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Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
27.52 USD -0.75 (-2.653%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 27.60 +0.08 (0.291%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT

The Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust is currently trapped in a structural decline with no income to cushion the blow. The price has halved since last July, trading well below its 50-day moving average, which signals that the market has aggressively repriced the asset's quality. While the recent 14-day price action shows a slight stabilization, the heavy selling pressure and lack of upward momentum keep the short-term outlook bearish. The absence of any dividend history eliminates any defensive floor for investors. The options market reflects this uncertainty perfectly: traders are not betting on a steady rise but are instead purchasing cheap insurance against a crash and expensive tickets for a moonshot rally. Until the price stabilizes above key moving averages and the underlying Bitcoin ecosystem shows renewed growth, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_41_81 ✓0.084835
MSTL_810.085513
MSTL_410.097712
AutoARIMA0.101687
AutoETS0.101687
MSTL0.101687
AutoTheta0.103386

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_41_81

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 2.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.061
Excess Kurtosis -1.37

As of July 11, 2026, 2:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional bet. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (35, 46, 50, 69, 72), suggesting a bullish 'lottery ticket' strategy hoping for a crypto-style parabolic spike. Conversely, Put Open Interest is concentrated deep in-the-money (15, 21, 25), indicating a hedge against a severe crash or a speculative bet on a massive downside move. The presence of massive volume spikes at distant strikes (e.g., 72 calls, 15 puts) confirms that traders are buying extreme tail-risk protection and lottery tickets, while the ATM skew remains relatively flat.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 55.96
All Time Low 5.25
Ask 27.52
Ask Size 1,300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,676,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,009,021
Average Volume 2,009,021
Average Volume10Days 1,676,730
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 27.27
Bid Size 8,800
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 27.82
Day Low 27.31
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 30.8126
Fifty Day Average Change -3.2925987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10685884
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -46.800907
Fifty Two Week High 55.96
Fifty Two Week High Change -28.439999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.50822014
Fifty Two Week Low 25.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8700008
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07290452
Fifty Two Week Range 25.65 - 55.96
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,722,432,600,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Grayscale
Fund Inception Date 1,722,384,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary While an investment in the shares is not a direct investment in Bitcoin, the shares are designed to provide investors with a cost-effective and convenient way to gain investment exposure to Bitcoin.
Long Name Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1874530420
Nav Price 27.95
Net Assets 3,187,986,690.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 27.62
Post Market Change 0.07999992
Post Market Change Percent 0.2906974
Post Market Price 27.6
Post Market Time 1,783,987,111
Previous Close 28.27
Price Hint 2
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.75
Regular Market Change Percent -2.65299
Regular Market Day High 27.82
Regular Market Day Low 27.31
Regular Market Day Range 27.31 - 27.82
Regular Market Open 27.62
Regular Market Previous Close 28.27
Regular Market Price 27.52
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,947,490
Short Name Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (B
Source Interval 15
Symbol BTC
Total Assets 3,187,986,688
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -13.40447
Trailing Three Month Returns -13.40447
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 36.78795
Two Hundred Day Average Change -9.267948
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25192893
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,947,490
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -32.96335