| Indicators | Browse All

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
34.30 USD -1.04 (-2.943%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 34.33 +0.03 (0.087%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:13 a.m. EDT

The Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF presents a classic case of a speculative vehicle riding a massive momentum wave rather than a fundamental investment opportunity. While the asset has delivered a spectacular +93.67% return over the last year, it is essentially a proxy for Bitcoin's price action with no intrinsic business value, no earnings, and no dividend yield. The recent price action shows a sharp recovery from a 25% NAV cut, closing near the 52-week high, which fuels the short-term bullish thesis. However, the options data reveals a critical divergence: while retail and speculators are piling into calls betting on further gains, the heavy put volume at deep strikes suggests institutional hedging against a potential crypto winter. For a traditional investor, this is a high-risk, high-reward trade dependent entirely on the continued acceptance of crypto assets as a store of value, lacking the safety margin or cash flow generation required for a long-term hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.098956
AutoETS0.102832
AutoTheta0.104272
AutoARIMA0.188378

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 11.01
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.19

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:13 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $40 and $50 strikes across multiple expirations, particularly in the 2027 timeframe where OTM call volume dominates. Conversely, put activity is concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes ($15-$26), suggesting a hedge against a crash rather than a bearish bet on the immediate future. The implied volatility surface shows significant spikes at extreme strikes, indicating a 'straddle' style positioning for high volatility events, but the heavy skew toward call volume suggests the primary sentiment is bullish.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 55.96
All Time Low 5.25
Ask 34.29
Ask Size 7,800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,380,930
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,943,637
Average Volume 1,943,637
Average Volume10Days 2,380,930
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 34.28
Bid Size 9,300
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 35.33
Day Low 34.0
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 28.8228
Fifty Day Average Change 5.4771996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.1900301
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.99511
Fifty Two Week High 55.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.66
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3870622
Fifty Two Week Low 25.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33723196
Fifty Two Week Range 25.65 - 55.96
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,722,432,600,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -1.04
Fullday Change Percent -2.94284
Fullday Price 34.33
Fund Family Grayscale
Fund Inception Date 1,722,384,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary While an investment in the shares is not a direct investment in Bitcoin, the shares are designed to provide investors with a cost-effective and convenient way to gain investment exposure to Bitcoin.
Long Name Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1874530420
Nav Price 35.33
Net Assets 3,707,137,280.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 35.04
Post Market Change 0.030002594
Post Market Change Percent 0.08747112
Post Market Price 34.33
Post Market Time 1,787,961,061
Previous Close 35.34
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.04
Regular Market Change Percent -2.94284
Regular Market Day High 35.33
Regular Market Day Low 34.0
Regular Market Day Range 34.0 - 35.33
Regular Market Open 35.04
Regular Market Previous Close 35.34
Regular Market Price 34.3
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 3,546,751
Short Name Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (B
Source Interval 15
Symbol BTC
Total Assets 3,707,137,280
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -17.69754
Trailing Three Month Returns -17.69754
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.34905
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.9509506
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.028515074
Type Disp ETF
Volume 3,546,751
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -28.21373