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CME Group Inc. (CME)

Financial Services | Financial Data & Stock Exchanges | Chicago, United States | NasdaqGS
245.10 USD +4.83 (2.010%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:47 a.m. EDT

CME Group presents a compelling long-term story with robust margins and a 176% gain over the last nine years, yet the current valuation and aggressive 95% payout ratio introduce risk. While the business quality remains elite, the stock is trading below its 50- and 200-day averages, reflecting near-term headwinds like weaker trading volumes and competition. The dividend yield is attractive but leaves little cushion for earnings volatility. Short-term, the price is stabilizing after a June dip, supported by a modest statistical forecast, but the technical trend remains downward. Investors should view this as a core holding for growth rather than a high-yield income play, waiting for a clearer technical breakout above the 50-day average.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_84_126 ✓0.099919
MSTL_840.111362
MSTL_1260.113844
MSTL0.123060
AutoETS0.131857
AutoARIMA0.131858
AutoTheta0.135857

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_84_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 14.46
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.017
Excess Kurtosis -0.11
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-08
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.059
Revenue per Share 18.754
Market Cap 88,560,205,824
Trailing P/E 20.90
Forward P/E 19.00
Beta 0.28
Profit Margins 63.32%
Website https://www.cmegroup.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound move with asymmetric upside potential. Call buyers are targeting $270-$300 resistance levels, while put writers and buyers are hedging near the $220-$240 support zone. The heavy open interest at deep OTM strikes indicates lottery-ticket speculation rather than directional conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.51% 3.87% 4.33% 4.23%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-09 1.300 0.507932
2026-03-10 7.450 2.431938
2025-12-12 1.250 0.456955
2025-09-09 1.250 0.477957
2025-06-09 1.250 0.465810
2025-03-07 1.250 0.491024
2024-12-27 5.800 2.483940
2024-12-09 1.150 0.485806
2024-09-09 1.150 0.526219
2024-06-07 1.150 0.576846
2024-03-07 1.150 0.538566
2023-12-27 5.250 2.493588
2023-12-07 1.100 0.521995
2023-09-07 1.100 0.535827
2023-06-08 1.100 0.593152
2023-03-09 1.100 0.619823
2022-12-27 4.500 2.683683
2022-12-08 1.000 0.564334
2022-09-08 1.000 0.495099
2022-06-09 1.000 0.505229
2022-03-09 1.000 0.434613
2021-12-27 3.250 1.416554
2021-12-09 0.900 0.395361
2021-09-09 0.900 0.467630
2021-06-09 0.900 0.417614
2021-03-09 0.900 0.429144
2020-12-24 2.500 1.400717
2020-12-09 0.850 0.466060
2020-09-09 0.850 0.505922
2020-06-09 0.850 0.444793
2020-03-09 0.850 0.414816
2019-12-26 2.500 1.241619
2019-12-09 0.750 0.365871
2019-09-09 0.750 0.347899
2019-06-07 0.750 0.371085
2019-03-07 0.750 0.434783
2018-12-27 1.750 0.949436
2018-12-07 0.700 0.374111
2018-09-07 0.700 0.402808
2018-06-07 0.700 0.407593
2018-03-08 0.700 0.415578
2017-12-27 3.500 2.398082
2017-12-07 0.660 0.434011
2017-09-07 0.660 0.524893
2017-06-07 0.660 0.552718
2017-03-08 0.660 0.535714
2016-12-23 3.250 2.779678
2016-12-07 0.600 0.496483
2016-09-07 0.600 0.561745
2016-06-08 0.600 0.628997
2016-03-08 0.600 0.643156
2015-12-23 2.900 3.187163
2015-12-08 0.500 0.511195
2015-09-08 0.500 0.527315
2015-06-08 0.500 0.525376
2015-03-06 0.500 0.523999
2014-12-24 2.000 2.207993
2014-12-08 0.470 0.528506
2014-09-08 0.470 0.618910
2014-06-06 0.470 0.673160
2014-03-06 0.470 0.612298
2013-12-24 2.600 3.248782
2013-12-06 0.450 0.562711
2013-09-06 0.450 0.621290
2013-06-06 0.450 0.652931
2013-03-06 0.450 0.725689
2012-12-13 1.300 2.538567
2012-12-06 0.450 0.817736
2012-09-06 0.450 0.798014
2012-06-06 0.446 0.827428
2012-03-07 1.046 1.900367
2011-12-15 0.280 0.585554
2011-09-07 0.280 0.526415
2011-06-16 0.280 0.509054
2011-03-08 0.280 0.461270
2010-12-08 0.230 0.358010
2010-09-08 0.230 0.441120
2010-06-08 0.230 0.385764
2010-03-08 0.230 0.367260
2009-12-08 0.230 0.359971
2009-09-08 0.230 0.421817
2009-06-08 0.230 0.347044
2009-03-06 0.230 0.630310
2008-12-08 0.230 0.515025
2008-09-23 1.000 1.348982
2008-09-08 0.230 0.327785
2008-06-06 0.230 0.296698
2008-03-06 0.230 0.227520
2007-12-06 0.172 0.122892
2007-09-06 0.172 0.154390
2007-06-06 0.172 0.158555
2007-03-07 0.172 0.153289
2006-12-06 0.126 0.116354
2006-09-06 0.126 0.141764
2006-06-07 0.126 0.141560
2006-03-08 0.126 0.150093
2005-12-07 0.092 0.132565
2005-09-07 0.092 0.153282
2005-06-08 0.092 0.188919
2005-03-08 0.092 0.236467
2004-12-08 0.052 0.120812
2004-09-08 0.052 0.181134
2004-06-08 0.052 0.208517
2004-03-08 0.052 0.272394
2003-12-08 0.042 0.300000
2003-09-08 0.028 0.194013
2003-06-06 0.028 0.229508
2003-03-06 0.028 0.330657
Additional Data
dividendRate 5.2
dividendYield 2.16
exDividendDate 2026-06-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 5.05
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.021018023
lastDividendValue 1.3
lastDividendDate 2026-06-09
dividendDate 2026-06-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.13278711
Address1 20 South Wacker Drive
All Time High 329.16
All Time Low 7.78
Ask 240.51
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,019,200
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,322,701
Average Volume 3,322,701
Average Volume10Days 4,019,200
Beta 0.276
Bid 245.11
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 73.573
City Chicago
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 245.1
Current Ratio 1.018
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 245.635
Day Low 240.49
Debt To Equity 14.059
Display Name CME
Dividend Date 1,782,345,600
Dividend Rate 5.2
Dividend Yield 2.16
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Earnings Growth 0.213
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.207
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,723,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,723,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,723,400
Ebitda 4,792,500,224
Ebitda Margins 0.71067
Enterprise To Ebitda 18.788
Enterprise To Revenue 13.352
Enterprise Value 90,041,073,664
Eps Current Year 12.23049
Eps Forward 12.90066
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 11.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,963,200
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 264.5222
Fifty Day Average Change -19.42218
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.07342363
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -13.278711
Fifty Two Week High 329.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -84.06
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25537732
Fifty Two Week Low 218.31
Fifty Two Week Low Change 26.790009
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12271544
Fifty Two Week Range 218.31 - 329.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,039,185,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.54
Float Shares 357,297,187
Forward Eps 12.90066
Forward P E 18.99903
Free Cashflow 3,030,237,440
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,875
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 6,743,600,128
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00422
Held Percent Institutions 0.92543
Implied Shares Outstanding 361,322,751
Industry Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Industry Disp Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Industry Key financial-data-stock-exchanges
Ir Website http://investor.cmegroup.com/investor-relations/stockquote.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,963,200
Last Dividend Value 1.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,343,001,600
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, and foreign exchange; and agricultural, energy, and metals commodities, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Long Name CME Group Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 88,560,205,824
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_2004577
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 4,244,800,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 86,815,017,380
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 243.1
Operating Cashflow 4,420,400,128
Operating Margins 0.69806
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.95559996
Peg Ratio 4.21
Phone 312 930 1000
Pre Market Change -1.8200073
Pre Market Change Percent -0.74255705
Pre Market Price 243.28
Pre Market Time 1,784,022,300
Previous Close 240.27
Price Eps Current Year 20.040081
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3313854
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 13.132482
Profit Margins 0.63324
Quick Ratio 0.021
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.4375
Region US
Regular Market Change 4.83
Regular Market Change Percent 2.01024
Regular Market Day High 245.635
Regular Market Day Low 240.49
Regular Market Day Range 240.49 - 245.635
Regular Market Open 243.1
Regular Market Previous Close 240.27
Regular Market Price 245.1
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 2,182,025
Return On Assets 0.0155
Return On Equity 0.15919
Revenue Growth 0.144
Revenue Per Share 18.754
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 361,319,613
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0166
Shares Short 6,011,422
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,566,985
Short Name CME Group Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0185
Short Ratio 1.32
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol CME
Target High Price 329.0
Target Low Price 226.0
Target Mean Price 285.46667
Target Median Price 285.0
Total Cash 2,515,399,936
Total Cash Per Share 6.942
Total Debt 3,742,200,064
Total Revenue 6,743,600,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 5.05
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.021018023
Trailing Eps 11.73
Trailing P E 20.895142
Trailing Peg Ratio 4.2124
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 279.6754
Two Hundred Day Average Change -34.57541
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.12362692
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,182,025
Website https://www.cmegroup.com
Zip 60,606