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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
2.24 USD +0.01 (0.448%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.24

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:48 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Claros Mortgage Trust is currently broken by a catastrophic multi-year decline. The stock has lost over 80% of its value in just three years, with every single year showing a negative return. This is not a temporary downturn; it is a structural implosion where the market has priced out the business entirely. Fundamentals confirm the disaster: the company reports negative revenue, negative earnings, and a negative return on equity, while trading at a fraction of its book value due to the collapse in asset prices. While insiders have been buying recently, likely to support the share price or due to their own capital constraints, this does not reverse the reality that the underlying mortgage trust assets have likely suffered severe losses. The dividend is effectively a phantom yield given the negative operating cash flow and the likelihood of further cuts. The options market shows almost no interest in the stock's actual trading range, with all activity focused on a fantasy scenario of a 2x+ recovery. There is no margin of safety here, only a deep value trap where the price has already fallen far more than the fundamentals justify, leaving little room for error.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.063460
MSTL_65_1170.070177
MSTL_1170.073373
AutoETS0.083770
MSTL_650.090737
AutoARIMA0.091597
MSTL0.096471

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 1.98
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.339
Excess Kurtosis -0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2024-09-29
Last Dividend Date 2024-09-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 176.143
Revenue per Share -2.269
Market Cap 314,090,048
Forward P/E -5.33
Beta 1.14
Website https://www.clarosmortgage.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:48 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely thin and skewed toward deep out-of-the-money calls at the $5 strike, suggesting a speculative hope for a massive recovery to pre-collapse levels rather than a realistic bet on near-term upside. Put volume is negligible, indicating a lack of organized downside hedging, though the implied volatility on these distant strikes remains elevated relative to the tiny premium, reflecting uncertainty about whether the asset will ever recover.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2024-09-30 0.10 1.335114
2024-06-28 0.25 3.117207
2024-03-27 0.25 2.651113
2023-12-28 0.25 1.773050
2023-09-28 0.25 2.264493
2023-06-29 0.37 3.262787
2023-03-30 0.37 3.274336
2022-12-29 0.37 2.508475
2022-09-29 0.37 3.101425
2022-06-29 0.37 2.194543
2022-03-30 0.37 2.069351
2021-12-30 0.37 2.350699
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2024-09-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.1
lastDividendDate 2024-09-30
dividendDate 2024-10-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.28753996
Address1 60 Columbus Circle
Address2 20th Floor
All Time High 21.09
All Time Low 2.045
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 4,000
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 747,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 572,563
Average Volume 572,563
Average Volume10Days 747,000
Beta 1.142
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 4,600
Board Risk 7
Book Value 10.647
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.24
Current Ratio 402.389
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 2.28
Day Low 2.195
Debt To Equity 176.143
Display Name Claros Mortgage Trust
Dividend Date 1,728,950,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,162,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,162,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue -8.873
Enterprise Value 2,826,857,984
Eps Current Year -0.78
Eps Forward -0.42
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.32
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,727,654,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 2.3964
Fifty Day Average Change -0.15639997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06526455
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -28.753996
Fifty Two Week High 3.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.75
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4385965
Fifty Two Week Low 2.045
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.19499993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.09535449
Fifty Two Week Range 2.045 - 3.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,635,946,200,000
Float Shares 128,403,931
Forward Eps -0.42
Forward P E -5.3333335
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -392,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.18375
Held Percent Institutions 0.58679
Implied Shares Outstanding 140,218,764
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-11-03
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,727,654,400
Last Dividend Value 0.1
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust. It focuses on originating senior and subordinate loans on transitional commercial real estate assets in the United States. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to federal and state income tax on that portion of its income that is distributed to shareholders if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income and complies with certain other requirements to quality as a REIT. Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Long Name Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 314,090,048
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_325192855
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -464,740,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 312,687,843
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 2.28
Operating Cashflow -1,153,000
Operating Margins 4.38462
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 212 484 0050
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 2.24
Post Market Time 1,783,981,119
Previous Close 2.23
Price Eps Current Year -2.871795
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.2103879
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months -0.9858878
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 400.691
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.00999999
Regular Market Change Percent 0.44843
Regular Market Day High 2.28
Regular Market Day Low 2.195
Regular Market Day Range 2.195 - 2.28
Regular Market Open 2.28
Regular Market Previous Close 2.23
Regular Market Price 2.24
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 324,806
Return On Assets -0.0859
Return On Equity -0.27119
Revenue Per Share -2.269
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 140,218,764
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0257
Shares Short 3,609,220
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,205,534
Short Name Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0358
Short Ratio 4.45
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol CMTG
Target High Price 2.5
Target Low Price 2.5
Target Mean Price 2.5
Target Median Price 2.5
Total Cash 116,782,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.833
Total Debt 2,629,550,080
Total Revenue -318,585,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.32
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.77955
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.53955007
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.19411418
Type Disp Equity
Volume 324,806
Website https://www.clarosmortgage.com
Zip 10,023