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CME Group Inc. (CME)

Financial Services | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Chicago, United States | NasdaqGS
289.46 USD +3.87 (1.355%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT

CME Group presents a compelling long-term investment case built on exceptional profitability and a dominant market position, yet it faces headwinds in the immediate term. The business generates massive operating margins exceeding 65% and maintains a robust return on equity of 15.8%, supported by a nine-year price trajectory that is up 154%. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by recent price weakness, with the stock trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages and showing a negative statistical forecast for the coming weeks. The dividend yield of 1.96% is attractive, but the payout ratio sits at a precarious 95%, leaving little room for error if earnings growth stalls. While options flow suggests smart money is betting on a recovery toward the 300-level targets, the fundamental risk lies in the high payout ratio combined with sluggish revenue growth. For a patient investor, this is a solid buy-and-hold candidate, but timing the entry may require waiting for the current technical downtrend to resolve.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.059926
AutoETS0.061044
MSTL0.062524
AutoTheta0.101906

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 3.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.543
Excess Kurtosis -0.79
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-08
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.587
Revenue per Share 18.779
Market Cap 104,083,808,256
Trailing P/E 24.55
Forward P/E 22.26
Beta 0.27
Profit Margins 63.44%
Website https://www.cmegroup.com

As of Oct. 3, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside with significant call open interest walls at 300 and 310 strikes, indicating a bullish bias for the next few months. However, there is notable put volume at the money (around 262.5) and deep OTM puts, suggesting traders are hedging downside risk or protecting against a potential correction. Implied volatility is elevated on deep OTM calls, reflecting speculative bets on a rally despite the current price weakness.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.47% 3.87% 4.31% 4.24%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-09 1.300 0.473244
2026-06-09 1.300 0.507932
2026-03-10 7.450 2.431938
2025-12-12 1.250 0.456955
2025-09-09 1.250 0.477957
2025-06-09 1.250 0.465810
2025-03-07 1.250 0.491024
2024-12-27 5.800 2.483940
2024-12-09 1.150 0.485806
2024-09-09 1.150 0.526219
2024-06-07 1.150 0.576846
2024-03-07 1.150 0.538566
2023-12-27 5.250 2.493588
2023-12-07 1.100 0.521995
2023-09-07 1.100 0.535827
2023-06-08 1.100 0.593152
2023-03-09 1.100 0.619823
2022-12-27 4.500 2.683683
2022-12-08 1.000 0.564334
2022-09-08 1.000 0.495099
2022-06-09 1.000 0.505229
2022-03-09 1.000 0.434613
2021-12-27 3.250 1.416554
2021-12-09 0.900 0.395361
2021-09-09 0.900 0.467630
2021-06-09 0.900 0.417614
2021-03-09 0.900 0.429144
2020-12-24 2.500 1.400717
2020-12-09 0.850 0.466060
2020-09-09 0.850 0.505922
2020-06-09 0.850 0.444793
2020-03-09 0.850 0.414816
2019-12-26 2.500 1.241619
2019-12-09 0.750 0.365871
2019-09-09 0.750 0.347899
2019-06-07 0.750 0.371085
2019-03-07 0.750 0.434783
2018-12-27 1.750 0.949436
2018-12-07 0.700 0.374111
2018-09-07 0.700 0.402808
2018-06-07 0.700 0.407593
2018-03-08 0.700 0.415578
2017-12-27 3.500 2.398082
2017-12-07 0.660 0.434011
2017-09-07 0.660 0.524893
2017-06-07 0.660 0.552718
2017-03-08 0.660 0.535714
2016-12-23 3.250 2.779678
2016-12-07 0.600 0.496483
2016-09-07 0.600 0.561745
2016-06-08 0.600 0.628997
2016-03-08 0.600 0.643156
2015-12-23 2.900 3.187163
2015-12-08 0.500 0.511195
2015-09-08 0.500 0.527315
2015-06-08 0.500 0.525376
2015-03-06 0.500 0.523999
2014-12-24 2.000 2.207993
2014-12-08 0.470 0.528506
2014-09-08 0.470 0.618910
2014-06-06 0.470 0.673160
2014-03-06 0.470 0.612298
2013-12-24 2.600 3.248782
2013-12-06 0.450 0.562711
2013-09-06 0.450 0.621290
2013-06-06 0.450 0.652931
2013-03-06 0.450 0.725689
2012-12-13 1.300 2.538567
2012-12-06 0.450 0.817736
2012-09-06 0.450 0.798014
2012-06-06 0.446 0.827428
2012-03-07 1.046 1.900367
2011-12-15 0.280 0.585554
2011-09-07 0.280 0.526415
2011-06-16 0.280 0.509054
2011-03-08 0.280 0.461270
2010-12-08 0.230 0.358010
2010-09-08 0.230 0.441120
2010-06-08 0.230 0.385764
2010-03-08 0.230 0.367260
2009-12-08 0.230 0.359971
2009-09-08 0.230 0.421817
2009-06-08 0.230 0.347044
2009-03-06 0.230 0.630310
2008-12-08 0.230 0.515025
2008-09-23 1.000 1.348982
2008-09-08 0.230 0.327785
2008-06-06 0.230 0.296698
2008-03-06 0.230 0.227520
2007-12-06 0.172 0.122892
2007-09-06 0.172 0.154390
2007-06-06 0.172 0.158555
2007-03-07 0.172 0.153289
2006-12-06 0.126 0.116354
2006-09-06 0.126 0.141764
2006-06-07 0.126 0.141560
2006-03-08 0.126 0.150093
2005-12-07 0.092 0.132565
2005-09-07 0.092 0.153282
2005-06-08 0.092 0.188919
2005-03-08 0.092 0.236467
2004-12-08 0.052 0.120812
2004-09-08 0.052 0.181134
2004-06-08 0.052 0.208517
2004-03-08 0.052 0.272394
2003-12-08 0.042 0.300000
2003-09-08 0.028 0.194013
2003-06-06 0.028 0.229508
2003-03-06 0.028 0.330657
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.8
exDividendDate 2026-09-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.1
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.017857768
lastDividendValue 1.3
lastDividendDate 2026-09-09
dividendDate 2026-09-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.08031654
Address1 20 South Wacker Drive
All Time High 329.16
All Time Low 7.78
Ask 277.37
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,927,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,018,642
Average Volume 2,018,642
Average Volume10Days 1,927,780
Beta 0.27
Bid 289.58
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 73.816
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 289.46
Current Ratio 1.018
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 290.195
Day Low 285.95
Debt To Equity 14.587
Display Name CME
Dividend Date 1,790,294,400
Dividend Yield 1.8
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,612,800
Earnings Growth 0.025
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.016
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,585,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,585,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,585,800
Ebitda 4,771,100,160
Ebitda Margins 0.70608
Enterprise To Ebitda 22.149
Enterprise To Revenue 15.639
Enterprise Value 105,676,709,888
Eps Current Year 12.30715
Eps Forward 13.00407
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.79
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,912,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 273.1746
Fifty Day Average Change 16.2854
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.059615355
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.031654
Fifty Two Week High 329.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -39.700012
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12061007
Fifty Two Week Low 218.31
Fifty Two Week Low Change 71.149994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.32591265
Fifty Two Week Range 218.31 - 329.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,039,185,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.9
Float Shares 354,645,836
Forward Eps 13.00407
Forward P E 22.259184
Free Cashflow 2,909,012,480
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,875
Fullday Change -0.95999146
Fullday Change Percent -0.3316491
Fullday Price 288.5
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 6,757,199,872
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00441
Held Percent Institutions 0.91842
Implied Shares Outstanding 359,579,263
Industry Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Industry Disp Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Industry Key financial-data-stock-exchanges
Ir Website http://investor.cmegroup.com/investor-relations/stockquote.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,912,000
Last Dividend Value 1.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,343,001,600
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. CME Group Inc. partners with FutureSports to futures on sports indexes. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Long Name CME Group Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 104,083,808,256
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_2004577
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,264,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 97,374,064,419
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 287.99
Operating Cashflow 4,309,000,192
Operating Margins 0.65036005
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.95419997
Peg Ratio 4.83
Phone 312 930 1000
Pre Market Change -0.95999146
Pre Market Change Percent -0.3316491
Pre Market Price 288.5
Pre Market Time 1,792,142,589
Previous Close 285.59
Price Eps Current Year 23.51966
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.921372
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 15.403394
Profit Margins 0.63443
Quick Ratio 0.019
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.52941
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.87
Regular Market Change Percent 1.35509
Regular Market Day High 290.195
Regular Market Day Low 285.95
Regular Market Day Range 285.95 - 290.195
Regular Market Open 287.99
Regular Market Previous Close 285.59
Regular Market Price 289.46
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 2,083,845
Return On Assets 0.01481
Return On Equity 0.15802
Revenue Growth 0.008
Revenue Per Share 18.779
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 359,576,125
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0154
Shares Short 5,526,063
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,629,176
Short Name CME Group Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0171
Short Ratio 3.01
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol CME
Target High Price 337.0
Target Low Price 218.0
Target Mean Price 292.9375
Target Median Price 297.5
Total Cash 2,275,599,872
Total Cash Per Share 6.329
Total Debt 3,868,499,968
Total Revenue 6,757,199,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.1
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.017857768
Trailing Eps 11.79
Trailing P E 24.551313
Trailing Peg Ratio 4.7092
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 278.5994
Two Hundred Day Average Change 10.860596
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.03898284
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,083,845
Website https://www.cmegroup.com
Zip 60,606