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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Calabasas, United States | NasdaqGS
112.37 USD +3.37 (3.092%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 113.00 +0.63 (0.561%) ⇧ (Oct. 13, 2026, 6:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT

The Cheesecake Factory is riding a powerful wave of momentum, with the stock surging past its 2025 anchor levels and trading well above its 200-day average. The short-term rating reflects this strong price action and bullish options flow, where traders are betting on further gains near the 115 mark. However, the long-term rating remains tempered by significant balance sheet risks; the company carries substantial debt relative to equity, and analyst price targets currently suggest the rally may be overextended. While earnings growth and operational recovery are evident, the financial leverage creates a ceiling on the investment thesis. The dividend rating is neutral, offering a modest yield that is sustainable but insufficient to drive income-focused investors. Ultimately, this is a high-risk, high-reward play driven by recent performance rather than a fortress balance sheet.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.110992
AutoETS0.111723
AutoARIMA0.111780
AutoTheta0.116300

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.149
Excess Kurtosis -1.16
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 400.999
Revenue per Share 83.185
Market Cap 5,591,602,176
Trailing P/E 30.45
Forward P/E 22.37
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 4.61%
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside continuation with notable call volume at the 115 strike, while defensive put buyers establish a wall at the 105 level. Implied volatility remains elevated, indicating uncertainty around the recent rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.27% 1.85% 2.32% 2.34%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-11 0.300 0.265346
2026-05-13 0.300 0.530692
2026-03-04 0.300 0.468457
2025-11-10 0.270 0.587467
2025-08-12 0.270 0.432970
2025-05-14 0.270 0.497696
2025-03-05 0.270 0.540757
2024-11-13 0.270 0.558775
2024-08-14 0.270 0.763575
2024-05-21 0.270 0.718276
2024-03-05 0.270 0.753138
2023-11-14 0.270 0.828984
2023-08-15 0.270 0.783517
2023-05-23 0.270 0.817934
2023-03-07 0.270 0.737503
2022-11-14 0.270 0.740944
2022-08-09 0.270 0.901202
2022-05-10 0.270 0.786713
2020-03-06 0.360 1.145038
2019-11-08 0.360 0.836043
2019-08-13 0.360 0.919071
2019-05-15 0.330 0.698708
2019-03-01 0.330 0.704376
2018-11-13 0.330 0.644531
2018-08-14 0.330 0.655542
2018-05-09 0.290 0.545420
2018-02-27 0.290 0.613497
2017-11-14 0.290 0.645880
2017-08-14 0.290 0.645018
2017-05-15 0.240 0.410046
2017-03-06 0.240 0.388161
2016-11-07 0.240 0.454287
2016-08-08 0.240 0.471328
2016-05-09 0.200 0.388123
2016-02-26 0.200 0.397693
2015-11-05 0.200 0.416493
2015-08-03 0.200 0.347584
2015-05-04 0.165 0.328358
2015-02-23 0.165 0.333805
2014-11-03 0.165 0.358462
2014-08-04 0.165 0.382564
2014-05-05 0.140 0.310559
2014-02-24 0.140 0.300300
2013-11-04 0.140 0.295359
2013-08-05 0.140 0.318907
2013-05-06 0.120 0.303797
2013-03-04 0.120 0.342661
2012-11-05 0.120 0.353149
2012-08-06 0.120 0.364409
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.2
dividendYield 1.1
exDividendDate 2026-08-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.14
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010458715
lastDividendValue 0.3
lastDividendDate 2026-08-11
dividendDate 2026-08-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0
Address1 26,901 Malibu Hills Road
Address2 Calabasas Hills
All Time High 118.46
All Time Low 2.666667
Ask 139.81
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,196,580
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,605,253
Average Volume 1,605,253
Average Volume10Days 1,196,580
Beta 1.037
Bid 81.2
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 10.426
City Calabasas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.37
Current Ratio 0.587
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 113.745
Day Low 108.7
Debt To Equity 400.999
Display Name Cheesecake Factory
Dividend Date 1,787,616,000
Dividend Rate 1.2
Dividend Yield 1.1
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth 0.237
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.248
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 354,952,000
Ebitda Margins 0.09155
Enterprise To Ebitda 20.594
Enterprise To Revenue 1.885
Enterprise Value 7,309,754,880
Eps Current Year 4.54685
Eps Forward 5.02337
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.69
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 107.0298
Fifty Day Average Change 5.3402023
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.049894538
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 100.0
Fifty Two Week High 118.46
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.0899963
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05140973
Fifty Two Week Low 43.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 69.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.6090087
Fifty Two Week Range 43.07 - 118.46
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 716,823,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.01
Float Shares 45,863,879
Forward Eps 5.02337
Forward P E 22.369446
Free Cashflow 166,743,120
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 48,000
Fullday Change 4.0
Fullday Change Percent 3.6697247
Fullday Price 113.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.40701
Gross Profits 1,578,066,048
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07455
Held Percent Institutions 1.0439601
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,760,634
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ir Website http://investors.thecheesecakefactory.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=109258&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Last Dividend Value 0.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,052,800
Last Split Date 1,102,550,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
Long Name The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,591,602,176
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_319496
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 178,616,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,588,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,192,522,157
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 108.76
Operating Cashflow 354,448,000
Operating Margins 0.07767
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.3089
Peg Ratio 1.87
Phone 818 871 3000
Post Market Change 0.62999725
Post Market Change Percent 0.5606454
Post Market Price 113.0
Post Market Time 1,791,931,859
Previous Close 109.0
Price Eps Current Year 24.713812
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.7778635
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4421567
Profit Margins 0.04607
Quick Ratio 0.434
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.3700027
Regular Market Change Percent 3.0917456
Regular Market Day High 113.745
Regular Market Day Low 108.7
Regular Market Day Range 108.7 - 113.745
Regular Market Open 108.76
Regular Market Previous Close 109.0
Regular Market Price 112.37
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 1,449,039
Return On Assets 0.047
Return On Equity 0.38834
Revenue Growth 0.077
Revenue Per Share 83.185
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 49,760,634
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.20629999
Shares Short 10,265,860
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,444,495
Short Name The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor
Short Percent Of Float 0.39330003
Short Ratio 7.09
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol CAKE
Target High Price 122.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 97.42857
Target Median Price 99.5
Total Cash 195,170,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.922
Total Debt 2,081,016,064
Total Revenue 3,877,250,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.14
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010458715
Trailing Eps 3.69
Trailing P E 30.452576
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.8822
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 75.6513
Two Hundred Day Average Change 36.718704
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.4853678
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,449,039
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Zip 91,301