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BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | New York, United States | NYSE
5.25 USD -0.11 (-2.052%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.25
Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 7:03 a.m. EDT

The investment case for BrightSpire is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year price collapse and deteriorating fundamentals. The stock has lost over 76% of its value since 2018, with four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently, signaling a deep structural decline rather than a temporary correction. Fundamentally, the company is bleeding cash with negative free cash flow and negative earnings growth, despite reporting a positive operating margin; this disconnect suggests the business model is failing to generate the capital required to sustain its operations or debt load. While the 12% dividend yield appears attractive on the surface, the payout ratio of 20% masks the reality that the company is burning cash, making the dividend unsustainable in a prolonged downturn. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying protection via put options while offering almost no upside exposure. With a low statistical forecast confidence and a consensus target price barely above current levels, there is no compelling catalyst to reverse the trend. This remains a speculative hold at best, likely destined for further erosion.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_70 ✓0.034303
AutoTheta0.038293
AutoETS0.046429
AutoARIMA0.046430
MSTL0.048078
MSTL_70_1260.076181
MSTL_1260.099408

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_70

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 17.68
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.041
Excess Kurtosis -0.43
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 288.227
Revenue per Share 2.654
Market Cap 683,959,808
Forward P/E 7.56
Beta 1.36
Profit Margins -9.42%
Previous Name Colony Credit Real Estate, Inc.
Website https://www.brightspire.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:03 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is overwhelmingly bearish, with heavy open interest concentrated in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 2.5 and 5.0) expiring in November 2026, while call activity is negligible. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term expiration, suggesting fear of further downside rather than anticipation of a rally.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.94% 11.60% 11.86% 11.31%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.160 2.935780
2026-03-31 0.160 2.857143
2025-12-31 0.160 2.857143
2025-09-30 0.160 2.946593
2025-06-30 0.160 3.168317
2025-03-31 0.160 2.877698
2024-12-31 0.160 2.836879
2024-09-30 0.160 2.857143
2024-06-28 0.200 3.508772
2024-03-27 0.200 2.936858
2023-12-28 0.200 2.610966
2023-09-28 0.200 3.194888
2023-06-29 0.200 2.949852
2023-03-30 0.200 3.484321
2022-12-29 0.200 3.220612
2022-09-29 0.200 3.134796
2022-06-29 0.200 2.614379
2022-03-30 0.190 2.045210
2021-12-30 0.180 1.827411
2021-09-29 0.160 1.689546
2021-06-29 0.140 1.476793
2021-03-30 0.100 1.158749
2020-03-30 0.100 2.341920
2020-02-27 0.100 0.825083
2020-01-30 0.100 0.806452
2019-12-30 0.100 0.770416
2019-11-27 0.100 0.762195
2019-10-30 0.145 1.006944
2019-09-27 0.145 1.002766
2019-08-29 0.145 1.154459
2019-07-30 0.145 0.893407
2019-06-27 0.145 0.947093
2019-05-30 0.145 0.943396
2019-04-29 0.145 0.927110
2019-03-28 0.145 0.911377
2019-02-27 0.145 0.822462
2019-01-30 0.145 0.880389
2018-12-28 0.145 0.890663
2018-11-29 0.145 0.844988
2018-10-30 0.145 0.668819
2018-09-27 0.145 0.664833
2018-08-30 0.145 0.722112
2018-07-30 0.145 0.692455
2018-06-28 0.145 0.717467
2018-05-30 0.145 0.759560
2018-04-27 0.145 0.748580
2018-03-28 0.145 0.755996
2018-03-07 0.145 0.696111
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.64
dividendYield 11.94
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.64
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.11940298
lastDividendValue 0.16
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.06138611
Address1 590 Madison Avenue
Address2 33rd Floor
All Time High 23.23
All Time Low 2.46
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 21,300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,772,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,318,621
Average Volume 1,318,621
Average Volume10Days 2,772,900
Beta 1.361
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 29,500
Board Risk 2
Book Value 7.046
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.25
Current Ratio 27.236
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 5.4
Day Low 5.195
Debt To Equity 288.227
Display Name BrightSpire Capital
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.64
Dividend Yield 11.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,355,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,355,200
Earnings Growth -0.218
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.093
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,268,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,268,800
Ebitda 183,838,000
Ebitda Margins 0.54719
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.338
Enterprise To Revenue 9.488
Enterprise Value 3,187,473,920
Eps Current Year 0.60429
Eps Forward 0.69429
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.26
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.6298
Fifty Day Average Change -0.37979984
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06746241
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.138611
Fifty Two Week High 6.165
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.91499996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14841849
Fifty Two Week Low 4.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3800001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.078028776
Fifty Two Week Range 4.87 - 6.165
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,517,495,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 10.56
Float Shares 109,017,988
Forward Eps 0.69429
Forward P E 7.5616817
Free Cashflow -278,162,880
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 46
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.69637
Gross Profits 233,956,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0788
Held Percent Institutions 0.70299006
Implied Shares Outstanding 130,278,065
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.16
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary BrightSpire Capital, Inc. operates as a commercial real estate (CRE) credit real estate investment trust in the United States and Norway. It operates through Senior and Mezzanine Loans and Preferred Equity; Net Leased and Other Real Estate; and Corporate and Other segments. The company focuses on originating, acquiring, financing, and managing a diversified portfolio of CRE debt investments consisting of senior mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity investments, net leased real estate and other real estate properties, and CRE debt securities. It also engages in money market activities; and invests in private equity funds. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as Colony Credit Real Estate, Inc. and changed its name to BrightSpire Capital, Inc. in June 2021. BrightSpire Capital, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in New York, New York.
Long Name BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 683,959,808
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_544510231
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -33,601,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 698,290,428
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 5.35
Operating Cashflow 73,452,000
Operating Margins 0.47632
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 20.0
Phone 212 547 2631
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 5.25
Post Market Time 1,783,981,118
Prev Name Colony Credit Real Estate, Inc.
Previous Close 5.36
Price Eps Current Year 8.687881
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.7451036
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.035807
Profit Margins -0.094189994
Quick Ratio 1.494
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.11
Regular Market Change Percent -2.05224
Regular Market Day High 5.4
Regular Market Day Low 5.195
Regular Market Day Range 5.195 - 5.4
Regular Market Open 5.35
Regular Market Previous Close 5.36
Regular Market Price 5.25
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,610,345
Return On Assets 0.02622
Return On Equity -0.04063
Revenue Growth 0.069
Revenue Per Share 2.654
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 130,278,065
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0424
Shares Short 5,519,102
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,162,422
Short Name BrightSpire Capital, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0436
Short Ratio 3.0
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol BRSP
Target High Price 7.0
Target Low Price 5.5
Target Mean Price 6.5
Target Median Price 6.5
Total Cash 96,561,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.741
Total Debt 2,611,824,128
Total Revenue 335,964,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.64
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.11940298
Trailing Eps -0.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.66
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.40999985
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.072438136
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,610,345
Website https://www.brightspire.com
Zip 10,022