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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Basic Materials | Agricultural Inputs | Northbrook, United States | NYSE
125.79 USD +0.08 (0.064%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 125.37 -0.42 (-0.420%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★⯪Long-term:★★★★★Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT

The company's long-term fundamentals are exceptionally strong, boasting a return on equity near 30% and revenue growth that has exceeded 15% over the past nine years, which justifies a top-tier investment rating. The price trajectory reflects this quality with a cumulative gain of over 260% since 2016, and the most recent annual performance was positive, avoiding any multi-year decline penalties. Short-term momentum is building aggressively, with the stock rallying over 13% in the last fortnight and trading well above its 200-day average, though the statistical forecast model hints at minor volatility ahead. Options flow supports this bullish view, with significant call volume targeting prices above 135 dollars. The dividend yield is modest but highly secure due to a low payout ratio, ensuring capital preservation while the business expands.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.072421
AutoARIMA0.072911
MSTL0.078565
AutoTheta0.086931

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 6.24
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.215
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 40.504
Revenue per Share 49.561
Market Cap 19,036,823,552
Trailing P/E 9.33
Forward P/E 12.02
Beta 0.40
Profit Margins 27.12%
Website https://www.cfindustries.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside continuation with significant call open interest walls at 115-130 strikes and new flow entering at 135-165 strikes. Put writers are hedging downside risk heavily at 92-120 strikes, creating a defined support zone while the bulk of speculative capital leans toward a breakout above current levels.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.51% 2.02% 2.27% 2.08%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-14 0.600 0.507185
2026-05-15 0.500 0.399233
2026-02-13 0.500 0.528206
2025-11-14 0.500 0.587959
2025-08-15 0.500 0.582072
2025-05-15 0.500 0.579845
2025-02-14 0.500 0.606208
2024-11-15 0.500 0.574251
2024-08-15 0.500 0.626723
2024-05-14 0.500 0.672224
2024-02-14 0.500 0.644496
2023-11-14 0.400 0.499688
2023-08-14 0.400 0.512426
2023-05-12 0.400 0.601233
2023-02-14 0.400 0.467672
2022-11-14 0.400 0.371195
2022-08-12 0.400 0.382702
2022-05-13 0.400 0.385134
2022-02-14 0.300 0.419815
2021-11-12 0.300 0.464612
2021-08-13 0.300 0.620091
2021-05-14 0.300 0.552079
2021-02-12 0.300 0.676285
2020-11-13 0.300 0.971188
2020-08-14 0.300 0.854701
2020-05-14 0.300 1.218027
2020-02-13 0.300 0.762583
2019-11-14 0.300 0.647110
2019-08-14 0.300 0.635593
2019-05-14 0.300 0.728332
2019-02-14 0.300 0.705219
2018-11-14 0.300 0.666223
2018-08-14 0.300 0.625000
2018-05-14 0.300 0.741290
2018-02-15 0.300 0.733676
2017-11-14 0.300 0.844595
2017-08-11 0.300 0.983284
2017-05-11 0.300 1.102941
2017-02-15 0.300 0.869817
2016-11-10 0.300 1.105787
2016-08-11 0.300 1.347709
2016-05-11 0.300 1.018330
2016-02-10 0.300 1.077973
2015-11-12 0.300 0.636807
2015-08-12 0.300 0.486697
2015-05-13 0.300 0.491256
2015-02-12 0.300 0.495704
2014-11-12 0.300 0.563105
2014-08-14 0.300 0.606232
2014-05-14 0.200 0.403226
2014-02-12 0.200 0.437292
2013-11-13 0.200 0.459982
2013-08-14 0.080 0.212709
2013-05-15 0.080 0.210393
2013-02-14 0.080 0.183604
2012-11-14 0.080 0.204876
2012-08-10 0.080 0.192354
2012-05-11 0.080 0.232315
2012-02-10 0.080 0.222037
2011-11-09 0.080 0.240848
2011-08-11 0.080 0.243620
2011-05-12 0.020 0.074052
2011-02-10 0.020 0.066503
2010-11-10 0.020 0.080606
2010-08-11 0.020 0.122055
2010-05-12 0.020 0.134391
2010-02-18 0.020 0.098030
2009-11-12 0.020 0.123564
2009-08-12 0.020 0.121315
2009-05-12 0.020 0.129366
2009-02-12 0.020 0.181653
2008-11-12 0.020 0.191461
2008-08-13 0.020 0.072020
2008-05-13 0.020 0.072971
2008-02-20 0.020 0.078740
2007-11-13 0.004 0.023012
2007-08-13 0.004 0.035855
2007-05-10 0.004 0.050075
2007-02-15 0.004 0.057837
2006-11-09 0.004 0.096618
2006-08-10 0.004 0.134862
2006-05-11 0.004 0.117302
2006-03-02 0.004 0.114943
2005-11-09 0.004 0.147820
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.4
dividendYield 1.91
exDividendDate 2026-08-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.015909633
lastDividendValue 0.6
lastDividendDate 2026-08-14
dividendDate 2026-08-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.43783593
Address1 2,375 Waterview Drive
All Time High 141.96
All Time Low 2.238
Ask 125.86
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,362,220
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,551,916
Average Volume 2,551,916
Average Volume10Days 2,362,220
Beta 0.398
Bid 125.81
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 3
Book Value 37.917
City Northbrook
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 125.79
Current Ratio 4.86
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 129.24
Day Low 124.55
Debt To Equity 40.504
Display Name CF Industries
Dividend Date 1,788,134,400
Dividend Rate 2.4
Dividend Yield 1.91
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,908,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,908,800
Earnings Growth 0.996
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.883
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 3,872,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.50044996
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.027
Enterprise To Revenue 3.016
Enterprise Value 23,341,824,000
Eps Current Year 14.48813
Eps Forward 10.46137
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 13.48
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 117.6108
Fifty Day Average Change 8.179199
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06954463
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 43.783592
Fifty Two Week High 141.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -16.170006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11390536
Fifty Two Week Low 75.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 50.370003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.66786003
Fifty Two Week Range 75.42 - 141.96
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,123,767,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.03
Float Shares 150,281,790
Forward Eps 10.46137
Forward P E 12.024238
Free Cashflow 1,276,749,952
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,900
Fullday Change 0.0800018
Fullday Change Percent 0.06364
Fullday Price 125.37
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.42486
Gross Profits 3,288,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00445
Held Percent Institutions 1.08356
Implied Shares Outstanding 151,338,130
Industry Agricultural Inputs
Industry Disp Agricultural Inputs
Industry Key agricultural-inputs
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=115908&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,665,600
Last Dividend Value 0.6
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,434,585,600
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products. It serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
Long Name CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 19,036,823,552
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22357184
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 2,099,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 19,024,716,322
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 126.71
Operating Cashflow 2,976,999,936
Operating Margins 0.49325
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.14840001
Peg Ratio 0.43
Phone 847 405 2400
Post Market Change -0.41999817
Post Market Change Percent -0.33388835
Post Market Price 125.37
Post Market Time 1,787,961,598
Previous Close 125.71
Price Eps Current Year 8.682281
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3175094
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.4598558
Profit Margins 0.27122
Quick Ratio 4.142
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0800018
Regular Market Change Percent 0.06364
Regular Market Day High 129.24
Regular Market Day Low 124.55
Regular Market Day Range 124.55 - 129.24
Regular Market Open 126.71
Regular Market Previous Close 125.71
Regular Market Price 125.79
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,432
Regular Market Volume 1,535,490
Return On Assets 0.12934
Return On Equity 0.29867
Revenue Growth 0.176
Revenue Per Share 49.561
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 151,338,130
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.061
Shares Short 9,233,730
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 9,258,902
Short Name CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.073
Short Ratio 4.05
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol CF
Target High Price 195.72
Target Low Price 98.0
Target Mean Price 125.77474
Target Median Price 123.0
Total Cash 2,480,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 16.387
Total Debt 3,612,999,936
Total Revenue 7,738,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.015909633
Trailing Eps 13.48
Trailing P E 9.331603
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.422
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 106.57375
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.216248
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.18030939
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,535,490
Website https://www.cfindustries.com
Zip 60,062