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Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Kansas City, United States | NasdaqGS
50.59 USD -0.81 (-1.576%) ⇩ (April 21, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★★☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:16 p.m. EDT

Commerce Bancshares is a 'hold' for long-term buy-and-hold portfolios offering inflation-beating yields, but the stock has recently bottomed out of a multi-month downtrend corrected by weak forecast models suggesting a slight bearish drift in the near term.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.038950
AutoETS0.040377
MSTL0.040734
AutoTheta0.060268

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 63%
H-stat 1.73
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.270
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Revenue per Share 12.704
Market Cap 7,454,797,312
Trailing P/E 12.43
Forward P/E 11.74
Profit Margins 32.34%
Website https://www.commercebank.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:16 p.m. EDT: Options activity is sparse and heavily skewed to Out-of-the-Money (OTM) strikes across both debt and equity expirations. Speculator positioning suggests gift-giving behavior rather than directional conviction; there is significant OTM Open Interest at the 65 strike (ITM relative to ~$51 price) but virtually zero corresponding OTM activity in the 55-60 range. This mismatch suggests options are primarily being used for max-profit caps or speculative gambles on deep moves (below 40 or above 65) rather than standard directional hedging. Market Expectations (IV) are anomalously low, indicating a lack of active speculation or policy constraints, while noted 'New Flow' in calls at 30 (a deep ITM protective stance) and 65 (deep OTM hope) suggests some traders are either buying deep protection or betting on a significant swing outside the tight recent trading range.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.55% 1.97% 1.99% 1.85%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-06 0.275000 0.546068
2025-12-02 0.262000 0.520669
2025-09-05 0.261905 0.458698
2025-06-06 0.261905 0.439912
2025-03-07 0.261905 0.450589
2024-12-03 0.244762 0.382798
2024-09-05 0.244898 0.445441
2024-06-05 0.244898 0.513919
2024-03-06 0.244898 0.528466
2023-12-01 0.233107 0.540963
2023-09-05 0.233236 0.577437
2023-06-02 0.233236 0.562665
2023-03-06 0.233236 0.438375
2022-12-01 0.228917 0.398280
2022-09-06 0.228917 0.418738
2022-06-06 0.228917 0.413333
2022-03-07 0.228917 0.412596
2021-12-01 0.227189 0.435431
2021-09-03 0.216371 0.404435
2021-06-03 0.216371 0.371590
2021-03-08 0.216371 0.364019
2020-12-01 0.222130 0.468852
2020-09-03 0.211552 0.504355
2020-06-04 0.211552 0.455985
2020-03-05 0.211552 0.503136
2019-12-02 0.203717 0.456249
2019-09-05 0.203717 0.504289
2019-06-06 0.203717 0.496463
2019-03-07 0.203717 0.487404
2018-11-29 0.184129 0.429386
2018-09-06 0.175361 0.374951
2018-06-07 0.175361 0.401738
2018-03-08 0.175361 0.450242
2017-11-29 0.167898 0.453287
2017-09-07 0.167898 0.496307
2017-06-07 0.167898 0.482819
2017-03-08 0.167898 0.452297
2016-11-30 0.167898 0.480129
2016-09-07 0.167898 0.525338
2016-06-08 0.167898 0.543255
2016-03-09 0.167898 0.610920
2015-11-24 0.159690 0.559515
2015-09-09 0.159903 0.612154
2015-06-03 0.159903 0.598117
2015-03-04 0.159903 0.652316
2014-11-25 0.152086 0.600304
2014-09-03 0.152289 0.595386
2014-06-03 0.152289 0.630380
2014-03-03 0.152289 0.631168
2013-11-26 0.144844 0.587843
2013-09-04 0.145037 0.651584
2013-06-05 0.145037 0.657031
2013-03-04 0.145037 0.750393
2012-11-28 1.062315 5.899437
2012-09-05 0.141200 0.753536
2012-06-06 0.141200 0.829553
2012-03-07 0.141200 0.809851
2011-11-28 0.134447 0.838791
2011-09-07 0.141200 0.821832
2011-06-08 0.141200 0.772537
2011-03-09 0.141200 0.772888
2010-12-02 0.137517 0.821441
2010-09-07 0.144270 0.894832
2010-06-09 0.144270 0.920640
2010-03-08 0.144270 0.816814
2009-11-25 0.140586 0.824791
2009-09-09 0.140323 0.923971
2009-06-05 0.140323 1.115451
2009-03-06 0.140323 1.204926
2008-11-12 0.139154 0.855682
2008-09-10 0.139209 0.796637
2008-06-05 0.139209 0.839961
2008-03-06 0.139209 0.935292
2007-11-27 0.132527 0.816121
2007-09-11 0.132580 0.821986
2007-06-05 0.132580 0.804793
2007-03-07 0.132580 0.780531
2006-11-27 0.123565 0.741114
2006-09-11 0.123742 0.753736
2006-06-05 0.123742 0.738578
2006-03-07 0.123742 0.735012
2005-11-25 0.121216 0.718287
2005-09-09 0.115444 0.704468
2005-06-03 0.115444 0.763878
2005-03-07 0.115444 0.788767
2004-11-24 0.078406 0.527710
2004-09-09 0.105366 0.748357
2004-06-03 0.105366 0.810380
2004-03-04 0.105366 0.744948
2003-11-25 0.103075 0.764756
2003-09-10 0.098167 0.842054
2003-06-04 0.071989 0.652832
2003-03-05 0.071989 0.714424
2002-11-26 0.071116 0.677747
2002-09-11 0.067730 0.630583
2002-06-05 0.067730 0.597745
2002-03-06 0.067730 0.641797
2001-11-28 0.066483 0.705837
2001-06-06 0.063317 0.737166
2001-03-07 0.063317 0.674942
2000-11-28 0.061339 0.726038
2000-09-13 0.058418 0.713144
2000-06-07 0.058418 0.764174
2000-03-07 0.058418 0.950031
1999-11-26 0.056533 0.689540
1999-09-13 0.053841 0.728908
1999-06-09 0.053841 0.650639
1999-03-05 0.053841 0.628466
1998-11-25 0.033023 0.364899
1998-09-10 0.049568 0.624172
1998-06-05 0.049568 0.526683
1998-03-05 0.049682 0.538534
1997-11-25 0.044440 0.565553
1997-09-10 0.044495 0.674034
1997-06-05 0.044495 0.821475
1997-03-05 0.044495 0.772029
1996-11-26 0.029301 0.532345
1996-09-10 0.039275 0.885225
1996-06-05 0.039275 0.988778
1996-03-06 0.039275 0.969833
1995-11-28 0.035554 0.867438
1995-09-08 0.037208 0.872693
1995-06-06 0.037208 1.054337
1995-03-02 0.037208 1.095187
1994-12-06 0.033074 1.076385
1994-11-25 0.035141 1.100538
1994-09-07 0.035141 0.972769
1994-05-27 0.035141 1.016303
1994-03-02 0.031007 0.901515
1993-09-07 0.031007 0.966583
1993-06-08 0.031007 1.050772
1993-03-02 0.027562 0.811189
1992-11-30 0.027562 0.894179
1992-09-21 0.027562 1.021745
1992-06-01 0.027562 1.040668
1992-02-18 0.026184 1.049398
1991-12-02 0.026184 1.206971
1991-09-03 0.026184 1.141311
1991-06-06 0.026184 1.339241
1991-02-19 0.024805 1.470656
1990-12-04 0.024805 1.629221
1990-09-04 0.024805 1.661119
1990-06-07 0.024805 1.454235
1990-02-20 0.022049 1.389899
1989-12-05 0.022049 1.204592
1989-09-05 0.022049 1.239270
1989-06-08 0.022049 1.400731
1989-02-21 0.020671 1.544885
1988-12-06 0.020671 1.584774
1988-09-06 0.020671 1.616508
1988-06-06 0.020671 1.783757
1988-02-26 0.019293 1.935599
1986-12-08 0.018604 1.714830
1986-09-08 0.018604 1.657141
1986-06-09 0.018604 1.562392
1986-02-24 0.017915 1.724902
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.1
dividendYield 2.17
exDividendDate 2026-03-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.786
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.015291829
lastDividendValue 0.275
lastDividendDate 2026-03-06
dividendDate 2026-03-24

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.12024677
Address1 1,000 Walnut
All Time High 69.28798
All Time Low 0.628749
Ask 55.19
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,342,920
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,362,060
Average Volume 1,362,060
Average Volume10Days 1,342,920
Bid 47.61
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 4
Book Value 27.531
City Kansas City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 50.59
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 51.79
Day Low 50.012
Dividend Date 1,774,310,400
Dividend Rate 1.1
Dividend Yield 2.17
Earnings Growth 0.029
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.076
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,774,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,776,774,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,776,774,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 2.994
Enterprise Value 5,335,041,024
Eps Current Year 4.04571
Eps Forward 4.30857
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.07
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.6558
Fifty Day Average Change -0.06579971
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0012989572
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -12.024677
Fifty Two Week High 63.190475
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.600475
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19940466
Fifty Two Week Low 46.99
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.5999985
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07661201
Fifty Two Week Range 46.99 - 63.190475
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.74
Float Shares 134,612,661
Forward Eps 4.30857
Forward P E 11.741715
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,577
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 1,782,066,048
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02408
Held Percent Institutions 0.6972
Implied Shares Outstanding 147,357,138
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Ir Website http://www.commercebank.com/about/investor-relations/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Last Dividend Value 0.275
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,764,633,600
Last Split Factor 105:100
Long Business Summary Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Commercial, and Wealth. The Retail Banking segment offers various banking products and services, including consumer deposits; consumer loans, such as automobile, motorcycle, marine, tractor/trailer, recreational vehicle, fixed rate and revolving home equity, and other consumer loans; patient health care financing; real estate loans; indirect and other consumer financing; retail branch network; personal mortgage banking; consumer installment lending; and consumer debit and credit bank cards. The Commercial segment provides corporate lending, leasing, international, merchant and commercial bank card, and securities safekeeping and bond accounting services; and business products, government deposits, and related commercial cash management services, as well as sells fixed income securities to correspondent banks, corporations, public institutions, municipalities, and individuals. The Wealth segment provides traditional trust and estate planning, advisory and discretionary investment portfolio management, and brokerage services, as well as private banking accounts. The company offers private equity investment, securities brokerage, insurance agency, specialty lending, and leasing services, as well as online and mobile banking services. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
Long Name Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,454,797,312
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_262144
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 570,896,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,549,594,632
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 51.32
Operating Margins 0.39709
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.2641
Peg Ratio 2.06
Phone 816 234 2000
Pre Market Change 0.7587013
Pre Market Change Percent 1.4997061
Pre Market Price 51.3487
Pre Market Time 1,776,847,118
Previous Close 51.4
Price Eps Current Year 12.504603
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.837565
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.183233
Profit Margins 0.32338002
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.75
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.810001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.57588
Regular Market Day High 51.79
Regular Market Day Low 50.012
Regular Market Day Range 50.012 - 51.79
Regular Market Open 51.32
Regular Market Previous Close 51.4
Regular Market Price 50.59
Regular Market Time 1,776,801,601
Regular Market Volume 2,003,877
Return On Assets 0.01717
Return On Equity 0.14938
Revenue Growth 0.173
Revenue Per Share 12.704
Sand P52 Week Change 0.3140242
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 146,879,273
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0381
Shares Short 5,593,431
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,535,796
Short Name Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0388
Short Ratio 4.32
Source Interval 15
State MO
Symbol CBSH
Target High Price 69.0
Target Low Price 53.0
Target Mean Price 58.625
Target Median Price 58.0
Total Cash 4,737,592,832
Total Cash Per Share 32.114
Total Debt 2,584,768,000
Total Revenue 1,782,066,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.786
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.015291829
Trailing Eps 4.07
Trailing P E 12.429975
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.9988
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.4087982
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.063127294
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,003,877
Website https://www.commercebank.com
Zip 64,106