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Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Consumer Cyclical | Gambling | Louisville, United States | NasdaqGS
89.90 USD +3.39 (3.919%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 89.90

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT

Despite a robust return on equity, the company carries a heavy debt load that constrains its long-term appeal. The stock has rallied strongly over the last fortnight, trading above its fifty-day average but still lagging the two-hundred-day benchmark. Analyst consensus points to substantial upside, though a short-term model predicts a dip. Income investors will find the payout negligible. Market participants are hedging downside risks while simultaneously betting on a recovery toward higher price levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.040386
AutoTheta0.040859
AutoETS0.041569
AutoARIMA0.041570

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 2.30
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.607
Excess Kurtosis -0.73
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2025-12-04
Last Dividend Date 2025-12-04
Debt to Equity Ratio 349.173
Revenue per Share 42.803
Market Cap 6,266,051,584
Trailing P/E 14.69
Forward P/E 12.25
Beta 0.66
Profit Margins 13.80%
Website https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are displaying mixed sentiment with a bullish bias at higher strikes. Call buyers are establishing a major open interest wall at the 120 strike, indicating a bet on a significant recovery. Conversely, put buyers are heavily positioned at the 75 strike for September expiration, suggesting a hedge against downside volatility. Implied volatility is skewed higher on the put side, reflecting fear of a drop despite the call-side optimism.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.39% 0.39% 0.34% 0.33%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-05 0.438000 0.389368
2024-12-06 0.409000 0.293864
2023-11-30 0.382000 0.329965
2022-12-01 0.357000 0.321883
2021-12-02 0.333500 0.289975
2020-12-03 0.311000 0.340114
2019-12-05 0.290500 0.447853
2018-12-06 0.271667 0.607281
2017-11-30 0.253333 0.646808
2016-11-30 0.220000 0.862182
2015-12-02 0.191667 0.789891
2014-12-03 0.166667 1.034449
2013-12-04 0.145000 1.000115
2012-11-26 0.120000 1.179168
2011-12-28 0.100000 1.191422
2010-12-29 0.083333 1.131217
2009-12-29 0.083333 1.320650
2008-12-29 0.083333 1.370233
2007-12-26 0.083333 0.894451
2006-12-27 0.083333 1.169312
2005-12-28 0.083333 1.347704
2004-12-29 0.083333 1.118564
2003-12-29 0.083333 1.387342
2002-12-27 0.083333 1.324498
2001-12-27 0.083333 1.451373
2000-12-27 0.083333 1.724131
1999-12-29 0.083333 2.061847
1998-12-29 0.083333 1.587295
1997-12-29 0.083333 2.325572
1996-12-27 0.054167 1.805567
1995-12-27 0.041667 1.587314
1994-12-23 0.041667 1.176480
1993-12-27 0.041667 0.934587
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.44
dividendYield 0.51
exDividendDate 2025-12-05
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.438
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0050629983
lastDividendValue 0.438
lastDividendDate 2025-12-05
dividendDate 2026-01-06

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.11923188
Address1 600 North Hurstbourne Parkway
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 150.45
All Time Low 2.583333
Ask 90.14
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 910,760
Average Daily Volume3 Month 995,012
Average Volume 995,012
Average Volume10Days 910,760
Beta 0.663
Bid 89.84
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 19.157
City Louisville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 89.9
Current Ratio 0.356
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 90.94
Day Low 86.94
Debt To Equity 349.173
Dividend Date 1,767,657,600
Dividend Rate 0.44
Dividend Yield 0.51
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,416,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,416,400
Earnings Growth 0.144
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.111
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,355,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 990,700,032
Ebitda Margins 0.33113
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.08
Enterprise To Revenue 3.669
Enterprise Value 10,977,051,648
Eps Current Year 6.88917
Eps Forward 7.33935
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.12
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,764,892,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 87.1906
Fifty Day Average Change 2.709404
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.031074498
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -11.923188
Fifty Two Week High 118.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -28.449997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.24038866
Fifty Two Week Low 79.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.13224182
Fifty Two Week Range 79.4 - 118.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 733,415,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.34
Float Shares 65,781,695
Forward Eps 7.33935
Forward P E 12.249041
Free Cashflow 138,712,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 6,600
Fullday Change 3.39
Fullday Change Percent 3.91862
Fullday Price 89.9
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.34179002
Gross Profits 1,022,600,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.059070002
Held Percent Institutions 0.89335996
Implied Shares Outstanding 69,700,243
Industry Gambling
Industry Disp Gambling
Industry Key gambling
Ir Website http://www.churchilldowns.com/about/investor.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,764,892,800
Last Dividend Value 0.438
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,684,713,600
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Long Name Churchill Downs Incorporated
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,266,051,584
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_260619
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 412,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,029,071,019
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 86.94
Operating Cashflow 794,800,000
Operating Margins 0.36530998
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0744
Peg Ratio 1.69
Phone 502 636 4400
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 89.9
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 86.51
Price Eps Current Year 13.049467
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.692802
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0943387
Profit Margins 0.13804
Quick Ratio 0.239
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.39
Regular Market Change Percent 3.91862
Regular Market Day High 90.94
Regular Market Day Low 86.94
Regular Market Day Range 86.94 - 90.94
Regular Market Open 86.94
Regular Market Previous Close 86.51
Regular Market Price 89.9
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,095,153
Return On Assets 0.06481
Return On Equity 0.33848
Revenue Growth 0.049
Revenue Per Share 42.803
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 69,700,243
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0519
Shares Short 3,619,753
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,905,391
Short Name Churchill Downs, Incorporated
Short Percent Of Float 0.0551
Short Ratio 3.58
Source Interval 15
State KY
Symbol CHDN
Target High Price 157.0
Target Low Price 100.0
Target Mean Price 131.63635
Target Median Price 132.0
Total Cash 196,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.812
Total Debt 4,856,999,936
Total Revenue 2,991,899,904
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.438
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0050629983
Trailing Eps 6.12
Trailing P E 14.689543
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 94.3842
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.4841995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.047510065
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,095,153
Website https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com
Zip 40,222