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Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Scottsdale, United States | NasdaqGM
9.13 USD +0.06 (0.662%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 9.13

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:52 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Black Rock Coffee Bar is severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals and a hostile legal environment. The company is reporting negative earnings per share (-$0.76) and negative return on equity (-22%), while burning significant free cash flow. Despite a recent revenue growth of 25%, the market has punished the stock, driving the price down nearly 70% from its 52-week high, leaving it trading at a premium to book value despite the lack of profitability. This disconnect suggests the market views the business quality as fundamentally broken. Compounding these financial issues is a severe legal crisis. Multiple class-action lawsuits regarding IPO disclosures and sales transfer phenomena are active, with shareholder deadlines approaching. This litigation risk creates a ceiling on the stock's ability to recover, regardless of operational performance. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put positioning indicating that speculators are betting on further declines or a prolonged stagnation near the $7.50 level. There is no income component to this trade, as the company does not pay a dividend. While analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating with a mean target of $12, this appears to be a technical rebound expectation rather than a belief in a sustainable turnaround, given the balance sheet strain (high debt-to-equity) and the ongoing legal battles. The combination of unprofitable operations, cash burn, and existential legal threats makes this a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.090993
MSTL0.113313
AutoTheta0.175941
AutoARIMA0.249714

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 1.66
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.500
Excess Kurtosis 0.68
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 174.421
Revenue per Share 11.573
Market Cap 202,755,904
Forward P/E 32.61
Profit Margins 0.69%
Website https://www.br.coffee

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, with out-of-the-money put open interest significantly outweighing call open interest across all expirations. The massive concentration of put volume and open interest at the $7.50 strike suggests a strong consensus floor or a 'pin' level where traders expect the stock to struggle. While there is some speculative call activity at distant strikes ($30), the overwhelming weight of the options chain indicates a bearish sentiment focused on limiting losses rather than capturing upside.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.6705412
Address1 9,170 East Bahia Drive
Address2 Suite 101
All Time High 30.4
All Time Low 6.11
Ask 10.48
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 340,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 434,690
Average Volume 434,690
Average Volume10Days 340,250
Bid 5.8
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 2.46
City Scottsdale
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.13
Current Ratio 0.707
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 9.35
Day Low 8.8502
Debt To Equity 174.421
Display Name Black Rock Coffee Bar
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,482,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,482,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,340,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,340,800
Ebitda 15,919,000
Ebitda Margins 0.07121
Enterprise To Ebitda 27.183
Enterprise To Revenue 1.936
Enterprise Value 432,719,904
Eps Current Year 0.22667
Eps Forward 0.28
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.76
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.0564
Fifty Day Average Change 1.0735998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.13326049
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -67.05412
Fifty Two Week High 30.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.27
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6996711
Fifty Two Week Low 6.11
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.49427167
Fifty Two Week Range 6.11 - 30.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,757,683,800,000
Float Shares 20,086,160
Forward Eps 0.28
Forward P E 32.607143
Free Cashflow -35,313,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,800
Fullday Change 0.0600004
Fullday Change Percent 0.661526
Fullday Price 9.13
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.43578
Gross Profits 97,424,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.12489
Held Percent Institutions 0.81331
Implied Shares Outstanding 22,207,657
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-09-12
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. owns and operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars in the United States. It offers classic espresso-based drinks, energy drinks, and savory and sweet items under the all-day breakfast brand. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Long Name Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 202,755,904
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1783654647
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,536,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 201,201,372
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 9.07
Operating Cashflow 12,957,000
Operating Margins 0.06511
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 458 256 9668
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 9.13
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 9.07
Price Eps Current Year 40.27882
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.7113822
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9069418
Profit Margins 0.0068699997
Quick Ratio 0.513
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.125
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0600004
Regular Market Change Percent 0.661526
Regular Market Day High 9.35
Regular Market Day Low 8.8502
Regular Market Day Range 8.8502 - 9.35
Regular Market Open 9.07
Regular Market Previous Close 9.07
Regular Market Price 9.13
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 357,167
Return On Assets 0.00424
Return On Equity -0.22042999
Revenue Growth 0.25
Revenue Per Share 11.573
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 22,207,657
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0586
Shares Short 1,302,457
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,355,936
Short Name Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0656
Short Ratio 3.91
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol BRCB
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 11.85714
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 15,975,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.719
Total Debt 191,042,000
Total Revenue 223,560,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.76
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 13.76565
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.6356497
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.3367549
Type Disp Equity
Volume 357,167
Website https://www.br.coffee
Zip 85,260