Century Aluminum Company (CENX)Basic Materials | Aluminum | Chicago, United States | NasdaqGS
62.24 USD
-3.37
(-5.136%) ⇩
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 62.23 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:48 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT
Century Aluminum is a classic 'volatility trap' in the short term: the 45-day forecasting model shows a statistically significant directional edge (8.5% predicted gain) but is marred by high heteroscedasticity and non-normal return distributions, making the path erratic. The stock is currently trading at a massive premium to its book value (P/B ~7.6) with a trailing PE of 155, yet the forward PE of 6.2 implies an aggressive earnings re-rating. The options market has effectively ruled out a crash in the immediate future, pricing in a move toward 65-75, but the lack of a dividend and negative earnings growth over the last year makes this a pure momentum play driven by analyst optimism and structural short squeezes rather than fundamental value. Expect a volatile grind higher, but treat any dip as a liquidity event, not a trend reversal. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.070813 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.126612 |
| MSTL | 0.136480 |
| AutoETS | 0.143615 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 21% |
| H-stat | 9.18 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.52 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2002-09-17 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2002-09-17 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 61.609 |
| Revenue per Share | 26.835 |
| Market Cap | 6,160,144,896 |
| Trailing P/E | 148.19 |
| Forward P/E | 6.25 |
| Beta | 2.00 |
| Profit Margins | 1.58% |
| Website | https://centuryaluminum.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 6:45 p.m. EDT: Speculators are exhibiting extreme bullish asymmetry, particularly in the mid-term (June) expiration. The June 18, 2026, calls show massive new volume (5.1k) at the 65 strike, creating a significant 'call wall' above the current 62.24 price, signaling high conviction in a near-term breakout. Conversely, put flow is dominated by distant OTM strikes (15-28 range) with high open interest, suggesting a 'max pain' strategy where liquidity is provided to keep the stock pinned above 55, while investors hedge deep tail risk rather than short-term downside. The implied volatility remains elevated (approx. 78-80%), indicating expectations of continued high volatility, but the net positioning is clearly directional to the upside.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2002-09-18 | 0.05 | 0.658762 |
| 2002-06-12 | 0.05 | 0.336939 |
| 2002-03-13 | 0.05 | 0.368430 |
| 2001-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.364730 |
| 2001-06-13 | 0.05 | 0.267079 |
| 2001-03-14 | 0.05 | 0.317574 |
| 2000-12-13 | 0.05 | 0.629692 |
| 2000-09-13 | 0.05 | 0.393878 |
| 2000-06-13 | 0.05 | 0.466875 |
| 2000-03-16 | 0.05 | 0.387897 |
| 1999-12-21 | 0.05 | 0.398725 |
| 1999-09-13 | 0.05 | 0.522926 |
| 1999-06-11 | 0.05 | 0.808374 |
| 1999-03-11 | 0.05 | 0.882154 |
| 1998-12-14 | 0.05 | 0.639628 |
| 1998-09-14 | 0.05 | 0.468494 |
| 1998-06-26 | 0.05 | 0.366879 |
| 1998-03-13 | 0.05 | 0.314740 |
| 1997-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.375561 |
| 1997-09-12 | 0.05 | 0.333694 |
| 1997-06-12 | 0.05 | 0.339922 |
| 1997-03-26 | 0.05 | 0.316433 |
| 1996-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.336726 |
| 1996-09-16 | 0.05 | 0.374968 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 3.0974326 |
| Address1 | One South Wacker Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 1000 |
| All Time High | 80.52 |
| All Time Low | 1.04 |
| Ask | 62.34 |
| Ask Size | 15 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,822,330 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,429,904 |
| Average Volume | 2,429,904 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,822,330 |
| Beta | 2.0 |
| Bid | 62.07 |
| Bid Size | 8 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 8.14 |
| City | Chicago |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,735,603,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 62.24 |
| Current Ratio | 1.97 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 62.99 |
| Day Low | 57.48 |
| Debt To Equity | 61.609 |
| Dividend Date | 1,033,344,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,771,538,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,771,538,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.951 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -1.0 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,771,534,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,097,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,097,600 |
| Ebitda | 249,900,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.098859996 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 26.903 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.66 |
| Enterprise Value | 6,723,144,704 |
| Eps Current Year | 10.505 |
| Eps Forward | 9.965 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.42 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,032,307,200 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 312 696 3102 |
| Fifty Day Average | 55.3422 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 6.8978004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.12463907 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 309.74326 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 68.69 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.450001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.09390014 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 14.77 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 47.47 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 3.213947 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 14.77 - 68.69 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 828,109,800,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 1.84 |
| Float Shares | 68,534,579 |
| Forward Eps | 9.965 |
| Forward P E | 6.2458606 |
| Free Cashflow | 47,300,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 2,906 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.09811 |
| Gross Profits | 248,000,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.30701 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.67069 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 98,974,047 |
| Industry | Aluminum |
| Industry Disp | Aluminum |
| Industry Key | aluminum |
| Ir Website | http://investor.shareholder.com/cenx/ |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,032,307,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.05 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland. The company engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products. It also owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in Vlissingen, the Netherlands; and operates aluminum reduction facilities or smelters; and bauxite mining and alumina refining in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. |
| Long Name | Century Aluminum Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 6,160,144,896 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_356264 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 40,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 6,160,144,685 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 59.4 |
| Operating Cashflow | 185,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.05208 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.06 |
| Phone | 312 696 3101 |
| Post Market Change | -0.010002136 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.016070269 |
| Post Market Price | 62.23 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,469,690 |
| Previous Close | 65.61 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 5.924798 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 7.6461916 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.4368627 |
| Profit Margins | 0.01582 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.925 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -3.37 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -5.13641 |
| Regular Market Day High | 62.99 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 57.48 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 57.48 - 62.99 |
| Regular Market Open | 59.4 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 65.61 |
| Regular Market Price | 62.24 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,729,233 |
| Return On Assets | 0.04502 |
| Return On Equity | 0.016139999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.004 |
| Revenue Per Share | 26.835 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 98,974,047 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0765 |
| Shares Short | 7,567,705 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,050,474 |
| Short Name | Century Aluminum Company |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1295 |
| Short Ratio | 3.0 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | IL |
| Symbol | CENX |
| Target High Price | 86.0 |
| Target Low Price | 75.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 79.33333 |
| Target Median Price | 77.0 |
| Total Cash | 134,200,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.356 |
| Total Debt | 572,899,968 |
| Total Revenue | 2,527,899,904 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.42 |
| Trailing P E | 148.19049 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 36.34785 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 25.89215 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.7123434 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,729,233 |
| Website | https://centuryaluminum.com |
| Zip | 60,606 |