Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Tampa, United States | NasdaqGS
9.35 USD
+0.14
(1.520%)
⇧
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 9.36 +0.01 (0.082%) ⇧ (Oct. 14, 2026, 6:11 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:29 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Bloomin' Brands is currently broken by a catastrophic multi-year decline and a fragile balance sheet. Over the last nine years, the stock has lost nearly 60% of its value, with the most recent annual performance being a devastating 55.5% drop. This is not merely a cyclical downturn; it is a structural implosion where the market has priced out the business entirely. The fundamentals confirm this distress: revenue growth has stalled at just 1.3%, while the company carries a crushing debt-to-equity ratio of 441.87 and a current ratio of only 0.25, indicating severe liquidity risks. Although the forward P/E looks cheap at 7.9x, this is a value trap reflecting the expectation of continued earnings deterioration rather than a margin of safety. The dividend, while yielding roughly 7%, is unsustainable given the payout ratio of 45% and the company's need to service its massive debt load; cutting the payout is inevitable if cash flows remain tight. Options activity confirms the pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further collapse. There is no catalyst here to reverse the trend, making this a security to avoid. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.135779 |
| AutoETS | 0.135779 |
| AutoTheta | 0.135970 |
| MSTL | 0.141254 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 39% |
| H-stat | 0.09 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.145 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.43 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2025-08-18 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2025-08-18 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 441.871 |
| Revenue per Share | 46.661 |
| Market Cap | 800,555,648 |
| Trailing P/E | 28.33 |
| Forward P/E | 8.58 |
| Beta | 1.26 |
| Profit Margins | 0.69% |
| Website | https://www.bloominbrands.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:29 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (3.5k contracts at the $7.5 strike) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some activity in higher strikes ($10-$15), the sheer volume of put writing suggests a consensus expectation of further weakness or a 'crash' scenario rather than a rally.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-19 | 0.15 | 2.029770 |
| 2025-05-20 | 0.15 | 1.872659 |
| 2025-03-11 | 0.15 | 1.724138 |
| 2024-11-25 | 0.24 | 1.694915 |
| 2024-08-20 | 0.24 | 1.369082 |
| 2024-05-17 | 0.24 | 1.023454 |
| 2024-03-05 | 0.24 | 0.831601 |
| 2023-11-13 | 0.24 | 1.061008 |
| 2023-08-11 | 0.24 | 0.959616 |
| 2023-05-09 | 0.24 | 1.035822 |
| 2023-02-28 | 0.24 | 0.919540 |
| 2022-11-08 | 0.14 | 0.603448 |
| 2022-08-09 | 0.14 | 0.651769 |
| 2022-05-10 | 0.14 | 0.663822 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.14 | 0.593975 |
| 2020-02-27 | 0.20 | 1.085187 |
| 2019-11-15 | 0.10 | 0.433651 |
| 2019-08-09 | 0.10 | 0.591017 |
| 2019-05-10 | 0.10 | 0.496524 |
| 2019-02-22 | 0.10 | 0.455789 |
| 2018-11-13 | 0.09 | 0.417053 |
| 2018-08-08 | 0.09 | 0.487541 |
| 2018-05-04 | 0.09 | 0.368550 |
| 2018-03-02 | 0.09 | 0.379107 |
| 2017-11-10 | 0.08 | 0.471143 |
| 2017-08-07 | 0.08 | 0.464576 |
| 2017-05-04 | 0.08 | 0.370542 |
| 2017-02-23 | 0.08 | 0.468110 |
| 2016-11-07 | 0.07 | 0.406504 |
| 2016-08-08 | 0.07 | 0.380228 |
| 2016-05-04 | 0.07 | 0.365344 |
| 2016-02-25 | 0.07 | 0.408163 |
| 2015-11-10 | 0.06 | 0.366748 |
| 2015-08-14 | 0.06 | 0.277008 |
| 2015-05-13 | 0.06 | 0.274725 |
| 2015-03-02 | 0.06 | 0.229358 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.21184206 |
| Address1 | 2,202 North West Shore Boulevard |
| Address2 | Suite 500 |
| All Time High | 32.81 |
| All Time Low | 4.54 |
| Ask | 10.7 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.7 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,813,610 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,211,414 |
| Average Volume | 2,211,414 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,813,610 |
| Beta | 1.257 |
| Bid | 7.92 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 5.044 |
| City | Tampa |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 9.35 |
| Current Ratio | 0.254 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 9.375 |
| Day Low | 9.005 |
| Debt To Equity | 441.871 |
| Display Name | Bloomin' Brands |
| Dividend Date | 1,756,857,600 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.6 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,931,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,931,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.224 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.233 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,933,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,881,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,881,800 |
| Ebitda | 316,699,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.07958 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 8.398 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.668 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,659,618,560 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.96591 |
| Eps Forward | 1.09002 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.33 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,755,561,600 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 9.494 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.14400005 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.015167479 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 21.184206 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 12.63 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.2799997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2596991 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 5.19 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 4.1600003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.8015415 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 5.19 - 12.63 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,344,432,600,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 2.95 |
| Float Shares | 83,143,048 |
| Forward Eps | 1.09002 |
| Forward P E | 8.577826 |
| Free Cashflow | 276,187,872 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 64,000 |
| Fullday Change | 0.14770031 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.603695 |
| Fullday Price | 9.35 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.13574 |
| Gross Profits | 540,161,024 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01441 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.06323 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 85,620,917 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,755,561,600 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.15 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, polished casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through U.S. and International Franchise segments. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill that offers authentic Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, a contemporary steakhouse. Bloomin' Brands, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in Tampa, Florida. |
| Long Name | Bloomin' Brands, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 800,555,648 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_128530849 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,604,800 |
| Net Income To Common | 28,644,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 732,486,944 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 9.17 |
| Operating Cashflow | 319,783,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.0444 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.45450002 |
| Phone | 813 282 1225 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0076999664 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.08235258 |
| Post Market Price | 9.3577 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,015,866 |
| Previous Close | 9.21 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.679991 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.8536875 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.201169 |
| Profit Margins | 0.00695 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.132 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.72727 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.14 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.52009 |
| Regular Market Day High | 9.375 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 9.005 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 9.005 - 9.375 |
| Regular Market Open | 9.17 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 9.21 |
| Regular Market Price | 9.35 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,339,465 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02566 |
| Return On Equity | 0.08071999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.013 |
| Revenue Per Share | 46.661 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 85,620,917 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.13260001 |
| Shares Short | 11,351,192 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,540,905 |
| Short Name | Bloomin' Brands, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1554 |
| Short Ratio | 4.99 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | BLMN |
| Target High Price | 15.0 |
| Target Low Price | 8.8 |
| Target Mean Price | 11.855 |
| Target Median Price | 12.0 |
| Total Cash | 66,613,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.778 |
| Total Debt | 1,922,440,960 |
| Total Revenue | 3,979,517,952 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.15 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.016286645 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.33 |
| Trailing P E | 28.333334 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.67925 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 1.6707506 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.2175669 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,339,465 |
| Website | https://www.bloominbrands.com |
| Zip | 33,607 |