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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Basic Materials | Agricultural Inputs | Northbrook, United States | NYSE
112.68 USD -12.03 (-9.646%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 112.80 +0.12 (0.106%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★★☆ | Dividends: ★★★★☆
Hot Take | April 11, 2026, 4:29 p.m. EDT

CF Industries (CF) presents a mixed opportunity. Short-term traders might consider the recent momentum and the ATM call activity as potential buying opportunities, but the forecasting model's negative prediction suggests caution. Long-term investors might find the company's fundamentals and consistent dividend payments appealing, especially given the recent dip. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and the mixed options activity indicate some risk, and investors should monitor the market closely for any shifts in sentiment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.204691
AutoARIMA0.205569
AutoETS0.207939
AutoTheta0.230903

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 44.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.080
Excess Kurtosis -1.59
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-02-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 46.765
Revenue per Share 43.701
Market Cap 17,315,401,728
Trailing P/E 12.56
Forward P/E 12.80
Beta 0.52
Profit Margins 20.54%
Website https://www.cfindustries.com

As of April 11, 2026, 4:29 p.m. EDT: The options activity indicates mixed sentiment. There's a notable presence of both calls and puts, with increased volatility (IV) observed at certain strikes. The ATM calls are showing some support, while the puts suggest potential downside risk, especially at lower strikes. The significant OI walls at higher strikes imply some speculation about potential price appreciation, but the overall market seems to be in a state of uncertainty. The recent price movements show some momentum, but the forecasting model suggests a slight downward trend over the next 45 days, indicating caution.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.53% 2.30% 2.42% 2.25%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-02-13 0.500 0.528206
2025-11-14 0.500 0.591097
2025-08-15 0.500 0.588670
2025-05-15 0.500 0.589876
2025-02-14 0.500 0.620303
2024-11-15 0.500 0.591232
2024-08-15 0.500 0.649041
2024-05-14 0.500 0.700510
2024-02-14 0.500 0.676168
2023-11-14 0.400 0.527669
2023-08-14 0.400 0.543846
2023-05-12 0.400 0.641308
2023-02-14 0.400 0.501833
2022-11-14 0.400 0.400152
2022-08-12 0.400 0.414167
2022-05-13 0.400 0.418434
2022-02-14 0.300 0.457972
2021-11-12 0.300 0.508829
2021-08-13 0.300 0.682313
2021-05-14 0.300 0.611217
2021-02-12 0.300 0.752944
2020-11-13 0.300 1.088844
2020-08-14 0.300 0.967878
2020-05-14 0.300 1.391254
2020-02-13 0.300 0.881794
2019-11-14 0.300 0.753704
2019-08-14 0.300 0.745062
2019-05-14 0.300 0.859058
2019-02-14 0.300 0.837955
2018-11-14 0.300 0.797228
2018-08-14 0.300 0.752456
2018-05-14 0.300 0.898020
2018-02-15 0.300 0.895598
2017-11-14 0.300 1.038855
2017-08-11 0.300 1.219232
2017-05-11 0.300 1.381070
2017-02-15 0.300 1.101120
2016-11-10 0.300 1.411498
2016-08-11 0.300 1.740015
2016-05-11 0.300 1.333301
2016-02-10 0.300 1.425413
2015-11-12 0.300 0.851023
2015-08-12 0.300 0.654541
2015-05-13 0.300 0.664151
2015-02-12 0.300 0.673496
2014-11-12 0.300 0.768932
2014-08-14 0.300 0.832503
2014-05-14 0.200 0.557120
2014-02-12 0.200 0.606625
2013-11-13 0.200 0.640874
2013-08-14 0.080 0.297724
2013-05-15 0.080 0.295103
2013-02-14 0.080 0.258063
2012-11-14 0.080 0.288491
2012-08-10 0.080 0.271409
2012-05-11 0.080 0.328411
2012-02-10 0.080 0.314612
2011-11-09 0.080 0.342002
2011-08-11 0.080 0.346725
2011-05-12 0.020 0.105675
2011-02-10 0.020 0.094971
2010-11-10 0.020 0.115188
2010-08-11 0.020 0.174559
2010-05-12 0.020 0.192436
2010-02-18 0.020 0.140566
2009-11-12 0.020 0.177349
2009-08-12 0.020 0.174341
2009-05-12 0.020 0.186139
2009-02-12 0.020 0.261717
2008-11-12 0.020 0.276377
2008-08-13 0.020 0.104139
2008-05-13 0.020 0.105598
2008-02-20 0.020 0.114028
2007-11-13 0.004 0.033352
2007-08-13 0.004 0.051978
2007-05-10 0.004 0.072620
2007-02-15 0.004 0.083918
2006-11-09 0.004 0.140269
2006-08-10 0.004 0.195977
2006-05-11 0.004 0.170687
2006-03-02 0.004 0.167445
2005-11-09 0.004 0.215582
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.0
dividendYield 1.77
exDividendDate 2026-02-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.016037207
lastDividendValue 0.5
lastDividendDate 2026-02-13
dividendDate 2026-02-27

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.49980032
Address1 2,375 Waterview Drive
All Time High 141.96
All Time Low 2.238
Ask 113.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,287,440
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,476,374
Average Volume 4,476,374
Average Volume10Days 4,287,440
Beta 0.516
Bid 112.3
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 4
Book Value 31.507
City Northbrook
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.68
Current Ratio 3.365
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 114.8
Day Low 109.71
Debt To Equity 46.765
Display Name CF Industries
Dividend Date 1,772,150,400
Dividend Rate 2.0
Dividend Yield 1.77
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,166,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,166,000
Earnings Growth 0.371
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.232
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,097,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,097,600
Ebitda 3,240,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.45736998
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.761
Enterprise To Revenue 3.092
Enterprise Value 21,906,403,328
Eps Current Year 11.78316
Eps Forward 8.80283
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.97
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,770,940,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 114.063
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3830032
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.012124906
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 49.980034
Fifty Two Week High 141.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -29.280006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.20625532
Fifty Two Week Low 73.56
Fifty Two Week Low Change 39.120003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5318108
Fifty Two Week Range 73.56 - 141.96
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,123,767,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.05
Float Shares 152,559,332
Forward Eps 8.80283
Forward P E 12.800429
Free Cashflow 1,307,874,944
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,900
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.38452998
Gross Profits 2,724,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00433
Held Percent Institutions 1.0688
Implied Shares Outstanding 153,668,821
Industry Agricultural Inputs
Industry Disp Agricultural Inputs
Industry Key agricultural-inputs
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=115908&p=irol-IRHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,770,940,800
Last Dividend Value 0.5
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,434,585,600
Last Split Factor 5:1
Long Business Summary CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products. It serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
Long Name CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,315,401,728
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22357184
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,455,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 17,309,499,783
Number Of Analyst Opinions 19
Open 114.0
Operating Cashflow 2,752,000,000
Operating Margins 0.3531
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.22299999
Peg Ratio 5.77
Phone 847 405 2400
Post Market Change 0.12000275
Post Market Change Percent 0.10649871
Post Market Price 112.8
Post Market Time 1,776,470,380
Previous Close 124.71
Price Eps Current Year 9.562799
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.576348
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.444297
Profit Margins 0.20538999
Quick Ratio 2.785
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -12.03
Regular Market Change Percent -9.64638
Regular Market Day High 114.8
Regular Market Day Low 109.71
Regular Market Day Range 109.71 - 114.8
Regular Market Open 114.0
Regular Market Previous Close 124.71
Regular Market Price 112.68
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,053
Regular Market Volume 6,841,412
Return On Assets 0.10625
Return On Equity 0.23401
Revenue Growth 0.228
Revenue Per Share 43.701
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 153,616,434
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.047199998
Shares Short 7,247,861
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 10,835,950
Short Name CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0563
Short Ratio 1.0
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol CF
Target High Price 150.0
Target Low Price 85.0
Target Mean Price 118.05263
Target Median Price 125.0
Total Cash 1,982,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 12.898
Total Debt 3,636,000,000
Total Revenue 7,084,000,256
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.016037207
Trailing Eps 8.97
Trailing P E 12.5618725
Trailing Peg Ratio 5.2135
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 92.91125
Two Hundred Day Average Change 19.768753
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21277028
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,841,412
Website https://www.cfindustries.com
Zip 60,062