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Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Tampa, United States | NasdaqGS
8.44 USD +0.10 (1.199%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken despite the recent price surge. The company is hemorrhaging capital, with a debt-to-equity ratio of nearly 500% and a current ratio of just 0.26, indicating severe liquidity distress. The payout ratio of 125% confirms that the dividend is being funded by borrowing or burning through cash reserves, which is unsustainable for a restaurant operator facing margin compression. The price history tells a grim story of a 44% decline over nine years, with the last two years seeing double-digit drops. While the stock recently rallied on better-than-expected sales, this appears to be a temporary relief rally masking deep structural issues. The options market agrees with the bearish thesis, with traders buying heavy insurance against further declines. This is a value trap where the low price reflects the reality of a failing balance sheet, not a bargain opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79_115 ✓0.159029
MSTL_1150.170004
MSTL_790.171996
MSTL0.179584
AutoARIMA0.183669
AutoETS0.183675
AutoTheta0.201719

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 2.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.197
Excess Kurtosis -0.93
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2025-08-18
Last Dividend Date 2025-08-18
Debt to Equity Ratio 497.344
Revenue per Share 46.574
Market Cap 722,584,576
Trailing P/E 35.17
Forward P/E 8.72
Beta 1.20
Profit Margins 0.55%
Website https://www.bloominbrands.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (4.9k contracts at the $5 strike) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some long-dated call activity suggesting a speculative hope for a recovery, the overwhelming sentiment in the near-to-intermediate term is hedging against further collapse rather than betting on a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.03% 2.03% 4.19% 3.41%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-08-19 0.15 2.029770
2025-05-20 0.15 1.872659
2025-03-11 0.15 1.724138
2024-11-25 0.24 1.694915
2024-08-20 0.24 1.369082
2024-05-17 0.24 1.023454
2024-03-05 0.24 0.831601
2023-11-13 0.24 1.061008
2023-08-11 0.24 0.959616
2023-05-09 0.24 1.035822
2023-02-28 0.24 0.919540
2022-11-08 0.14 0.603448
2022-08-09 0.14 0.651769
2022-05-10 0.14 0.663822
2022-03-01 0.14 0.593975
2020-02-27 0.20 1.085187
2019-11-15 0.10 0.433651
2019-08-09 0.10 0.591017
2019-05-10 0.10 0.496524
2019-02-22 0.10 0.455789
2018-11-13 0.09 0.417053
2018-08-08 0.09 0.487541
2018-05-04 0.09 0.368550
2018-03-02 0.09 0.379107
2017-11-10 0.08 0.471143
2017-08-07 0.08 0.464576
2017-05-04 0.08 0.370542
2017-02-23 0.08 0.468110
2016-11-07 0.07 0.406504
2016-08-08 0.07 0.380228
2016-05-04 0.07 0.365344
2016-02-25 0.07 0.408163
2015-11-10 0.06 0.366748
2015-08-14 0.06 0.277008
2015-05-13 0.06 0.274725
2015-03-02 0.06 0.229358
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.6
dividendYield 7.1
exDividendDate 2025-08-19
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.3
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.035971224
lastDividendValue 0.15
lastDividendDate 2025-08-19
dividendDate 2025-09-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.1489796
Address1 2,202 North West Shore Boulevard
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 32.81
All Time Low 4.54
Ask 9.6
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,533,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,507,381
Average Volume 2,507,381
Average Volume10Days 2,533,700
Beta 1.198
Bid 7.26
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 1
Book Value 4.631
City Tampa
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.44
Current Ratio 0.261
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 8.575
Day Low 8.335
Debt To Equity 497.344
Display Name Bloomin' Brands
Dividend Date 1,756,857,600
Dividend Rate 0.6
Dividend Yield 7.1
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,068,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,068,800
Earnings Growth 0.299
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.32
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,070,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Ebitda 304,241,984
Ebitda Margins 0.07671
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.67
Enterprise To Revenue 0.665
Enterprise Value 2,637,767,680
Eps Current Year 0.87994
Eps Forward 0.968
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.24
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,755,561,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.8484
Fifty Day Average Change 0.59159946
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07537835
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -14.897961
Fifty Two Week High 10.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2600002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21121497
Fifty Two Week Low 5.19
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.2499995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.62620413
Fifty Two Week Range 5.19 - 10.7
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,344,432,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.92
Float Shares 83,205,101
Forward Eps 0.968
Forward P E 8.7190075
Free Cashflow 227,655,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 64,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.13453001
Gross Profits 533,567,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01353
Held Percent Institutions 0.93014
Implied Shares Outstanding 85,614,287
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,755,561,600
Last Dividend Value 0.15
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, polished casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through U.S. and International Franchise segments. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill that offers authentic Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, a contemporary steakhouse. Bloomin' Brands, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in Tampa, Florida.
Long Name Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 722,584,576
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_128530849
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,742,400
Net Income To Common 21,590,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 723,440,725
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 8.44
Operating Cashflow 278,528,000
Operating Margins 0.06419
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 1.25
Phone 813 282 1225
Pre Market Change -0.12999916
Pre Market Change Percent -1.5402745
Pre Market Price 8.31
Pre Market Time 1,784,022,300
Previous Close 8.34
Price Eps Current Year 9.591563
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8225005
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.18219136
Profit Margins 0.00548
Quick Ratio 0.135
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0999994
Regular Market Change Percent 1.19903
Regular Market Day High 8.575
Regular Market Day Low 8.335
Regular Market Day Range 8.335 - 8.575
Regular Market Open 8.44
Regular Market Previous Close 8.34
Regular Market Price 8.44
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 1,527,494
Return On Assets 0.02484
Return On Equity 0.0682
Revenue Growth 0.01
Revenue Per Share 46.574
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 85,614,287
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.099300005
Shares Short 8,504,844
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 7,201,723
Short Name Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1164
Short Ratio 3.62
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol BLMN
Target High Price 11.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 8.60909
Target Median Price 8.0
Total Cash 71,300,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.833
Total Debt 1,983,243,008
Total Revenue 3,966,074,880
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.3
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.035971224
Trailing Eps 0.24
Trailing P E 35.166664
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.9444
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.4955997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21536775
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,527,494
Website https://www.bloominbrands.com
Zip 33,607