Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Newport Beach, United States | NYSE
38.03 USD
+0.81
(2.176%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4:03 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 38.00 -0.03 (-0.031%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:14 a.m. EDT
The immediate pressure on Chipotle stems from the lingering shadow of the salmonella outbreak, which has triggered a sharp sell-off and a subsequent stabilization around the $32-$33 zone. While the company's underlying business remains robust—evidenced by a 9.3% revenue growth and a 49.6% return on equity—the market is currently punishing the stock for operational risks rather than fundamental weakness. The price action shows a clear attempt to reclaim losses, yet the heavy options positioning at the $37-$40 strikes acts as a formidable ceiling, preventing a full V-shaped recovery in the near term. For the long term, the valuation is becoming compelling; trading at roughly 27x forward earnings with such superior profitability metrics suggests the market is overreacting to a temporary crisis. However, the lack of a dividend and the persistent consumer caution mean the path to a 'buy' rating is still a work in progress. Investors should view this as a high-conviction hold for those who believe the brand can weather the storm, but patience is required before the risk-reward profile becomes truly asymmetric. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.143756 |
| AutoETS | 0.144188 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.144190 |
| AutoTheta | 0.147331 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 41% |
| H-stat | 4.08 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.915 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.17 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 246.35 |
| Revenue per Share | 9.51 |
| Market Cap | 48,123,842,560 |
| Trailing P/E | 35.21 |
| Forward P/E | 27.78 |
| Beta | 0.94 |
| Profit Margins | 11.43% |
| Website | https://www.chipotle.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound recovery rather than a breakout. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the $37-$40 strikes, creating a significant resistance wall that suggests traders expect the price to struggle to clear these levels immediately. Conversely, put open interest is massive at lower strikes ($25-$32), indicating a strong floor where buyers step in. The implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting the market's pricing in of the ongoing food safety uncertainty. The flow shows new buying at the $38 strike, suggesting a belief that the stock will test this resistance, but the heavy put volume implies a fear of a rejection or a deeper pullback if that level isn't cleared decisively.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.108502984 |
| Address1 | 610 Newport Center Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 1100 |
| All Time High | 69.2614 |
| All Time Low | 0.7372 |
| Ask | 38.0 |
| Ask Size | 900 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.7 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 15,432,420 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 19,791,303 |
| Average Volume | 19,791,303 |
| Average Volume10Days | 15,432,420 |
| Beta | 0.937 |
| Bid | 37.92 |
| Bid Size | 600 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 1.735 |
| City | Newport Beach |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 38.03 |
| Current Ratio | 0.715 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 38.25 |
| Day Low | 37.561 |
| Debt To Equity | 246.35 |
| Display Name | Chipotle Mexican Grill |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.013 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.075 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,355,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Ebitda | 2,275,020,032 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.18312 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 23.237 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 4.255 |
| Enterprise Value | 52,865,183,744 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.14919 |
| Eps Forward | 1.36912 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.08 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 34.1348 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 3.8951988 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.11411225 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -10.850298 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 42.82 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -4.790001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.111863635 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 28.04 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 9.989998 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.35627666 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 28.04 - 42.82 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,138,285,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 1,255,674,281 |
| Forward Eps | 1.36912 |
| Forward P E | 27.776966 |
| Free Cashflow | 1,116,464,384 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 140,000 |
| Fullday Change | 0.809998 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 2.17624 |
| Fullday Price | 37.999 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.39361998 |
| Gross Profits | 4,890,288,128 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00722 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.92749 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 1,265,418,000 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Ir Website | http://ir.chipotle.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=194775&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,719,360,000 |
| Last Split Factor | 50:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as kids' meals, chips, and sides. It also offers Mexican-inspired meals using responsibly sourced meats, such as chicken, beef, and pork under the Responsibly Raised brand. In addition, the company provides digital ordering through its website, mobile app, and third-party delivery platforms. It operates in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. |
| Long Name | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 48,123,842,560 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_26446 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 1,419,405,952 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 47,098,857,960 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 32 |
| Open | 37.6 |
| Operating Cashflow | 2,327,526,912 |
| Operating Margins | 0.16108 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 2.01 |
| Phone | 949 524 4000 |
| Post Market Change | -0.03099823 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.08150994 |
| Post Market Price | 37.999 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,570 |
| Previous Close | 37.22 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 33.092873 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 21.919308 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.8735332 |
| Profit Margins | 0.114250004 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.592 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.70588 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.809998 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.17624 |
| Regular Market Day High | 38.25 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 37.561 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 37.561 - 38.25 |
| Regular Market Open | 37.6 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 37.22 |
| Regular Market Price | 38.03 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,381 |
| Regular Market Volume | 12,709,639 |
| Return On Assets | 0.13075 |
| Return On Equity | 0.49560001 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.093 |
| Revenue Per Share | 9.51 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1,265,418,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.030199999 |
| Shares Short | 38,263,380 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 50,630,812 |
| Short Name | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0343 |
| Short Ratio | 1.98 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | CMG |
| Target High Price | 52.0 |
| Target Low Price | 35.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 43.67188 |
| Target Median Price | 43.5 |
| Total Cash | 677,857,024 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.536 |
| Total Debt | 5,419,195,904 |
| Total Revenue | 12,423,758,848 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.08 |
| Trailing P E | 35.21296 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 2.0034 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 34.6429 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 3.3871002 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.097771846 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 12,709,639 |
| Website | https://www.chipotle.com |
| Zip | 92,660 |