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Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

Industrials | Metal Fabrication | Irving, United States | NYSE
67.23 USD +1.04 (1.571%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 11:18 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:38 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is solid, driven by exceptional fundamentals including a 23% revenue surge, robust 112% earnings growth, and a fortress balance sheet with a mere 14% payout ratio. While the stock recently corrected, the multi-year trajectory remains overwhelmingly positive with a 200% gain over the last nine years, and the single recent dip does not constitute a structural decline. The short-term view is neutral; despite a low-confidence statistical forecast leaning slightly down, the technicals show the stock hovering near its 200-day average, and the recent price action suggests a consolidation phase rather than a trend reversal. The dividend offers a modest 1.33% yield, which is adequate but not a primary driver given the company's aggressive reinvestment of capital. The disconnect between the weak statistical forecast and the strong fundamental/momentum setup suggests the market is currently pricing in a pause before the next leg up.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.079143
MSTL0.082366
AutoETS0.085973
AutoARIMA0.085974

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 2.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.019
Excess Kurtosis 0.03
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 79.981
Revenue per Share 79.635
Market Cap 7,437,274,624
Trailing P/E 12.71
Forward P/E 9.51
Beta 1.53
Profit Margins 6.72%
Website https://www.cmc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy out-of-the-money call open interest at strikes like $80 and $105, alongside a massive volume spike in the $105 calls. Conversely, put activity is concentrated near the money ($60-$65), suggesting a floor rather than a crash. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep OTM calls compared to puts, indicating asymmetric bullish sentiment.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.32% 1.19% 1.33% 1.37%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-06 0.200000 0.318979
2026-04-06 0.200000 0.326424
2026-01-16 0.180000 0.241870
2025-10-30 0.180000 0.300501
2025-06-30 0.180000 0.368023
2025-03-31 0.180000 0.391219
2025-01-16 0.180000 0.353774
2024-10-31 0.180000 0.334572
2024-07-01 0.180000 0.336323
2024-03-28 0.180000 0.306279
2024-01-17 0.160000 0.319170
2023-10-25 0.160000 0.386567
2023-06-30 0.160000 0.303836
2023-03-31 0.160000 0.327198
2023-01-18 0.160000 0.303433
2022-10-26 0.160000 0.354531
2022-06-28 0.140000 0.397163
2022-03-29 0.140000 0.338819
2022-01-19 0.140000 0.383037
2021-10-26 0.140000 0.433571
2021-06-29 0.120000 0.394218
2021-03-30 0.120000 0.382775
2021-01-20 0.120000 0.566305
2020-10-28 0.120000 0.610376
2020-07-02 0.120000 0.605144
2020-04-03 0.120000 0.820232
2020-01-14 0.120000 0.540054
2019-11-05 0.120000 0.604230
2019-07-03 0.120000 0.677583
2019-04-04 0.120000 0.664452
2019-01-14 0.120000 0.757098
2018-11-06 0.120000 0.587372
2018-07-03 0.120000 0.571429
2018-04-03 0.120000 0.609137
2018-01-12 0.120000 0.476948
2017-11-07 0.120000 0.640000
2017-07-03 0.120000 0.601504
2017-04-03 0.120000 0.629591
2017-01-12 0.120000 0.591424
2016-11-07 0.120000 0.705053
2016-07-05 0.120000 0.736196
2016-04-04 0.120000 0.721154
2016-01-14 0.120000 0.909780
2015-11-06 0.120000 0.808081
2015-07-07 0.120000 0.752823
2015-04-07 0.120000 0.750469
2015-01-15 0.120000 0.919540
2014-11-07 0.120000 0.705467
2014-07-08 0.120000 0.686499
2014-04-07 0.120000 0.643432
2014-01-16 0.120000 0.584795
2013-11-04 0.120000 0.650054
2013-07-05 0.120000 0.833333
2013-04-05 0.120000 0.832755
2013-01-16 0.120000 0.784314
2012-11-05 0.120000 0.833333
2012-07-09 0.120000 0.923077
2012-04-09 0.120000 0.825878
2012-01-18 0.120000 0.927357
2011-10-14 0.120000 1.081081
2011-06-29 0.120000 0.840336
2011-03-30 0.120000 0.694043
2010-12-30 0.120000 0.718563
2010-09-29 0.120000 0.827016
2010-06-30 0.120000 0.907716
2010-03-30 0.120000 0.804290
2010-01-06 0.120000 0.751880
2009-09-30 0.120000 0.670391
2009-06-30 0.120000 0.748596
2009-04-01 0.120000 1.018676
2009-01-06 0.120000 0.886263
2008-10-01 0.120000 0.737101
2008-07-01 0.120000 0.324412
2008-04-02 0.120000 0.384492
2008-01-08 0.120000 0.444115
2007-10-03 0.090000 0.279330
2007-07-03 0.090000 0.264550
2007-04-03 0.090000 0.285805
2007-01-03 0.090000 0.351151
2006-10-04 0.060000 0.297767
2006-07-05 0.060000 0.243210
2006-04-05 0.050000 0.182515
2006-01-04 0.030000 0.154719
2005-10-05 0.030000 0.200870
2005-06-29 0.030000 0.246711
2005-03-30 0.030000 0.179964
2005-01-19 0.030000 0.221076
2004-09-29 0.025000 0.261575
2004-06-30 0.025000 0.308166
2004-03-31 0.020000 0.251256
2003-12-30 0.020000 0.253727
2003-10-01 0.020000 0.416233
2003-07-01 0.020000 0.437158
2003-04-02 0.020000 0.551344
2002-12-30 0.020000 0.504414
2002-10-02 0.020000 0.445931
2002-07-02 0.020000 0.361827
2002-04-03 0.016250 0.306243
2001-12-31 0.016250 0.371641
2001-07-03 0.016250 0.407524
2001-04-04 0.016250 0.533881
2001-01-02 0.016250 0.585915
2000-10-04 0.016250 0.522613
2000-07-05 0.016250 0.467416
2000-04-05 0.016250 0.441614
2000-01-05 0.016250 0.391714
1999-10-06 0.016250 0.451193
1999-07-07 0.016250 0.416834
1999-04-07 0.016250 0.628399
1999-01-06 0.016250 0.507317
1998-10-07 0.016250 0.582633
1998-07-08 0.016250 0.400771
1998-04-07 0.016250 0.370107
1998-01-07 0.016250 0.418511
1997-10-08 0.016250 0.414343
1997-07-09 0.016250 0.421053
1997-04-09 0.016250 0.468468
1997-01-08 0.016250 0.454148
1996-12-26 0.016250 0.421053
1996-10-09 0.016250 0.417671
1996-07-10 0.015000 0.379447
1996-04-10 0.015000 0.408511
1996-01-03 0.015000 0.477612
1995-10-11 0.015000 0.457143
1995-07-12 0.015000 0.432432
1995-04-07 0.015000 0.468293
1995-01-09 0.015000 0.466019
1994-10-07 0.015000 0.442396
1994-07-11 0.015000 0.487310
1994-04-11 0.015000 0.521739
1994-01-03 0.015000 0.430493
1993-10-08 0.012188 0.347840
1993-07-12 0.012188 0.380968
1993-04-02 0.012188 0.452192
1993-01-04 0.012188 0.495258
1992-10-09 0.012188 0.574609
1992-07-13 0.012188 0.568329
1992-04-06 0.012188 0.565241
1991-12-27 0.012188 0.670995
1991-10-07 0.012188 0.675352
1991-07-08 0.012188 0.630329
1991-04-08 0.012188 0.645989
1990-12-28 0.012188 0.800033
1990-10-05 0.012188 0.698015
1990-07-09 0.012188 0.654115
1990-04-06 0.012188 0.642001
1989-12-29 0.012188 0.594310
1989-10-06 0.010313 0.514645
1989-07-10 0.010313 0.543236
1989-04-10 0.010313 0.517672
1989-01-09 0.010313 0.530146
1988-10-07 0.006875 0.458333
1988-07-11 0.006875 0.392857
1988-04-11 0.006875 0.415094
1988-01-04 0.005000 0.405063
1987-10-09 0.005000 0.397515
1987-07-13 0.005000 0.421053
1987-04-06 0.005000 0.447552
1986-12-26 0.005000 0.463768
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.8
dividendYield 1.21
exDividendDate 2026-07-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.74
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.011179936
lastDividendValue 0.2
lastDividendDate 2026-07-06
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.29176426
Address1 6,565 N. MacArthur Boulevard
Address2 Suite 800
All Time High 84.87
All Time Low 0.355469
Ask 67.4
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,376,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,177,588
Average Volume 1,177,588
Average Volume10Days 1,376,830
Beta 1.532
Bid 67.32
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 2
Book Value 40.94
City Irving
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 67.23
Current Ratio 2.326
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 67.645
Day Low 66.6
Debt To Equity 79.981
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.8
Dividend Yield 1.21
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,782,399,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,782,399,600
Earnings Growth 1.123
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.081
Earnings Timestamp 1,782,390,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,782,390,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,782,390,600
Ebitda 1,204,526,976
Ebitda Margins 0.1361
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.624
Enterprise To Revenue 1.174
Enterprise Value 10,387,605,504
Eps Current Year 6.34535
Eps Forward 7.07005
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.29
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 214 689 5886
Fifty Day Average 70.7206
Fifty Day Average Change -3.490593
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.049357515
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 29.176426
Fifty Two Week High 84.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.64
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20784728
Fifty Two Week Low 49.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.570004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35380596
Fifty Two Week Range 49.66 - 84.87
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.31
Float Shares 109,533,579
Forward Eps 7.07005
Forward P E 9.509128
Free Cashflow 134,061,248
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 12,690
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.18565
Gross Profits 1,642,987,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00658
Held Percent Institutions 0.96575
Implied Shares Outstanding 110,624,335
Industry Metal Fabrication
Industry Disp Metal Fabrication
Industry Key metal-fabrication
Ir Website http://www.b2i.us/profiles/investor/CSummary.asp?BzID=653&Nav=0&LangID=1&s=0&tPName=Profile
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Last Dividend Value 0.2
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,598,400
Last Split Date 1,148,342,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Steel Group; Europe Steel Group; and Emerging Businesses Group. The company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills and foundries, aluminum sheet and ingot manufacturers, brass and bronze ingot makers, copper refineries and mills, secondary lead smelters, specialty steel mills, high temperature alloy manufacturers, and other consumers. It also manufactures and sells finished long steel products, including reinforcing bar, merchant bar, light structural, wire rod, and other special sections, as well as semi-finished billets for rerolling and forging applications. In addition, the company provides fabricated rebar used to reinforce concrete primarily in the construction of commercial and non-commercial buildings, hospitals, convention centers, industrial plants, power plants, highways, bridges, arenas, stadiums, and dams; sells and rents construction-related products and equipment to concrete installers and other businesses; and manufactures and sells strength bars for the truck trailer industry, special bar steels for the energy market, and armor plates for military vehicles. Further, it sells wire meshes, welded steel mesh, wire rod, cold rolled rebar, cold rolled wire rod, assembled rebar cages and other fabricated rebar by-products to fabricators, manufacturers, distributors, and construction companies. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
Long Name Commercial Metals Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,437,274,624
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_262639
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,185,600
Net Income To Common 595,110,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,134,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,322,224,733
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 66.67
Operating Cashflow 918,227,968
Operating Margins 0.09476
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.1399
Peg Ratio 13.13
Phone 214 689 4300
Previous Close 66.19
Price Eps Current Year 10.595161
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.6421593
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.84036165
Profit Margins 0.06724
Quick Ratio 1.311
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.91667
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.0400009
Regular Market Change Percent 1.5712357
Regular Market Day High 67.645
Regular Market Day Low 66.6
Regular Market Day Range 66.6 - 67.645
Regular Market Open 66.67
Regular Market Previous Close 66.19
Regular Market Price 67.23
Regular Market Time 1,784,128,733
Regular Market Volume 251,550
Return On Assets 0.06323
Return On Equity 0.13791999
Revenue Growth 0.229
Revenue Per Share 79.635
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 110,624,335
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.042
Shares Short 4,647,461
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,069,762
Short Name Commercial Metals Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0556
Short Ratio 3.09
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol CMC
Target High Price 88.0
Target Low Price 75.0
Target Mean Price 80.09091
Target Median Price 78.0
Total Cash 559,758,976
Total Cash Per Share 5.06
Total Debt 3,624,866,048
Total Revenue 8,850,087,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.74
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.011179936
Trailing Eps 5.29
Trailing P E 12.708885
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 67.82045
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.5904465
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.008706024
Type Disp Equity
Volume 251,550
Website https://www.cmc.com
Zip 75,039