WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund (BTCW)Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
65.68 USD
-1.81
(-2.675%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT
The WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund is currently trapped in a defensive posture, caught between a brutal technical breakdown and a massive one-year surge. While the asset delivered a spectacular +105% return over the last twelve months, the immediate momentum has shattered, with the price trading significantly below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This disconnect creates a precarious environment: the statistical forecast models are nearly flat and unreliable, reflecting the noise of a volatile asset class, while the options chain screams caution. Traders are aggressively buying protection at the $61 level, effectively betting that the recent gains were a temporary spike rather than a new trend. Without a catalyst to break the descending trendline, the short-term outlook remains bearish as the market digests the correction. Long-term, the business quality is neutral; it is a passive vehicle tracking a volatile commodity with no intrinsic earnings or dividends to provide a margin of safety during these choppy periods. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.116441 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.117430 |
| AutoETS | 0.117430 |
| AutoTheta | 0.121983 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 10.60 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.081 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.63 |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioned defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at the $61 strike, acting as a hard floor against further downside. Conversely, call positioning is sparse and skewed toward deep out-of-the-money strikes ($77, $125), indicating speculative bets on a massive breakout rather than a measured rally. Implied volatility is elevated relative to the underlying price, suggesting fear of a sharp drop outweighs expectations of a steady rise.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 133.92 |
| All Time Low | 41.082 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 30,150 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 20,319 |
| Average Volume | 20,319 |
| Average Volume10Days | 30,150 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Category | Digital Assets |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 66.31 |
| Day Low | 65.33 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | BTS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 73.6602 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -7.9802017 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.108338036 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -46.949924 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 133.92 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -68.24 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.50955796 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 61.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.2299995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.06883644 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 61.45 - 133.92 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,704,983,400,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe US |
| Fund Family | WisdomTree |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,704,672,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-01-11 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily based on the value of bitcoin as reflected by the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate – New York Variant (the “Reference Rate”), which is an independently calculated value based on an aggregation of executed trade flow of major bitcoin spot platforms. |
| Long Name | WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_707380333 |
| Nav Price | 67.502 |
| Net Assets | 135,330,896.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.25 |
| Open | 66.02 |
| Previous Close | 67.485 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.805 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.67467 |
| Regular Market Day High | 66.31 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 65.33 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 65.33 - 66.31 |
| Regular Market Open | 66.02 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 67.485 |
| Regular Market Price | 65.68 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 37,998 |
| Short Name | WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | BTCW |
| Total Assets | 135,330,896 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -13.66 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -13.66 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 87.9932 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -22.313202 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.2535787 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 37,998 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | -32.96897 |