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Choice Hotels International, Inc. (CHH)

Consumer Cyclical | Lodging | North Bethesda, United States | NYSE
108.86 USD +0.32 (0.295%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 108.86

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:40 a.m. EDT

Choice Hotels presents a classic value-trap candidate with a fortress-like dividend safety profile masking underlying balance sheet fragility. While the nine-year price trajectory remains robust with a 146% cumulative gain, the last two years of consecutive declines and a sharp contraction in quarterly earnings growth signal a deteriorating operational reality. The balance sheet is precarious, carrying nearly $2.1 billion in debt against minimal cash reserves, which constrains the ability to weather further cyclical downturns. Technically, the stock has stabilized above its 200-day moving average, offering a slight near-term bounce opportunity, but the high short interest and negative earnings momentum suggest caution is warranted for long-term capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.021745
AutoARIMA0.021923
MSTL0.022753
AutoTheta0.023447

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.67
Ljung-Box p 0.002
Jarque-Bera p 0.978
Excess Kurtosis -0.14
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 1481.726
Revenue per Share 21.998
Market Cap 4,899,638,784
Trailing P/E 15.38
Forward P/E 14.47
Beta 0.68
Profit Margins 32.63%
Website https://www.choicehotels.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with notable call interest at 120 and 130 strikes, suggesting upside potential. However, near-term put implied volatility is significantly elevated compared to calls, indicating hedging against downside risk. The massive short interest (30% of float) acts as a significant overhang.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.26% 1.12% 0.98% 0.92%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.2880 0.263567
2026-04-01 0.2880 0.279938
2026-01-02 0.2880 0.299688
2025-10-01 0.2880 0.271980
2025-07-01 0.2880 0.221385
2025-04-01 0.2880 0.216965
2025-01-02 0.2880 0.203289
2024-10-01 0.2880 0.222308
2024-07-01 0.2880 0.242241
2024-04-01 0.2880 0.232803
2023-12-29 0.2880 0.254192
2023-09-29 0.2880 0.235083
2023-07-03 0.2880 0.245692
2023-03-31 0.2880 0.245755
2022-12-30 0.2380 0.211293
2022-09-30 0.2380 0.217312
2022-06-30 0.2380 0.213204
2022-03-31 0.2380 0.167889
2022-01-03 0.2380 0.154545
2021-09-30 0.2250 0.178049
2021-06-30 0.2250 0.189298
2020-04-01 0.2250 0.383959
2019-12-31 0.2250 0.217538
2019-10-01 0.2150 0.242363
2019-07-01 0.2150 0.246221
2019-04-01 0.2150 0.273816
2018-12-31 0.2150 0.300363
2018-10-01 0.2150 0.263610
2018-06-29 0.2150 0.284392
2018-03-29 0.2150 0.268247
2017-12-29 0.2150 0.277062
2017-09-29 0.2150 0.336463
2017-06-29 0.2150 0.334370
2017-03-30 0.2150 0.340459
2016-12-30 0.2150 0.383586
2016-09-29 0.2050 0.457691
2016-06-29 0.2050 0.438503
2016-03-31 0.2050 0.379278
2015-12-30 0.2050 0.405138
2015-09-30 0.1950 0.409234
2015-06-29 0.1950 0.355515
2015-03-31 0.1950 0.304355
2014-12-30 0.1950 0.342948
2014-10-01 0.1850 0.361328
2014-06-27 0.1850 0.396230
2014-04-02 0.1850 0.398192
2013-12-31 0.1850 0.376705
2013-10-08 0.1850 0.443326
2013-06-27 0.1850 0.458261
2013-03-28 0.1850 0.437249
2012-12-14 0.1850 0.562310
2012-09-28 0.1850 0.578306
2012-08-24 10.4100 32.995246
2012-06-28 0.1850 0.468948
2012-03-29 0.1850 0.496511
2011-12-30 0.1850 0.486202
2011-09-29 0.1850 0.605168
2011-06-29 0.1850 0.555222
2011-03-30 0.1850 0.476681
2010-12-31 0.1850 0.483407
2010-09-29 0.1850 0.511757
2010-06-30 0.1850 0.612380
2010-03-31 0.1850 0.531456
2009-12-30 0.1850 0.576863
2009-09-30 0.1850 0.595621
2009-06-30 0.1850 0.695227
2009-04-01 0.1850 0.709084
2008-12-31 0.1850 0.615436
2008-10-01 0.1850 0.684425
2008-07-01 0.1700 0.652341
2008-04-02 0.1700 0.477260
2008-01-02 0.1700 0.522595
2007-10-03 0.1700 0.440757
2007-07-03 0.1500 0.378024
2007-04-03 0.1500 0.418060
2007-01-03 0.1500 0.355282
2006-10-04 0.1500 0.366211
2006-07-05 0.1300 0.215839
2006-04-05 0.1300 0.284464
2006-01-04 0.1300 0.301414
2005-10-05 0.1300 0.401731
2005-07-06 0.1125 0.344037
2005-04-06 0.1125 0.366390
2005-01-05 0.1125 0.398865
2004-10-06 0.1125 0.400213
2004-07-08 0.1000 0.398327
2004-04-07 0.1000 0.444444
2004-01-14 0.1000 0.514536
1997-10-15 1.5000 17.391304
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.15
dividendYield 1.06
exDividendDate 2026-07-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.15
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010595172
lastDividendValue 0.288
lastDividendDate 2026-07-01
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.06813902
Address1 915 Meeting Street
Address2 Suite 600
All Time High 157.86
All Time Low 3.75
Ask 109.06
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 3.1 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 421,150
Average Daily Volume3 Month 595,801
Average Volume 595,801
Average Volume10Days 421,150
Beta 0.68
Bid 108.78
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 7
Book Value 3.175
City North Bethesda
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 108.86
Current Ratio 0.926
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 110.55
Day Low 107.4
Debt To Equity 1,481.726
Display Name Choice Hotels
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 1.15
Dividend Yield 1.06
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,938,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,938,400
Earnings Growth -0.194
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.213
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda 474,152,000
Ebitda Margins 0.47125
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.596
Enterprise To Revenue 6.878
Enterprise Value 6,920,836,608
Eps Current Year 7.0229
Eps Forward 7.52251
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.08
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 109.5022
Fifty Day Average Change -0.64219666
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.005864692
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -6.813902
Fifty Two Week High 123.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -14.959999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.12082054
Fifty Two Week Low 84.04
Fifty Two Week Low Change 24.82
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29533556
Fifty Two Week Range 84.04 - 123.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 845,472,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.82
Float Shares 34,706,442
Forward Eps 7.52251
Forward P E 14.471233
Free Cashflow 212,277,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,754
Fullday Change 0.32
Fullday Change Percent 0.294822
Fullday Price 108.86
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.90328
Gross Profits 908,854,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.39189
Held Percent Institutions 0.7739
Implied Shares Outstanding 45,008,622
Industry Lodging
Industry Disp Lodging
Industry Key lodging
Ir Website http://investor.choicehotels.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=99348&p=IROL-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Last Dividend Value 0.288
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,130,112,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Choice Hotels International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a hotel franchisor in the United States and internationally. It operates through Hotel Franchising & Management and Corporate & Other segments. The company franchises lodging properties under the Comfort Inn, Comfort Suites, Quality, Clarion, Clarion Pointe, Sleep Inn, Ascend Collection, Econo Lodge, Rodeway Inn, MainStay Suites, Suburban Studios, WoodSpring Suites, Everhome Suites, Cambria Hotels, Radisson Blu, Radisson RED, Radisson, Park Plaza, Country Inn & Suites by Radisson, Radisson Inn & Suites, Park Inn by Radisson, Radisson Individuals, and Radisson Collection brand names. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland.
Long Name Choice Hotels International, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,899,638,784
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_370714
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 326,820,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,885,235,831
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 109.73
Operating Cashflow 221,739,008
Operating Margins 0.37729
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.16290002
Peg Ratio 2.16
Phone 301 592 5000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 108.86
Post Market Time 1,787,961,314
Previous Close 108.54
Price Eps Current Year 15.500719
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 34.286613
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.869603
Profit Margins 0.32631
Quick Ratio 0.712
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0625
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.32
Regular Market Change Percent 0.294822
Regular Market Day High 110.55
Regular Market Day Low 107.4
Regular Market Day Range 107.4 - 110.55
Regular Market Open 109.73
Regular Market Previous Close 108.54
Regular Market Price 108.86
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 435,523
Return On Assets 0.09158
Return On Equity 5.66362
Revenue Growth 0.071
Revenue Per Share 21.998
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 45,008,622
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.13520001
Shares Short 6,085,954
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,583,384
Short Name Choice Hotels International, In
Short Percent Of Float 0.2988
Short Ratio 10.86
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol CHH
Target High Price 131.0
Target Low Price 91.0
Target Mean Price 115.26667
Target Median Price 119.0
Total Cash 42,826,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.96
Total Debt 2,106,688,000
Total Revenue 1,006,168,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.15
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010595172
Trailing Eps 7.08
Trailing P E 15.375707
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.1307
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 105.0186
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.8414001
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.036578283
Type Disp Equity
Volume 435,523
Website https://www.choicehotels.com
Zip 20,852