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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Calabasas, United States | NasdaqGS
112.07 USD +1.98 (1.799%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 112.01 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:23 a.m. EDT

The Cheesecake Factory is trading at a significant premium to analyst expectations, with the current price well above the consensus target. While profitability metrics like return on equity remain robust, the balance sheet carries substantial leverage and liquidity constraints that weigh on the long-term outlook. Short-term momentum remains strong, but the valuation gap creates headwinds. The dividend offers modest income but isn't a primary driver given the yield level. Investors should be cautious of the high short interest and elevated debt levels while monitoring whether the rally can sustain against the bearish analyst consensus.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.119918
AutoARIMA0.185707
AutoETS0.185708
MSTL0.186186

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 69.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.069
Excess Kurtosis -1.69
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 400.999
Revenue per Share 83.185
Market Cap 5,576,673,792
Trailing P/E 29.81
Forward P/E 22.59
Beta 1.00
Profit Margins 4.61%
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put open interest near the money, indicating a fear of a near-term correction. However, long-dated call positioning at higher strikes suggests some bullish tail-risk bets. Implied volatility is elevated, reflecting uncertainty.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.27% 1.85% 2.32% 2.34%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-11 0.300 0.265346
2026-05-13 0.300 0.530692
2026-03-04 0.300 0.468457
2025-11-10 0.270 0.587467
2025-08-12 0.270 0.432970
2025-05-14 0.270 0.497696
2025-03-05 0.270 0.540757
2024-11-13 0.270 0.558775
2024-08-14 0.270 0.763575
2024-05-21 0.270 0.718276
2024-03-05 0.270 0.753138
2023-11-14 0.270 0.828984
2023-08-15 0.270 0.783517
2023-05-23 0.270 0.817934
2023-03-07 0.270 0.737503
2022-11-14 0.270 0.740944
2022-08-09 0.270 0.901202
2022-05-10 0.270 0.786713
2020-03-06 0.360 1.145038
2019-11-08 0.360 0.836043
2019-08-13 0.360 0.919071
2019-05-15 0.330 0.698708
2019-03-01 0.330 0.704376
2018-11-13 0.330 0.644531
2018-08-14 0.330 0.655542
2018-05-09 0.290 0.545420
2018-02-27 0.290 0.613497
2017-11-14 0.290 0.645880
2017-08-14 0.290 0.645018
2017-05-15 0.240 0.410046
2017-03-06 0.240 0.388161
2016-11-07 0.240 0.454287
2016-08-08 0.240 0.471328
2016-05-09 0.200 0.388123
2016-02-26 0.200 0.397693
2015-11-05 0.200 0.416493
2015-08-03 0.200 0.347584
2015-05-04 0.165 0.328358
2015-02-23 0.165 0.333805
2014-11-03 0.165 0.358462
2014-08-04 0.165 0.382564
2014-05-05 0.140 0.310559
2014-02-24 0.140 0.300300
2013-11-04 0.140 0.295359
2013-08-05 0.140 0.318907
2013-05-06 0.120 0.303797
2013-03-04 0.120 0.342661
2012-11-05 0.120 0.353149
2012-08-06 0.120 0.364409
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.2
dividendYield 1.09
exDividendDate 2026-08-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.14
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010355164
lastDividendValue 0.3
lastDividendDate 2026-08-11
dividendDate 2026-08-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.8020953
Address1 26,901 Malibu Hills Road
Address2 Calabasas Hills
All Time High 118.46
All Time Low 2.666667
Ask 143.0
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,721,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,642,664
Average Volume 1,642,664
Average Volume10Days 1,721,730
Beta 1.003
Bid 81.06
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 10.426
City Calabasas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 112.07
Current Ratio 0.587
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 113.32
Day Low 110.3105
Debt To Equity 400.999
Dividend Date 1,787,616,000
Dividend Rate 1.2
Dividend Yield 1.09
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,272,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,272,400
Earnings Growth 0.237
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.248
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 354,952,000
Ebitda Margins 0.09155
Enterprise To Ebitda 21.024
Enterprise To Revenue 1.925
Enterprise Value 7,462,520,320
Eps Current Year 4.51332
Eps Forward 4.96161
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.76
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 93.3192
Fifty Day Average Change 18.750801
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.20093188
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 80.209526
Fifty Two Week High 118.46
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.3899994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.053942256
Fifty Two Week Low 43.07
Fifty Two Week Low Change 69.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.6020432
Fifty Two Week Range 43.07 - 118.46
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 716,823,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.55
Float Shares 45,862,884
Forward Eps 4.96161
Forward P E 22.587427
Free Cashflow 166,743,120
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 48,000
Fullday Change 1.98
Fullday Change Percent 1.79853
Fullday Price 112.0099
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.40701
Gross Profits 1,578,066,048
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07457
Held Percent Institutions 1.0385
Implied Shares Outstanding 49,760,634
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ir Website http://investors.thecheesecakefactory.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=109258&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Last Dividend Value 0.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,052,800
Last Split Date 1,102,550,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
Long Name The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,576,673,792
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_319496
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 178,616,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,588,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,481,631,441
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 110.75
Operating Cashflow 354,448,000
Operating Margins 0.07767
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.3089
Peg Ratio 2.24
Phone 818 871 3000
Post Market Change -0.06009674
Post Market Change Percent -0.05362429
Post Market Price 112.0099
Post Market Time 1,787,961,585
Previous Close 110.09
Price Eps Current Year 24.830944
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 10.749089
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4383065
Profit Margins 0.04607
Quick Ratio 0.434
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.68421
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.98
Regular Market Change Percent 1.79853
Regular Market Day High 113.32
Regular Market Day Low 110.3105
Regular Market Day Range 110.3105 - 113.32
Regular Market Open 110.75
Regular Market Previous Close 110.09
Regular Market Price 112.07
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 803,166
Return On Assets 0.047
Return On Equity 0.38834
Revenue Growth 0.077
Revenue Per Share 83.185
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 49,760,634
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1858
Shares Short 9,246,344
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 8,909,603
Short Name The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor
Short Percent Of Float 0.35419998
Short Ratio 4.87
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol CAKE
Target High Price 105.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 92.66667
Target Median Price 93.0
Total Cash 195,170,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.922
Total Debt 2,081,016,064
Total Revenue 3,877,250,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.14
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010355164
Trailing Eps 3.76
Trailing P E 29.805851
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.2445
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 66.72835
Two Hundred Day Average Change 45.341652
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.6794961
Type Disp Equity
Volume 803,166
Website https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Zip 91,301