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Burford Capital Limited (BUR)

Financial Services | Asset Management | Saint Peter Port, Guernsey | NYSE
3.00 USD -0.29 (-8.815%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.97 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:50 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. Despite a 3.6% dividend yield, the company is generating negative revenue and negative free cash flow, with a trailing P/E that is mathematically impossible due to losses. The balance sheet is fragile, carrying debt significantly higher than its equity base, which makes the dividend unsustainable if the business continues to bleed cash. While the stock trades at a discount to book value, this is a value trap; the market is correctly pricing in the deterioration of the business model. The recent price action shows a trailing run of down years, confirming that the market has already assessed the poor fundamentals. Options data reinforces this bearish sentiment, with traders buying deep protection for the next two years rather than betting on a rebound. The short-term outlook remains weak as the company struggles to turn the corner on its financials, and the long-term outlook is poor given the structural decline in earnings and revenue.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.085940
AutoETS0.105917
AutoTheta0.106031
MSTL0.106740

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 75.31
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.096
Excess Kurtosis -0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-21
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-21
Debt to Equity Ratio 164.497
Revenue per Share -6.912
Market Cap 658,786,816
Forward P/E 5.62
Beta 1.05
Website https://www.burfordcapital.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in late 2027 and early 2028. Call activity is concentrated at the $5 strike, suggesting a speculative bid for a recovery to that level, but the overwhelming volume in puts indicates a dominant fear of further collapse rather than a belief in a sustained rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.39% 1.39% 1.09% 1.17%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-22 0.063 1.390728
2025-05-23 0.063 0.483129
2024-11-01 0.063 0.466667
2024-05-23 0.063 0.453564
2023-11-09 0.063 0.483500
2023-05-25 0.063 0.468053
2022-11-03 0.063 0.797468
2022-05-26 0.063 0.747331
2021-11-11 0.063 0.560997
2021-05-27 0.125 1.053963
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.13
dividendYield 4.17
exDividendDate 2026-05-22
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.063
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019148936
lastDividendValue 0.063
lastDividendDate 2026-05-22
dividendDate 2026-06-12

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.719888
Address1 Oak House
Address2 Hirzel Street
All Time High 17.7
All Time Low 2.98
Ask 3.66
Ask Size 8,300
Audit Risk 8
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,392,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,897,109
Average Volume 1,897,109
Average Volume10Days 2,392,090
Beta 1.053
Bid 2.97
Bid Size 11,900
Board Risk 3
Book Value 3.73
City Saint Peter Port
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country Guernsey
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.0
Current Ratio 6.049
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.33
Day Low 2.98
Debt To Equity 164.497
Display Name Burford Capital
Dividend Date 1,781,222,400
Dividend Rate 0.13
Dividend Yield 4.17
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,021,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,021,200
Earnings Growth -0.974
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.975
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,795,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,795,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue -1.965
Enterprise Value 2,976,108,544
Eps Current Year -6.5896
Eps Forward 0.53337
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.7
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,779,408,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.023
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0229998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.2542878
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -71.9888
Fifty Two Week High 11.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.35
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.73568285
Fifty Two Week Low 2.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.01999998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.006711403
Fifty Two Week Range 2.98 - 11.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,603,114,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.19
Float Shares 187,233,118
Forward Eps 0.53337
Forward P E 5.6246133
Free Cashflow -1,085,876,096
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 172
Fullday Change -0.32889986
Fullday Change Percent -9.996956
Fullday Price 3.0
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -1,529,433,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09237
Held Percent Institutions 0.80723
Implied Shares Outstanding 219,595,601
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,779,408,000
Last Dividend Value 0.063
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Burford Capital Limited provides legal finance products and services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Principal Finance, and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment provides capital against the underlying value of high-value single or multiple litigation and arbitration matters at any stage of the process from before filing to after a final judgment has been entered; and to a law firm that has agreed to take a case on a contingent fee or alternative fee basis, as well as directly to the client. This segment also offers legal risk management and adverse legal cost insurance services. The Asset Management and Other Services segment manages legal finance assets on behalf of third-party investors, as well as provides other services to the legal industry. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.
Long Name Burford Capital Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 658,786,816
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_69075501
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -1,686,518,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 836,616,956
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 3.3
Operating Cashflow -184,606,000
Operating Margins 0.65190005
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.4464
Phone 44 1481 723 450
Post Market Change -0.029999971
Post Market Change Percent -0.99999905
Post Market Price 2.97
Post Market Time 1,792,195,000
Previous Close 3.29
Price Eps Current Year -0.45526284
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.8042895
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months -0.43490335
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 6.049
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.29
Regular Market Change Percent -8.81459
Regular Market Day High 3.33
Regular Market Day Low 2.98
Regular Market Day Range 2.98 - 3.33
Regular Market Open 3.3
Regular Market Previous Close 3.29
Regular Market Price 3.0
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,803
Regular Market Volume 5,608,677
Return On Assets -0.18238
Return On Equity -0.72116
Revenue Growth -0.372
Revenue Per Share -6.912
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 219,595,601
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0714
Shares Short 15,675,029
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 14,136,101
Short Name Burford Capital Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0783
Short Ratio 7.55
Source Interval 15
Symbol BUR
Target High Price 22.5
Target Low Price 5.0
Target Mean Price 8.715
Target Median Price 6.395
Total Cash 747,260,032
Total Cash Per Share 3.403
Total Debt 2,415,348,992
Total Revenue -1,514,788,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.063
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019148936
Trailing Eps -7.7
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.67965
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.6796498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.47179842
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,608,677
Website https://www.burfordcapital.com
Zip GY1 2NP