CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Washington, United States | NYSE
72.54 USD
+0.36
(0.499%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT
The fundamental story here is a classic high-growth, high-risk restaurant play. Revenue is expanding rapidly at +32%, which is impressive for the sector, yet profitability remains elusive with negative free cash flow and a trailing P/E of nearly 139x. The market is pricing in perfection, demanding a forward P/E of 95x to justify the current valuation. While the balance sheet is manageable with a current ratio above 2.5, the lack of dividends and negative cash burn means this is purely a growth vehicle that requires flawless execution. The short-term outlook is mixed despite the bullish options flow. The statistical forecast model shows a weak bearish lean (-0.06%) with low confidence, which aligns with the recent price action where the stock has struggled to break above its 50-day moving average, trading at a discount to that level. The heavy options positioning suggests traders are waiting for a catalyst to trigger a parabolic move, but without immediate earnings acceleration or margin expansion, the near-term path is likely choppy as the stock digests its massive gains from the prior year. Long-term, the business quality appears solid given the double-digit revenue growth and improving operating margins, but the valuation leaves little room for error. It is not a 'buy and forget' compounder yet; it is a volatile growth stock where the multiple can contract quickly if growth slows even slightly. The 3.5-star rating reflects a solid business trajectory that is currently overpriced relative to its earnings, requiring a wait-and-see approach until the P/E compresses or earnings surprise the lofty expectations. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.083501 |
| MSTL | 0.087784 |
| AutoETS | 0.089377 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.089412 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 3.59 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.158 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.37 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 61.544 |
| Revenue per Share | 11.086 |
| Market Cap | 8,449,013,760 |
| Trailing P/E | 139.50 |
| Forward P/E | 96.14 |
| Beta | 1.69 |
| Profit Margins | 4.79% |
| Website | https://cava.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:24 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls at strikes like $90, $100, and $120 across multiple expirations. Call volume significantly exceeds put volume in the out-of-the-money range, while ATM implied volatility remains elevated relative to deep ITM strikes, suggesting a fear of a gap-up or a 'long gamma' environment where dealers face pressure if the stock rallies. The concentration of OTM open interest indicates a speculative bet on a significant move higher rather than a defensive hedge.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.19675052 |
| Address1 | 14 Ridge Square NW |
| Address2 | Suite 500 |
| All Time High | 172.43 |
| All Time Low | 29.05 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,836,900 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,112,788 |
| Average Volume | 3,112,788 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,836,900 |
| Beta | 1.694 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 6.958 |
| City | Washington |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 72.54 |
| Current Ratio | 2.655 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 73.2 |
| Day Low | 70.97 |
| Debt To Equity | 61.544 |
| Display Name | CAVA |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,224,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,224,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.091 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.083 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,220,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,779,220,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,779,220,800 |
| Ebitda | 149,124,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.11595 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 57.298 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 6.644 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,544,540,672 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.5514 |
| Eps Forward | 0.75451 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.52 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 80.2202 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -7.6801987 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.09573896 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -19.675053 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 98.79 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -26.25 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.26571515 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 43.41 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 29.130001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.6710436 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 43.41 - 98.79 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,686,835,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 107,576,418 |
| Forward Eps | 0.75451 |
| Forward P E | 96.14187 |
| Free Cashflow | -11,791,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 13,480 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.37737 |
| Gross Profits | 485,336,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.05764 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.94964 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 116,473,856 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | CAVA Group, Inc. owns and operates a chain of restaurants under the CAVA brand in the United States. It also offers dips, spreads, and dressings through grocery stores. In addition, the company provides walk-the-line, online, and mobile ordering platforms. CAVA Group, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia. |
| Long Name | CAVA Group, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 8,449,013,760 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_291711182 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,776,556,800 |
| Net Income To Common | 61,602,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 8,449,013,514 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 24 |
| Open | 72.55 |
| Operating Cashflow | 210,328,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.06507 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 202 400 2920 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.34999847 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.4824903 |
| Pre Market Price | 72.19 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,021,393 |
| Previous Close | 72.18 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 131.55605 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 10.425409 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 6.569443 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0479 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.529 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.92593 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.360001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.498754 |
| Regular Market Day High | 73.2 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 70.97 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 70.97 - 73.2 |
| Regular Market Open | 72.55 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 72.18 |
| Regular Market Price | 72.54 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,689,230 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03338 |
| Return On Equity | 0.0802 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.321 |
| Revenue Per Share | 11.086 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 116,473,856 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1104 |
| Shares Short | 12,860,745 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 14,598,436 |
| Short Name | CAVA Group, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1172 |
| Short Ratio | 4.28 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | DC |
| Symbol | CAVA |
| Target High Price | 110.0 |
| Target Low Price | 55.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 92.875 |
| Target Median Price | 95.0 |
| Total Cash | 402,960,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.46 |
| Total Debt | 498,487,008 |
| Total Revenue | 1,286,108,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.52 |
| Trailing P E | 139.5 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 70.4754 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.064598 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.029295301 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,689,230 |
| Website | https://cava.com |
| Zip | 20,016 |