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CAE Inc. (CAE)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Saint-Laurent, Canada | NYSE
24.34 USD -0.58 (-2.327%) ⇩ (July 15, 2026, 10:20 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case for CAE is currently paralyzed by a disconnect between its operational reality and its capital structure. Fundamentally, the company is showing signs of distress: earnings have collapsed by nearly half year-over-year, and the backlog in its lucrative civil sector is described as 'below parity,' which scares investors despite a 9% jump in defense revenue. This operational weakness is compounded by a precarious balance sheet, where debt significantly outweighs equity, leaving little room for error. The recent news regarding the shift from NYSE to Nasdaq is a double-edged sword. While it signals a transformation plan intended to modernize the brand, it also introduces execution risk and potential liquidity friction during the transition. The market has reacted negatively to the civil backlog concerns, dragging the stock down significantly from its highs. Crucially, there is no income floor to catch falling knives; the company has suspended dividends entirely, eliminating any defensive utility for income-focused investors. While the forward P/E suggests analysts expect a recovery, the current earnings contraction and high leverage make that path uncertain. With the statistical forecast showing a weak bearish lean and options flow offering no clear directional bias, the prudent stance is to wait for clarity on the civil backlog resolution and the success of the exchange migration before committing capital.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_66 ✓0.060506
AutoTheta0.085233
AutoETS0.085380
AutoARIMA0.085381
MSTL0.086033
MSTL_66_1260.089275
MSTL_1260.118482

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_66

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 1.16
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.004
Excess Kurtosis 1.49
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2020-03-11
Last Dividend Date 2020-03-11
Debt to Equity Ratio 60.025
Revenue per Share 15.305
Market Cap 7,827,249,664
Trailing P/E 35.79
Forward P/E 22.78
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 6.37%
Website https://www.cae.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:15 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely light and fragmented. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at the $30 strike across expirations, suggesting a speculative bet on a significant gap-up event rather than steady accumulation. Put activity is negligible, indicating a lack of hedging demand. Implied volatility is flat or low for most strikes, reflecting a market that sees little immediate directional risk despite the corporate restructuring news.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2020-03-12 0.080 0.435256
2019-12-12 0.083 0.322832
2019-09-12 0.083 0.331470
2019-06-13 0.075 0.295741
2019-03-14 0.075 0.345622
2018-09-13 0.077 0.378751
2018-06-14 0.069 0.328415
2018-03-14 0.069 0.376022
2017-12-14 0.070 0.400916
2017-09-14 0.074 0.454545
2017-06-13 0.060 0.361228
2017-03-13 0.059 0.393596
2016-12-13 0.061 0.423905
2016-09-13 0.061 0.439798
2016-06-13 0.059 0.460578
2016-03-11 0.056 0.494263
2015-12-11 0.055 0.499093
2015-09-11 0.057 0.533708
2015-06-11 0.057 0.467213
2015-03-11 0.055 0.488889
2014-12-11 0.061 0.475448
2014-09-11 0.064 0.522023
2014-06-11 0.055 0.407106
2014-03-12 0.054 0.397351
2013-12-12 0.057 0.486763
2013-06-12 0.005 0.049116
2013-03-13 0.050 0.502513
2012-12-12 0.050 0.492126
2012-09-12 0.051 0.487572
2012-06-13 0.039 0.406674
2012-03-13 0.040 0.378430
2011-12-13 0.040 0.417101
2011-09-13 0.040 0.405680
2011-06-13 0.041 0.330379
2011-03-11 0.041 0.312262
2010-12-13 0.040 0.346620
2010-09-13 0.039 0.384236
2010-06-11 0.029 0.315217
2010-03-11 0.029 0.317287
2009-12-11 0.029 0.362047
2009-09-11 0.028 0.339394
2009-06-11 0.027 0.425867
2009-03-12 0.023 0.417423
2008-12-10 0.024 0.455408
2008-09-11 0.028 0.268199
2008-06-11 0.029 0.233119
2008-03-12 0.010 0.085616
2007-12-12 0.010 0.079302
2007-09-12 0.009 0.070644
2007-06-13 0.009 0.066617
2007-03-14 0.009 0.087209
2006-12-13 0.009 0.098684
2006-09-13 0.009 0.108696
2006-06-14 0.009 0.117493
2006-03-15 0.010 0.120482
2005-12-14 0.009 0.114943
2005-09-14 0.008 0.113636
2005-06-10 0.010 0.208768
2005-03-09 0.010 0.221729
2004-12-15 0.025 0.673854
2004-09-15 0.020 0.471698
2004-06-09 0.030 0.717703
2004-03-10 0.030 0.672646
2003-12-10 0.030 0.707547
2003-09-10 0.030 0.606061
2003-06-11 0.030 0.759494
2002-12-11 0.030 0.890208
2002-09-11 0.030 0.806452
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2020-03-12
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.08
lastDividendDate 2020-03-12
dividendDate 2020-03-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.15696889
Address1 8,585 Cote-de-Liesse
All Time High 34.24
All Time Low 1.9
Ask 24.23
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 613,160
Average Daily Volume3 Month 882,609
Average Volume 882,609
Average Volume10Days 613,160
Beta 1.037
Bid 24.2
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 7
Book Value 11.651245
City Saint-Laurent
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.34
Current Ratio 0.959
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 24.43
Day Low 23.86
Debt To Equity 60.025
Display Name CAE
Dividend Date 1,585,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,451,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,451,200
Earnings Growth -0.482
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.462
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,393,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,478,400
Ebitda 915,699,968
Ebitda Margins 0.18635
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.77
Enterprise To Revenue 2.193
Enterprise Value 10,777,737,216
Eps Current Year 1.26075
Eps Forward 1.0686809
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.68
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,583,971,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.5754
Fifty Day Average Change -1.2353992
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0483042
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.696889
Fifty Two Week High 34.24
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.900002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28913555
Fifty Two Week Low 22.76
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.5799999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.06942003
Fifty Two Week Range 22.76 - 34.24
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,027,949,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.4
Float Shares 290,233,026
Forward Eps 1.0686809
Forward P E 22.775742
Free Cashflow 389,787,488
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.28303
Gross Profits 1,390,800,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0016300001
Held Percent Institutions 0.8513
Implied Shares Outstanding 321,579,686
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,583,971,200
Last Dividend Value 0.08
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Long Business Summary CAE Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides training, simulation, and critical operation solutions in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, the Oceania, Africa, and rest of the Americas. The company operates through two segments, Civil Aviation; and Defense and Security. The Civil Aviation segment offers training solutions for flight, cabin, maintenance, ground personnel, and air traffic controllers in commercial, business, and helicopter aviation; a range of flight simulation training devices; and ab initio pilot training and crew sourcing services, as well as airline operations digital solutions for commercial airlines, regional airlines, business aircraft operators, civil helicopter operators, aircraft manufacturers, third-party training centres, flight training organizations, air navigation service providers, maintenance, repair and overhaul organizations and aircraft finance leasing companies. The Defense and Security segment operates as a training and simulation provider that delivers scalable and platform-independent solutions to enable and enhance force readiness and security for defense forces, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), government agencies, and public safety organizations. The company was formerly known as CAE Industries Ltd. and changed its name to CAE Inc. in 1993. CAE Inc. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada.
Long Name CAE Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,827,249,664
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_873741
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 313,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,946,055,775
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 24.43
Operating Cashflow 791,900,032
Operating Margins 0.1365
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.83
Phone 514 341 6780
Previous Close 24.92
Price Eps Current Year 19.305967
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.0890472
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.592847
Profit Margins 0.06372
Quick Ratio 0.73
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.5799999
Regular Market Change Percent -2.3274474
Regular Market Day High 24.43
Regular Market Day Low 23.86
Regular Market Day Range 23.86 - 24.43
Regular Market Open 24.43
Regular Market Previous Close 24.92
Regular Market Price 24.34
Regular Market Time 1,784,125,212
Regular Market Volume 147,504
Return On Assets 0.0345
Return On Equity 0.06227
Revenue Growth 0.04
Revenue Per Share 15.305
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 321,579,686
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.017
Shares Short 4,457,587
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,693,321
Short Name CAE Inc.
Short Ratio 7.76
Source Interval 15
State QC
Symbol CAE
Target High Price 33.20026
Target Low Price 32.145653
Target Mean Price 32.67296
Target Median Price 32.67296
Total Cash 552,400,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.718
Total Debt 3,234,200,064
Total Revenue 4,913,999,872
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.68
Trailing P E 35.794117
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 27.9657
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.6257
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.1296481
Type Disp Equity
Volume 147,504
Website https://www.cae.com
Zip H4T 1G6