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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Scottsdale, United States | NasdaqGM
8.27 USD +1.05 (14.543%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:14 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Black Rock Coffee Bar is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals and severe legal overhangs. The company is bleeding cash, reporting negative free cash flow and a negative return on equity, while carrying a debt load nearly ten times its equity base. This precarious balance sheet is compounded by a massive class-action lawsuit alleging IPO disclosure fraud regarding sales transfer issues, which has already triggered a sharp de-rating by analysts and a drop in share price from its highs. While the stock trades at a low P/S ratio, this reflects a 'value trap' scenario where the market has priced out the risk of insolvency and litigation costs rather than seeing a bargain. With no dividend to provide income and a statistical forecast leaning negative despite low confidence, the near-term outlook is defensive at best. The heavy put open interest confirms that traders are bracing for further weakness, making this a poor candidate for capital deployment until the legal clouds clear and the balance sheet stabilizes.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.090561
AutoETS0.100413
MSTL0.112211
AutoARIMA0.115638

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 0.95
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.226
Excess Kurtosis -1.15
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 174.421
Revenue per Share 11.573
Market Cap 183,657,328
Trailing P/E 103.38
Forward P/E 30.35
Profit Margins 0.69%
Website https://www.br.coffee

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest is heavily concentrated at the $7.50 strike, acting as a significant wall against further declines, while call volume is sparse and focused on near-term ATM levels. The lack of OTM call positioning suggests the market views any potential recovery as limited in scope.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.6471843
Address1 9,170 East Bahia Drive
Address2 Suite 101
All Time High 30.4
All Time Low 6.11
Ask 10.48
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 297,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 334,806
Average Volume 334,806
Average Volume10Days 297,130
Bid 5.8
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 2.46
City Scottsdale
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.27
Current Ratio 0.707
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 8.295
Day Low 7.26
Debt To Equity 174.421
Display Name Black Rock Coffee Bar
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,482,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,482,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,340,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,340,800
Ebitda 15,919,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07121
Enterprise To Ebitda 25.983
Enterprise To Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value 413,621,312
Eps Current Year 0.2
Eps Forward 0.2725
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.08
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.9702
Fifty Day Average Change 0.2998004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.037615165
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -64.71843
Fifty Two Week High 26.48
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.21
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6876888
Fifty Two Week Low 6.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.1600003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.35351887
Fifty Two Week Range 6.11 - 26.48
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,757,683,800,000
Float Shares 20,086,160
Forward Eps 0.2725
Forward P E 30.348625
Free Cashflow -35,313,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,800
Fullday Change 1.02
Fullday Change Percent 14.127424
Fullday Price 8.27
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.43578
Gross Profits 97,424,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.12489
Held Percent Institutions 0.87547
Implied Shares Outstanding 22,207,657
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-09-12
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. It offers classic espresso-based drinks, energy drinks, and savory and sweet items under the all-day breakfast brand. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Long Name Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 183,657,328
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1783654647
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,536,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 157,896,441
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 7.32
Operating Cashflow 12,957,000
Operating Margins 0.06511
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 458 256 9668
Previous Close 7.22
Price Eps Current Year 41.350002
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3617887
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.82151246
Profit Margins 0.0068699997
Quick Ratio 0.513
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.05
Regular Market Change Percent 14.5429
Regular Market Day High 8.295
Regular Market Day Low 7.26
Regular Market Day Range 7.26 - 8.295
Regular Market Open 7.32
Regular Market Previous Close 7.22
Regular Market Price 8.27
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 515,607
Return On Assets 0.00424
Return On Equity -0.22042999
Revenue Growth 0.25
Revenue Per Share 11.573
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 22,207,657
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0868
Shares Short 1,926,708
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,584,862
Short Name Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.096999995
Short Ratio 5.35
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol BRCB
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 8.0
Target Mean Price 11.66667
Target Median Price 11.0
Total Cash 15,975,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.719
Total Debt 191,042,000
Total Revenue 223,560,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.08
Trailing P E 103.37501
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.2591
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.9890995
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.265483
Type Disp Equity
Volume 515,607
Website https://www.br.coffee
Zip 85,260