Century Aluminum Company (CENX)Basic Materials | Aluminum | Chicago, United States | NasdaqGS
45.41 USD
+0.74
(1.657%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 45.21 -0.20 (-0.202%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:45 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:40 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark dichotomy between a fundamentally resilient business and a stock trapped in a technical downtrend. The company boasts exceptional balance sheet health with a 32% return on equity and a forward P/E of just 4x, implying the market has priced in severe distress that the current fundamentals do not support. However, the price action tells a different story; despite a strong multi-year cumulative gain, the stock is currently trading significantly below its 50-day moving average, indicating recent institutional selling pressure. The lack of dividends eliminates income appeal, leaving the trade entirely dependent on a catalyst to reverse the technical trend. While the valuation gap suggests a potential mean reversion, the heavy options positioning for extreme moves suggests the market is waiting for a binary event—likely related to geopolitical supply shocks—to unlock the value hidden in these cheap assets. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.120181 |
| AutoETS | 0.121518 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.121518 |
| AutoTheta | 0.149150 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 21.39 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.102 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.23 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2002-09-17 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2002-09-17 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 42.499 |
| Revenue per Share | 26.596 |
| Market Cap | 4,494,411,264 |
| Trailing P/E | 13.51 |
| Forward P/E | 4.16 |
| Beta | 1.97 |
| Profit Margins | 13.68% |
| Website | https://centuryaluminum.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $65 and $70, suggesting bets on a massive rally, while put volume concentrates at lower strikes ($30-$40) with notable IV spikes at deep OTM levels ($12, $23). This 'long gamma' setup implies the market expects a binary event—either a war-driven commodity surge or a sharp correction—but lacks conviction on which side will prevail in the immediate term.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2002-09-18 | 0.05 | 0.658762 |
| 2002-06-12 | 0.05 | 0.334672 |
| 2002-03-13 | 0.05 | 0.364697 |
| 2001-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.359712 |
| 2001-06-13 | 0.05 | 0.262467 |
| 2001-03-14 | 0.05 | 0.311284 |
| 2000-12-13 | 0.05 | 0.615385 |
| 2000-09-13 | 0.05 | 0.382775 |
| 2000-06-13 | 0.05 | 0.451977 |
| 2000-03-16 | 0.05 | 0.373832 |
| 1999-12-21 | 0.05 | 0.382775 |
| 1999-09-13 | 0.05 | 0.500000 |
| 1999-06-11 | 0.05 | 0.769231 |
| 1999-03-11 | 0.05 | 0.833333 |
| 1998-12-14 | 0.05 | 0.597015 |
| 1998-09-14 | 0.05 | 0.434783 |
| 1998-06-26 | 0.05 | 0.338983 |
| 1998-03-13 | 0.05 | 0.289855 |
| 1997-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.344828 |
| 1997-09-12 | 0.05 | 0.305344 |
| 1997-06-12 | 0.05 | 0.310078 |
| 1997-03-26 | 0.05 | 0.287770 |
| 1996-12-12 | 0.05 | 0.305344 |
| 1996-09-16 | 0.05 | 0.338983 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.1983268 |
| Address1 | One South Wacker Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 1000 |
| All Time High | 80.52 |
| All Time Low | 1.04 |
| Ask | 51.25 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,480,070 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,964,090 |
| Average Volume | 1,964,090 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,480,070 |
| Beta | 1.969 |
| Bid | 38.58 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 11.628 |
| City | Chicago |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 45.41 |
| Current Ratio | 2.303 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 46.0 |
| Day Low | 44.0 |
| Debt To Equity | 42.499 |
| Dividend Date | 1,033,344,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Growth | 10.098 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 10.364 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 291,900,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.114779994 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 16.889 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.938 |
| Enterprise Value | 4,929,811,456 |
| Eps Current Year | 9.78 |
| Eps Forward | 10.905 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 3.36 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,032,307,200 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 312 696 3102 |
| Fifty Day Average | 56.7324 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -11.322399 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.19957554 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 119.83268 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 70.43 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -25.02 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.35524634 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 19.1 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 26.31 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.3774868 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 19.1 - 70.43 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 828,109,800,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 1.84 |
| Float Shares | 68,597,922 |
| Forward Eps | 10.905 |
| Forward P E | 4.164145 |
| Free Cashflow | -85,825,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 2,906 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.121700004 |
| Gross Profits | 309,500,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.30891 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.74527 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 98,974,047 |
| Industry | Aluminum |
| Industry Disp | Aluminum |
| Industry Key | aluminum |
| Ir Website | http://investor.shareholder.com/cenx/ |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,032,307,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.05 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland. The company engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products. It also owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in Vlissingen, the Netherlands; and operates aluminum reduction facilities or smelters; and bauxite mining and alumina refining in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. |
| Long Name | Century Aluminum Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 4,494,411,264 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_356264 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 349,300,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 4,421,170,679 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 44.45 |
| Operating Cashflow | 181,100,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.13262 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.06 |
| Phone | 312 696 3101 |
| Post Market Change | -0.2016983 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.44417155 |
| Post Market Price | 45.2083 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,335 |
| Previous Close | 44.67 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 4.6431494 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.9052286 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.7672268 |
| Profit Margins | 0.13676 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.143 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.740002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.6566 |
| Regular Market Day High | 46.0 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 44.0 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 44.0 - 46.0 |
| Regular Market Open | 44.45 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 44.67 |
| Regular Market Price | 45.41 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,785,319 |
| Return On Assets | 0.054619998 |
| Return On Equity | 0.32259998 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.024 |
| Revenue Per Share | 26.596 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 98,974,047 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0963 |
| Shares Short | 9,533,604 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,044,208 |
| Short Name | Century Aluminum Company |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1388 |
| Short Ratio | 3.74 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | IL |
| Symbol | CENX |
| Target High Price | 83.0 |
| Target Low Price | 65.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 74.0 |
| Target Median Price | 74.0 |
| Total Cash | 244,100,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.466 |
| Total Debt | 545,900,032 |
| Total Revenue | 2,543,200,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 3.36 |
| Trailing P E | 13.514881 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 46.33235 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.92235184 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.019907296 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,785,319 |
| Website | https://centuryaluminum.com |
| Zip | 60,606 |