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Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Shanghai, China | NasdaqGS
11.68 USD +0.68 (6.182%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:51 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is neutral despite a recent bounce; the stock has recovered slightly from its lows but remains trapped beneath key moving averages, with the fifty-day line acting as a persistent ceiling. While the price action shows some resilience, the underlying business fundamentals tell a different story: same-store sales recovery is lagging, quarterly earnings are contracting sharply, and the company is facing significant headwinds in its home market of China. Analyst sentiment is shifting cautiously positive, yet the consensus target price still implies substantial upside, suggesting the market views the current valuation as a discount rather than a bargain. On the income side, the company pays a meaningful dividend, though it is a relatively new payer with limited history to confirm long-term sustainability. Overall, the instrument lacks the momentum for a near-term trade and the operational traction required for a confident long-term hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.065908
MSTL0.066171
AutoTheta0.105318
AutoARIMA0.126729

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 2.34
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.640
Excess Kurtosis -0.69
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2025-12-07
Last Dividend Date 2025-12-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 16.766
Revenue per Share 70.385
Market Cap 2,228,115,712
Trailing P/E 14.97
Forward P/E 6.93
Profit Margins 7.22%
Website https://investor.chagee.com

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-08 0.92 6.700656
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2025-12-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.92
lastDividendDate 2025-12-08
dividendDate 2025-12-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5958854
Address1 Tower B, Hongqiao Lianhe Building
Address2 No. 99 Kaihong Road Changning District
All Time High 41.8
All Time Low 8.98
Ask 14.33
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 726,370
Average Daily Volume3 Month 676,044
Average Volume 676,044
Average Volume10Days 726,370
Bid 11.0
Bid Size 1
Book Value 6.041476
City Shanghai
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.68
Current Ratio 3.418
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 11.86
Day Low 11.08
Debt To Equity 16.766
Dividend Date 1,765,756,800
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,016,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,016,400
Earnings Growth -0.403
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.337
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,998,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,947,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,947,200
Ebitda 1,241,364,224
Ebitda Margins 0.09505
Enterprise To Ebitda -3.309
Enterprise To Revenue -0.314
Enterprise Value -4,107,588,352
Eps Current Year 10.05248
Eps Forward 1.6858321
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.78
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,765,152,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.1486
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5314007
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.047665242
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -59.58854
Fifty Two Week High 27.93
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.25
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.58181167
Fifty Two Week Low 8.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.7000008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.30066824
Fifty Two Week Range 8.98 - 27.93
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,744,896,600,000
Float Shares 31,311,858
Forward Eps 1.6858321
Forward P E 6.9283295
Free Cashflow 1,164,976,640
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,812
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.43991002
Gross Profits 5,745,495,040
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22694
Held Percent Institutions 0.060560003
Implied Shares Outstanding 190,763,326
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-04-17
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,765,152,000
Last Dividend Value 0.92
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Chagee Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand in the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and the United States. The company sells freshly made tea drinks, related raw materials, packaging, teahouse equipment, and other supplies. It also engages in supply chain product sales; brand, marketing, and management; and information technology activities. In addition, the company operates its teahouses online. Chagee Holdings Limited was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name Chagee Holdings Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,228,115,712
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1869545764
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 819,046,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,098,396,586
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 11.08
Operating Cashflow 1,477,389,056
Operating Margins 0.1543
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 86 186 8893 0014
Pre Market Change -0.57000065
Pre Market Change Percent -4.880142
Pre Market Price 11.11
Pre Market Time 1,784,016,020
Previous Close 11.0
Price Eps Current Year 1.1619024
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9333025
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.170597
Profit Margins 0.07217
Quick Ratio 3.116
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.90909
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.68
Regular Market Change Percent 6.18182
Regular Market Day High 11.86
Regular Market Day Low 11.08
Regular Market Day Range 11.08 - 11.86
Regular Market Open 11.08
Regular Market Previous Close 11.0
Regular Market Price 11.68
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 569,019
Return On Assets 0.070989996
Return On Equity 0.15343
Revenue Growth 0.045
Revenue Per Share 70.385
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 125,489,219
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0070999996
Shares Short 1,348,469
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,054,156
Short Name Chagee Holdings Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0517
Short Ratio 1.59
Source Interval 15
Symbol CHA
Target High Price 25.092588
Target Low Price 10.227673
Target Mean Price 15.258679
Target Median Price 14.983696
Total Cash 7,923,026,944
Total Cash Per Share 41.46
Total Debt 1,350,822,016
Total Revenue 13,060,697,088
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.78
Trailing P E 14.9743595
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.43955
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.7595501
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06105929
Type Disp Equity
Volume 569,019
Website https://investor.chagee.com
Zip 20,051