The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)Financial Services | Banks - Diversified | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
88.00 USD
+0.41
(0.468%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:58 a.m. EDT
The Bank of Nova Scotia presents a compelling case for income investors seeking stability, yet the short-term technical picture remains murky. Fundamentally, the bank is showing signs of recovery with a 16.4% gain last year and accelerating earnings growth of 35%, supported by a healthy 60% payout ratio and a robust 3.73% dividend yield. This yield is sustainable and attractive in the current environment, earning a strong rating for income seekers. However, the price action tells a different story for the immediate future. Despite the positive fundamentals, the stock is trading near its 52-week highs, and the statistical forecast model leans slightly negative for the next 45 days. More concerning is the options flow: traders are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts, a classic setup for betting on a significant drop or a 'black swan' event. This defensive positioning contrasts sharply with the modest call activity, creating a tension where the market fears a sudden reversal despite the company's improving operational metrics. Until this defensive options pressure subsides, the short-term outlook remains neutral, lacking a clear bullish catalyst to push the rating higher. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_105 ✓ | 0.111619 |
| MSTL_63_105 | 0.122421 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.122547 |
| AutoETS | 0.122550 |
| AutoTheta | 0.122827 |
| MSTL | 0.125392 |
| MSTL_63 | 0.134514 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_105
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 51% |
| H-stat | 5.72 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.961 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.17 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-07-06 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-07-06 |
| Revenue per Share | 27.638 |
| Market Cap | 107,894,693,888 |
| Trailing P/E | 17.15 |
| Forward P/E | 13.46 |
| Beta | 1.21 |
| Profit Margins | 27.91% |
| Website | https://www.scotiabank.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 6:58 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put open interest at strikes significantly below current prices (e.g., 65, 67.5, 72.5), suggesting a fear of a deep correction or a 'crash' scenario. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the stock will consolidate or drift upward rather than crash. The imbalance in volume versus open interest for deep puts suggests fresh selling pressure or hedging against downside risk, while the lack of deep ITM put volume implies limited protection for a total collapse.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93% | 0.93% | 4.51% | 4.92% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | 0.803 | 0.931555 |
| 2025-07-02 | 0.806 | 1.461999 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.737 | 1.572434 |
| 2025-01-07 | 0.740 | 1.422803 |
| 2024-10-02 | 0.786 | 1.477444 |
| 2024-07-03 | 0.775 | 1.706297 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.783 | 1.554805 |
| 2024-01-02 | 0.800 | 1.684565 |
| 2023-09-29 | 0.786 | 1.724062 |
| 2023-07-05 | 0.800 | 1.639680 |
| 2023-04-03 | 0.762 | 1.517626 |
| 2023-01-03 | 0.759 | 1.592196 |
| 2022-10-03 | 0.745 | 1.549501 |
| 2022-07-05 | 0.800 | 1.394700 |
| 2022-04-04 | 0.799 | 1.126939 |
| 2021-12-31 | 0.785 | 1.094992 |
| 2021-10-04 | 0.712 | 1.156971 |
| 2021-07-06 | 0.730 | 1.146897 |
| 2021-04-05 | 0.716 | 1.144501 |
| 2021-01-04 | 0.707 | 1.334970 |
| 2020-10-05 | 0.676 | 1.608758 |
| 2020-07-06 | 0.664 | 1.598075 |
| 2020-04-06 | 0.634 | 1.618173 |
| 2020-01-06 | 0.692 | 1.238811 |
| 2019-09-30 | 0.679 | 1.194371 |
| 2019-06-28 | 0.664 | 1.221711 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.652 | 1.221660 |
| 2018-12-31 | 0.623 | 1.249248 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.659 | 1.108122 |
| 2018-06-29 | 0.619 | 1.081790 |
| 2018-04-02 | 0.636 | 1.055427 |
| 2017-12-29 | 0.628 | 0.973191 |
| 2017-10-02 | 0.633 | 0.990920 |
| 2017-06-29 | 0.583 | 0.966993 |
| 2017-03-31 | 0.570 | 0.973194 |
| 2016-12-29 | 0.546 | 0.977969 |
| 2016-09-30 | 0.563 | 1.062465 |
| 2016-06-30 | 0.557 | 1.136503 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.554 | 1.149616 |
| 2015-12-31 | 0.504 | 1.246291 |
| 2015-10-02 | 0.528 | 1.214351 |
| 2015-07-06 | 0.542 | 1.072418 |
| 2015-07-02 | 0.585 | 1.157957 |
| 2015-04-02 | 0.539 | 1.073064 |
| 2015-01-02 | 0.568 | 1.016464 |
| 2014-10-03 | 0.592 | 0.973204 |
| 2014-06-27 | 0.599 | 0.888856 |
| 2014-03-28 | 0.580 | 1.007994 |
| 2014-01-03 | 0.581 | 0.944715 |
| 2013-09-27 | 0.601 | 1.047403 |
| 2013-06-28 | 0.573 | 1.070028 |
| 2013-03-28 | 0.584 | 1.002231 |
| 2012-12-28 | 0.574 | 0.996528 |
| 2012-09-28 | 0.580 | 1.058008 |
| 2012-06-29 | 0.536 | 1.034949 |
| 2012-03-30 | 0.550 | 0.981442 |
| 2011-12-29 | 0.512 | 1.037698 |
| 2011-09-30 | 0.504 | 1.004985 |
| 2011-06-30 | 0.534 | 0.887485 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.537 | 0.871329 |
| 2010-12-31 | 0.490 | 0.856643 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.475 | 0.890180 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.467 | 1.024572 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.482 | 0.957109 |
| 2009-12-31 | 0.466 | 0.997005 |
| 2009-10-02 | 0.456 | 1.068667 |
| 2009-07-02 | 0.425 | 1.152699 |
| 2009-04-03 | 0.391 | 1.490091 |
| 2009-01-02 | 0.394 | 1.443752 |
| 2008-10-03 | 0.459 | 1.053961 |
| 2008-06-30 | 0.487 | 1.062855 |
| 2008-03-28 | 0.475 | 1.076365 |
| 2007-12-28 | 0.473 | 0.921309 |
| 2007-09-28 | 0.450 | 0.857143 |
| 2007-06-29 | 0.421 | 0.862175 |
| 2007-03-30 | 0.362 | 0.785079 |
| 2006-12-28 | 0.363 | 0.806308 |
| 2006-09-29 | 0.347 | 0.805665 |
| 2006-06-29 | 0.347 | 0.865121 |
| 2006-03-31 | 0.308 | 0.767314 |
| 2005-12-29 | 0.309 | 0.770381 |
| 2005-09-30 | 0.340 | 0.909091 |
| 2005-06-30 | 0.340 | 1.022556 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.320 | 0.996574 |
| 2004-12-31 | 0.260 | 0.768095 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.300 | 1.030574 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.300 | 1.117318 |
| 2004-04-02 | 0.250 | 0.914077 |
| 2004-01-02 | 0.250 | 0.979816 |
| 2003-10-03 | 0.220 | 0.939168 |
| 2003-06-30 | 0.220 | 0.950735 |
| 2003-03-28 | 0.200 | 1.124859 |
| 2003-01-03 | 0.200 | 1.169933 |
| 2002-09-27 | 0.185 | 1.341552 |
| 2002-06-28 | 0.185 | 1.110777 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.60480034 |
| Address1 | 40 Temperance Street |
| Address2 | Scotia plaza |
| All Time High | 87.98 |
| All Time Low | 13.195 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 600 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.7 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,342,450 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,565,180 |
| Average Volume | 2,565,180 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,342,450 |
| Beta | 1.21 |
| Bid | 64.8 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 50.002163 |
| City | Toronto |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 88.0 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 88.17 |
| Day Low | 87.385 |
| Dividend Date | 1,785,283,200 |
| Dividend Rate | 3.21 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.67 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,880,500 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,880,500 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.354 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.313 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,787,661,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,661,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,661,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | -2.102 |
| Enterprise Value | -71,928,315,904 |
| Eps Current Year | 8.2963 |
| Eps Forward | 6.53765 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.13 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,783,382,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 81.6542 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 6.3458023 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.07771557 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 60.480034 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 88.17 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.16999817 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.0019280728 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 54.32 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 33.68 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.62002945 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 54.32 - 88.17 |
| Financial Currency | CAD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,023,456,600,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 5.52 |
| Float Shares | 1,210,983,004 |
| Forward Eps | 6.53765 |
| Forward P E | 13.460494 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 80,415 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0 |
| Gross Profits | 34,215,999,488 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.50951 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 1,226,076,000 |
| Industry | Banks - Diversified |
| Industry Disp | Banks - Diversified |
| Industry Key | banks-diversified |
| Ir Website | http://www.scotiabank.com/ca/en/0,,915,00.html |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,783,382,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.803 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,761,868,800 |
| Last Split Date | 1,083,196,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | The Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates through Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets segments. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and retail automotive financing solutions. It also provides business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses. In addition, it provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternatives, and institutional funds. The company was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. |
| Long Name | The Bank of Nova Scotia |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 107,894,693,888 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_873647 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,507,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 9,018,000,384 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,793,404,800 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 107,209,322,138 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 87.6 |
| Operating Cashflow | -33,443,000,320 |
| Operating Margins | 0.39803 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.6069 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.08 |
| Phone | 416 866 6161 |
| Previous Close | 87.59 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 10.607139 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.7599238 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.1533403 |
| Profit Margins | 0.27905 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.71429 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.410004 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.468094 |
| Regular Market Day High | 88.17 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 87.385 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 87.385 - 88.17 |
| Regular Market Open | 87.6 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 87.59 |
| Regular Market Price | 88.0 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,099,135 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00658 |
| Return On Equity | 0.11038999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.126 |
| Revenue Per Share | 27.638 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1,226,076,000 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0066000004 |
| Shares Short | 7,345,050 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,727,220 |
| Short Name | Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3 |
| Short Ratio | 2.92 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | ON |
| Symbol | BNS |
| Target High Price | 93.62794 |
| Target Low Price | 74.08679 |
| Target Mean Price | 86.07799 |
| Target Median Price | 90.51923 |
| Total Cash | 531,156,008,960 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 433.216 |
| Total Debt | 349,912,006,656 |
| Total Revenue | 34,215,999,488 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 4.4 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.05023405 |
| Trailing Eps | 5.13 |
| Trailing P E | 17.153996 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 1.0791 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 73.4853 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 14.514702 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.19751844 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,099,135 |
| Website | https://www.scotiabank.com |
| Zip | M5H 0B4 |