,588,000,000
Total Revenue 480,244,006,912
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.08
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.80205
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.12205005
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.04355741
Type Disp Equity
Volume 88,144
Website https://www.coincheckgroup.com
Zip 1,012 SJ