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Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU)

Basic Materials | Gold | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
15.87 USD -0.35 (-2.158%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT

Centerra Gold presents a compelling value case built on exceptional profitability rather than explosive growth. The company boasts a massive 40% profit margin and a 33% return on equity, generating substantial operating cash flow while trading at a depressed multiple relative to its earnings power. The balance sheet is pristine, with minimal debt and ample cash reserves, insulating the business from commodity cycles. While the stock has underperformed recently, the multi-year trajectory shows a healthy net gain, indicating the market has not permanently priced out the business quality. However, the short-term outlook remains murky; the statistical forecast offers no directional edge, and the options chain reveals a vacuum of speculative interest. Until gold spot prices provide a clearer catalyst or volume picks up to confirm a trend, the prudent approach is to view this as a solid long-term hold waiting for a catalyst, rather than a high-conviction trade for immediate entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.146619
AutoARIMA0.146620
MSTL0.149668
AutoTheta0.151507
MSTL_900.192227

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 4.89
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.390
Excess Kurtosis -0.64
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.085
Revenue per Share 7.762
Market Cap 3,151,703,552
Trailing P/E 5.24
Forward P/E 7.89
Beta 1.56
Profit Margins 40.32%
Website https://www.centerragold.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:09 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely thin and ambiguous. Open Interest is negligible across all expirations, with no clear concentration at specific strikes to indicate a directional bias. Implied volatility is low and flat, suggesting a lack of speculative conviction in either a breakout or a crash. The market appears indifferent to near-term moves.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.31% 0.59% 2.40% 2.77%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-21 0.051 0.307044
2026-03-12 0.052 0.280475
2025-05-22 0.051 0.753323
2025-03-13 0.049 0.843374
2024-11-13 0.050 0.844595
2024-08-15 0.051 0.742358
2024-05-29 0.051 0.728571
2024-03-12 0.052 0.918728
2023-11-14 0.051 0.923913
2023-08-14 0.052 0.869565
2023-05-26 0.051 1.001965
2023-03-13 0.051 0.814696
2022-11-17 0.053 1.043307
2022-08-24 0.054 1.153846
2022-05-17 0.054 0.680958
2022-03-10 0.055 0.527325
2021-11-18 0.056 0.673077
2021-08-24 0.055 0.737265
2021-05-26 0.041 0.522959
2021-03-15 0.040 0.392927
2020-11-19 0.038 0.413943
2020-08-13 0.038 0.306947
2020-05-20 0.029 0.294416
2020-04-07 0.028 0.458265
2016-08-09 0.030 0.517241
2016-05-17 0.031 0.521008
2016-03-08 0.030 0.526316
2015-11-24 0.030 0.538600
2015-08-11 0.031 0.593870
2015-05-19 0.033 0.551839
2015-03-03 0.032 0.654397
2014-11-10 0.035 0.872818
2014-08-12 0.037 0.680147
2014-05-20 0.037 0.840909
2014-03-04 0.036 0.757895
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.2
dividendYield 1.24
exDividendDate 2026-05-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.206
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0127003705
lastDividendValue 0.051
lastDividendDate 2026-05-21
dividendDate 2026-06-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.2434301
Address1 1 University Avenue
Address2 Suite 1800
All Time High 23.32
All Time Low 0.01
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.2 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,425,970
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,611,796
Average Volume 1,611,796
Average Volume10Days 1,425,970
Beta 1.557
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 800
Board Risk 2
Book Value 10.538
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.87
Current Ratio 2.406
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.21
Day Low 15.64
Debt To Equity 2.085
Display Name Centerra Gold
Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Dividend Rate 0.2
Dividend Yield 1.24
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth 1.903
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.608
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 788,100,608
Ebitda Margins 0.50205004
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.354
Enterprise To Revenue 1.684
Enterprise Value 2,643,380,480
Eps Current Year 1.79509
Eps Forward 2.01199
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.03
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 416 204 1954
Fifty Day Average 16.7704
Fifty Day Average Change -0.9003992
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.05368979
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 124.34302
Fifty Two Week High 21.17
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.3
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2503543
Fifty Two Week Low 6.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.3651266
Fifty Two Week Range 6.71 - 21.17
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,214,314,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.92
Float Shares 198,116,441
Forward Eps 2.01199
Forward P E 7.887713
Free Cashflow 1,656,250
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.43845
Gross Profits 688,257,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00149
Held Percent Institutions 0.92006
Implied Shares Outstanding 198,595,055
Industry Gold
Industry Disp Gold
Industry Key gold
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Last Dividend Value 0.051
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Centerra Gold Inc. engages in the operation, development, exploration, and acquisition of gold and copper properties in North America, Turkey, and internationally. The company also owns and operates a molybdenum business unit, which includes a metallurgical processing facility and two primary molybdenum properties. Its principal assets include the Mount Milligan gold-copper mine located in British Columbia, Canada; the Öksüt gold mine located in Türkiye; the Kemess project in British Columbia, Canada; the Goldfield District project in Nevada, United States; the Thompson Creek Mine in Idaho; and 75% owned the Endako Mine in British Columbia, Canada. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Centerra Gold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,151,703,552
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_9870273
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 632,964,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,140,423,317
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 15.91
Operating Cashflow 410,115,008
Operating Margins 0.22443001
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.0652
Phone 416 204 1953
Previous Close 16.22
Price Eps Current Year 8.840782
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5059783
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.0077653
Profit Margins 0.40322
Quick Ratio 1.555
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.16667
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.349999
Regular Market Change Percent -2.15783
Regular Market Day High 16.21
Regular Market Day Low 15.64
Regular Market Day Range 15.64 - 16.21
Regular Market Open 15.91
Regular Market Previous Close 16.22
Regular Market Price 15.87
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,032,350
Return On Assets 0.15362
Return On Equity 0.3369
Revenue Growth 0.618
Revenue Per Share 7.762
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 198,595,055
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0306
Shares Short 7,133,971
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 6,296,051
Short Name Centerra Gold Inc.
Short Ratio 3.54
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol CGAU
Target High Price 29.0
Target Low Price 17.5
Target Mean Price 23.25
Target Median Price 23.25
Total Cash 552,057,024
Total Cash Per Share 2.78
Total Debt 43,734,000
Total Revenue 1,569,757,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.206
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0127003705
Trailing Eps 3.03
Trailing P E 5.2376237
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.7306
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.13939953
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.008861679
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,032,350
Website https://www.centerragold.com
Zip M5J 2P1