Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Scottsdale, United States | NasdaqGM
14.94 USD
+0.68
(4.769%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 14.84 -0.10 (-0.100%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 5:33 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:44 p.m. EDT
Fundamental disconnect: Analysts rate this a 'Strong Buy' based on a 25% revenue surge and a path to 1,000 stores, with a target of $24.57, yet the balance sheet is crumbling with a -37.5% Return on Equity, negative free cash flow, and negative trailing EPS. The speculative capital is clearly reading the expansion story and pricing in a home run, stacking OTM calls at $30 while ignoring the cash burn reality that makes the current fair value arguably closer to book value ($2.61) unless the debt load is rapidly shed. The current price of $14.94 is pricing in a near-perfect execution from a struggling asset, but the asymmetric risk/reward leans risky given the negative operating cash flow. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.105680 |
| AutoTheta | 0.116826 |
| MSTL | 0.147975 |
| AutoETS | 0.148615 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 80% |
| H-stat | 0.53 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.313 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.88 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 156.677 |
| Revenue per Share | 11.769 |
| Market Cap | 269,181,024 |
| Forward P/E | 56.14 |
| Profit Margins | -0.03% |
| Website | https://www.br.coffee |
As of April 18, 2026, 11:44 p.m. EDT: Options data indicates distinct bullish positioning. The 2026-05-15 expiry shows heavy Open Interest (OI) concentrated in OTM calls (98% of total put/call OI), specifically at $25/$30 strikes, suggesting a 'long call backgamble' strategy where speculators collect premiums for downside protection while betting on a massive upside move. In contrast, put OI is heavily weighted ITM ($15 strike, 161 contracts), acting as a programmed downside put. The 2026-08-21 timeframe shows significant new call volume at $30 strikes (25 vol vs 10 OI), signaling high-conviction sentiment for a >$30 target. However, the Ljung-Box p-value (2.83e-20) indicates high autocorrelation/mean reversion risk in the price series, suggesting the model may struggle to predict the next move, and the immediate surrounding volatility is dense with hedging activity.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.45731926 |
| Address1 | 9,170 East Bahia Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 101 |
| All Time High | 30.4 |
| All Time Low | 11.51 |
| Ask | 18.88 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.5 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 290,310 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 560,648 |
| Average Volume | 560,648 |
| Average Volume10Days | 290,310 |
| Bid | 10.96 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | 2.613 |
| City | Scottsdale |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 14.94 |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 15.31 |
| Day Low | 14.64 |
| Debt To Equity | 156.677 |
| Display Name | Black Rock Coffee Bar |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,772,575,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,772,575,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,772,571,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,778,875,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,778,875,200 |
| Ebitda | 13,100,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0654 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 34.794 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.275 |
| Enterprise Value | 455,803,072 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.19718 |
| Eps Forward | 0.26612 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.97 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 14.4718 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.46819973 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.032352556 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -45.731926 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 30.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.46 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5085526 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.51 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.4299994 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.29800168 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.51 - 30.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,757,683,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 16,568,349 |
| Forward Eps | 0.26612 |
| Forward P E | 56.140087 |
| Free Cashflow | -23,153,250 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 2,800 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.50914 |
| Gross Profits | 101,992,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.036170002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.21574 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 18,017,471 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-09-12 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. It offers classic espresso-based drinks, energy drinks, and savory and sweet items under the all-day breakfast brand. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 269,181,024 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1783654647 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -60,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 269,181,016 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 14.64 |
| Operating Cashflow | 2,189,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03337 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 458 256 9668 |
| Post Market Change | -0.09999943 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.66934025 |
| Post Market Price | 14.84 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,461,628 |
| Previous Close | 14.26 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 75.76833 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.717566 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.3437485 |
| Profit Margins | -0.00029999999 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.826 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.679999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 4.76858 |
| Regular Market Day High | 15.31 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 14.64 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 14.64 - 15.31 |
| Regular Market Open | 14.64 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 14.26 |
| Regular Market Price | 14.94 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 332,090 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00205 |
| Return On Equity | -0.37569 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.253 |
| Revenue Per Share | 11.769 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Shares Outstanding | 18,017,471 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.121300004 |
| Shares Short | 2,120,473 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 2,270,738 |
| Short Name | Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1236 |
| Short Ratio | 3.22 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | BRCB |
| Target High Price | 28.0 |
| Target Low Price | 21.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 24.57143 |
| Target Median Price | 25.0 |
| Total Cash | 28,406,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.625 |
| Total Debt | 164,050,000 |
| Total Revenue | 200,320,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.97 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 19.872734 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -4.9327345 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.2482162 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 332,090 |
| Website | https://www.br.coffee |
| Zip | 85,260 |