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CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Washington, United States | NYSE
97.39 USD +2.61 (2.754%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:22 p.m. EDT

Despite a narrative-heavy downgrade in recent headlines, the institutional and retail narrative is aggressively bullish on CAVA (CAVA) for the near term. The price action from March lows ($43 range implied by 200DMA and recent recovery) to $94.78 is a massive re-rating. Core signals: 1. Strong Call Gamma accumulation above current price (100 CE); 2. Massive Call volume sees-through; 3. Price +35% above the 200-day average. The 'sell the news' sentiment on seafood launch seems to be a wash based on options positioning. This is a strong steady-strength chart play, though valuations (P/E ~169x) remain a long-term traffic light without attached dividends.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.208798
AutoETS0.212565
MSTL0.215502
AutoARIMA0.236954

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 16.80
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.116
Excess Kurtosis -1.02
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 59.802
Revenue per Share 10.187
Market Cap 11,334,030,336
Trailing P/E 180.35
Forward P/E 135.29
Beta 2.04
Profit Margins 5.40%
Website https://cava.com

As of April 18, 2026, 11:22 p.m. EDT: Speculators are exhibiting a distinctly bullish-short orientation. In the short-dated April and May expirations, Call volume heavily exceeds Open Interest (OI) at strikes above current price (specifically 86, 89, and 100), indicating aggressive gamma exposure or aggressive underlying ownership at these levels. Conversely, Put activity is concentrated in-the-money with high OI walls below current price (e.g., 80, 88), suggesting a floor is expected, but new Call flow is significantly stronger. Excess kurtosis is negative in price forecasts, suggesting the model sees a fat-placket distribution where extreme moves might have different implications, but the immediate options flow is directional. Front-month IV remains compressed (~0.50-0.60), while further out-terms show rising IV (>0.70), implying a premium for time/passing by risk but current sentiment is keyed upside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.197909
Address1 14 Ridge Square NW
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 172.43
All Time Low 29.05
Ask 96.5
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,468,080
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,379,301
Average Volume 3,379,301
Average Volume10Days 2,468,080
Beta 2.042
Bid 95.75
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 8
Book Value 6.714
City Washington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 97.39
Current Ratio 2.65
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 97.85
Day Low 94.51
Debt To Equity 59.802
Display Name CAVA
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,771,970,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,771,970,400
Earnings Growth -0.94
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.937
Earnings Timestamp 1,771,966,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,788,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,788,800
Ebitda 133,871,000
Ebitda Margins 0.113479994
Enterprise To Ebitda 85.211
Enterprise To Revenue 9.67
Enterprise Value 11,407,249,408
Eps Current Year 0.52211
Eps Forward 0.71988
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.54
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 79.8322
Fifty Day Average Change 17.5578
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.21993382
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 19.7909
Fifty Two Week High 101.5
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.1100006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.040492617
Fifty Two Week Low 43.41
Fifty Two Week Low Change 53.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.2434922
Fifty Two Week Range 43.41 - 101.5
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,686,835,800,000
Float Shares 104,614,301
Forward Eps 0.71988
Forward P E 135.28644
Free Cashflow -20,631,750
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 13,480
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.37422
Gross Profits 441,448,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.055999998
Held Percent Institutions 0.95362
Implied Shares Outstanding 116,377,765
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary CAVA Group, Inc. owns and operates a chain of restaurants under the CAVA brand in the United States. It also offers dips, spreads, and dressings through grocery stores. In addition, the company provides walk-the-line, online, and mobile ordering platforms. CAVA Group, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.
Long Name CAVA Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 11,334,030,336
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_291711182
Most Recent Quarter 1,766,880,000
Net Income To Common 63,743,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 11,334,030,533
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 95.89
Operating Cashflow 184,840,000
Operating Margins 0.01388
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 202 400 2920
Pre Market Change -1.8899994
Pre Market Change Percent -1.9404511
Pre Market Price 95.51
Pre Market Time 1,776,777,482
Previous Close 94.78
Price Eps Current Year 186.53157
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.50551
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 9.607846
Profit Margins 0.054029997
Quick Ratio 2.533
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.61
Regular Market Change Percent 2.75375
Regular Market Day High 97.85
Regular Market Day Low 94.51
Regular Market Day Range 94.51 - 97.85
Regular Market Open 95.89
Regular Market Previous Close 94.78
Regular Market Price 97.39
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,202
Regular Market Volume 3,086,600
Return On Assets 0.029749999
Return On Equity 0.08642
Revenue Growth 0.209
Revenue Per Share 10.187
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 116,377,765
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1375
Shares Short 16,000,247
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,529,655
Short Name CAVA Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1457
Short Ratio 5.11
Source Interval 15
State DC
Symbol CAVA
Target High Price 100.0
Target Low Price 70.0
Target Mean Price 85.83333
Target Median Price 85.0
Total Cash 393,028,992
Total Cash Per Share 3.377
Total Debt 466,248,000
Total Revenue 1,179,664,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.54
Trailing P E 180.35184
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 69.1382
Two Hundred Day Average Change 28.2518
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.40862796
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,086,600
Website https://cava.com
Zip 20,016